Lucas Giolito
29-Year-Old
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2023 Stats
W-L
8-15
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.31
K
204
SV
0
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In 2022, Giolito registered a 4.90 ERA but a 3.66 xFIP and 3.79 SIERA portended a rebound last season. Things did not turn out as hoped for as Giolito recorded a 4.88 ERA pitching for three different teams. This time, the bloated ERA was mostly supported by its estimators as the righty's control and command suffered all season. Fanning 204 in 184.1 innings was solid, but a 9.2 percent walk rate and 41 homers surrendered were major reasons the White Sox and Angels gave up on Giolito before the pitching desperate Guardians picked him up to absorb innings down the stretch. Giolito's velocity and pitch mix was in sync with recent seasons, and after signing a two-year deal (with an opt-out after the first year) with Boston, there's hope that new pitching coach Andrew Bailey can help Giolito maximize a sweeper and return to the form he showed in the first half last year with Chicago (3.45 ERA). Giolito misses bats and hasn't missed more than a start or two every season since 2018, although he'll now be pitching in his most hitter-friendly home park to date. Read Past Outlooks
Undergoes internal brace procedure
Giolito underwent an internal brace procedure Tuesday to repair the UCL in his right elbow, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
On a positive note, Giolito was able to avoid what would have been the second Tommy John surgery of his career. He'll still miss the entirety of the 2024 campaign while he recovers from the internal brace procedure, but he could have a shot to be ready for the start of the 2025 season. Giolito holds a $19 million player option for 2025, which he'll almost certainly exercise shortly after the 2024 season ends.
On a positive note, Giolito was able to avoid what would have been the second Tommy John surgery of his career. He'll still miss the entirety of the 2024 campaign while he recovers from the internal brace procedure, but he could have a shot to be ready for the start of the 2025 season. Giolito holds a $19 million player option for 2025, which he'll almost certainly exercise shortly after the 2024 season ends.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
99
Last 5 Games
100
How many pitches does Lucas Giolito generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Lucas Giolito generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-9%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .221 | 270 | 94 | 189 | 33 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .259 | 312 | 92 | 296 | 59 | |||
2023vs Left | .226 | 86 | 38 | 63 | 17 | |||
2023vs Right | .249 | 118 | 35 | 106 | 24 | |||
2022vs Left | .217 | 87 | 27 | 57 | 7 | |||
2022vs Right | .312 | 90 | 34 | 114 | 17 | |||
2021vs Left | .221 | 97 | 29 | 69 | 9 | |||
2021vs Right | .217 | 104 | 23 | 76 | 18 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
Even Split
2023
-41%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 4.42 | 1.19 | 252.1 | 10.0 | 2.8 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 4.43 | 1.36 | 272.1 | 10.0 | 3.5 | ||||
2023Home | 3.58 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 10.0 | 2.9 | ||||
2023Away | 6.07 | 1.57 | 96.1 | 9.9 | 4.2 | ||||
2022Home | 6.08 | 1.48 | 77.0 | 9.8 | 2.8 | ||||
2022Away | 3.83 | 1.39 | 84.2 | 9.9 | 3.9 | ||||
2021Home | 3.81 | 1.10 | 87.1 | 10.1 | 2.8 | ||||
2021Away | 3.25 | 1.11 | 91.1 | 10.1 | 2.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Lucas Giolito compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.79K/9
10.0BB/9
3.6HR/9
2.0Fastball
93.1 mphERA
4.88WHIP
1.31BABIP
.288GB/FB
0.87Left On Base
71.5%Exit Velocity
82.1 mphBarrels/BBE
6.1%Spin Rate
1942 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.3%Swinging Strike
12.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Lucas Giolito See More
Brad Johnson moves to pitching in the American League East, where in Baltimore, the Orioles signed pitching Ace Corbin Burnes to lead the team.
Todd Zola considers the impact of extra rest on starting pitchers and wonders if the Orioles will treat Corbin Burnes with the same care that the Brewers did.
Erik Halterman discusses trends from EARTH league drafts held throughout February, including a key takeaway that Corbin Carroll wasn't taken early in the first round.
It's still all Ronald Acuna at the top, but Julio Rodriguez has now claimed the second spot in the latest edition of the RotoWire Roundtable rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
The right-hander established himself as a reliable front-end starter with a 3.47 ERA from 2019 to 2021, but he cratered last season with an ERA that approached 5.00. Giolito lost a tick on his fastball and saw his strikeout rate drop over two percentage points to 25.2 percent, though his HR/9 improved slightly to 1.3. The White Sox's poor defense certainly did him no favors, which is reflected in his 3.66 xFIP. Still, the poor results can't be entirely blamed on the defense, as he also allowed a 39 percent hard-hit rate, which represents a full-season career high. Giolito will turn 29 years old in July and is entering his final season of arbitration eligibility, and he's a prime rebound candidate with every incentive to deliver in a contract year.
More Fantasy News
Slated for elbow surgery Tuesday
Giolito will undergo surgery Tuesday to repair UCL damage in his right elbow, Sean McAdam of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will get second opinion Monday
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said that Giolito will receive a second opinion on his injured right elbow Monday, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Initial tests show partial UCL tear
Initial imaging on Giolito's right elbow showed a partial UCL tear and flexor strain, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Bound for IL with elbow injury
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Tuesday that Giolito felt right elbow soreness after his last Grapefruit League appearance and is not expected to be ready Opening Day, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Trouble arises in third inning
Giolito allowed four runs on two hits and three walks while striking out one over 2.1 innings in Friday's spring start against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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