Shohei Ohtani

29-Year-Old DHDH

Los Angeles Angels

10-Day IL

Injury Elbow

Est. Return 2/1/2024

2023 Stats

W-L

10-5

ERA

3.14

WHIP

1.06

167

AVG

.304

RBI

102

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Last year's player outlook said we had never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He did not quite have a repeat of his monster season at the plate in 2022, but he more than made up for that with his best season yet on the mound. Any other year, his 2022 season would be worthy of a unanimous MVP award, but Ohtani's season toiled both in the obscurity of the secondary team in the Los Angeles market while also in the large shadow of Aaron Judge's historic season. The only frustrating issue with Ohtani is if you're in a league in which you must declare how you will use him each week, because that format mostly renders his pitching talents null and void unless you're staring at several suboptimal matchups in a five-game week for Ohtani. The DH-only label slightly impacts his draft day value, as standard format leagues must then adjust downstream for losing the in-draft flexibility of the UT spot. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 210

DOB 7/5/1994

Born Oshu, Japan

College None

Drafted 2017 LAA

Gets surgery, won't pitch in '24

DHLos Angeles Angels

Elbow

September 19, 2023

Ohtani underwent surgery on his right elbow Tuesday, Sarah Valenzuela of the Los Angeles Times reports.

ANALYSIS
Ohtani's agent, Nez Balelo, confirmed the right-hander had the procedure in Los Angeles on Tuesday, though Bazelo didn't clarify the nature of the surgery. However, Bazelo noted that Ohtani's procedure "reinforced the healthy ligament in place while adding viable tissue for the longevity of the elbow," which likely indicates that the two-way star opted for an alternative to Tommy John surgery. Citing comments from Ohtani's surgeon, Dr. Neal ElAttrache, Balelo relayed that the 29-year-old is expected to make a full recovery and will be ready to hit without restrictions by Opening Day, though Ohtani won't be cleared to pitch again until 2025. Ohtani, who is also recovering from an oblique injury that will prevent him from serving as a designated hitter the rest of the season, will finish the 2023 campaign with a .304/.412/.654 slash -- all of which represent career highs -- 44 home runs and 20 stolen bases across 594 plate appearances. Before suffering the elbow injury in late August, Ohtani also maintained a 3.14 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with 167 strikeouts over 132 innings as a pitcher. Ohtani is set to become a free agent this offseason and is certain to spark a bidding war between many teams, even though he'll be limited strictly to hitting in 2024.

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Pitching Stats

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+13%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+27%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+17%

OPS vs RHP

2021

+3%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	.884	617	81	38	85	14	.258	.342	.542
Since 2021vs Right	1.002	1280	214	86	205	43	.287	.396	.606
2023vs Left	.890	165	24	11	24	4	.245	.358	.532
2023vs Right	1.132	427	78	33	71	16	.327	.431	.701
2022vs Left	.787	228	22	9	27	3	.263	.329	.459
2022vs Right	.921	438	68	25	68	8	.278	.370	.551
2021vs Left	.980	224	35	18	34	7	.263	.344	.636
2021vs Right	.954	415	68	28	66	19	.254	.388	.566
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+10%

OPS at Home

2023

+6%

OPS on Road

2022

+35%

OPS at Home

2021

+8%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	1.012	935	162	69	155	29	.284	.389	.622
Since 2021Away	.918	964	133	55	135	28	.271	.369	.548
2023Home	1.031	275	51	22	41	9	.282	.385	.645
2023Away	1.097	319	51	22	54	11	.323	.436	.662
2022Home	1.005	332	50	21	55	6	.314	.395	.610
2022Away	.746	334	40	13	40	5	.233	.317	.429
2021Home	1.003	328	61	26	59	14	.254	.387	.616
2021Away	.926	311	42	20	41	12	.260	.357	.569
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-17%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-14%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-15%

BAA vs RHP

2021

-24%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2021vs Left	.218	847	247	72	166	29	2	31
Since 2021vs Right	.180	877	295	71	141	32	0	16
2023vs Left	.197	255	76	23	45	8	0	11
2023vs Right	.170	276	91	32	40	7	0	7
2022vs Left	.221	318	101	24	64	10	2	8
2022vs Right	.188	342	118	20	60	13	0	6
2021vs Left	.235	274	70	25	57	11	0	12
2021vs Right	.178	259	86	19	41	12	0	3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-43%

ERA at Home

2023

-29%

ERA at Home

2022

-38%

ERA at Home

2021

-61%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2021Home	2.15	1.00	247.1	19	7	0	11.6	2.9	0.9
Since 2021Away	3.78	1.12	181.0	15	9	0	11.1	3.1	1.1
2023Home	2.70	1.05	80.0	6	3	0	11.9	3.9	1.0
2023Away	3.81	1.08	52.0	4	2	0	10.6	3.5	1.6
2022Home	1.82	0.90	89.0	7	4	0	12.0	1.5	0.7
2022Away	2.92	1.14	77.0	8	5	0	11.7	3.4	0.8
2021Home	1.95	1.07	78.1	6	0	0	10.7	3.4	1.0
2021Away	5.02	1.12	52.0	3	2	0	10.9	2.4	1.0
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Stat Review

How does Shohei Ohtani compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.64

BB Rate

15.3%

K Rate

24.1%

BABIP

.342

ISO

.350

AVG

.304

OBP

.412

SLG

.654

OPS

1.066

wOBA

.443

Exit Velocity

94.4 mph

Hard Hit Rate

42.9%

Barrels/PA

11.7%

Expected BA

.294

Expected SLG

.634

Sprint Speed

22.7 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

42.3%

Line Drive %

18.2%

Fly Ball %

39.5%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Shohei Ohtani Prospect Ranking History

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Additional Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2015

Simply put, we've never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He hit 46 homers, drove in 100 runs and stole 26 bases. Oh, and he also pitched 130.1 innings, fanning 156 and going 9-2 on the mound. The incredible two-way campaign earned Ohtani the AL MVP in a unanimous vote (even as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came close to a Triple Crown), the 19th unanimous MVP vote in MLB history. Many in the fantasy game could not bank all those stats -- the Ohtani Rules vary from platform to platform, and most in weekly lineup leagues had to choose whether to deploy Ohtani at UT or P, sacrificing one side of his production in a given week. He made seven appearances in the outfield last season and remains DH-only on offense in most formats, but Ohtani is a once-in-a-lifetime baseball player with more tools in his set than anyone else in the game. He's the easy No. 1 overall in leagues that allow daily lineup moves.

We know Ohtani can pitch at an elite level when he is healthy, and has shown excellent hitting abilities as well, but neither were present in 2020. He hit poorly around the occasional home run, and pitched only a handful of forgettable innings before shutting it down with a forearm strain. Ohtani was 21 months removed from his Tommy John surgery when the abbreviated season began; the disruption to the training schedule was the last thing any player, but particularly a two-way player, needed on the road to recovery. The poor pitching results and forearm strain coupled with the issues at the plate creates some uncertainty regarding Ohtani's future role. The once-a-week pitching plan the Angels have gone with to this point creates a bit of a headache in weekly lineup leagues. He might have more upside in those formats if he were to stick on one side of the ball.

While on the mend from Tommy John surgery, Ohtani served exclusively as a designated hitter for the Angels in 2019. The 25-year-old only saw his offensive production tail off marginally from his rookie campaign, slugging 18 home runs to go with 12 steals and a .286 average before he was shut down in mid-September for a minor left knee procedure. Ohtani enters the spring ostensibly at full health; the Angels will slow play him in camp and are not expected to return Ohtani to a big-league mound until mid-May at the earliest. If Ohtani quickly regains his pre-surgery command and velocity, he could be one of the top starting pitchers on a per-outing basis, just as he was during his 10 starts in 2018. His value would skyrocket if fantasy providers allow Ohtani to be used in a utility spot on his non-pitching days, as he should be in store for a handful of starts per week as a DH.

The two-way phenom was limited to just two appearances on the mound over the final four months of the season, but he continued to hit despite a busted UCL, and the offensive numbers were excellent. After undergoing Tommy John surgery in early October of 2018, he will be limited exclusively to hitting in 2019. If healthy, Ohtani would have a case as a top-100 overall player, but he's not expected back until May, so look for Ohtani to fall closer to pick 200 in mixed leagues. He had the sixth-best barrel rate in baseball (min. 150 batted-ball events) and a top-10 xSLG. His 92.6 mph average exit velocity ranked ahead of the likes of Khris Davis, Christian Yelich and Mookie Betts. The only real negatives besides health: he's UT-only and hit just .222/.300/.354 with a 31.8% K-rate against left-handed pitching. Even when active, he probably won't be a true everyday player, but Ohtani's numbers should be close to elite on a per-plate-appearance basis.

Ohtani could be the best player ever to come to MLB from Japan. In addition to racking up 624 strikeouts and posting a 2.52 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP in 543 innings over the last five seasons with the Nippon Ham Fighters, Ohtani has hit .286/.358/.500 with 48 homers in 1,170 plate appearances. He's hit at least .300 in each of the last two seasons, while carrying an OBP above .400 and a slugging percentage above .500. The Angels signed Ohtani in December, and he will immediately join the front of the team's rotation. Soon after he signed, it was revealed that Ohtani has a first-degree sprain of the UCL in his right elbow, but the Angels knew about the injury before signing him. Additionally, he missed most of 2017 as a result of an ankle injury that required surgery in October. The Angels are considering a six-man rotation. With that, he may get two turns in the lineup as the DH between each start on the mound.

Ohtani is arguably the top player in the world not in MLB. The Japanese star not only throws 102 mph and had a 1.86 ERA last season, but also hit 22 home runs with a 1.004 OPS as a DH for the Nippon Ham Fighters. Ohtani appeared to be all but set to make his move to MLB following the 2017 season, but changes in the new in the new collective-bargaining agreement that restrict MLB teams' spending on international free agents under age 25 may push his arrival back as far as 2020.

Ohtani made headlines as a two-way player, Japan's first since the '60s, as a rookie in 2013. He made even more headlines as a sophomore in 2014 by comprehensively improving both sides of his game. Ohtani regularly hit 100 mph on the radar gun, and went 11-4 with a 2.61 over 155.1 innings, striking out 179 while walking 57. At the plate, Ohtani slashed .274/.314/.444 over 234 plate appearances, hitting 17 doubles and 10 home runs. Ohtani's future is pretty clearly on the mound at this point, but he's a tantalizing talent in either role. He's a keeper prospect to monitor.

More Fantasy News

Shut down for season

DHLos Angeles Angels

Elbow

September 16, 2023

Ohtani (elbow) was placed on the injured list with a right oblique strain Saturday, ending his season, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports.

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Clears out locker

DHLos Angeles Angels

Oblique

September 16, 2023

Ohtani (oblique) cleared out his locker in the Angels' clubhouse Friday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.

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Remains out Friday

DHLos Angeles Angels

Oblique

September 15, 2023

Ohtani (oblique) is out of the lineup Friday against the Tigers, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.

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Held out again Wednesday

DHLos Angeles Angels

Oblique

September 13, 2023

Ohtani (oblique) remains out of the lineup for Wednesday's game in Seattle, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.

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Still out Tuesday

DHLos Angeles Angels

Oblique

September 12, 2023

Ohtani (oblique) isn't in the Angels' lineup Tuesday against the Mariners, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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