The Long Game: 20 Predictions
The Long Game: 20 Predictions

This article is part of our The Long Game series.

Last year, I foolishly made preseason predictions as an exercise in thinking outside the box. I wasn't really expecting to get most, or even any, of them right necessarily. The point was to consider possibilities that were, perhaps, more plausible that Conventional Wisdom was crediting. Since I actually published them in 2018, I'm now stuck not only reviewing how I did, but doing a set of new ones for 2019, and flaunting my ignorance for all to see. Ugh.

Anyway, let's rip the band-aid off first before inflicting new wounds on my ego. I'll give three grades: PASS, if the prediction was more or less correct; MEH, if it got some things right and some wrong; and FAIL, if it was a total train wreck:

1. Neither NL wild-card team came out of the NL East. The Marlins were bad, but they weren't historically bad – three teams in the league lost at least 100 games, and they weren't any of them. FAIL

2. I was 0-for-3 in my NL Rookie of the Year predictions with Ryan McMahon, Scott Kingery and Jack Flaherty. Flaherty was the closest, finishing fifth. FAIL
 

3. Semi-fading Ronald Acuna would have been a terrible idea. FAIL
 

4. Ozzie Albies did hit 20 homers (24, to be precise), but he didn't hit .290 and he certainly didn't steal 40 bags. The jury is still out on whether he becomes the next Jose Ramirez, Francisco Lindor or Jose Altuve

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Erik Siegrist
Erik Siegrist is an FSWA award-winning columnist who covers all four major North American sports (that means the NHL, not NASCAR) and whose beat extends back to the days when the Nationals were the Expos and the Thunder were the Sonics. He was the inaugural champion of Rotowire's Staff Keeper baseball league. His work has also appeared at Baseball Prospectus.
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