DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

Tuesday night may not have the nicest weather, but there aren't major threats for postponement. That helps in a slate with a mixed bag of pitchers because even though Trevor Bauer and Patrick Corbin are in good spots, both are prone to getting shelled.

PITCHING

There isn't one pitcher that stands out, but there are a nice variety of high-end options. Trevor Bauer ($11,600) struck out 12 Royals last time out and could again be the best arm on the slate since KC has a 24.9 K% and .286 wOBA in the last month against righties. Patrick Corbin ($11,100) is a reasonable pivot having come around his last two starts, the most recent one being a 33.4-point outing against the Marlins. Charlie Morton ($10,600) may not have the same upside, but he's been more consistent than the most expensive options and the Orioles strike out plenty against righty arms (24.1 K%).

If you think Matthew Boyd ($10,100) can turn a corner after allowing at least three runs in his last five starts, he could easily hit 30 fantasy points. He has a 30.8 K% and the White Sox have a 25.8 K% against southpaws in the last month. Cheaper than Boyd, you're mostly playing with fire in the mid-range because none of the matchups are favorable, highlighted by Jake Odorizzi ($9,900) and Zack Wheeler ($9,500) against the A's and Yanks, respectively.

It may be best to gamble on one of the cheaper arms like Asher Wojciechowski ($6,900) because of matchup (Rays) or Joe Musgrove ($5,900) because he's had recent success, allowing one run in his last 13 innings. Wojciechowski doesn't have many enticing numbers from Triple-A, but the Rays have struggled over the last month with a 25.3 K% and .297 wOBA against righties. For Musgrove, the Cubs have been mediocre against righty arms with a 23.5 K% and .318 wOBA. Reynaldo Lopez ($5,600) will probably get some looks because of matchup (Tigers), but his only positive is having a couple good outings this season while sporting a 6.12 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Of course, you can't ignore his April 28 start against Detroit, striking out 14 with zero earned runs in six innings.

KEY VALUES/CHALK

You don't often see a slate with three games having over/unders above 10 runs, but that's the case Tuesday night. The Rockies-Astros game will be popular as usual, but the Brewers-Reds game shouldn't be overlooked. I'm less certain on Angels-Rangers because Mike Minor has been lights out home and away. On the other side, Griffin Canning is prone to allowing homers and has given up five in his last three starts. If anything, I'd look at Texas righties like Elvis Andrus ($4,600) or Delino DeShields Jr. ($3,700), but their prices are still kind of high.

The better play is to go with lefties against Tanner Roark (.389 OBP, .376 wOBA allowed) or righties against Chase Anderson (.386 OBP, .389 wOBA allowed). Christian Yelich ($5,800) is the money play, but the Brewers have somewhat cheaper lefty bats, including Ben Gamel ($3,800). You can save a little more money on the Reds with Phillip Ervin ($3,700) or Jose Peraza ($3,200), though the Reds have a lefty heavy lineup.

The Cardinals-Mariners over/under isn't as high, yet there's plenty of power potential in the game. Jack Flaherty has allowed at least three runs in his last four starts and has given up five homers in his last two. Wade LeBlanc has been slightly better, yet a 5.27 ERA is worth going after. LeBlanc doesn't have good numbers against either side of the plate, while Flaherty has a .352 wOBA allowed to lefty bats. Seattle doesn't have a ton of value, while Jose Martinez ($3,400) is intriguing with a .407 OBP in his last 27 plate appearances against southpaws.

You could throw a stack together against Wojciechowski, who has allowed 2.02 HR/9 to go with a 5.51 xFIP in Triple-A. Ji-Man Choi ($3,600), Willy Adames ($3,700) and Yandy Diaz ($4,400) have been best for Tampa against righties in the last month in terms of OBP.

STACKS

Dodgers vs. Taylor Clarke (Diamondbacks)

(OF Alex Verdugo - $4,400), (1B/OF Matt Beaty - $3,500), (1B/2B Max Muncy - $5,100)

Arizona won this meeting 8-2 last week, but I'm not sure that happens again after Clarke went five innings with 93 pitches. His .384 OBP and .407 wOBA allowed to lefty bats is still worth exploring. The Dodgers have a nice range of lefty options so you shouldn't have trouble stacking a few together. Cody Bellinger ($5,700) and Max Muncy ($5,100) are the priciest, but Verdugo (.362) and Beaty (.383) have two of the better OBPs against righty arms in the last month.

Astros vs. German Marquez (Rockies)

(2B Jose Altuve - $4,200), (3B/SS Alex Bregman - $5,000), (1B Tyler White - $4,600)

The Astros aren't hitting as well, but playing in Coors should help. Marquez's numbers jump at home with a .369 wOBA allowed to lefties, much worse than his .276 number on the road. This stack provides a little bit of everything. Bregman has coasted with a .407 OBP in his last 91 against righties, while Altuve comes on the cheap because he's struggled since returning from injury. White is pure value at Coors and while he's hard to trust, he still has a .377 OBP in his last 61 PA against righty hurlers.

Giants vs. Matt Strahm (Padres)

(2B/SS Donovan Solano - $2,900), (1B Brandon Belt - $3,800), (3B Evan Longoria - $3,300)

This is a bit of a GPP stack because the Giants don't have good numbers against southpaws. It's still worth testing Strahm, who has allowed multiple homers in his last six starts to go with a poor .447 OBP allowed to 76 lefties faced. This stack is as cheap as it gets and Belt's .438 OBP (last 32 PA) aligns with Strahm's struggles. You could also throw Mike Yastrzemski ($3,800) into the mix if you want to go all in with lefty-lefty matchups.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Adam Zdroik plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: zdroik, DraftKings: rotozdroik, Yahoo: StreakMaster.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Adam Zdroik
Adam writes on sports ranging from NFL and MLB to soccer and college basketball. Outside of writing, he has worked with a professional soccer team, Sporting Kansas City, and in the stats department at ESPN. He is a former Streak for the Cash winner and Michigan State graduate. 2018 and 2017 Finalist for FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year.
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