This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Nathan Eovaldi | J.A. Happ | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -135 | 1:05 PM |
| Aaron Sanchez | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 8.5 | -105 | 7:05 PM |
| Eric Skoglund | Jameson Taillon | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 7.5 | -200 | 7:05 PM |
| Steven Matz | Aaron Nola | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | ||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Nathan Eovaldi | J.A. Happ | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -135 | 1:05 PM |
| Aaron Sanchez | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 8.5 | -105 | 7:05 PM |
| Eric Skoglund | Jameson Taillon | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 7.5 | -200 | 7:05 PM |
| Steven Matz | Aaron Nola | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 7.0 | -185 | 7:05 PM |
| Carlos Rodon | Corey Kluber | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 8.0 | -260 | 7:10 PM |
| Jake Odorizzi | Daniel Norris | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 8.5 | -115 | 7:10 PM |
| Stephen Strasburg | Sandy Alcantara | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 7.5 | 170 | 7:10 PM |
| Austin Gomber | Anibal Sanchez | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 8.5 | -145 | 7:35 PM |
| Michael Lorenzen | Chase Anderson | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 9.0 | -195 | 7:40 PM |
| Blake Snell | Yovani Gallardo | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 9.5 | 185 | 8:05 PM |
| Mike Leake | Josh James | Astros | 83 | 93 | 109 | 94 | 109 | 101 | 8:10 PM | ||
| Mike Montgomery | Matt Andriese | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 9:40 PM | ||
| Tyler Skaggs | Liam Hendriks | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.5 | -150 | 10:05 PM |
| Derek Holland | Joey Lucchesi | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 7.0 | -140 | 10:10 PM |
| Kyle Freeland | Clayton Kershaw | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.0 | -225 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | v WAS | 27.3 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 0.99 | 2.30 | 1.21 | $6,200 | $7,200 | 102 | 19.8 |
| Chase Anderson (R) | v CIN | 295.7 | 21.4 | 8.0 | 13.4 | 1.31 | 3.32 | 1.13 | $6,600 | $7,100 | 100 | 21.0 |
| Matt Andriese (R) | v CHC | 161.7 | 21.6 | 7.3 | 14.2 | 1.61 | 4.62 | 1.35 | $5,000 | $5,500 | 102 | 21.0 |
| Dylan Bundy (R) | v TOR | 325.7 | 23.0 | 7.2 | 15.8 | 1.77 | 4.84 | 1.30 | $6,400 | $6,700 | 104 | 22.3 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at NYY | 98.0 | 20.2 | 4.4 | 15.8 | 1.29 | 4.22 | 1.18 | $6,400 | 108 | 22.1 | |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | at LAD | 338.7 | 18.4 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 0.90 | 3.48 | 1.34 | $9,500 | $8,800 | 104 | 21.6 |
| Yovani Gallardo (R) | v TB | 210.3 | 15.4 | 10.7 | 4.7 | 1.58 | 6.08 | 1.56 | $4,500 | $5,600 | 107 | 22.5 |
| Austin Gomber (L) | at ATL | 64.3 | 19.3 | 10.0 | 9.3 | 0.42 | 3.78 | 1.43 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 107 | 20.8 |
| J.A. Happ (L) | v BOS | 306.0 | 24.4 | 7.0 | 17.5 | 1.26 | 3.65 | 1.22 | $9,800 | 91 | 21.7 | |
| Liam Hendriks (R) | v LAA | 81.7 | 26.8 | 9.0 | 17.7 | 1.10 | 4.52 | 1.35 | $4,300 | $5,500 | 113 | 20.5 |
| Derek Holland (L) | at SD | 293.7 | 20.3 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 1.47 | 4.72 | 1.47 | $8,300 | $8,500 | 96 | 23.7 |
| Josh James (R) | v SEA | 10.7 | 40.5 | 9.5 | 31.0 | 1.69 | 4.22 | 0.94 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 102 | 20.0 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | v COL | 318.3 | 27.5 | 4.2 | 23.2 | 1.07 | 2.40 | 0.98 | $11,300 | $11,500 | 99 | 21.4 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | v CWS | 398.7 | 29.9 | 4.2 | 25.7 | 0.99 | 2.57 | 0.92 | $10,600 | $12,000 | 97 | 25.5 |
| Mike Leake (R) | at HOU | 364.0 | 16.0 | 4.6 | 11.3 | 1.04 | 3.96 | 1.28 | $7,200 | $7,600 | 105 | 19.0 |
| Michael Lorenzen (R) | at MIL | 150.3 | 19.9 | 9.7 | 10.2 | 0.84 | 3.89 | 1.36 | $6,900 | $5,500 | 103 | 23.6 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | v SF | 115.3 | 25.4 | 8.3 | 17.1 | 1.33 | 3.67 | 1.27 | $7,600 | $7,500 | 75 | 22.5 |
| Steven Matz (L) | at PHI | 206.7 | 20.6 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 1.57 | 4.79 | 1.33 | $8,300 | $8,100 | 86 | 23.3 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | at ARI | 242.3 | 17.1 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.67 | 3.60 | 1.28 | $5,300 | $6,000 | 95 | 22.2 |
| Aaron Nola (R) | v NYM | 361.7 | 26.6 | 6.9 | 19.7 | 0.82 | 2.94 | 1.08 | $10,900 | $10,700 | 97 | 22.2 |
| Daniel Norris (L) | v MIN | 131.0 | 20.4 | 9.5 | 11.0 | 1.24 | 5.50 | 1.56 | $5,400 | $6,200 | 85 | 23.2 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at DET | 298.3 | 22.0 | 9.8 | 12.2 | 1.51 | 4.28 | 1.28 | $8,000 | $6,500 | 80 | 23.1 |
| Carlos Rodon (L) | at CLE | 179.7 | 21.4 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 1.25 | 3.51 | 1.21 | $8,100 | $8,300 | 99 | 19.6 |
| Aaron Sanchez (R) | at BAL | 137.0 | 17.5 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 1.05 | 4.73 | 1.60 | $5,900 | $6,900 | 83 | 25.1 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | v STL | 225.0 | 22.9 | 7.0 | 15.9 | 1.56 | 4.60 | 1.34 | $7,900 | $8,200 | 98 | 21.9 |
| Tyler Skaggs (L) | at OAK | 201.7 | 23.2 | 7.3 | 15.9 | 1.12 | 4.11 | 1.34 | $7,100 | $7,900 | 106 | 22.6 |
| Eric Skoglund (L) | at PIT | 74.7 | 17.0 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 1.57 | 6.99 | 1.58 | $5,000 | $5,700 | 89 | 20.8 |
| Blake Snell (L) | at TEX | 293.3 | 26.5 | 9.7 | 16.8 | 0.95 | 2.91 | 1.14 | $12,100 | $11,700 | 94 | 22.6 |
| Stephen Strasburg (R) | at MIA | 289.3 | 28.7 | 6.6 | 22.1 | 0.87 | 3.05 | 1.08 | $10,200 | $11,000 | 80 | 22.8 |
| Jameson Taillon (R) | v KC | 304.7 | 21.7 | 6.8 | 14.9 | 0.86 | 3.84 | 1.32 | $9,200 | $9,400 | 93 | 21.6 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | v WAS | 15.5 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 0.00 | 0.224 | 27.8 | 18.5 | 9.3 | 2.25 | 0.365 |
| Chase Anderson (R) | v CIN | 21.4 | 8.8 | 12.6 | 1.20 | 0.286 | 19.6 | 7.5 | 12.1 | 1.64 | 0.343 |
| Matt Andriese (R) | v CHC | 20.1 | 6.8 | 13.3 | 1.13 | 0.285 | 22.0 | 5.7 | 16.3 | 1.69 | 0.354 |
| Dylan Bundy (R) | v TOR | 17.7 | 7.9 | 9.8 | 1.62 | 0.357 | 27.8 | 7.4 | 20.4 | 1.77 | 0.314 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at NYY | 18.5 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 1.68 | 0.355 | 19.9 | 3.9 | 16.0 | 1.34 | 0.291 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | at LAD | 28.0 | 7.1 | 20.8 | 0.68 | 0.271 | 15.7 | 9.3 | 6.4 | 0.97 | 0.328 |
| Yovani Gallardo (R) | v TB | 17.4 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 1.32 | 0.341 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.57 | 0.369 |
| Austin Gomber (L) | at ATL | 19.3 | 6.0 | 13.3 | 0.47 | 0.335 | 19.3 | 11.7 | 7.6 | 0.40 | 0.317 |
| J.A. Happ (L) | v BOS | 20.9 | 6.3 | 14.6 | 0.70 | 0.250 | 23.4 | 7.4 | 16.0 | 1.29 | 0.308 |
| Liam Hendriks (R) | v LAA | 29.0 | 8.3 | 20.7 | 1.07 | 0.278 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 18.0 | 0.94 | 0.319 |
| Derek Holland (L) | at SD | 15.7 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 0.60 | 0.268 | 19.6 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 1.65 | 0.362 |
| Josh James (R) | v SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | v COL | 29.5 | 2.5 | 27.0 | 1.02 | 0.245 | 28.5 | 3.9 | 24.6 | 0.85 | 0.245 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | v CWS | 27.5 | 6.0 | 21.5 | 1.03 | 0.274 | 29.7 | 4.3 | 25.4 | 0.91 | 0.251 |
| Mike Leake (R) | at HOU | 13.6 | 5.0 | 8.6 | 0.99 | 0.320 | 18.5 | 3.9 | 14.6 | 1.07 | 0.322 |
| Michael Lorenzen (R) | at MIL | 19.0 | 11.7 | 7.4 | 1.00 | 0.315 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 15.8 | 0.74 | 0.285 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | v SF | 27.5 | 7.3 | 20.2 | 0.36 | 0.286 | 24.8 | 8.5 | 16.3 | 1.60 | 0.331 |
| Steven Matz (L) | at PHI | 17.6 | 7.7 | 9.9 | 0.48 | 0.312 | 23.0 | 6.6 | 16.3 | 1.57 | 0.325 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | at ARI | 19.8 | 8.6 | 11.2 | 0.60 | 0.275 | 18.0 | 9.3 | 8.8 | 0.72 | 0.300 |
| Aaron Nola (R) | v NYM | 24.5 | 8.9 | 15.6 | 0.92 | 0.289 | 27.8 | 4.6 | 23.2 | 0.73 | 0.273 |
| Daniel Norris (L) | v MIN | 25.3 | 9.7 | 15.7 | 1.65 | 0.344 | 20.2 | 8.4 | 11.8 | 1.13 | 0.344 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at DET | 22.8 | 8.1 | 14.7 | 1.32 | 0.290 | 21.0 | 9.2 | 11.8 | 1.58 | 0.331 |
| Carlos Rodon (L) | at CLE | 25.1 | 8.1 | 16.9 | 1.02 | 0.290 | 21.7 | 9.3 | 12.4 | 1.31 | 0.321 |
| Aaron Sanchez (R) | at BAL | 19.6 | 12.9 | 6.8 | 0.98 | 0.321 | 18.6 | 6.7 | 11.9 | 0.73 | 0.291 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | v STL | 23.1 | 9.0 | 14.1 | 1.27 | 0.319 | 20.4 | 5.8 | 14.7 | 2.02 | 0.363 |
| Tyler Skaggs (L) | at OAK | 22.8 | 5.2 | 17.6 | 0.73 | 0.308 | 23.2 | 8.8 | 14.4 | 1.19 | 0.332 |
| Eric Skoglund (L) | at PIT | 15.8 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 3.00 | 0.382 | 17.2 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 1.29 | 0.385 |
| Blake Snell (L) | at TEX | 28.8 | 9.9 | 18.8 | 0.24 | 0.237 | 25.4 | 10.6 | 14.8 | 0.99 | 0.303 |
| Stephen Strasburg (R) | at MIA | 28.2 | 8.2 | 20.0 | 0.95 | 0.276 | 30.5 | 5.5 | 25.0 | 0.83 | 0.276 |
| Jameson Taillon (R) | v KC | 17.4 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 0.89 | 0.334 | 25.3 | 4.1 | 21.3 | 0.95 | 0.291 |
