2025 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
5.16
WHIP
1.65
K
25
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
After being called up in June, Povich initially struggled against major-league hitters, going 1-7 with a 6.58 ERA over his first 11 starts. The lefty was demoted by the Orioles several times before finding his groove in September when he posted a 2.60 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 32:8 K:BB over 27.2 innings. Povich, a third-round pick in 2021, lacks high-end velocity but throws the kitchen sink. His minor-league numbers hint at room for growth with his strikeout rate and the team context is favorable -- even as the left-field wall in Baltimore is moving in. His performance over the final month might give him the inside track for one of the final rotation spots, but Povich will have to solidify his role in spring training. Read Past Outlooks
Gives up two homers in no-decision
Povich didn't factor into Wednesday's decision against the Yankees, allowing three runs on three hits and three walks while striking out two over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
Povich put the Orioles behind early, when he yielded a two-run homer to Aaron Judge in the first inning. Povich steadied himself over the next three innings but was taken deep by Paul Goldschmidt in the fifth frame and was lifted from two batters later. Povich has given up six home runs over his last four starts, and the 37 hits he's allowed is tied for fourth most in the American League. He's slated to face the Twins on the road next weekend.
Povich put the Orioles behind early, when he yielded a two-run homer to Aaron Judge in the first inning. Povich steadied himself over the next three innings but was taken deep by Paul Goldschmidt in the fifth frame and was lifted from two batters later. Povich has given up six home runs over his last four starts, and the 37 hits he's allowed is tied for fourth most in the American League. He's slated to face the Twins on the road next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Cade Povich generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Cade Povich generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-48%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .217 | 23 | 11 | 25 | 2 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .288 | 71 | 35 | 92 | 16 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .179 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .344 | 18 | 9 | 32 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .230 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .265 | 53 | 26 | 60 | 10 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-21%
ERA at Home
2025
-82%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.70 | 1.46 | 67.0 | 8.5 | 3.6 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 5.95 | 1.54 | 42.1 | 6.6 | 4.0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 7.94 | 1.88 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 5.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 1.42 | 1.34 | 12.2 | 6.4 | 0.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.60 | 1.32 | 50.0 | 8.5 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2024Away | 7.89 | 1.62 | 29.2 | 6.7 | 5.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Cade Povich compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.08K/9
7.6BB/9
3.6HR/9
1.8Fastball
92.2 mphERA
5.16WHIP
1.65BABIP
.346GB/FB
1.06Left On Base
71.4%Exit Velocity
84.2 mphBarrels/BBE
7.0%Spin Rate
2256 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.5%Swinging Strike
9.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2024 Fantasy Outlook
While Povich lacks a truly special pitch, the 6-foot-3 lefty throws four or five quality pitches and showed improved control early this year in a return to Triple-A as a 24-year-old. He had a 14.7 percent walk rate in 10 starts at Triple-A last year and sports a 9.1 percent walk rate through 11 starts in 2024. This significant improvement suggests Povich should be a good bet to make it as a starter long term, and he could be given that first opportunity before the All-Star break. He throws his 91-94 mph four-seamer over 40 percent of the time while mixing in his cutter, changeup, sweeper and curveball. It seemed like Chayce McDermott and Povich each had a similar chance of breaking through as quality starters for the Orioles this year, but McDermott's control has regressed while the younger Povich's has improved, so Povich is currently the top pitcher in the system to stash.
More Fantasy News
Earns first win of 2025
Povich (1-2) earned the win against the Nationals on Thursday, allowing one run on four hits and one walk while striking out five across 6.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up seven runs in loss
Povich (0-2) took the loss Friday against the Reds, allowing seven runs on six hits and five walks while striking out four across 3.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two runs in no-decision
Povich did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 7-6 extra-inning loss to the Blue Jays, allowing two runs on seven hits and one walk with two strikeouts over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Lit up in loss
Povich (0-1) took the loss Sunday against the Royals, allowing four runs on 13 hits and no walks over six innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in shaky outing
Povich allowed three runs on five hits and two walks over 4.1 innings during a no-decision against Boston on Monday. He struck out eight in the win.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Nearing MLB debut?
Orioles GM Mike Elias said Friday that Povich is "on the top of our tongues" for a potential promotion to the big leagues, reports Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun.
ANALYSIS
Elias announced Friday that both John Means and Tyler Wells will undergo elbow surgery to repair their respective UCLs, leaving Baltimore with some rotation questions for the rest of the season. Povich is one of the organization's top prospects and has taken a step forward at Triple-A Norfolk this season with a 2.35 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 71:19 K:BB across 53.2 innings.
Elias announced Friday that both John Means and Tyler Wells will undergo elbow surgery to repair their respective UCLs, leaving Baltimore with some rotation questions for the rest of the season. Povich is one of the organization's top prospects and has taken a step forward at Triple-A Norfolk this season with a 2.35 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 71:19 K:BB across 53.2 innings.