This article is part of our Beating the Book series.After a 3-1 week in the Wild Card games, I went 1-3 last week, though I will forgive myself the Saints loss. The Titans were a stupid bet, given the coaching disparity, and it was over from the moment Mike Mularkey punted on 4th-and-2 in plus territory, down seven on the road as a 13.5-point dog. The Falcons were knocking on the door in the closing seconds, but they would have had to call a decent play (too much to ask), and also make the two-point conversion.
This week, I like the Jaguars a lot and am lukewarm on the Vikings.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
Jaguars +9 at Patriots
I could see the Patriots blowing them out, especially if they get off to a fast start and force Blake Bortles to play from behind. And the Patriots match up better than most teams against the Jaguars with Rob Gronkowski and Dion Lewis being the focal points of the offense rather than outside receivers. Still, I don't think it'll go that way. The Jaguars offens
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