35-Year-Old Quarterback – Arizona Cardinals
2014 Fantasy Football Outlook
A history of elbow injuries and a propensity for interceptions have led to Palmer's starting merits being questioned regularly over the last several years, but he keeps paddling along. The veteran thr...
Carson Palmer Contract Information:
Signed a three-year extension with Arizona in November of 2014 that keeps him under contract through the 2017 season.
Coach Bruce Arians said Tuesday that Palmer (knee) is "so far" ahead of schedule in his recovery from a torn ACL, NFL.com's Kevin Patra reports.
To instantly reveal our fantasy analysis of every player – including Carson Palmer – simply subscribe now.
|Passing||Pass Distance||Big Pass Games||Rushing||Fumbles|
|2014 Proj||34||ARZ||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Carson Palmer|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Passing Stats||Red Zone Passes||Red Zone Runs|
|2014 Proj||34||ARZ||Subscribe now to see our 2014 projections for Carson Palmer|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Passing||Pass Distance||Rushing||Fumbles||Red Zone Passes||Red Zone Runs|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Carson Palmer: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)The Cardinals held their final media session of the season Sunday, when Palmer said, "I'm just continuing to grind it out. It's baby steps from here but I actually get to start up-tempo walking-slash-jogging on Monday, so I'm excited about that." The development is one of the first in his quest for a full recovery from the torn ACL suffered in Week 10, but his optimism could eventually be quelled by the reality of such an injury and his age, 35. In the meantime, Drew Stanton, the Cardinals' backup quarterback, is poised to participate in early offseason work and could enter training camp 2015 as the starter, if Palmer experiences any bumps in the road.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Palmer and the Cardinals remain optimistic about his long-term prospects, as it appears that that the damage has been confined to just the ACL, provided doctors find no surprises during surgery. The veteran quarterback expects to continue working out the rest of his body throughout the rehab process, and soon hopes to resume traveling with the team. In a perfect world, Palmer would be ready to return to team OTAs, but considering that those are less than seven months away, that may be an idealistic outlook.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Palmer is thus slated to be placed on season-ending injured reserve, with Drew Stanton, who took over for Palmer after he was injured on Sunday, on track to start at QB for the Cardinals going forward. In terms of Palmer's long-term prospects, Darren Urban of azcardinals.com notes that the damage in Palmer's knee was confined to the ACL, so while the veteran QB clearly has a long recovery ahead of him, he'll presumably have a chance to reenter the team's starting equation in advance of the 2015 season.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Palmer is slated to undergo tests to confirm the nature of his injury, but for now, coach Bruce Arians indicated that the Cardinals won't know the QB's status going forward, until he undergoes an MRI, Kent Somers of the Arizona Republic reports. In any case, Drew Stanton, who took over for Palmer on Sunday, appears to be in line for another stint as the Cardinals' starting signal-caller.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)The terms of the deal weren't disclosed, but it keeps Palmer locked up through the 2017 season. He has 35 touchdowns and 24 interceptions in 21 career games for coach Bruce Arians, and his effectiveness of late indicates he's over the shoulder nerve issue that caused him to miss time earlier this year.
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Quietly, Palmer threw for more than 4,000 yards in Oakland last season. With a change of scenery, the veteran quarterback will have arguably the best wide receiver tandem of his career in Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd. To maximize his potential, Palmer will need substantially better protection from the Cardinals' offensive line than what the unit gave to quarterbacks in 2012 – 57 sacks allowed (31st) and 90 QB hits (28th). The addition of first-round guard Jonathan Cooper was intended to give Palmer room to step up in the pocket, but a potentially season-ending broken fibula may have wiped away Cooper's rookie campaign before it even begins. Nevertheless, the Cardinals are also equipped with a variety of role players –- tight end Rob Housler and slot man Andre Roberts –- to help ease Palmer's tenure in the desert.
Palmer is an injury worry and was reckless in his first year with the Raiders, but the big-play potential he possesses in an offense loaded with speedy playmakers gives him a fair amount of upside. There doesn’t exist a trio of receivers that can rival the big-play abilities of Darrius Heyward-Bey, Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore, and it showed as Palmer averaged 8.4 yards per pass last year, a career high by more than half of a yard (7.8 in 2006.) The result was 2,637 passing yards in just nine starts for an offense in which he had just two weeks of practice before taking over as the starter. That would project to 4,688 yards – a figure that mostly makes up for the 23 interceptions he would be projected for in the same span. The arrival of coach Dennis Allen means a new offensive scheme for Palmer, but with his pass catchers back and an actual offseason and training camp to acclimate to the offense, he should lead another high-flying passing attack in 2012.
It's anyone's guess how the standoff between Palmer and Bengals owner Mike Brown will end. Palmer seems entirely serious about never playing for Cincinnati again, while Brown seems equally committed to sending Palmer into retirement rather than trading him, unreasonable as that might be. Palmer isn't nearly as effective at this point as he was circa 2005, but he's still probably capable of winning a starting job somewhere. He threw for 3,970 yards and 26 touchdowns last year, though it took a career-high 586 pass attempts to get there. He'll likely need another pass-happy offense if he's going to approach last year's production.
At this point in his career, Palmer is only a starter when you have a bye week or an injury. He’s not even a week-to-week matchup play now coming off the horrendous 2009 season. The Bengals have an extreme lack of offensive weapons beyond Chad Ochocinco and are now a defensive-oriented team that relies on a running game and seeks to keep scores manageable. So Palmer is thus a name brand with little fantasy value outside of that.
There's nothing to take out of Palmer's 2008 from a performance standpoint because he was playing hurt. His elbow injury is reportedly healed, and he begins 2009 with a clean bill of health. Caution: he chose to forgo reconstructive surgery. And he returns, of course, without favorite target T.J. Houshmandzadeh. Replacing him is Laveranues Coles (perhaps Palmer likes receivers with names difficult to spell). Coles is not a possession type like Houshmandzadeh, though, and thus not as good a complement to Chad Johnson, who might be declining, and Johnson never really had top-end speed. The Bengals offensive line was in shambles as 2008 progressed, and they drafted Alabama's Andre Smith, who showed up overweight and out of shape to the biggest interview of his life but didn't have to pay for it. Fat and lazy is not the ideal resume for a premier left tackle, which is what the Bengals and especially Palmer need. On the plus side, Missouri tight end Chase Coffman was viewed by many observers to have second-round ability and could provide some quick returns, which are badly needed. Can Cedric Benson be counted on? He's needed to help Palmer keep the chains moving so that the QB can recapture his scoring proficiency that really deserted him beginning in 2007 (one TD or less in five of his last eight games and zero in three of them). Be a skeptic. Most will reach for Palmer as an elite QB and look at his three-year averages from 2005-to-2007. But that's a lifetime ago in the NFL, and there's just too much risk to waste an early round pick on Palmer that's more wisely spent on a RB or WR.
At press time the Bengals vaunted receiving corps was in shambles. Chris Henry, supremely talented but equally self-destructive, was given his walking papers after another offseason incident. Chad Johnson was demanding a trade because too many receivers have passed him on the salary ladder. He refused to report to minicamp and, at press time, is threatening retirement if his wishes aren't met. Palmer needed a strong offseason working with his targets to rebound from a very poor season in reality if not in fantasy. His 20 interceptions were unacceptable. The big plays were lacking despite the OK total of 26 TD passes. He threw 575 passes, and that TD percentage was just 12th, not good given his weapons. Palmer's good enough to turn any receiver into someone capable. But the environment in Cincy is no longer good enough to justify the third-round pick he's likely to cost you. If Johnson's distractions (or departure) cause Palmer to slide into the sixth or seventh round, he'll be useful because there's a good chance he'll still generate 25-to-30 TDs anyway given his talent, and the Bengals need to throw to compensate for their always porous defense.
Palmer owners had to like that the Bengals were so aggressive last year passing in the first half of games, when the score is less likely to impact playcalling. The only teams well above the Bengals’ mark of 58 percent passes were the Eagles and Packers. Palmer throws a little less than half the time inside-the-10, and though he doesn’t exhibit Peyton Manning-style efficiency, he’s above average in converting (12 TDs in his 32 passes). Upper echelon fantasy QBs typically get at least 15 of these easy TD passes, and that’s a reasonable projection for Palmer. After dominating our functional arm strength rankings in 2005, Palmer slumped to an 88 rating on 11-to-20 yard passes from scrimmage. But we can chalk that up to the combination of his recovery from knee surgery and some sloppiness in pass protection by a Bengals line hampered by injuries. It seemed that Palmer did not have the confidence in his knee to stand tall with bodies around him and firmly plant his back foot to drive his throws. This caused him to miss out on some big plays that provide the tipping point into fantasy greatness, especially in distance scoring leagues. Now that he’s fully recovered, expect more explosion in the Bengals passing game. The loss of Chris Henry for at least half a season will hurt Palmer. But, again, great QBs create great receivers – they are not a product of them. Palmer also has all the intangibles we look for, as he’s among the best at handling the pressure in the fourth quarter of close games (132 QB rating) and during two minute drills (101 QB rating).
It will be well into training camp before his 2006 prospects are clear. Remember, Daunte Culpepper suffered a similar injury about 10 weeks before Palmer and Culpepper is iffy to start the regular season. Even if Palmer starts the season, he’ll likely have to endure considerable pain as his rehab won’t be complete. Barring that injury, Palmer would come off the board right after Peyton Manning. But the knee problems coupled with the inevitable rustiness from missing so much practice time introduces an element of risk into selecting Palmer. Palmer does have some great weapons in Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. He will be hurt if No. 3 Chris Henry gets suspended for charges relating to concealing a firearm. Henry is talented but is showing why most teams took him off their draft boards for character issues. Without him, there is little quality depth, and that could be a problem if either Johnson or Houshmandzadeh gets hurt. The reasons to take a chance on Palmer’s rehab are many. He had a sparkling 119.7 QB rating on 114 passes thrown 11-to-20 yards. His coaches gave him the eighth highest percentage of red-zone passes, up from 19th in ’04. On 54 late/close attempts, Palmer’s QB rating was 97. His poor throw percentage was just 11.6. The only possible knock is his mediocre 7.5 YPA on first down passes, which may be why the Bengals were just 17th in first down pass percentage last year (16th in overall pass percentage).
Palmer is the type of player who might well wind up in the top five of everyone’s 2006 magazine list, and we’ve decided to get ahead of the curve. While he started slowly in his first season as the team’s primary signal caller, Palmer convinced us he’s arrived with 11 touchdowns in a four-game stretch against Pittsburgh (2), Cleveland (4), at Baltimore (3) and at New England (2). It’s not just Palmer, but the entire Bengals offense that looks primed to go off. Chad Johnson emerged as an elite wideout in 2003, and last season’s showing merely confirmed that. T.J. Houshmandzadeh stepped up as a reliable possession option, torching the Ravens for 171 yards and the Patriots for 145 when the teams keyed on Johnson. Throw in a good offensive line and a reliable running game and all the weapons are in place for the third-year quarterback, who has excellent size and arm strength, to move the team up and down the field. Palmer’s not much of a runner, but he dropped about 20 pounds during the offseason and hopes to be quicker in 2005. Palmer strained his MCL in the New England game and didn’t get a chance to build on those strong performances down the stretch, but he took part in the team’s offseason workouts, and the knee shouldn’t be an issue heading into camp.
Marvin Lewis appears ready to take a leap of faith, but you shouldn't. The Bengals are too playoff ready to suffer through the growing pains that Palmer is likely to endure. Keeper league owners should draft Palmer aggressively, as his prospects for success beyond 2004 are good.
Palmer is expected to learn under Jon Kitna for 2003.