Backing the Blue Jays

Record 28-31

Bank Account +492

Diamonbacks vs Giants – Ryan Vogelsong (3-2 , 2.50 ERA) hopes to improve his career mark to 5-0 vs the Diamondbacks today. Vogelsong is 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA in his last four starts which does not bold well vs the Diamondbacks who have night phobia with a 12-20 mark with the lights on. Joe Saunders and his wounded pride takes the mound for the Diamonbacks. Saunders was pounded for six runs in five innings on May 13th the last time he faced the Giants. Saunders is in fact is 0-4 with a 5.23 ERA in five starts vs the Giants. However, it should be noted Saunders is much better on the road this year. Regardless, I’ll the Giants.

TV’s Take: Giants -120/Bet $120 to win $100

Royals at Indians – Here is the rule folks. When Justin Masterson is at home take him as he outdueled Justin Verlander last time out and when he is on the road avoid him and consider the Over. Masterson had a 2.84 ERA vs the Royals last season at home in five starts. Masterson’s weakness is he simply walks a ton of batters. Good news the Royals are second too last in baseball taking the free pass. Will Smith takes the mound for the Royals in his second start. The kid had the pleasure of making his debut in Yankee Stadium and as expected the Yankees pounded him in the 3 1/3 innings he lasted. Masterson is holding batters to a .240 average at home as well. I am taking both the Money Line and Run Line as the Run Line +145 is too good. By the way it has to get old having the name Will Smith doesn’t it? Reminds me of the Michael Jordan commercial which is awesome.

TV’s Take: Indians -150/Bet $150 to win $100 and Bet $100 -1.5 to win $145

Orioles at Blue Jays – It is time for Ricky Romero to show he is the man we all know he is! Romero is 5-1 with a 3.86 ERA which is solid, but those of you who have Romero in roto may know his WHIP is the issue as evidenced by his last outing in which he walked seven batters! Romero beat the Orioles on April 7th in which he did not allow a walk in a 6-1 victory. The AL East leading Orioles (makes me puke as a Yanks fan) send Jake Arrieta to the hill along with his 0-3, 7.15 ERA in his last four starts. I love the Blue Jays in this one as Arrieta is simply ice cold and Romero seems like money each time out.

TV’s Take: Blue Jays -130/Bet $260 to win $200.

White Sox at Rays – I hate to go against the hot White Sox who have been good to me for or against this year, but I simply can’t shake what I saw of Philip Humber vs the Twins last time out. As you may recall I bet big on the White Sox and they came through only because Humber was pulled and the Twins stink. Regardless, I was telling my brother I have never seen a pitcher so wild who somehow threw a perfect game. It just doesn’t make sense. Humber gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 vs the Twins. Yes, the Twins. We all know his overall numbers stink as well at 1-2 with a 5.80 ERA which includes the perfect game! James Shields is a pitcher I have called overrated for years and I think for the most part in big games this is not a guy I want on the hill. Regardless, he is 4-2 with a 4.66 ERA in ten starts vs the White Sox who have had pretty much the same team for years. Adam Dunn is 1-7 with 4K’s vs Shields which always helps. This bet is strictly based on Humber. If he shines than so be it, but I expect another terrible performance. I remind you of one of my big theories on baseball betting that has worked all year is catching the pitcher before he gets cut or demoted to the pen. Humber is close as was Moyer this past weekend.

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TV’s Take: Rays -160/Bet $160 to win $100 and Bet $100 -1.5 to win $125

A’s at Twins – What the heck? The Money Line is basically even with A’s -108. Um, these teams both stink. The A’s can’t hit and the Twins can’t pitch. Well, as I survived yesterday I forgot that bad hitting trumps bad pitching. My god the A’s are sending out Jarrod Parker who looks great vs Cole De Vries who is making his second start and looked terrible in his first. Parker is 1-2 with a 3.28 making his first start vs the Twins so we also have that going for us. De Vries has never faced the A’s, but he does not even come close to the hype Parker brings into the game. Parker is a highly touted prospect who was close to making the rotation out of spring training. De Vries was not dominant at AAA and is only in the big leagues because of bad pitching and injuries. Did you know the Twins now have four starters in their rotation who started the year at AAA? Boy, I kick myself everyday for not jumping on the Josh Reddick bandwagon fantasy wise. He is tearing it up for the A’s with 14 homers and speed. He homered and had a triple yesterday. I would bet more on the A’s, but can I really trust the A’s?

TV’s Take: A’s -108/Bet $108 to win $100