Thursday NHL DFS Breakdown: Line Stacks & Strategy
Thursday NHL DFS Breakdown: Line Stacks & Strategy

This article is part of our DFS NHL Breakdown series.

Please see this previous article for the basic strategy write-up.

My rankings are determined by a Corsi-based Rating System that I created, the average Rating is about 49 per game. Like Corsi, this represents the total number of shot attempts per game either for or against, but it's also adjusted for shooting percentage and save percentage. Any shot attempt counts, whether it is on goal, off target or blocked, which is why the average hovers around 49, rather than the league average shots on goal (31.4). With the current rosters I have loaded, the Offense Rating (OR) range is a best of 58.5 (TOR) to a worst of 43.8 (NYR), and the Defense Rating (DR) range is a best of 42.7 (NSH) to a worst of 58.4 (OTT) – Ottawa is so bad, the next worst team is 51.7 (NJ). These numbers will change daily with line changes, injuries and player call-ups. I am hoping these values clearly show how good or bad a team ranks by equating it to shot attempts per game.

Slate Preview: Thursday, December 27, 2018

The Main Slate on Thursday features 13 games with all 26 teams well rested after the three-day holiday break. Only Columbus is on the front end of a back-to-back, so it's likely we'll see most of the top tier goalies starting Thursday.

The following chart will be included so I do not have to bog down the write-ups with too many Offensive and Defensive Ratings. Also shown are my projected

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Russ Prentice
Fantasy baseball, football, basketball, golf and hockey fanatic for 25 years. Awarded Hockey Writer of the Year by FSWA in 2018. Has played high-stakes games at NFBC/NFFC over 12 years, highlighted by a runner up finish in the 2012 NFFC Primetime event, multiple NFBC Main Event league championships, and a Top 10 finish in the NFBC RotoWire Online Championship. DFS player since 2013, focusing on NFL and NHL.
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