Paul Goldschmidt
36-Year-Old
2023 Stats
AVG
.268
HR
25
RBI
80
R
89
SB
11
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Goldschmidt's 2023 season was well within his range of expected outcomes, but it felt like a major letdown on the heels of his NL MVP campaign. His home-run total fell by 10 while is OPS plummeted from .981 to .810. The Cardinals finished last in the NL Central and the team's overall struggles played a part in his middling run production. The underlying numbers suggest his skills are mostly intact; Goldy still ranked in the 93rd percentile in hard-hit rate and in the 89th percentile in xwOBA. He's at the age now (36) where a lot of first basemen begin to rapidly decline, but he has never been the typical first baseman. Goldschmidt remains efficient on the basepaths as evidenced by his 11 steals in 13 attempts last season. After a spring in which he was overdrafted, Goldschmidt will likely go back to being undervalued in fantasy baseball as he's been for most of his career. Old and boring can win championships, and Goldschmidt is still a viable building block. Read Past Outlooks
Whiffing early in spring
Goldschmidt is 1-for-10 with five strikeouts and a walk over his first five Grapefruit League games.
ANALYSIS
Goldschmidt's strikeout rate ticked up to 23.5 percent last season -- it's been steadily going up since his career-low mark of 18.7 percent in 2020. By normal standards, Goldschmidt was fine with a .268/.363/.447 slash line over 154 games last season, but it was a vast drop compared to his MVP-level performance the year before. The 36-year-old first baseman isn't in danger over losing his spot in the lineup, but he may simply no longer be the ever-reliable hitter he once was. A better showing from the Cardinals' offense as a whole may be able to buoy Goldschmidt's numbers even if his best years are behind him.
Goldschmidt's strikeout rate ticked up to 23.5 percent last season -- it's been steadily going up since his career-low mark of 18.7 percent in 2020. By normal standards, Goldschmidt was fine with a .268/.363/.447 slash line over 154 games last season, but it was a vast drop compared to his MVP-level performance the year before. The 36-year-old first baseman isn't in danger over losing his spot in the lineup, but he may simply no longer be the ever-reliable hitter he once was. A better showing from the Cardinals' offense as a whole may be able to buoy Goldschmidt's numbers even if his best years are behind him.
Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
88
25
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
31
10
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2023
+3%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | 1.050 | 444 | 24 | 77 | .346 | ||||
Since 2021vs Right | .843 | 1570 | 67 | 217 | .277 | ||||
2023vs Left | .826 | 170 | 5 | 18 | .295 | ||||
2023vs Right | .804 | 516 | 20 | 62 | .259 | ||||
2022vs Left | 1.327 | 136 | 11 | 29 | .411 | ||||
2022vs Right | .893 | 513 | 24 | 86 | .294 | ||||
2021vs Left | 1.063 | 138 | 8 | 30 | .350 | ||||
2021vs Right | .832 | 541 | 23 | 69 | .279 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
+9%
OPS at Home
2023
+12%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | .929 | 994 | 49 | 155 | .302 | ||||
Since 2021Away | .850 | 1020 | 42 | 139 | .283 | ||||
2023Home | .857 | 350 | 13 | 43 | .278 | ||||
2023Away | .762 | 336 | 12 | 37 | .258 | ||||
2022Home | 1.092 | 319 | 22 | 67 | .347 | ||||
2022Away | .877 | 330 | 13 | 48 | .290 | ||||
2021Home | .848 | 325 | 14 | 45 | .286 | ||||
2021Away | .909 | 354 | 17 | 54 | .301 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Paul Goldschmidt compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.54BB Rate
12.7%K Rate
23.5%BABIP
.327ISO
.179AVG
.268OBP
.363SLG
.447OPS
.810wOBA
.355Exit Velocity
91.3 mphHard Hit Rate
38.2%Barrels/PA
7.6%Expected BA
.271Expected SLG
.491Sprint Speed
22.4 ft/secGround Ball %
41.1%Line Drive %
21.6%Fly Ball %
37.2%Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Goldschmidt's underlying metrics were actually better in 2021, but last season he teamed up with Lady Luck to take home the National League MVP. The only skill-based metric Goldschmidt improved from the prior campaign was a return to a double-digit walk rate. His HR/FB ticked up four points despite a slight drop in fly ball average exit velocity. His .368 BABIP was its highest since 2015, despite him having the third lowest average exit velocity over that span. His .261 xBA and .482 xSLG were both his second lowest since 2015. Despite all this, everything came together, and Goldschmidt posted a 177 wRC+, the best of his career. The take-home message is expect regression, likely to a level lower than his 2021 season. Goldschmidt is still a solid fantasy producer with a high batting-average floor and plus power along with a handful of steals; just don't pay for his magical 2022 season.
More Fantasy News
On bench for season finale
Goldschmidt is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Reds, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to lineup
Goldschmidt (back) is starting at first base and batting second Friday against the Reds, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out with back tightness
Manager Oliver Marmol said Goldschmidt is out of the lineup Thursday at Milwaukee due to back tightness, Bally Sports Midwest reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting again Thursday
Goldschmidt remains out of the lineup Thursday at Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Wednesday's lineup
Goldschmidt is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game at Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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