Max Muncy

33-Year-Old Third Baseman3B

Los Angeles Dodgers

2023 Stats

AVG

.212

RBI

105

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Muncy's fantastic 2021 season ended with the news of his elbow not healing as expected and his draft value was diminished by the looming concerns Muncy may need TJ surgery and miss the 2023 season. He ended up playing nearly full-time and came close to matching his 2021 plate appearances total, but there was a noticeable decline in his production as he struggled at the plate with an extreme flyball (63%) and pull (49%) approach at the plate. The new shift rules can fix some of the concerns, but not if he continues to hit flyballs at that rate. The biggest difference between the two seasons was how Muncy handled the fastball: he hit .307 and slugged .693 off fastballs in 2021 but those numbers dramatically declined to .196 and .408 respectively in 2022 and the league fed him a steady diet of fastballs. He and the club worked out a two-year extension in August with a club option in the second year so if the Dodgers are willing to invest in his talents again, maybe we should feel comfortable giving him another chance. After all, only he, Pete Alonso, and Mike Trout have as many as three seasons of 35+ homers over the past five seasons. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#125

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 215

DOB 8/25/1990

Born Midland, TX

College Baylor

Drafted 5th Rd 2012 OAK

Inks two-year extension

3BLos Angeles Dodgers

November 2, 2023

Muncy signed a two-year, $24 million contract extension with the Dodgers on Thursday, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.

ANALYSIS
Muncy already had a $14 million club option for the 2024 season, but the Dodgers will instead give him a new deal that keeps the 33-year-old slugger in Los Angeles through 2025 with a $10 million club option for 2026. Muncy slashed .212/.333/.475 across 482 plate appearances in 2023 while recording personal bests in home runs (36) and RBI (105).

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+9%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+37%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+7%

OPS vs RHP

2021

+10%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	.760	477	58	28	75	1	.203	.323	.438
Since 2021vs Right	.826	1259	201	65	193	4	.226	.352	.474
2023vs Left	.642	171	22	11	26	0	.155	.263	.378
2023vs Right	.881	408	73	25	79	1	.237	.363	.518
2022vs Left	.679	146	14	6	22	1	.178	.315	.364
2022vs Right	.724	419	55	15	47	1	.202	.334	.390
2021vs Left	.961	160	22	11	27	0	.276	.394	.567
2021vs Right	.871	432	73	25	67	2	.240	.359	.512
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+15%

OPS at Home

2023

+12%

OPS at Home

2022

+1%

OPS on Road

2021

+32%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	.866	834	134	53	132	2	.236	.353	.514
Since 2021Away	.753	902	125	40	136	3	.205	.336	.417
2023Home	.856	282	45	19	45	0	.227	.358	.498
2023Away	.764	297	50	17	60	1	.198	.310	.455
2022Home	.708	263	36	11	34	1	.211	.300	.408
2022Away	.714	302	33	10	35	1	.182	.354	.360
2021Home	1.025	289	53	23	53	1	.269	.394	.630
2021Away	.776	303	42	13	41	1	.232	.343	.432
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Stat Review

How does Max Muncy compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.56

BB Rate

14.7%

K Rate

26.4%

BABIP

.221

ISO

.263

AVG

.212

OBP

.333

SLG

.475

OPS

.808

wOBA

.351

Exit Velocity

91.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

37.4%

Barrels/PA

8.5%

Expected BA

.235

Expected SLG

.504

Sprint Speed

21.4 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

33.4%

Line Drive %

17.3%

Fly Ball %

49.3%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2017

2016

After a hiccup in 2020, Muncy just continued to perform as he always does, hitting near a .250 average with 35 homers. He was one of several hitters who struggled in the shortened 2020 season (.720 OPS). Most of his struggles can be tied to a low .203 BABIP. It's not the first time's he's struggled with that issue, nor will it be the last. This past season, he posted a .200 BABIP over the last two months. Muncy did, however, show some nice skill changes. His K% dropped for the fourth straight season, to 20.3% from a high of approximately 27%. His 112 mph maxEV and 91 mph avgEV were career highs. While he played in a career-high 144 games, he missed time with injuries to his oblique (IL stint), ankle, side, shoulder and back, and worse yet, he revealed in late November that he's not healing as anticipated from a torn UCL. His level of participation in spring training should be monitored closely. If healthy, he's a power bat who should rack up a decent number of runs and RBI hitting in the middle of the Dodgers' potent lineup.

Muncy struggled to find a rhythm at the plate last season, finishing with a disappointing .192/.331/.389 slash line. It's tempting to note his league-worst .203 BABIP and attribute the low batting average to bad luck, but that would be oversimplifying things. In reality, the surest way to rack up base hits is with plenty of line drives, and Muncy's 13.8 LD% was the second-lowest mark in the league. That was a far cry from 2019 and he was still in the 81st percentile in barrel rate, so it's reasonable to expect some movement toward the norm -- and a consequent jump in average -- this season. The power is still present, and Muncy's proven willingness to take a walk -- his 15.8 BB% since 2018 ranks fifth among qualified batters -- gives him extra value in fantasy leagues that use OBP. Factor in Muncy's multi-position eligibility (1B, 2B, 3B) as a reason to nab him if he slips too far down 2021 draft boards.

Let's take a moment to appreciate Muncy for a second. We all know the story about him being DFA'd by Oakland and grabbed by the Dodgers and his breakout in 2018. Six weeks into 2019, Muncy was hitting .242 with five HR and 18 RBI, and looked like a bust for fantasy owners. He went on to hit .253 with a .383 OBP, 30 HR, 90 runs and 80 RBI the rest of the way. In the process, he equaled his HR total from 2018 and obliterated his runs and RBI. Yes, he wasn't as good as 2018 overall, but he was still darn good and those who held true despite the slow start were handsomely rewarded. The skills over the past two years have been rather stable, but Muncy did see his flyball rate come down in 2019. Muncy has more value in OBP leagues as the batting average has a low ceiling with the strikeouts, but it certainly hasn't cut into his run production. The added bonus is three-position eligibility in 2020 (2B, 3B and 1B).

In this space last year...wait, we didn't write an outlook for Muncy in 2018. He failed to crack the major leagues in 2017 and instead spent the entirety of the season at Triple-A. After signing a minor-league contract with the Dodgers, he was assigned to minor-league camp March 12. Muncy got the call to Los Angeles on April 17 and went on to post the fifth-best wRC+ among 183 players with at least 450 plate appearances. He crushed right-handed pitching to the tune of a .601 SLG and .334 ISO while walking at a robust 16.4% clip overall. Muncy did strike out 27.2% of the time and hit just .185 against breaking pitches according to Brooks Baseball, but in the end, he was a top-10 fantasy first baseman. It's tough to forecast anything close to a full repeat, but Muncy is at least locked into a platoon role and there will be more doubters than believers, creating a possible buying opportunity for those contrarians out there.

Muncy is the prototypical "Moneyball" product: There's not a lot of hype behind him, but man, can he take walks. Last season at Triple-A Nashville, the 26-year-old walked 13.1 percent of the time and bumped that figure up to 15 percent during his scattered appearances in the big leagues. Even with that bright spot, Muncy still has plenty of blemishes keeping him from garnering regular playing time in Oakland. He strikes out too much, as his strikeout rate hovered around 20 percent both in the minors and in the majors, and he doesn't have the power to make up for it (.071 ISO in the majors). His ability to play all over the infield and the corner outfield spots could help him land a reserve utility role with the big league club, but with bigger prospects knocking on the door to the majors, it will be tough for Muncy to climb much higher than that.

A rash of early season injuries gave Muncy a chance to make his Major League debut, but he did not do much with it, slashing .206/.268/.392 with three homers in 102 at-bats. Muncy had a breakout minor league season in 2013 when he hit 25 bombs with 100 RBI between Single-A and Double-A, but backed that season up with only seven homers in 435 Double-A at-bats in 2014. Muncy does exhibit a solid feel for the strike zone and his high walk numbers have enabled him to post a career .378 OPS across four minor League seasons. The A's farm system is not stacked overall, but one of their strengths is at corner infield which is not a great sign for Muncy's long-term prospects. After two years of his power slipping following the 2013 breakout, Muncy's star is dwindling, but the 25-year-old will begin the year at Triple-A with a chance to appear in Oakland again if injuries strike before their bigger corner prospects are ready.

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