Reynaldo Lopez

Reynaldo Lopez

30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez was a setup man for three different teams in 2023, splitting time between the White Sox, Angels by way of a trade, then Guardians via waiver claim. The 29-year-old compiled a career-best 22 holds and six saves while demonstrating increased velocity on his four-seam fastball that he threw 98.2 mph on average. He relied on the pitch more than ever, throwing the heater a career-high 64.3% of the time with excellent results (.188 BA, 46 strikeouts). After closing out 2023 with a scoreless month of September (11 innings), the right-hander finished with a respectable 3.27 ERA along with 83 strikeouts, his most as a full-time reliever. However, after Atlanta signed Lopez to a 3-year pact, beat writers have reported he will stretch out during spring training to possibly contribute as a starter and reliever. Given his career splits as a starter (4.73 ERA) versus reliever (3.01 ERA), one would think Lopez will hold a setup role once again. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#387
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $26 million contract with Atlanta in November of 2023. Contract includes $8 million team option ($4 million buyout) for 2027.
Tosses another gem
PAtlanta Braves
June 13, 2024
Lopez (4-2) earned the win Thursday, allowing no runs on two hits and a walk over six innings against the Orioles. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
Lopez allowed only three baserunners on the day, never more than one in an inning, and matching a season-high with eight strikeouts. Lopez has made a habit this year of tossing gems, collecting his eighth quality start while never allowing more than three runs in an outing and allowing two runs or less for the 11th time in 12 starts this season. Lopez will carry a league-leading 1.69 ERA into his next outing, currently scheduled to take place early next week when the Tigers pay a visit to Atlanta for a three-game set.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Reynaldo Lopez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Reynaldo Lopez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
Even Split
2023
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .206 379 98 48 67 9 3 7
Since 2022vs Right .212 423 118 19 84 19 2 6
2024vs Left .203 152 38 19 27 1 1 3
2024vs Right .204 118 32 3 23 9 0 1
2023vs Left .180 124 35 23 18 1 1 3
2023vs Right .227 154 48 11 32 4 0 5
2022vs Left .239 103 25 6 22 7 1 1
2022vs Right .204 151 38 5 29 6 2 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 1.76 0.99 102.0 7 3 2 10.0 2.7 0.3
Since 2022Away 3.38 1.19 98.2 6 10 4 9.4 3.3 0.9
2024Home 1.26 1.04 35.2 2 0 0 8.3 3.5 0.3
2024Away 2.14 1.04 33.2 2 2 0 9.9 2.1 0.8
2023Home 2.53 1.13 32.0 2 2 2 12.4 3.9 0.6
2023Away 3.97 1.41 34.0 1 5 4 10.3 5.3 1.6
2022Home 1.57 0.82 34.1 3 1 0 9.4 0.8 0.0
2022Away 4.06 1.10 31.0 3 3 0 7.8 2.3 0.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Reynaldo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.18
 
K/9
9.1
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
95.4 mph
 
ERA
1.69
 
WHIP
1.04
 
BABIP
.268
 
GB/FB
1.03
 
Left On Base
85.8%
 
Exit Velocity
83.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.7%
 
Spin Rate
2141 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.7%
 
Swinging Strike
12.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Excelling on extra rest
PAtlanta Braves
April 29, 2024
According to David O'Brien of The Athletic, Lopez believes the extra rest he's received between starts during the first month of the season has helped with his performance.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander worked in relief over the past couple years for the White Sox but is one of the best starters in MLB so far in 2024 with a 0.72 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 24:8 K:BB across 25 innings. Lopez made only four starts through the first month of the season, and he has yet to pitch on fewer than six days rest. Atlanta may continue giving the 30-year-old extra days whenever it can, since his transition from relief always meant he was likely to face some limitations with his workload.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
After five-and-a-half years of struggling to make it as a starter, Lopez made the transition to full-time reliever in 2022 with 60 of his 61 appearances coming out of the pen. The right-hander demonstrated increased velocity on all four of his pitches, including an extra 1.3 mph on his fastball for a 97.1 mph average (93rd percentile), plus another 3.5 mph on his curve. He had great results too, posting six wins, nine holds and career-best ratios across 65.1 innings. Lopez's strikeout rate was consistent with 2021 and slightly above average at 24.8%, but he really made strides with his control and home run rate. His 4.3% walk rate and 0.14 HR/9 were also career-bests, with the latter tied for the best among qualified relievers after giving up just one home run last season. Lopez has the upside to close, but with Liam Hendriks and other veteran relievers to contend with in Chicago, don't count on an abundance of saves chances in 2023.
Evaluating Lopez requires a look beyond his season-long stats, as his 20 appearances in the majors were split nearly exactly evenly between starting and relieving. As a starter, Lopez posted a strong 15.4 K-BB% though his 4.10 ERA was likely fortunate given that he surrendered 1.7 HR/9. However, Lopez really made his mark as a reliever. In 20.1 innings of work, Lopez predictably saw his K% spike to 30.1, and he surrendered a more respectable 1.3 HR/9. Despite the positives, it's also important to keep Lopez's relative success in perspective. For one, this small run of success comes in the face of a career that has been dominated by struggles to this point. Lopez's success also came in largely low-leverage roles as he failed to log either or a save or hold. His performance was likely enough to save his future in the majors, though his path to consistent fantasy value is less clear given the strength of the White Sox bullpen and Michael Kopech's likely move to a full-time role in the rotation.
Lopez's 2020 campaign was derailed by a combination of injury and poor performance that led to a brief demotion to the team's alternate site. He ended the season with a 6.49 ERA that was marred by a 12.4% walk rate and 3.1 HR/9. On a positive note, Lopez incorporated both his slider and changeup more heavily. After throwing his fastball at or near a 60% clip through the first four seasons of his career, Lopez's fastball usage dipped to just over 50% in 2020. As a result, he threw three different pitches at a 20 percent or higher clip for the first time in his career. New pitching coach Ethan Katz could help Lopez build on this tweak to improve his results in 2021. A positive trajectory will be necessary for Lopez to remain in the rotation, as Michael Kopech will return in 2021 and the team could look to add to their staff in free agency as well.
In 2018, Lucas Giolito posted the worst ERA among qualified starters. While Lopez's 5.38 ERA wasn't the worst of 2019, he was next in line, with only Rick Porcello's 5.52 mark being higher. If you squint, there's a glimmer of hope for Lopez. His 4.88 SIERA suggests the actual 5.38 ERA was unlucky. More importantly, Lopez's second-half skills improved, fueling a 4.29 second-half ERA (6.34 before the break). Specifically, Lopez's strikeout rate improved to 22.5% from 19.5%, his walk rate dropped to 7.3% from 8.5% and his HR/FB plummeted to 1.26 from an unsightly 2.11. Lopez's fastball velocity is 83rd percentile, but he lacks spin on both it and his curve. Their respective spin rates rank 22nd and 7th percentile. Lopez's breakout potential is far from "roster at all costs." However, if you have a deep reserve, consider stashing Lopez and monitoring spin rates and performance early in the season.
Lopez closed out the year with an outstanding run in September (1.09 ERA), bringing his ERA for the season under 4.00 after it got as high as 4.72 in mid-August. Was it mostly luck, or did Lopez actually figure something out down the stretch? He said last summer that he was focusing on the mental aspect of the game instead of just trying to blow by hitters, continuing lessons instilled by Max Scherzer about scouting hitters, locating and changing visual angles. An important aspect of Lopez's development has been the slider that White Sox pitching coach Don Cooper taught Lopez in 2017. It has since become Lopez's best pitch by Pitch Values. Lopez's strikeout rate soared to 27.6% over the final month, and while it may have been mostly fluky, part of it may have been his maturation as a pitcher and the more granular scouting of his opponents. Further refinement of the changeup is still needed, but there is plausible upside here.
Acquired from the Nationals last offseason in the Adam Eaton deal, Lopez is one of many power arms the club has stockpiled. After 22 starts for Triple-A Charlotte, registering a 3.79 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 131 whiffs in 121 innings, Lopez got the call to the majors, making his Pale Hose debut on Aug. 11. Lopez started eight contests, working at least six stanzas in all but one, an impressive feat in today's five-and-fly climate. A 65 percent left-on-base rate didn't do his ERA any favors, though a weak 15 percent strikeout rate didn't help either. Lopez displayed an above-average strikeout clip everywhere else, including a short stint with the Nationals in 2015, so expect the righty and his 95-mph fastball to pick up the pace as he further acclimates to major-league hitters. Lopez has the stuff to be a difference-maker down the line. For now, there will still be growing pains, working half the time in one the American League's friendlier hitting venues.
After dominating Double-A to begin the season, Lopez spent the second half bouncing between Triple-A and the majors, posting solid ratios at Syracuse despite a decline in his strikeout rate but mostly struggling for Washington. He flashed his upside in August, though, posting a 1.29 ERA and 13:4 K:BB in 14 innings over back-to-back starts against the Braves. The 22-year-old right-hander's big weapon is a fastball that averaged 95.8 mph in the majors, but he also mixes in a plus curveball and work-in-progress changeup. There are concerns about his ability to hold up as a starter given his slight frame, but his arsenal should allow him to thrive in a late-inning role if he is eventually moved to the bullpen. Traded to the White Sox in the Adam Eaton deal, Chicago will give Lopez every chance to stick as a starter, and a strong spring could put him in the rotation to begin 2017.
A year after a breakout performance that landed him near the top of the Nationals' prospect list, Lopez is still more future projection that he is finished product. His 4.09 ERA and 8.5 K/9 in 99 innings at High-A Potomac weren't exactly dominant, but his 2.5 BB/9 and 0.5 HR/9 indicate an ability to keep the ball in the lower half of the strike zone that will serve him well as he advances through the system. The 22-year-old right-hander fires a heavy high-90s fastball from an easy, repeatable delivery, and his curveball and changeup both have the makings of above-average pitches. Six-foot pitchers with big velocity tend to get typecast as relievers, and that could well be Lopez's eventual fate, but his athleticism and secondary offerings are strong enough to give the Nats every reason to keep him in the rotation as he works his way up the ladder.
Signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012 as an 18-year-old, Lopez raced up prospect lists after a breakout season in which he struck out 70 batters in 83.1 innings between the New York-Penn and South Atlantic leagues. The right-hander features a heavy mid-90s fastball that he can crank up to near triple digits when he feels the need, plus a work-in-progress breaking ball and changeup, and if everything comes together, he'll give the Nationals yet another future ace to slot in alongside Stephen Strasburg and Lucas Giolito. Lopez is a long way from being in their company, though, and even the Yordano Ventura comps getting bandied around are very premature. The kid has massive upside, and that fastball is as close to a guarantee of a big league job as you'll find, but you may want to wait and see if he can dominate over a full season before anointing him as the next big thing.
More Fantasy News
Nabs quality start in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
June 6, 2024
Lopez allowed two runs on six hits and one walk while striking out seven batters over six innings in a no-decision against Washington on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Racks up eight punchouts
PAtlanta Braves
May 31, 2024
Lopez (3-2) yielded a run on four hits and two walks over six innings Friday, striking out eight and earning a win over the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Thursday
PAtlanta Braves
May 29, 2024
Lopez won't start Thursday's game against the Nationals, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts just 4.2 innings
PAtlanta Braves
May 25, 2024
Lopez (2-2) took the loss Saturday in Pittsburgh, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and one walk over just 4.2 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Effective again in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
May 20, 2024
Lopez allowed two runs on five hits and one walk while striking out four batters over 6.1 innings in a no-decision versus San Diego in Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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