As William Munny said to Little Bill Daggett: Deserve's got nothing to do with it.
Sometimes the obvious pick is also the correct one. Derrick Henry (above) shows no signs of slowing down despite 784 carries the past two seasons.
Chris Godwin's fumble near the end of Thursday night's game (which almost cost Chris Liss an expensive survivor pool entry) helped him see randomness and luck in larger context.
Chris Liss predicts either A.J. Brown or DK Metcalf will lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns this year.
Predicting Van would outscore Justin Jefferson didn't entirely pan out.
So what if I took a tight end at 1.1 and left you Christian McCaffrey at 1.2? Side bet, why absolutely. Name your price!
Do Ryan Tannehill and the Titans have a better shot for a deep postseason run than more conservative teams like the Colts and Steelers?
The best thing you can do if you made an error, like leaving Baker Mayfield on your bench this weekend, is to take the L and let it go.
Gigatron (DK Metcalf) had a huge game against the Eagles Monday night after being unfavorably compared to Calvin Johnson (Megatron) by former Lions head coach Jim Schwartz.
With so many unable to see family this Thanksgiving, it's important to go at least 2-1 against the spread. To that end, Chris Liss is leaning Steelers minus four.
Cam Newton and Patriots won an ugly slog against the heavily favored Ravens last week, avoiding mistakes and executing when it counted.
Sometimes the thing you should do generally (wait on quarterbacks) is not what you should do in a specific instance (draft Kyler Murray in the sixth round.)
Facing reality is an alternative to dwelling dejectedly on Jonathan Taylor's evaporating value.
Baker Mayfield looked like peak Drew Brees Sunday, but that's because he had all day to throw.
Sam Darnold and the Jets haven't been historically bad so far, but it's too late to turn the season around, so they might as well have fun with it.
Justin Tucker is the greatest kicker of all time, but even an average kicker would be a Hall of Famer in prior eras.
Mobile, athletic QBs like Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson were the right picks in recent NFL drafts, unlike some of their more polished counterparts.
Chris Liss' Dak Prescott-led NFFC Primetime team is doing well through three games and helping him better tolerate the teams and contests in which he's faring poorly.
With GOAT kickers like Justin Tucker now playing in the league's best offenses, the "wait-till-the-last-two-rounds-to-draft-a-kicker" dogma needs to be retired.
Chris Liss was excited about his zero-RB team, but unfortunately it's not only about finding the right running backs. His first pick, Michael Thomas, had a bad week and is now nursing a high-ankle sprain.
Chris Liss predicts Dak Prescott will throw 40 touchdowns this season, now that he has CeeDee Lamb and Blake Jarwin in the lineup and Mike McCarthy's pass-heavy approach near the goal line.
An influx of talented young receivers like Terry McLaurin makes the position deeper and tougher to rank than in years past.
Taking Lamar Jackson in the second round would have generated significant side bets, but it's the Patriots defense in Round 4 that would have gotten your league-mates to go all-in against your juggernaut.
Tom Brady's having a bad season by conventional metrics, but he's getting little help from his receivers, and he's largely avoiding negative plays.
Jared Goff had more than 400 yards halfway through the third quarter in a rout of the Cardinals Sunday. Chris Liss had made Arizona his best bet.
Chris Liss is grateful for his improbable wins in Week 12 when players like Ryan Fitzpatrick racked up needed points in garbage time.
A small handful of your decisions, like taking Lamar Jackson as your fantasy quarterback, have outsized impact on your results.
Chris Liss wasn't happy this summer when Saquon Barkley went one pick ahead of him, and he was stuck with Christian McCaffrey at pick two.
It's not just the random backups more than holding their own, but left-for-dead veterans like Derek Carr and Ryan Tannehill showing almost anyone in a decent situation can have success in the modern NFL.
If net points were the criterion for Wild Card berths, Russell Wilson might be asked to throw the ball more often.