29-Year-Old Running Back – Minnesota Vikings
2014 Fantasy Football Outlook
While Peterson delivered his seventh double-digit touchdown total in his seven NFL seasons last year, there are some cracks starting to appear in the facade for the 6-1, 217-pound ballcarrier, who's e...
Adrian Peterson Contract Information:
Agreed to a six-year extension worth $96 million with the Vikings in September of 2011.
The Vikings are expected to ask Peterson to reduce his $12.5 million contract for 2015, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. While the NFL plans to appeal a federal judge's ruling that overturned Peterson's suspension, the Vikings and Peterson can talk about a new contract while he remains on the Commissionerís exempt list during the appeal process.
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|Rushing||Rush Distance||Big Rush Games||Receiving||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Fumbles|
|2014 Proj||29||MIN||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Adrian Peterson|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Rushing Stats||Red Zone Runs||Receiving Stats||Red Zone Targets|
|2014 Proj||29||MIN||Subscribe now to see our 2014 projections for Adrian Peterson|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Rushing||Rush Distance||Receiving||Fumbles||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Red Zone Runs||Red Zone Targets|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Adrian Peterson: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Peterson was suspended for the season in November after he pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge of reckless assault for disciplining his child with a switch and wasn't set to be eligible to be reinstated until Apr. 15. It looks like Peterson can recoup some of his lost salary due to the suspension, but more importantly he'll now likely be able to figure out his 2015 team before free agency begins on Mar. 10. Vikings management has said they want Peterson to return for 2015, but Peterson recently said he's uneasy with a return to the team and there are reports his agent told Vikings management his client would never play for the team again. There's also some thought the Vikings may trade him or release him if he doesn't take a pay cut since he's due $12.75 million next season and turns 30 next month. This ruling could still be appealed by the NFL, but unless there's a quick reversal it looks like the Vikings and Peterson could figure out his future before the start of free agent signings.
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
After an MVP year in which he fell just nine yards shy of breaking Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record, Peterson set the bar high even for him. That he was able to do so barely eight months removed from reconstructive knee surgery bordered on the miraculous. And his 10-game romp to end the season during which he piled up 1,598 rushing yards at a whopping 6.8 YPC and 11 total scores might have been the greatest stretch by a back in modern NFL history. While the lack of a viable Vikings passing game ensured defenses stacked the box against Peterson, he rendered the tactic impotent with a league-leading 1,047 yards after contact. Now 28 and with 1,754 career carries, Peterson has some mileage on his body, but it's hard to get overly concerned about that when Peterson only got stronger as the year wore on. And he's now 20 months removed from his knee surgery, so the joint should be back to full strength. While Peterson is a competent pass catcher Ė he caught 40 balls last year, the second-highest total of his career Ė he doesn't excel in that area and will likely give up production to most of the other top backs, particularly in PPR formats.
Peterson was having his typical productive season until injuries struck last year. The first was an ankle sprain in Week 11 that cost him three games followed by a much more serious torn left ACL and MCL and meniscus damage. Moreover, the injury occurred so late in the year he didnít have surgery until December 31. Most mortals would be a near lock to start 2012 on PUP, but Peterson plans on being ready for Week 1. All reports had his rehab going extremely well, and he even finished first running wind sprints with teammates in late April. A best-case scenario would still likely be a scaled down workload over the beginning of the season, especially with Toby Gerhart emerging as a capable alternative. Peterson remained the NFLís best running back before going down, and while offseason reports have been positive, and heís still in his prime, there are obvious concerns about an RB coming off major knee surgery such a short time ago. Consider Peterson a high-risk, high-reward pick.
Petersonís numbers were down last season, when he finished with a career-low 1,298 rushing yards. Still, his YPC bounced back, and his ball security issues were corrected in a big way. Most of the drop in production can be pointed to a leg injury that cost him one game and decreased his usage, as he was given more than 17 carries in just one of the seasonís final nine contests. Peterson has battled the injury-prone label since entering the league, but last seasonís missed game was his first in the last three years. While nagging injuries plagued him over the second half, Peterson sill finished as the No. 3 fantasy back. Peterson remains the leagueís most elite back, as he led the NFL in broken tackles for the second year in a row (he finished second in 2008), and his continued development as a receiver is terrific news for his fantasy value. His conversion rate at the goal line (9-for-18) was also third best in football. There was reason to worry about Minnesotaís quarterback situation until the team traded two sixth-round draft picks for Donovan McNabb. Nevertheless, the Vikings will continue to rely on Peterson to carry the offense, which is why he is both the safest and highest upside pick on the board.
Despite a big upgrade at quarterback, Petersonís YPC dropped to a career-low 4.4 last season, but he more than made up for it by improving greatly as a receiver and getting more work at the goal line. Peterson scored an NFL (and career) high 18 touchdowns, and he more than doubled his previous-high with 43 catches. Moreover, his 10.1 yards-per-catch tied for second-best in the league among running backs and was a huge improvement from his previous year. Peterson saw his big plays (rushes for 20- plus yards) drop from 20 in 2008 to 12 last season, but he remains plenty explosive, and his strength was utilized plenty, as his 42 carries inside the 10-yard line and 30 goal-line rushes both led the NFL. However, fumbling remains a problem, as Peterson had the most lost (six) in the league for the second straight season. The good news for Peterson is that Minnesota has a handful of offensive weapons, so defenses can no longer stack eight men in the box to slow Peterson down. One area of concern is the fact that Minnesota used its second-round pick to draft Toby Gerhart, who immediately becomes the teamís RB2 with Chester Taylor out of town. While Gerhart is a threat to steal some goal-line work, Peterson figures to be given even more responsibilities on third downs, so increased numbers in the passing game should be expected. While Taylorís workload continued to decline, he still racked up 44 catches last season, and the rookie Gerhart is unlikely to be trusted in passing situations. While itís safe to assume the offense would take a step back should Brett Favre decide to retire, the Vikings still have one of the better offensive lines in football, and the defense is among the elite as well, so Peterson will be surrounded by good teammates regardless. He should once again dominate carries, and the fact heís becoming a complete back means a career-high in yards from scrimmage could be in store, especially if last yearís 4.4 YPC mark can creep back up toward his career level (4.9).
Last year Peterson stayed healthy for all 16 games and led the NFL in rushing, yet it somehow all felt like a disappointment. Thatís what happens when you follow a rookie campaign as impressive as Petersonís. He saw his YPC drop from 5.6 to 4.8 and his touchdowns decline from 13 to 10 despite seeing 127 more touches. Still, 1,885 total yards with 10 scores is pretty good for what can be considered a letdown, and most encouraging of all was Petersonís ability to stay healthy even with a full workload. Peterson is a rare talent who might be both the fastest and strongest running back in the NFL. Heís almost never brought down at first contact and is lethal in the open field with tremendous breakaway speed. He easily led the league with 20 carries for 20-plus yards in 2008 while also converting a remarkable five of his nine goal-line attempts for scores. However, Peterson struggled mightily as a receiver, as he gained a paltry 6.0 yards per catch on his 21 receptions last season. He also needs to work on ball security Ė his nine fumbles were by far the most in the league. The Vikingsí offensive line took a small step backward last season, but part of the problem was Bryant McKinnie opening the year with a four-game suspension. Chester Taylor is still around to spell Peterson, but heís become nothing more than your typical backup, as this is clearly Petersonís backfield. With Bernard Berrian, a healthy Sidney Rice and exciting rookie Percy Harvin, thereís talent in the receiving corps, but quarterback remains the big question on offense. Tarvaris Jackson impressed at times last season, but after he failed spectacularly during a loss to the Eagles in the Wild Card round, Minnesota traded for Sage Rosenfels, whoís the favorite to start Week 1. Rosenfels figures to be an upgrade, but heís turnover-prone and is hardly a Pro Bowler. Meanwhile, there remains the possibility that Brett Favre could be brought into the mix. Peterson is entering just his third year in the league and still has room to grow. He has fresh legs and plays for a team with a strong offensive line, solid defense and an improving passing attack. Petersonís lack of receiving ability limits his upside somewhat, but there isnít a bigger threat to rush for 2,000 yards in football, and itís safe to expect more than nine goal-line carries in 2009 and hence more touchdowns. Thereís still some risk for injury, but he made it through a 363-carry campaign last year relatively unscathed, and Minnesota will once again rely heavily on him in 2009.
Peterson took the league by storm in 2007, totaling more than 1,600 yards with 13 touchdowns in just 14 games. He finished second in the league with 1,341 rushing yards despite starting only nine contests, and his 5.6 YPC ranked only behind situational rusher Jerious Norwood among ballcarriers with more than 100 rushes. Of some concern is Peterson's feast-or-famine nature, as he went eight games with fewer than 80 yards rushing while averaging 159 rushing yards in the six others, including setting the single game NFL rushing record with 296 yards against the Chargers. Peterson's also in a great spot Ė the Vikings have quite possibly the league's best offensive line and improved their offense with the addition of Bernard Berrian at wide receiver. Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson is a question mark, as his subpar 9:12 TD:INT ratio often allows opposing defenses to focus on stopping the running game. For all his upside, however, Peterson's not without risk. Heís been injury-prone since college and suffered a torn LCL last year, which cost him two games and limited him the rest of the season Ė he averaged just 2.7 YPC over the final four contests while wearing a cumbersome knee brace. Itís also disconcerting Peterson received just six goal-line carries last season, but Chester Taylor only converted two of his nine rushes from in close and has a success rate of just 24 percent at the goal line over the past three years, so Peterson should see the majority of touches near paydirt. Additionally, Peterson's success rate on red-zone rushes (7-of-20) was easily the best in football. It also reveals massive touchdown potential, considering Peterson scored 13 times when given so few chances from in close. And for those worried about Peterson's health issues, having a clear-cut backup in Taylor can actually be a positive, as that situation is muddled in San Diego and Indianapolis.
Thereís no doubting Petersonís talent. He ran for 4,045 yards and 41 touchdowns in 31 games at Oklahoma and has the potential to be a franchise back with his combination of size, speed and strength. He ran the 40-yard dash in 4.37 seconds, yet is 6-2, 217, and doesnít shy away from contact. In fact, he invites it. Petersonís aggressiveness is often compared to Eric Dickersonís, but the upright style has also raised durability concerns. He dislocated his shoulder in 2004 (no games missed), suffered a high ankle sprain in 2005 (missed parts of three games) and endured a broken collarbone in 2006, forcing him out of action for the final seven weeks. He still finished with 1,012 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns last season, showing just how productive he can be when on the field. Peterson set an NCAA freshman single-season rushing record with 339 carries, suggesting these past couple of injuries might be flukes, and doctors elected to let his broken collarbone heal on its own rather than opting for an additional surgery. Peterson joins a fairly crowded backfield and could begin the year as Chester Taylorís backup. Merely an average running back (4.0 YPC), Taylor had 345 touches last season, but his backups averaged 5.0 behind a solid offensive line anchored by Steve Hutchinson, Matt Birk and Bryant McKinnie. As such, Peterson should be heavily involved from the start and will almost certainly take over the starting job at some point during the season.