31-Year-Old First Baseman – Free Agent
2017 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
What first appeared to be a balky back ended up costing Duda nearly four months of 2016 season. The veteran first baseman was off to a slow start, slashing .231/.297/.431 with seven homers when he was...
Lucas Duda Contract Information:
Signed a one-year, $7.25 million contract with the Mets in January of 2017, avoiding arbitration.
Duda is not in the lineup for Friday's game against the Orioles, according to Roger Mooney of the Tampa Bay Times.
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|2017 (Multiple Teams)||31||MAJ||NYM/TB||127||491||423||50||92||58||28||0||30||64||0||0||60||135||0||2||6||.217||.322||.496||.818|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2017 projections for Lucas Duda||3-Year Averages||111||440||379||53||93||43||22||0||21||62||1||1||50||103||0||3||8||.245||.343||.470||.813|
|Career (View All)||812||3,095||2,665||345||644||294||153||3||138||405||5||7||355||745||1||22||52||.242||.340||.457||.796|
Lucas Duda: MLB Games Played By Position
Lucas Duda: Minor League Games Played By Position
Lucas Duda Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
|Year||Age||Lg||Tm||PA||AB||Walk Rate||Strikeout Rate||BB/K Ratio||Contact Rate||BABIP||Isolated Power|
|2017 (Multiple Teams)||31||MAJ||NYM/TB||491||423||12.2%||27.5%||0.44||68%||.238||.279|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2017 projections for Lucas Duda||3-Year Averages||440||379||11.4%||23.4%||0.49||73%||.279||.225|
Lucas Duda Defensive Stats
|Year||Pos||Inn||PMFinal (?)||EXP Tot (?)||PM (?)||AirPM (?)||EPM (?)||InnHome (?)||PMH (?)||InnLHP (?)||PMLHP (?)||LEFT (?)||MID (?)||RGHT (?)|
|Year||Pos||SHAL (?)||MED (?)||DEEP (?)||CERS (?)||SBRS (?)||PSBRS (?)||BRS (?)||GDPRS (?)||OFARS (?)||GFPDMERS (?)||PMRS (?)||SZRS (?)||TRS (?)|
2017 Stat Review for Lucas Duda As compared to the top 200 hitters in 2016 (min 410 PA)
Patience at the plate often leads to positive outcomes.
A couple of useful stats for evaluating a hitter.
Good contact skills often lead to better fantasy stats.
SLG and ISO are useful indicators of power.
Lucas Duda: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
It was another season of peaks and valleys for Duda, but the final numbers look remarkably similar to those from 2014. Despite hitting below .190 in two separate months, Duda saw his batting average fall only nine points from the previous season, and he led the team in home runs for a second straight year. He also improved upon his already stellar on-base percentage in his age-29 season, maintaining a walk rate right around 12 percent, good for 17th among all qualified hitters in Major League Baseball (ninth in the NL). The strikeouts were up slightly, but he made more consistent contact than he did in 2013 or 2014 — his 76.9% contact rate was below average, but respectable for a player with Duda's power. While he can be a frustrating player to own in fantasy given his streaky tendencies, Duda is a perennial 30-homer threat and his spot in the middle of the lineup is secure.
Finally removed from the shadow of Ike Davis at first base and no longer miscast as an outfielder, Duda had a breakout campaign in 2014. There's little reason to believe he'll ever be able to hit left-handed pitching (32.8 K%, .516 OPS v. LHP last season), but his numbers against righties were elite (.915 OPS) and he showed power to all fields last season after previously being a predominantly pull hitter. The power potential has always been there with Duda, and his first 30-homer season wasn't simply the result of a spike to his HR/FB rate (16.0% in 2014, compared to a 13.5% career mark). If he can maintain the progress that he made with former hitting coach Lamar Johnson, Duda should be primed for another big year in the heart of the Mets' lineup in his age-29 campaign.
Duda opened the season as the Mets' starting left fielder, but proved unable to handle the task defensively while providing less production than expected at the plate by hitting .235 with 11 homers and 23 RBI through mid-June. He was shifted to first base when Ike Davis was demoted, but after just a few days there, a quad injury sidelined him until late August. Duda had four home runs and 13 RBI in September, but hit just .202 for the month. His future value hinges on whether he or Davis is dealt, as Duda has shown he can't play the outfield. Additionally, he continues to struggle against lefties, and now has a career .224/.302/.341 line against them in the big leagues.
Duda was counted on to provide power to the Mets after his solid 2012 season, but he seemingly struggled throughout the year. Those struggles became even more magnified after the All-Star break, where he hit just .214 with three homers and 13 RBI in 112 at-bats after having a decent first half (.249, 12 homers, 44 RBI). Those second-half struggles landed Duda in the minors, but he was recalled after a month in Triple-A. Duda fractured his right wrist moving furniture this offseason, but he is expected to be ready with no restrictions for spring training. The big question is: can Duda adapt to the outfield and not take his defensive problems to the plate?
The last three months of the year Duda made the most of the opportunity opened up by the injury to Ike Davis and trade of Carlos Beltran. Duda hit all 10 of his home runs and drove in 41 of his 50 runs in that stretch, showing power to center and right field, though all of his long balls came against righties. The only negative was that Duda suffered a concussion running into the fence in St. Louis on September 21, missing the last week of the season, but his headaches cleared up in late October and he is feeling healthy. Duda is penciled in as the starting right fielder and should bat fifth for the Mets.
Duda, a seventh-round pick out of USC in 2007, had a breakout season, hitting a career-high 23 home runs between Double-A Binghamton and Triple-A Buffalo, with a .999 OPS in 264 at-bats for the latter affiliate. He struggled mightily his first few weeks in the majors before having a big last two weeks. Duda also has a good eye at the plate, walking in more than 10 percent of his plate appearances at every minor league stop. His best position may be first base, but with Ike Davis entrenched there Duda will head to spring training with a shot at earning the fourth outfielder spot in New York.