Hitter Rankings based on Steamer

I ran the Steamer pitching projections through my formula earlier today. Here are the results for their hitting projections, using the same standard-deviations-above-replacement methodology for each category:

Rank Player $ Rank Player $ Rank Player $ Rank Player $
1 Mike Trout 42.22 76 Buster Posey 13.47 151 Byron Buxton 3.23 226 J.J. Hardy -7.01
2 Mookie Betts 38.56 77 Mike Moustakas 13.29 152 Javier Baez 3.05 227 Brett Lawrie -7.36
3 Manny Machado 35.28 78 Tommy Joseph 13.12 153 Keon Broxton 2.86 228 Michael Conforto -7.39
4 Miguel Cabrera 34.17 79 Odubel Herrera 12.70 154 Michael Brantley 2.62 229 Jordy Mercer -7.42
5 Nolan Arenado 34.10 80 Miguel Sano 12.63 155 Matt Duffy 2.46 230 Justin Smoak -7.47
6 Jose Altuve 33.30 81 Lorenzo Cain 12.57 156 Brandon Crawford 2.20 231 Mitch Moreland -7.59
7 Trea Turner 31.44 82 Stephen Piscotty 12.29 157 Travis Jankowski 2.14 232 Wilson Ramos -7.87
8 Bryce Harper 31.25 83 Aledmys Diaz 12.21 158 Jay Bruce 2.01 233 Cameron Maybin -8.46
9 Kris Bryant 30.23 84 Melky Cabrera 12.00 159 Joe Mauer 1.89 234 Melvin Upton Jr. -8.75
10 Anthony Rizzo 29.63 85 Kevin Kiermaier 11.44 160 Alex Gordon 1.66 235 Matt Wieters -9.09
11 Paul Goldschmidt 28.67 86 Billy Hamilton 11.39 161 Yulieski Gurriel 1.51 236 Angel Pagan -9.12
12 Josh Donaldson 28.51 87 Tim Anderson 10.79 162 Joe Panik 1.49 237 Jhonny Peralta -9.47
13 Charlie Blackmon 26.61 88 Carlos Gomez 10.68 163 Hyun Soo Kim 1.47 238 Wilmer Flores -9.49
14 Carlos Gonzalez 25.59 89 Marcell Ozuna 10.56 164 Yunel Escobar 1.24 239 Derek Norris -9.53
15 Rougned Odor 25.30 90 Matt Holliday 10.37 165 Asdrubal Cabrera 1.21 240 Mac Williamson -9.96
16 Carlos Correa 24.17 91 Yasiel Puig 10.16 166 Josh Harrison 1.09 241 Andrew Toles -10.01
17 Robinson Cano 23.14 92 Brad Miller 10.02 167 Lucas Duda 1.08 242 Pedro Alvarez -10.41
18 Nelson Cruz 23.00 93 Jonathan Schoop 9.96 168 Jayson Werth 1.08 243 Logan Morrison -10.53
19 Corey Seager 22.72 94 Nomar Mazara 9.80 169 Yangervis Solarte 0.95 244 Chris Young -10.76
20 Joey Votto 22.71 95 Shin-Soo Choo 9.79 170 Jedd Gyorko 0.87 245 Brock Holt -10.79
21 Freddie Freeman 22.38 96 Adrian Gonzalez 9.50 171 Stephen Vogt 0.30 246 Charlie Tilson -10.90
22 Xander Bogaerts 22.24 97 Carlos Beltran 9.28 172 Evan Gattis 0.29 247 Francisco Cervelli -11.09
23 Francisco Lindor 21.66 98 Joc Pederson 9.24 173 Manuel Margot 0.16 248 Aaron Hicks -11.15
24 George Springer 21.53 99 Marcus Semien 9.10 174 Willson Contreras 0.14 249 Albert Almora -11.24
25 Giancarlo Stanton 21.40 100 Jake Lamb 9.06 175 C.J. Cron 0.01 250 Rymer Liriano -11.25
26 Eric Thames 21.34 101 David Dahl 9.02 176 Scott Schebler -0.55 251 Jed Lowrie -11.33
27 Adam Jones 21.22 102 Logan Forsythe 8.85 177 Yasmani Grandal -0.55 252 Paulo Orlando -11.35
28 Jose Abreu 20.98 103 Andrew Benintendi 8.82 178 Yadier Molina -0.60 253 Brandon Guyer -11.46
29 Andrew McCutchen 20.98 104 Brandon Belt 8.41 179 Seth Smith -0.64 254 Yan Gomes -11.66
30 Ian Desmond 20.57 105 Ender Inciarte 8.15 180 Jorge Polanco -0.83 255 Dan Vogelbach -11.71
31 Jonathan Villar 20.21 106 Ryon Healy 8.13 181 Howie Kendrick -0.88 256 Robbie Grossman -11.91
32 Starling Marte 20.00 107 Rajai Davis 8.13 182 Jose Iglesias -0.94 257 Desmond Jennings -12.35
33 Carlos Santana 19.90 108 Jonathan Lucroy 7.93 183 Trevor Plouffe -0.97 258 Chris Owings -12.53
34 J.D. Martinez 19.85 109 Gregory Bird 7.88 184 Michael Saunders -1.19 259 Billy Butler -12.80
35 Mark Trumbo 19.62 110 David Peralta 7.70 185 Avisail Garcia -1.22 260 Travis d’Arnaud -13.00
36 Christian Yelich 19.57 111 Jackie Bradley Jr. 7.63 186 Pablo Sandoval -1.25 261 Derek Dietrich -13.13
37 A.J. Pollock 19.52 112 Mike Napoli 7.39 187 Jorge Soler -1.25 262 Jake Marisnick -13.22
38 Adrian Beltre 19.51 113 Max Kepler 7.11 188 Aaron Judge -1.38 263 Raul Mondesi -13.24
39 Justin Upton 19.46 114 Dexter Fowler 7.10 189 Andrelton Simmons -1.42 264 Coco Crisp -13.44
40 Daniel Murphy 19.35 115 Adam Duvall 7.08 190 Chase Headley -1.47 265 Jon Jay -13.73
41 Eric Hosmer 19.30 116 Josh Reddick 6.98 191 Steven Souza Jr. -1.47 266 John Jaso -13.76
42 Edwin Encarnacion 19.22 117 Hunter Pence 6.89 192 Mitch Haniger -1.63 267 Cameron Rupp -13.96
43 Brian Dozier 18.98 118 Starlin Castro 6.72 193 Ryan Zimmerman -1.63 268 Dilson Herrera -14.27
44 Ryan Braun 18.68 119 Curtis Granderson 6.62 194 Orlando Arcia -2.10 269 Ketel Marte -14.34
45 Chris Davis 18.35 120 Elvis Andrus 6.50 195 J.T. Realmuto -2.37 270 James McCann -14.48
46 Evan Longoria 18.14 121 Jung Ho Kang 6.32 196 Steve Pearce -2.44 271 Yoan Moncada -14.50
47 DJ LeMahieu 17.95 122 Ben Zobrist 6.26 197 Ryan Schimpf -2.47 272 Alex Rios -14.66
48 Yoenis Cespedes 17.94 123 Troy Tulowitzki 6.23 198 Jarrod Dyson -2.69 273 Gerardo Parra -14.83
49 Khris Davis 17.79 124 Didi Gregorius 6.22 199 Kolten Wong -2.72 274 Freddy Galvis -15.21
50 Hanley Ramirez 16.85 125 Brett Gardner 6.05 200 Russell Martin -3.21 275 Justin Morneau -15.29
51 Gary Sanchez 16.82 126 Randal Grichuk 6.02 201 Brandon Drury -3.47 276 David Wright -15.32
52 Wil Myers 16.79 127 Domingo Santana 5.87 202 Leonys Martin -3.51 277 Andres Blanco -15.69
53 Kyle Seager 16.73 128 Neil Walker 5.86 203 Kennys Vargas -3.52 278 Marwin Gonzalez -15.78
54 Kyle Schwarber 16.54 129 Martin Prado 5.83 204 Chris Carter -3.57 279 Mallex Smith -15.86
55 Trevor Story 16.51 130 Denard Span 5.66 205 Tyler Naquin -3.69 280 Eduardo Escobar -15.89
56 Gregory Polanco 16.27 131 Corey Dickerson 5.63 206 Jose Reyes -4.12 281 Tyler Flowers -16.10
57 Adam Eaton 16.17 132 Devon Travis 5.48 207 Danny Valencia -4.16 282 Andre Ethier -16.12
58 Maikel Franco 16.15 133 Josh Bell 5.45 208 Alex Dickerson -4.56 283 Aaron Altherr -16.37
59 Todd Frazier 16.13 134 Kevin Pillar 5.38 209 Brian McCann -4.66 284 Alexei Ramirez -16.37
60 Jean Segura 15.75 135 Nick Castellanos 5.28 210 Yonder Alonso -5.04 285 Austin Hedges -16.40
61 Anthony Rendon 15.50 136 Eduardo Nunez 5.22 211 Zack Cozart -5.10 286 Scooter Gennett -16.55
62 Ian Kinsler 15.35 137 Jason Heyward 5.16 212 Matt Joyce -5.10 287 Adam Lind -16.91
63 Dustin Pedroia 15.27 138 Jacoby Ellsbury 4.92 213 Hernan Perez -5.30 288 Nori Aoki -16.92
64 Matt Kemp 15.27 139 Cesar Hernandez 4.80 214 Eddie Rosario -5.65 289 Juan Uribe -16.99
65 Dee Gordon 14.79 140 Dansby Swanson 4.79 215 David Freese -5.70 290 Ezequiel Carrera -17.17
66 Albert Pujols 14.76 141 Justin Bour 4.79 216 Colby Rasmus -5.89 291 Nick Ahmed -17.18
67 Matt Carpenter 14.61 142 Addison Russell 4.65 217 Lonnie Chisenhall -5.97 292 Ryan Rua -17.26
68 Jose Ramirez 14.48 143 Nick Markakis 4.55 218 Welington Castillo -6.38 293 Mikie Mahtook -17.32
69 Victor Martinez 14.14 144 Jose Peraza 4.49 219 Jurickson Profar -6.40 294 Cory Spangenberg -17.57
70 Jason Kipnis 14.13 145 Brandon Moss 4.22 220 Luis Valbuena -6.46 295 Sandy Leon -17.58
71 Kole Calhoun 14.06 146 Eugenio Suarez 4.07 221 Adonis Garcia -6.57 296 C.Bethancourt -17.67
72 Alex Bregman 14.02 147 Salvador Perez 4.02 222 Travis Shaw -6.76 297 Ben Gamel -17.67
73 Jose Bautista 13.91 148 Hunter Renfroe 3.91 223 Danny Espinosa -6.89 298 Trey Mancini -18.01
74 Justin Turner 13.83 149 Yasmany Tomas 3.88 224 Brandon Phillips -6.99 299 Adam Frazier -18.23
75 Kendrys Morales 13.59 150 Alcides Escobar 3.55 225 Adeiny Hechavarria -6.99 300 Andrew Romine -18.34

A few observations:

• Mike Trout and Mookie Betts are mild outliers (not as extreme as Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer), and the rest of the hitters decline more gradually as you go.

• Steamer loves Manny Machado, Miguel Cabrera, Trea Turner, Rougned Odor and Eric Thames. It doesn’t like Paul Goldschmidt or Edwin Encarnacion much relative to ADP.

• Keep in mind I did not make a positional scarcity adjustment for catchers, and I allocated 70 percent of the budget to hitting in this case. (Assume 12-team league, $260 per team.)