40-Year-Old Running Back – Free Agent
2014 Fantasy Football Outlook
There was no outlook written for Priest Holmes in 2014. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
Priest Holmes Contract Information:
Retired from football in Nov. of 2007.
Holmes (neck) officially announced his retirement from football Wednesday, the Chiefs' official site reports.
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|Rushing||Rush Distance||Big Rush Games||Receiving||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Fumbles|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Rushing Stats||Red Zone Runs||Receiving Stats||Red Zone Targets|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Rushing||Rush Distance||Receiving||Fumbles||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Red Zone Runs||Red Zone Targets|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Priest Holmes: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Schefter quotes a source familiar with the situation as saying "(Holmes) is retiring for sure. Noon press conference on Wednesday." We'll continue to watch the situation closely, but the bottom line is that Kolby Smith is a worthy pickup in virtually all leagues.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Kansas City continues to suffer from inconsistent offensive line play and Holmes isn't seeing many running lanes, the same problem that plagued Larry Johnson. The Chiefs leaned more heavily on Kolby Smith in the second half (five carries to Holmes' three) and may be moving toward a more even split between the two until Johnson (foot) returns.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Kolby Smith had just two carries in Week 10, so we expect to see Holmes take 20-25 carries as the Chiefs look to establish the run against Indianapolis on Sunday.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Holmes will clearly be the go-to guy while Larry Johnson (foot) is out, seeing as Kolby Smith received just two carries. The performance didn't remind anyone of Holmes' Pro Bowl days, but he did show flashes of his old explosiveness and shifty feet.
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
There was no outlook written for Priest Holmes.
Holmes is still technically on the roster, but he hasn’t been on the field since October 2005 and isn’t expected to return to the NFL.
For two seasons he was a fantasy god, but in all likelihood the Priest Holmes Era has come to an end. The question marks surrounding his health are huge, and even if he is able to return, he will be nothing more than Larry Johnson’s backup. The Chiefs’ offense is still potent though, and their offensive line stellar. The potential is there, however remote, for one more monster fantasy season if Larry Johnson were to get hurt.
We’ve seen Holmes go as high as No. 2 in mock drafts this spring, but that’s far too early in our view, given his age, mileage and injury history. Don’t get us wrong, Holmes was an absolute monster for eight games last year running behind Kansas City’s outstanding offensive line – prorate his numbers over a 16-game season, and he’d have 1,784 rushing yards and a whopping 30 touchdowns. But when you look at what Larry Johnson and Derrick Blaylock did while filling in for the eight games Holmes missed – 930 yards, 16 touchdowns combined – you get the feeling that the line had as much to do with it as Holmes. Holmes will again be the Chiefs starter heading into the season, but unlike last season, Johnson will spell him frequently from the outset. This isn’t a good situation for Holmes because if Johnson outplays him – and there’s a good chance he will given that Holmes is in the declining phase of his career while Johnson is getting better – even coach Dick Vermeil will be hard pressed to ignore that and stick with Holmes. Although Holmes claims to be 100 percent recovered from the knee injury that ended his season and is healthy at press time, it’s hard to look past his long history of injuries from a torn right ACL in college to a sprained left MCL in 1999 with the Ravens, to the right hip injury that ended his 2002 season. In addition, Holmes will turn 32 this October, and though he doesn’t have as much mileage as, for example, a Corey Dillon, his 1,615 carries don’t exactly give him fresh legs, either.
The NFL's TD machine is going to turn 31 in October and has a pretty significant injury history, including not just his hip injury in 2002, but a torn ACL in one knee and sprained MCL in the other. It’s hard to find many running backs who did not significantly decline at Holmes’ age. The top 20 rushers in NFL history have combined for just 14 1,000-yard seasons from age 30 onward. And these are the best running backs ever. Can Holmes beat Father Time as easily as he does opponents in the red zone? In his favor is his relatively low mileage – only 1,419 career carries, but he’s been worked hard as a Chief, with 1,167 touches the last three years. Another positive is the Chiefs’ offensive line, which despite being a little weaker after offseason shuffling, is still among the best in the league. Those who don’t own Holmes are always chagrined by the ease with which he waltzes into the end zone – seemingly untouched on so many of his scores. So some of those touches may be akin to highway miles. But there is evidence of wear and tear. Holmes averaged just 4.4 yards per carry last year, almost a full yard less than in 2002. Holmes’ backups averaged 4.7 yards on their 42 carries. Worse, Holmes averaged just 4.2 yards per carry the last eight games of 2003. And in the third and fourth quarters of all games, less than four yards per pop. It’s almost impossibly hard to pass up Holmes with the first pick in the draft, though. He’s scored 37 TDs in 74 attempts inside the 10 as a Chief (just 6-for-33 his last two years in Baltimore).
Is the hip healthy? Are the Chiefs telling us all that they know? How will Holmes's body react when he takes full contact again? As of July 2003, Holmes is a fantasy question mark, and clearly the toughest call of the first round. We wouldn't select him in the top 5, that's our stance right now. Watch him very closely in training camp.