FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Value Plays

FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

Pitcher

Mike Leake, STL at CIN ($7,000): I liked Leake as a value play in his last start on the road in a hitter's environment, and he handled himself well enough to generate 36 fantasy points against the Brewers at Miller Park. He draws another tough assignment at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, and against a team that's been heating up. All the same, he gets the call based on a couple of factors. To begin with, the pitching pool bargain bin is replete with risk Tuesday. Second, the Reds can certainly be feast or famine with the bat, sporting a 22.8 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching along with a mediocre .237 team batting average and .303 wOBA. Finally, Leake has simply been very consistent, scoring between 30 and 48 fantasy points in each of his last five trips to the mound. There's still some risk here, but Leake looks like the best of a somewhat scary bunch in the mid-to-low tier of pitchers on this slate.

Catcher

Nick Hundley, COL at LOS ($2,300): Stephen Vogt ($3,100) is a nice option toward the higher end of our $3,500-and-under value scale, but Hundley gives you some nice upside with a significant savings. His price will undoubtedly be heading north soon, but with the veteran backstop just off the DL he can be had for near minimum. He's gone 4-for-11 since returning from injury, and faces 19-year-old Julio Urias, who's had a rough time adjusting to big league hitters over his first two starts. He's given up a .510 wOBA, 8.19 FIP, and 40.9 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters over a 29-batter sample, and Hundley owns a .335 wOBA and .227 ISO against lefty pitchers. Even in a non-Coors game, Hundley's price puts him squarely in consideration.

First Base

Tommy Joseph, PHI at CHC ($2,200): Joseph has scored between 15.7 and 21.7 fantasy points in his last three games, and is now hitting .311 and slugging .667 on the season. Somehow, he remains priced just $200 over the minimum, making him a highly appealing value option. He's enjoyed success against both handedness of pitcher this season, owning a .346 wOBA, .318 ISO, and 50 percent hard contact rate against righties, and while Kyle Hendricks has certainly been no picnic for right-handed hitters, all three homers he's given up this season have come from righty bats. This is another case where the price minimizes your risk while keeping open the possibility of some nice upside.

Adam Lind, SEA vs. CLE ($2,600): Lind presents another interesting option at first base, assuming he gets the call against right-handed Cody Anderson. The veteran slugger certainly has the BvP in his favor, as he's battered Anderson to the tune of a .667 average (4-for-6) with a homer and three RBI over his career. The Indians' starter also gives up a .410 wOBA to left-handed bats, and six of the 10 homers he's given up on the season have come from hitters of that handedness as well. Lind has five of his six homers on the season versus right-handed pitching, and although he's struggled a bit this year, he does own a .366 wOBA lifetime against righties.

Second Base

Jed Lowrie, OAK at MIL ($2,800): Lowrie provides you some value exposure against the Brewers' Zach Davies, who's in the midst of a difficult season despite a very impressive showing his last time out. The switch-hitting Lowrie owns a .337 wOBA against right-handed pitching, while Davies has given up a .377 wOBA, a 38.2 percent hard contact rate, and five of the seven homers he's yielded on the season to lefty bats.

Third Base

Hernan Perez, MIL vs. OAK ($2,300): On the other side of the A's-Brewers matchup is Perez, who's priced near minimum despite hitting .310 and having hit safely in 10 of his last 12 games. He draws rookie southpaw Sean Manaea, who's surrendered a .393 wOBA to right-handed hitters that rises to an unbelievable .741 when facing them on the road. He can't do much worse than offense-friendly Miller Park as a venue in that regard, where Perez owns a .369 wOBA and .292 ISO versus lefties.

Shortstop

Aledmys Diaz, STL at CIN ($3,300): Any time Reds starter John Lamb is on the hill, it's prudent to have some of the opposition's right-handed bats in your lineup. That puts the likes of Matt Holliday ($3,100) in play as well as the hot-hitting Diaz, who's tallied a .360 average (9-for-25) over his last five games. His greatest success during his remarkable rookie campaign has come against right-handers, but he hasn't been exactly shabby versus southpaws, posting a .327 wOBA and 30.4 percent hard contact rate. Meanwhile, Lamb has yielded a .376 wOBA, 40 percent hard contact rate and five of six homers on the season to right-handed bats.

Outfield

Lorenzo Cain, KC at BAL ($3,100): Cain brings a .471/.526/.647 line over 17 career at-bats versus Orioles starter Ubaldo Jimenez, along with a homer and five RBI. Jimenez has been generous to both handedness of hitters, and has yielded a .350 wOBA and 30 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters. While he's been quiet over the last several games, there's no questioning Cain's upside, particularly for GPPs. He's scored over 30 fantasy points twice over the last 10 games, along with double-digit totals in another two contests during that span.

Michael Conforto, NYM at PIT ($3,100): Conforto has endured his share of struggles recently, pushing him off the radar fantasy-wise for some. However, his bat always carries of plenty of potential, and he's still sporting a .393 wOBA and 49 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching. Juan Nicasio has been extremely generous to left-handed bats as well, yielding a .409 wOBA, a 5.70 FIP, and six of his eight homers on the season to that handedness.

Brandon Drury, ARI vs. TAM ($2,300): Drury is yet another option whose price defies explanation, and therefore merits serious consideration if you need flexibility elsewhere on your roster. Not only does the D-backs' outfielder offer plenty of upside, he also draws a highly appealing matchup in the form of struggling southpaw Matt Moore. Drury has posted a .323 wOBA and 36.7 percent hard contact rate against left-handed pitching this season, while Moore's season-long difficulties include a .360 wOBA and 36.7 percent hard contact rate given up to right-handed hitters, with those figures climbing to .425 and 39.6 percent when facing that handedness on the road.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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