FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHER

Yu Darvish, TEX vs. LAA ($23,200): Darvish is averaging nearly a strikeout per inning and has already eclipsed 30 fantasy points twice in his five starts. His best outing has come against this same Angels squad, when he racked up 35.55 fantasy points thanks to 10 strikeouts over seven scoreless innings. The setting this time around is hitter-friendly Globe Life Park, but Darvish has surrendered just a .283 wOBA and .183 BAA over 20.1 home innings, while the Angels have generated a paltry .290 wOBA and struck out 20.9 percent of the time against right-handed pitching.

Brandon McCarthy, LAD vs. PHI ($17,400): McCarthy has scored no fewer than 18.45 fantasy points and as many as 24.15 in his four starts, and he's racked up 12 strikeouts over 11 innings in two home starts. The Phillies also strike out at the seventh-highest rate in baseball against righties (24.1 percent) and have the ninth-lowest hard contact rate versus that handedness (29.5 percent).

INFIELD

Freddie Freeman, ATL at MIL ($9,900): Freeman hit another home run Friday, and he's now scored double-digit fantasy points in seven of his last nine games. He boasts a .344 average, six homers and .495 wOBA against right-handed pitching, along with impressive 26.5 percent and 38.8 percent line drive and hard contact rates, respectively. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson has given up a .332 wOBA, 5.15 xFIP and 42.5 percent hard contact rate to the 57 lefty bats he's faced this season, along with a bloated 48.7 percent fly-ball rate that makes him a particularly inviting target for Freeman, who has a 33.3 percent HR/FB rate over 76 plate appearances against right-handed pitching this year.

Wil Myers, SD at SF ($8,400): Myers boasts a .372 wOBA and .269 ISO against right-handed pitching, with those figures rising to .383 and .333 in his 53 plate appearances against that handedness on the road, respectively. He's also sporting an impressive 32.1 percent line drive rate and 42.9 percent hard contact rate versus righties, while Giants starter Matt Cain could soon be due for a regression against righty bats, considering he's giving up 34.2 percent hard contact to that handedness along with an unsustainable .114 BABIP.

Justin Turner, LAD vs. PHI ($7,500): Phillies starter Zach Eflin has allowed a .339 wOBA and 7.69 xFIP to right-handed hitters over a small sample, while Turner has a .412 average, .428 wOBA and 31.8 percent hard contact rate in 55 plate appearances versus lefties. He also boasts a 14-game hitting streak and will face a generous Phillies bullpen once Eflin exits, as Philadelphia relievers have yielded a .372 wOBA and 10 homers to right-handed hitters.

OUTFIELD

Ryan Braun, MIL vs. ATL ($10,400): Braun boasts a .400 batting average, .495 wOBA, 38.9 percent line drive rate and 55.6 percent hard contact rate against southpaws in 24 plate appearances this season, an extension of the career success he's enjoyed versus lefties. Braves starter Jaime Garcia has yielded a .358 wOBA and all four of the homers to right-handed hitters, along with 25.9 percent line drive rate and 36.2 percent hard contact. The Braves bullpen is actually worse, yielding a .363 wOBA and eight homers to righty bats.

Lorenzo Cain, KC vs. MIN ($7,800): Twins starter Phil Hughes was impressive in his last start but is still surrendering a .363 wOBA and 48.5 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters on the road. Cain sports a .310 average and .335 wOBA versus righties, and a .424 average and .477 wOBA when facing that handedness at Kauffman Stadium. Minnesota relievers have also yielded a 25.2 percent line drive rate and 34.7 percent hard contact to righty bats, giving Cain some additional opportunities when Hughes exits.

Josh Reddick, HOU vs. OAK ($6,800): Reddick continues to be one of the hotter hitters that no one is really talking up, particularly against right-handed pitching. He sports a .315 average, .357 wOBA, 29.8 percent line drive rate and 31.9 percent hard contact against righty arms, including a .480 average, .548 wOBA and 35.0 percent line drive versus that handedness at Minute Maid Park.

UTILITY

Carlos Gonzalez, COL at ARI ($9,300): Gonzalez doesn't need to be avoided despite the matchup against Zack Greinke, considering he's hit .382 with four homers over 36 career plate appearances against the D-Backs starter. He's admittedly struggled in the early going, but he has a .301 batting average, .389 wOBA and 35.7 percent hard contact rate versus righties in his career, while Greinke has given up a 33.3 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters and the Arizona bullpen has yielded a 34.9 percent figure, ranking them fourth-worst versus lefty bats.

Yasmany Tomas, ARI vs. COL ($8,000): Rockies starter Tyler Anderson is yielding a .398 wOBA, 30.9 percent line drive rate and 35.1 percent hard contact to right-handed hitters and has actually been even worse away from Coors Field. Tomas hasn't gotten going against southpaws yet but it looks like just a matter of time, considering he's boasting a 31.3 percent line drive rate and 43.8 percent hard contact versus lefties, and the fact he has a .310 average, .387 wOBA, .254 ISO and 41.7 percent hard contact against them over his two-plus major-league seasons.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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