MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Chris SaleAlex CobbOrioles106103114101121948.52951:05 PM
    Martin PerezCC SabathiaYankees1039514299123929.5-2351:05 PM
    Tyler GlasnowMarcus StromanBlue Jays9910298101101978.0-1351:07 PM
    Zack GodleyLuis CastilloReds10410011998
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Chris SaleAlex CobbOrioles106103114101121948.52951:05 PM
    Martin PerezCC SabathiaYankees1039514299123929.5-2351:05 PM
    Tyler GlasnowMarcus StromanBlue Jays9910298101101978.0-1351:07 PM
    Zack GodleyLuis CastilloReds104100119981081069.01001:10 PM
    Kohl StewartMatt BoydTigers103981041031011049.0-1201:10 PM
    Noah SyndergaardWei-Yin ChenMarlins84938691831037.01401:10 PM
    Chase AndersonSean NewcombBraves1021061169881988.5-1201:35 PM
    Carlos CarrascoDylan CoveyWhite Sox9590122991101069.02202:10 PM
    Erasmo RamirezDallas KeuchelAstros8393109941091012:10 PM
    Luke WeaverJakob JunisRoyals1031028510276949.01402:15 PM
    Rich HillChad BettisRockies138121117116118873:10 PM
    Jake ArrietaJoey LucchesiPadres92978597971037.5-1053:40 PM
    Joe MusgroveDereck RodriguezGiants90975310074998.0-1154:05 PM
    Trevor CahillTaylor ColeAngels919691961021098.51004:07 PM
    Max ScherzerCole HamelsCubs989988981141008:08 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Chase Anderson (R)at ATL266.721.68.213.31.253.241.13$6,900$7,4009620.7
    Jake Arrieta (R)at SD 295.720.77.713.01.033.351.21$8,400$8,1008724.7
    Chad Bettis (R)v LAD146.316.18.18.11.545.471.41$4,500$5,50011822.3
    Matt Boyd (L)v MIN257.719.88.311.51.124.821.37$6,800$7,4008125.1
    Trevor Cahill (R)at LAA159.023.910.013.91.254.081.36$8,000$7,90012219.6
    Carlos Carrasco (R)at CWS329.328.15.522.61.013.441.12$11,100$10,5009526.0
    Luis Castillo (R)v ARI210.324.18.116.01.334.151.22$7,600$6,8009322.6
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)v NYM121.717.58.78.81.265.031.32$5,500$6,0007726.9
    Alex Cobb (R)v BOS296.016.35.910.41.224.411.33$4,200$6,70012017.9
    Taylor Cole (R)v OAK18.029.08.720.30.503.501.11$4,000$5,50011121.4
    Dylan Covey (R)v CLE149.014.510.24.31.696.581.60$4,700$5,50011019.1
    Tyler Glasnow (R)at TOR125.024.813.811.01.445.901.69$8,300$5,90010322.7
    Zack Godley (R)at CIN285.325.19.415.70.853.821.28$8,700$8,80010220.1
    Cole Hamels (L)v WAS273.319.88.411.31.354.281.27$8,50010621.9
    Rich Hill (L)at COL215.328.28.819.41.253.431.17$7,200$9,80010421.5
    Jakob Junis (R)v STL219.320.46.513.91.684.681.32$6,000$6,5009621.6
    Dallas Keuchel (L)v SEA293.719.47.112.30.893.221.18$8,200$9,30010519.2
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v PHI82.724.98.016.91.523.701.26$6,600$7,3008921.6
    Joe Musgrove (R)at SF 183.319.86.113.81.184.221.28$7,900$6,60010022.5
    Sean Newcomb (L)v MIL225.723.112.011.10.923.671.36$9,400$7,6009617.5
    Martin Perez (L)at NYY237.713.98.15.81.295.111.62$4,600$5,80012822.5
    Erasmo Ramirez (R)at HOU141.019.75.514.21.854.791.20$4,500$6,10010720.0
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v PIT73.020.66.114.50.492.341.05$9,200$9,20010019.1
    CC Sabathia (L)v TEX262.019.67.911.71.273.611.29$7,700$7,60010623.1
    Chris Sale (L)at BAL355.336.85.431.30.862.560.93$12,500$12,8007323.8
    Max Scherzer (R)at CHC362.334.36.727.60.972.410.90$11,90010720.4
    Kohl Stewart (R)at DET0.00.00.00.000.000.00$5,000$5,5007422.8
    Marcus Stroman (R)v TB 292.719.27.711.50.893.751.35$7,000$7,60010122.6
    Noah Syndergaard (R)at MIA118.325.74.021.70.463.121.17$10,700$9,3008322.4
    Luke Weaver (R)at KC 182.023.57.715.81.144.401.35$7,100$7,0008121.6

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Chase Anderson (R)at ATL21.19.311.81.150.28619.97.312.51.610.342
    Jake Arrieta (R)at SD 22.611.411.21.040.31521.46.015.50.810.261
    Chad Bettis (R)v LAD17.98.59.40.880.31015.46.88.61.650.367
    Matt Boyd (L)v MIN20.16.913.10.780.29419.88.211.61.350.333
    Trevor Cahill (R)at LAA23.012.310.70.900.30824.39.414.81.370.317
    Carlos Carrasco (R)at CWS27.06.720.41.360.31227.24.622.70.880.285
    Luis Castillo (R)v ARI22.48.813.61.570.33925.87.518.31.120.283
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)v NYM22.53.519.00.740.28117.47.410.01.600.339
    Alex Cobb (R)v BOS18.28.39.91.250.34114.64.110.61.290.329
    Taylor Cole (R)v OAK27.010.816.20.000.21031.36.325.01.230.374
    Dylan Covey (R)v CLE17.010.36.71.610.35812.010.11.81.780.373
    Tyler Glasnow (R)at TOR22.816.46.41.520.39326.110.915.21.190.333
    Zack Godley (R)at CIN22.710.512.10.850.32324.37.516.81.130.306
    Cole Hamels (L)v WAS18.89.19.70.690.26822.08.613.41.360.326
    Rich Hill (L)at COL20.710.99.90.640.29730.97.723.21.020.272
    Jakob Junis (R)v STL18.47.610.81.520.34922.45.416.91.830.330
    Dallas Keuchel (L)v SEA24.64.320.30.710.25418.67.710.91.020.308
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v PHI24.79.115.60.000.28825.07.717.31.920.329
    Joe Musgrove (R)at SF 21.26.814.41.040.32919.45.513.91.350.317
    Sean Newcomb (L)v MIL26.010.115.91.170.31922.212.59.70.840.303
    Martin Perez (L)at NYY19.47.112.30.510.27911.68.82.81.220.362
    Erasmo Ramirez (R)at HOU17.78.29.52.330.37519.04.514.51.260.293
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v PIT17.05.211.90.550.30923.66.816.80.450.256
    CC Sabathia (L)v TEX22.710.512.20.980.30219.07.611.41.250.317
    Chris Sale (L)at BAL33.23.329.90.760.23232.35.626.70.980.270
    Max Scherzer (R)at CHC27.68.519.21.270.29839.34.335.10.870.210
    Kohl Stewart (R)at DET0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Marcus Stroman (R)v TB 18.28.110.10.680.30920.36.214.11.120.317
    Noah Syndergaard (R)at MIA27.86.821.10.520.29527.93.524.30.490.267
    Luke Weaver (R)at KC 22.38.913.41.300.34825.76.419.31.180.311

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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