2025 Stats
W-L
8-3
ERA
1.83
WHIP
0.91
K
84
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
In eight games in 2024, Brown was 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA and a 5.52 FIP, and he allowed 21 walks and 8 homers in 37.1 innings of work. Many, including the staffer writing this outlook, dropped him after the terrible start. Brown then went on to close the month of May with two quality starts with 12 strikeouts, three walks and just a single homer against the Angels and Mariners. Brown then did for you what he wasn't doing the first third of the season and went 10-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP along with a 18.4 percent K-BB percentage the rest of this season. Brown credited time spent with Ryan Pressly and Alex Bregman on approaching his game plan and batters, but the addition of a sinker in late May certainly helped, as it gave Brown a pitch that moved into righties and away from lefties. By season's end, the sinker was Brown's primary pitch, and the league struggled to square up most of his offerings after May. Only that sinker had an actual batting average against over .250, and Brown used six different pitch types to righties and lefties, keeping them on their toes. Houston has some changes to its overall roster, but Brown's significant step forward in 2024 in the face of some early statistical adversity has certainly raised his draft profile. Dare we say dark horse Cy Young candidate? Read Past Outlooks

Fires six scoreless frames
Brown (8-3) picked up the win Sunday against Tampa Bay, allowing one hit and four walks with five strikeouts over six scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
Only 49 of Brown's 93 pitches found the strike zone Sunday, but he navigated the lack of control masterfully to notch his fifth scoreless start of the campaign. Brown's four walks tied his season high, and his one hit allowed was a season best. However, Brown failed to strike out eight batters for just the second time in eight starts. In 12 appearances this season, Brown has a sparkling 1.83 ERA and an 84:20 K:BB over 73.2 innings, and he leads MLB in quality starts with 10. His next start is tentatively scheduled to come against the Guardians in Cleveland.
Only 49 of Brown's 93 pitches found the strike zone Sunday, but he navigated the lack of control masterfully to notch his fifth scoreless start of the campaign. Brown's four walks tied his season high, and his one hit allowed was a season best. However, Brown failed to strike out eight batters for just the second time in eight starts. In 12 appearances this season, Brown has a sparkling 1.83 ERA and an 84:20 K:BB over 73.2 innings, and he leads MLB in quality starts with 10. His next start is tentatively scheduled to come against the Guardians in Cleveland.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Hunter Brown generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Hunter Brown generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .216 | 231 | 79 | 160 | 23 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .264 | 210 | 56 | 200 | 27 | |||
2025vs Left | .169 | 43 | 12 | 21 | 4 | |||
2025vs Right | .200 | 41 | 8 | 26 | 2 | |||
2024vs Left | .209 | 103 | 37 | 71 | 10 | |||
2024vs Right | .279 | 76 | 23 | 85 | 8 | |||
2023vs Left | .246 | 85 | 30 | 68 | 9 | |||
2023vs Right | .276 | 93 | 25 | 89 | 17 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-17%
ERA on Road
2025
-65%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 4.18 | 1.28 | 189.1 | 10.1 | 3.8 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 3.47 | 1.20 | 210.0 | 9.8 | 2.4 | ||||
2025Home | 0.88 | 0.88 | 30.2 | 11.2 | 3.5 | ||||
2025Away | 2.51 | 0.93 | 43.0 | 9.6 | 1.7 | ||||
2024Home | 3.35 | 1.19 | 86.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | ||||
2024Away | 3.64 | 1.36 | 84.0 | 9.6 | 2.9 | ||||
2023Home | 6.56 | 1.57 | 72.2 | 10.5 | 4.2 | ||||
2023Away | 3.80 | 1.18 | 83.0 | 10.1 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Hunter Brown compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.20K/9
10.3BB/9
2.4HR/9
0.7Fastball
96.6 mphERA
1.83WHIP
0.91BABIP
.249GB/FB
1.57Left On Base
87.0%Exit Velocity
80.5 mphBarrels/BBE
2.9%Spin Rate
2189 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
17.9%Swinging Strike
11.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
After receiving an encouraging cup of coffee to end the 2022 season, Brown broke camp in the Astros rotation where he stayed all season. He made 31 appearances, with 29 starts. His 5.09 ERA is misleading as his 3.52 xFIP and 3.74 SIERA suggest Brown experienced some misfortune. The main culprits were a bloated .330 BABIP, a low 68.8 percent left on base mark and an extremely high 21.0 percent home run per fly ball clip. It's never all bad luck, but these metrics all scream impending regression. Brown's 18.5 percent K-BB percent ranked an impressive 21st among pitchers with a minimum of 150 innings pitched. The 25-year-old right-hander threw his 96-mph four seamer 46 percent of the time, but his 26.8 percent strikeout rate was driven by his curveball utilized at a 24 percent clip. Brown also toyed with a splitter with encouraging results. The Houston organization is adept at fine tuning their pitcher's repertoire, boding well for Brown to take the next step, beyond what natural regression will provide. Top-30 starting potential from a pitcher coming off a season with a 5.09 ERA is a great target.
More Fantasy News

Sharp in seventh win
Brown (7-3) earned the win Tuesday, allowing one run on six hits and no walks over six innings against the Athletics. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles vs. Tampa
Brown (6-3) took the loss Wednesday against the Rays, allowing five runs on seven hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Goes distance in narrow loss
Brown (6-2) pitched a complete game despite taking the loss versus the Rangers on Thursday, allowing one run on three hits while striking out nine without walking a batter over eight innings.
ANALYSIS
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Nine strikeouts in sixth win
Brown (6-1) earned the win Friday in a 3-0 win over the Reds, pitching 5.2 shutout innings while giving up two hits and four walks and striking out nine batters.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in fifth win
Brown (5-1) picked up the win Saturday in an 8-3 victory over the White Sox, giving up three runs on four hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Staking claim as Houston's ace?
Brown could be establishing himself as the ace of the Astros' rotation this season after producing a 2.04 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 71:16 K:BB across 61.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander took a major step forward during the 2024 regular season with a 3.49 ERA in 31 outings, and he's taking another big leap early in 2025. Framber Valdez has been one of the most consistent starters in baseball and is currently leading Houston's staff, but he's scheduled to become a free agent after the season. Brown's 30.6 percent strikeout rate in 2025 ranks fifth among qualified starters, and he'll be firmly in the race for the American League Cy Young Award if he can maintain this form for the full campaign.
The right-hander took a major step forward during the 2024 regular season with a 3.49 ERA in 31 outings, and he's taking another big leap early in 2025. Framber Valdez has been one of the most consistent starters in baseball and is currently leading Houston's staff, but he's scheduled to become a free agent after the season. Brown's 30.6 percent strikeout rate in 2025 ranks fifth among qualified starters, and he'll be firmly in the race for the American League Cy Young Award if he can maintain this form for the full campaign.