MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Vince VelasquezMarco EstradaBlue Jays9910298101101979.01051:07 PM
    Nathan EovaldiBlake SnellRays92959794901107.5-1251:10 PM
    Michael KopechJordan ZimmermannTigers103981041031011048.51001:10 PM
    Jefry RodriguezSteven MatzMets909310190
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Vince VelasquezMarco EstradaBlue Jays9910298101101979.01051:07 PM
    Nathan EovaldiBlake SnellRays92959794901107.5-1251:10 PM
    Michael KopechJordan ZimmermannTigers103981041031011048.51001:10 PM
    Jefry RodriguezSteven MatzMets909310190921069.0-1151:10 PM
    Kevin GausmanPablo LopezMarlins84938691831037.51551:10 PM
    Chris ArcherChase AndersonBrewers105103131961081038.5-1402:10 PM
    Chris BassittJose BerriosTwins10510395105113932:10 PM
    Shane BieberJorge LopezRoyals1031028510276949.51902:15 PM
    Homer BaileyKyle HendricksCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Austin GomberTyler AndersonRockies1381211171161188711.0-1503:10 PM
    Yovani GallardoDerek HollandGiants90975310074998.5-1654:05 PM
    Framber ValdezFelix PenaAngels919691961021099.01254:07 PM
    Mike LeakeZack GreinkeDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.0-1904:10 PM
    Robbie ErlinHyun-Jin RyuDodgers909511396901038.0-2554:10 PM
    Luis SeverinoDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121949.02308:08 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Chase Anderson (R)v PIT276.721.78.113.61.303.321.12$7,700$7,2009819.3
    Tyler Anderson (L)v STL233.722.57.914.61.624.581.28$6,900$6,80010621.4
    Chris Archer (R)at MIL315.327.47.320.11.144.201.32$8,200$7,8009822.8
    Homer Bailey (R)at CHC182.315.68.67.01.536.321.66$4,500$5,80010520.2
    Chris Bassitt (R)at MIN32.017.78.59.20.563.381.31$5,300$6,7009621.5
    Jose Berrios (R)v OAK304.323.67.416.21.043.791.18$8,400$9,00010921.4
    Shane Bieber (R)at KC 74.324.04.719.20.854.361.36$8,600$7,9008421.6
    Dylan Bundy (R)v NYY305.322.77.115.51.744.721.28$6,20011221.8
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)at TB 85.020.13.516.61.383.811.11$7,800$7,30010022.6
    Robbie Erlin (L)at LAD80.720.82.618.30.893.461.02$5,500$6,1009920.9
    Marco Estrada (R)v PHI304.020.28.212.01.544.941.35$6,000$7,10010323.8
    Yovani Gallardo (R)at SF 193.015.610.65.01.545.831.53$5,300$6,0009422.7
    Kevin Gausman (R)at MIA337.720.67.513.11.364.371.41$8,100$8,4008322.0
    Austin Gomber (L)at COL42.319.812.67.10.642.981.35$5,500$6,00010921.3
    Zack Greinke (R)v SEA364.326.25.320.91.193.141.06$10,300$10,20010619.8
    Kyle Hendricks (R)v CIN291.320.76.414.31.143.551.22$8,000$8,10010220.4
    Derek Holland (L)v TEX269.320.210.49.81.574.981.50$8,000$7,60010123.0
    Michael Kopech (R)at DET2.040.00.040.00.000.001.50$9,800$6,4007822.4
    Mike Leake (R)at ARI340.715.94.811.11.003.911.27$7,500$7,7009422.7
    Jorge Lopez (R)v CLE31.315.013.61.40.574.021.66$5,000$5,50010918.8
    Pablo Lopez (R)v ATL53.019.15.913.21.364.421.19$6,200$6,6009820.3
    Steven Matz (L)v WAS181.319.37.811.51.595.111.41$6,400$6,50010523.1
    Felix Pena (R)v HOU90.024.210.413.91.604.801.43$7,300$6,70010719.6
    Jefry Rodriguez (R)at NYM29.717.612.25.31.525.461.52$5,900$5,6009822.5
    Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)v SD 166.323.38.115.31.413.411.24$9,200$8,1009423.5
    Luis Severino (R)at BAL352.728.86.322.50.973.111.09$10,0008925.3
    Blake Snell (L)v BOS268.325.610.115.50.973.021.16$10,700$9,6009521.9
    Framber Valdez (L)at LAA4.321.15.315.80.000.000.69$5,900$5,5008919.4
    Vince Velasquez (R)at TOR196.024.410.014.41.294.451.35$7,900$6,30010322.5
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)v CWS254.716.75.511.21.635.371.45$7,400$7,4009726.1

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Chase Anderson (R)v PIT21.29.112.01.130.28719.97.512.41.650.344
    Tyler Anderson (L)v STL22.46.915.41.220.31521.77.514.21.420.328
    Chris Archer (R)at MIL27.38.518.71.330.32127.76.621.11.140.303
    Homer Bailey (R)at CHC15.510.45.11.410.37117.56.510.91.390.376
    Chris Bassitt (R)at MIN18.38.79.50.610.26616.910.16.81.480.376
    Jose Berrios (R)v OAK22.010.811.21.240.32723.05.817.31.080.308
    Shane Bieber (R)at KC 25.58.117.41.290.40122.61.521.10.550.281
    Dylan Bundy (R)v NYY18.27.710.51.490.34726.97.719.21.750.313
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)at TB 19.58.511.01.680.34819.54.015.51.430.286
    Robbie Erlin (L)at LAD23.64.718.91.000.30219.32.516.80.980.277
    Marco Estrada (R)v PHI21.37.613.71.260.28521.19.211.91.540.343
    Yovani Gallardo (R)at SF 17.113.43.71.310.34114.38.95.41.570.363
    Kevin Gausman (R)at MIA21.88.713.11.270.32321.35.715.51.490.345
    Austin Gomber (L)at COL19.48.111.30.600.32820.814.66.30.810.292
    Zack Greinke (R)v SEA23.55.418.11.080.29324.95.819.21.350.296
    Kyle Hendricks (R)v CIN23.27.315.91.070.29420.55.415.10.920.275
    Derek Holland (L)v TEX15.87.97.90.660.26619.210.19.11.740.370
    Michael Kopech (R)at DET0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Mike Leake (R)at ARI13.75.28.51.030.32418.33.814.40.990.317
    Jorge Lopez (R)v CLE13.316.7-3.31.260.30816.910.26.80.000.384
    Pablo Lopez (R)v ATL21.14.216.80.750.29918.28.110.12.350.341
    Steven Matz (L)v WAS17.17.79.40.510.32122.16.715.51.550.331
    Felix Pena (R)v HOU19.615.34.21.320.35127.86.021.81.730.310
    Jefry Rodriguez (R)at NYM6.711.7-5.02.080.43026.812.714.11.080.305
    Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)v SD 18.38.99.42.010.38024.87.916.91.210.298
    Luis Severino (R)at BAL27.77.720.00.990.30027.25.721.51.080.281
    Blake Snell (L)v BOS27.510.517.00.130.23224.311.013.31.020.309
    Framber Valdez (L)at LAA0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Vince Velasquez (R)at TOR24.610.514.11.480.34726.98.218.71.260.311
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)v CWS16.95.911.11.440.34315.25.39.91.560.365

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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