FanDuel MLB: Thursday Value Plays

FanDuel MLB: Thursday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

PITCHER

Alex Reyes STL vs. CIN ($5,700): I usually struggle deciding which pitcher is the best value on the board on a given day, but Reyes was as easy a call as I've had all season. The rookie has been terrific since joining the rotation -- 2.05 ERA, 25.6% K-rate -- but is still the priced as the third-cheapest pitcher available; which is particularly appealing on a day bereft of value. Granted, Reyes is a bit of a boom-or-bust play, due to the likelihood he won't pitch deep into the game, but his skillset and strikeout upside make it impossible to pass him at his dirt cheap price-tag; especially with St. Louis fighting for a playoff spot, and thus may potentially be more inclined to give the rookie a little more rope than expected. 

CATCHER

Sandy Leon, BOS at NYY ($2,900): Leon has cooled off since his hot start, proving he is not, in fact, the second-coming of Pudge Rodriguez. However, despite the drop-off, Leon has continued to excel against left-handed pitching -- .379 batting average, .450 wOBA, .242 ISO in 2016 -- yet is still priced surprisingly reasonably considering his matchup with C.C. Sabathia and the dearth of other quality options weak position. 

FIRST BASE

Ryan Howard, PHI at ATL ($2,800): I would have bet anything that I wouldn't recommend old bones Ryan Howard at any point this season; alas, here we are, and luckily I didn't make that bet. Howard isn't a very good hitter anymore, but seems intent on finishing his Phillies career in style, rocking an impressive .404 wOBA and .367 ISO (in a platoon role) since Aug. 1. Furthermore, Howard is still a threat against right-handed pitchers (.275 ISO, 23 of 24 home runs) and faces Josh Collmenter who's yielded a .337 wOBA and .509 slugging percentage to left-handed sticks.

SECOND BASE

Cesar Hernandez, PHI at ATL ($3,100): Two Phillies in the same article? What is the world coming to? But seriously, Collmenter isn't good; and Hernandez has quietly turned in a nice season (.294 batting average, .336 wOBA). Not to mention, the 26-year-old has been swinging his hottest bat of the season -- .326 batting average, .384 wOBA in September -- and is available at a very appealing price point, when compared to the other second baseman on the board.

THIRD BASE

Kyle Seager, SEA vs. OAK ($3,200): This is simply a case of a player being priced too low considering his talent level and matchup. Seager has owned right-handed pitching this season -- .305 batting average, .388 wOBA, .229 ISO -- and faces the eminently hittable Kendall Gravemen (.329 wOBA allowed to left-handed batters).

SHORTSTOP

Stephen Drew, ARI at WAS ($2,600): Outside of the top options, shortstop is a barren wasteland of sadness, with Drew standing out as a beacon of light for us value seekers. I know what you're thinking, "Isn't Stephen Drew out of the league?" Well guess what, he's not; and he's actually been playing well to boot -- .313 batting average, .359 wOBA in September. Drew has done most of his damage against right-handed pitching this season (.375 wOBA, .273 ISO) and faces Joe Ross and his .360 wOBA  allowed to left-handed batters.

OUTFIELD

J.D. Martinez, CLE at DET ($3,400): Martinez has been an absolute beast since returning to action on Aug. 3 -- suffered broken elbow on June 17 -- sporting an insane .349 batting average, .420 wOBA, and .238 ISO over that time. Yet for some reason, the 29-year-old remains priced well below where his performance would dictate. Add in a matchup with lefty Ryan Merritt who's making his first career MLB start, and Martinez is a must.

Robbie Grossman, MIN at KC ($2,800): Grossman has been locked in lately -- .340 batting average, .407 wOBA, .191 ISO in September --  and has owned left-handed pitching this season with a .357 batting average, .440 wOBA and .252 ISO. Granted, Danny Duffy is a pretty good left-hander, but he's struggled recently -- .365 wOBA allowed in September -- and hasn't been particularly intimidating against right-handed bats (.320 wOBA allowed). And oh yea, Grossman is super cheap.

Brandon Guyer, CLE at DET ($2,500): Like Grossman, Guyer has been terrible against right-handed pitching, but tremendous against lefties (.333 batting average, .436 wOBA, .220 ISO). He faces Daniel Norris (.341 wOBA allowed to right-handed hitters), has been swinging a hot bat (.427 wOBA in September), and is priced insanely low. Sometimes, it's just that easy. 

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. James Seltzer plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Schweppy23.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
James Seltzer
James Seltzer is a Producer at 97.5 the Fanatic in Philadelphia. James is a co-host of the BleedingGreenNation.com Eagles podcast as well as the This Week in Fantasy podcast. James also works for PhiladelphiaEagles.com.
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