FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHERS:

Zack Greinke, ARI vs. CWS ($23,400):- Greinke has scored no less than 20.10 fantasy points and as many as 40.80 in each of his last six starts, and boasts a perfect 4-0 record, .267 wOBA and .199 BAA at Chase Field. Greinke has also yielded a .227 wOBA over three May starts. Meanwhile, although the White Sox offense heated up against the Mariners this past weekend, they still sport a paltry .297 wOBA and a bloated 22.4 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching, including a .295 wOBA on the road.

Jake Odorizzi, TB vs. LAA ($16,000):- Odorizzi has been steady over his last four starts, scoring between 14.70 and 27.95 fantasy points during that stretch. He's also scored 19.10 fantasy in another start this season and has generated a 2.88 ERA, .275 wOBA and .178 BAA in 25 home innings. The Angels check in as one of the most punchless offenses against right-handed pitching on the road, sporting an AL-low .275 wOBA and 23.1 percent strikeout rate versus that handedness.

INFIELD

Kris Bryant, CHC vs. SF ($9,900):- After a two-homer day Sunday, Bryant boasts a .473 wOBA, .379 ISO and six homers in 15 May games, and has blasted left-handed pitching for a .583 wOBA and 45.5 percent hard contact rate this season. Giants southpaw Ty Blach has given up a .659 wOBA and 8.28 xFIP to right-handed hitters on the road over a 26-batter sample, while San Francisco relievers have surrendered a 4.66 ERA and 22 extra-base hits (17 doubles, one triple, four homers) to righty bats.

Trey Mancini, BAL vs. MIN ($7,200):- The right-handed heavy Orioles lineup in a good spot against Twins starter Kyle Gibson, who's surrendered a .408 wOBA and 37.8 percent hard contact rate to righty bats, including 42.9 percent on the road. Mancini provides you with some cost-effective exposure and has been red-hot, as he's sporting a .417 wOBA, 35.1 percent line drive rate and 37.8 percent hard contact rate over 14 May games. He's also posting a .422 wOBA against right-handed pitching that rises to .521 at Camden Yards. Additionally, Twins relievers has already given up 11 homers and a 36.0 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters, third-highest among AL bullpens.

Salvador Perez, KC at NYY ($6,400):- Perez blasted three homers in Sunday's double-header versus the Twins and owns a .391 average with a double, two home runs and five RBI over 24 career plate appearances against Yankees starter Michael Pineda. He's also been an excellent road hitter, posting a .422 wOBA, including a .513 wOBA against right-handed pitching away from Kaufmann Stadium. He's made hard contact against righty arms at a 43.5 percent clip overall, and he boasts a .376 wOBA and 51.8 percent hard contact rate over his last 19 games.

OUTFIELD

Charlie Blackmon, COL at PHI ($10,400):-Phillies starter Jared Eickhoff has been hit hard by lefty bats this season, surrendering a .359 wOBA (including .374 at home) six homers, 5.04 xFIP and 32.1 percent hard contact rate. Blackmon owns a .410 wOBA and 39.1 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching, and a .410 wOBA in 18 May contests. He's tallied double-digit fantasy points in six of his last eight games as well, while the Phillies bullpen has given up a .331 wOBA and 11 homers to left-handed hitters.

Corey Dickerson, TB vs. LAA ($9,300):- Dickerson has been of baseball's hottest hitters in May, as evidenced by his .438 wOBA, 186 wRC+ and 40.0 percent hard contact rate during the month. He's also blasted right-handed pitching for a .429 wOBA, 10 homers and a 42.9 percent hard contact rate overall, while Angels starter JC Ramirez has surrendered a .382 wOBA, 27.3 percent line drive rate and 30.4 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters on the road. The Angels bullpen is also tied for fourth in the AL with nine homers already surrendered to lefty bats.

Adam Frazier, PIT at ATL ($7,200):- Frazier has been one of baseball's better kept secrets, and he's boasting a .438 wOBA over nine May games. He's also racked up a .371 wOBA, 23.7 percent line drive rate and 30.5 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching, while Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz has been touched by lefty bats for a .350 wOBA (including .422 at home), along with a 25.0 percent line drive rate and 37.5 percent hard contact rate at home. While Frazier doesn't offer much power, he makes for an excellent cash game play in particular given his 87.0 percent contact rate.

UTILITY:

Jake Lamb, ARI vs. CWS ($10,800):- The red-hot Lamb sports a .439 wOBA, six homers and a 43.9 percent hard contact rate over 17 May contests and is blasting right-handed pitching for a .455 wOBA and 39.8 percent hard contact rate overall. White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez has given up a .392 wOBA, 5.17 xFIP and 28.3 percent line drive rate to lefty hitters on the road, and has a 6.23 ERA, .376 wOBA and 6.26 xFIP in three May starts.

Max Kepler, MIN at BAL ($7,800):- Orioles starter Ubaldo Jimenez has particularly struggled against left-handed bats, as he's surrendered a .443 wOBA, eight homers and 40.4 percent contact rate to that handedness, numbers that could be even worse considering he's been a bit on the lucky side with a .231 BABIP. Kepler has been coming on, boasting a .451 wOBA and 41.2 percent hard contact rate over his last four games. He's also generated a .390 wOBA, 22.7 percent line drive rate and 41.3 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching and has hit all four of his homers against that handedness as well.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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