Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Canning's major-league career has been plagued by injuries and inconsistent performance. He pitched through some elbow irritation last season en route to a career-high 171.2 innings, but it came with a 5.19 ERA, third worst among qualified starters. Atlanta acquired him from the Angels in late October, only to non-tender him weeks later. His strikeout rate dipped to just 17.6 percent last season, by far a career low, and Canning served up 31 home runs. The right-hander is still just 28 and might be a worthwhile reclamation project. The Mets were the ones to roll the dice, signing Canning to a one-year, $4.25 million contract in December to compete for a rotation spot. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#422
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the Mets in December of 2024. Contract includes $1 million in performance-related bonuses.
Collects second quality start
PNew York Mets
May 11, 2025
Canning took a no-decision in Sunday's 6-2 win over the Cubs, pitching six innings during which he yielded one run while allowing two hits and a walk. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
The New York right-hander continued his superlative run in this 92-pitch outing and picked up his first quality start since April 17 against St. Louis. The only blemish on Canning's performance came in the sixth frame when Pete Crow-Armstrong popped a solo homer. Through 42 total innings, Canning sports a 2.36 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 42:16 K:BB. He currently lines up to make his next start on the road against the Yankees next weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Griffin Canning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Griffin Canning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .250 729 148 70 162 27 4 24
Since 2023vs Right .258 720 163 48 170 23 3 33
2025vs Left .250 84 21 8 19 1 0 2
2025vs Right .220 90 21 8 18 2 1 2
2024vs Left .272 386 66 42 92 18 2 16
2024vs Right .258 353 64 24 82 10 1 15
2023vs Left .217 259 61 20 51 8 2 6
2023vs Right .271 277 78 16 70 11 1 16
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.19 1.33 172.0 12 8 0 8.6 3.5 1.2
Since 2023Away 4.86 1.31 168.2 6 14 0 7.8 2.7 1.8
2025Home 1.71 1.10 21.0 2 0 0 10.3 3.0 0.4
2025Away 3.00 1.43 21.0 3 1 0 7.7 3.9 1.3
2024Home 4.45 1.42 93.0 6 3 0 7.2 4.0 1.3
2024Away 6.06 1.37 78.2 0 10 0 6.4 2.9 2.1
2023Home 4.66 1.28 58.0 4 5 0 10.4 2.9 1.4
2023Away 4.04 1.20 69.0 3 3 0 9.4 2.2 1.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Griffin Canning compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.63
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
2.36
 
WHIP
1.26
 
BABIP
.302
 
GB/FB
2.21
 
Left On Base
88.6%
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.6%
 
Spin Rate
2215 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.6%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
After missing 2022 with a lower-back stress fracture, Canning's season got off to an inauspicious start as began the campaign on the IL with a groin injury. Fortunately, he required only the minimum 15-day visit and went on to toss a career high 127 innings, starting 22 of 24 outings. He did revisit the IL in late July for a calf injury, but only missed three weeks, though it served to keep his inning in check. Considering Canning hadn't thrown a competitive pitch since 2021, his 4.32 ERA was impressive, but a 3.82 xFIP and 3.80 SIERA indicate he pitched even better. His 19.2 percent K-BB percent ranked 22nd among hurlers throwing at least 120 innings. His pitch mix was similar to before he was hurt, but his four-seamer ticked up 1-mph. Even so, Canning's swinging strike rate dropped from 2021, but his called strike rate improved. There's strikeout upside if he can induce more swinging strikes without losing any called strikes. Canning has always yielded homers at a high rate, so he's best used as a streamer, but he can be a sneaky asset if others are scared off by a seemingly high ERA.
Canning was expected to compete for the sixth spot in the Angels' rotation last season, but setbacks from a lower-back stress fracture that first popped up during the previous campaign ruined his spring and eventually wiped out his entire season. The right-hander didn't exactly shine during the previous campaign, posting a 5.60 ERA (5.48 FIP) and 1.48 WHIP over 62.2 innings. Canning has averaged over a strikeout an inning so far as a big-leaguer, but he's had trouble locating his fastball and has posted a 1.6 HR/9 over 209.1 career frames. He'll be about 20 months removed from his last game action when spring training rolls around, so it may take some time for him to work his arm back into shape. He'll be among a group of pitchers vying for a spot at the back of the Angels' rotation, but it may take a strong spring for him to make the Opening Day roster.
Canning was one of the players who benefitted from the shortened season. March drafters did not know what to do with him after he came down with a balky elbow early in camp and received PRP injections. He was a wild card for drafts because many assumed he would go the way of Garrett Richards, Shohei Ohtani and Andrew Heaney before him and eventually have season-ending Tommy John surgery. Canning, in fact, made a full 11 starts in 2020, albeit with lesser results than his impressive 2019 debut. He lost one mph off his fastball, and the league had an easier time with the pitch as it hit .305 off it (.235 xBA). He also cut back his slider usage in favor of more curves, which is understandable given the barking elbow. If he can regain that zip on his fastball with a normal offseason of recovery, things could get interesting in 2021. Health is a risk, but taking on that risk could come with a nice reward.
After three lights-out starts at Triple-A, Canning, the Angels' top pitching prospect, was summoned to the majors in April to bolster a banged-up rotation. He offered immediate aid, posting a 3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 34:9 K:BB across his first six starts. Canning actually did a better job of keeping the ball in the yard thereafter (1.2 HR/9), but a correction in his BABIP and strand rate plus a slight uptick in walks saddled him with a 5.43 ERA over his final 12 turns before he was shelved with elbow inflammation. All in all, it was a promising debut season for Canning, who established himself as a mainstay in the rotation moving forward. Canning's lack of a dominant offering in his four-pitch arsenal probably hinder his chances of emerging as a bona fide ace down the road, but at just 23 years old, there's certainly time for him to improve his skills and change that narrative.
Canning was one of the great in-season helium prospects early on in 2018, but some of that air was let out of the balloon after he advanced to Triple-A. After Canning posted a minuscule 1.97 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for Double-A Mobile, he struggled to a 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with Salt Lake (13 starts). Part of it was just the change in park factors going from the Southern League to the Pacific Coast League -- his HR/FB more than doubled with the jump in levels. However, Canning also lost something from his K-rate (from 27.2% to 24.5%) and the explosion in his opponents' BABIP (from .229 to .376) wasn't all luck and park related as his line-drive rate jumped from 18.3% all the way to 26%. Canning doesn't have any one standout offering, but he has a decent four-pitch mix (fastball, slider, curveball change) and fringe-average command. The Angels will need arms this season, and Canning appears a likely candidate to start at some point.
More Fantasy News
Settles in after leadoff homer
PNew York Mets
May 5, 2025
Canning (5-1) allowed a run on six hits and a walk while striking out six over five innings to earn the win over the Diamondbacks on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises to fourth win
PNew York Mets
April 28, 2025
Canning (4-1) earned the win Monday at Washington, allowing four hits and three walks over five scoreless innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Collects third win of 2025
PNew York Mets
April 22, 2025
Canning (3-1) earned the win against the Phillies on Tuesday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out five across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Six strong innings in second win
PNew York Mets
April 17, 2025
Canning (2-1) picked up the win Thursday against the Cardinals after allowing one run on three hits and two walks in six innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Gets green light to start Thursday
PNew York Mets
April 16, 2025
Canning (illness) has been cleared to start Thursday's game against the Cardinals in New York, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Might be on Mets' radar
PFree Agent
December 3, 2024
Canning is a name "to keep in mind" for the Mets, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The Mets recently reached an agreement with Frankie Montas and it appears president of baseball operations David Stearns might still be focusing more on mid- to back-end starter types than front-line rotation help. Canning qualifies as the former after posting a 5.19 ERA and 130:66 K:BB across 171.2 frames for the Angels in 2024. He was traded to Atlanta in the Jorge Soler deal last month but was then non-tendered.
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