Patrick Corbin
34-Year-Old
2023 Stats
W-L
10-15
ERA
5.20
WHIP
1.48
K
124
SV
0
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Corbin has made at least 31 starts in each of his four full seasons with the Nationals, which does hold some value for a team which has spent much of that stretch in a rebuilding phase. Unfortunately, the results were awful again in 2023, with the left-hander's 5.20 ERA and 1.48 WHIP ranking 42nd and 44th, respectively, among 44 qualifiers. Corbin had a 30.8 percent strikeout rate in his final season with the Diamondbacks, which is a large reason why the Nationals gave him $140 million. In 2023 that number tumbled to 15.7 percent, which also ranked dead last among qualifiers. Corbin has averaged 32.3 home runs allowed per season over the last three years, and his slider, which used to be one of the better pitches in baseball, had a .354 xWOBA last year. The southpaw is mercifully entering his walk year in 2024, which means the Nats might not even feel obligated to keep him in the rotation all season if things continue to go this poorly. Read Past Outlooks
Fans six in bumpy start
Corbin gave up three runs on six hits and two walks over 3.2 innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
The Ks were a good sign for Corbin despite the final line, as was the fact that Monday's free passes were his first of the spring. His 16:2 K:BB in 12.1 innings does come with a 5.11 ERA, but the former metric is generally a better sign of how a pitcher is performing in camp. Corbin got stretched out to 74 pitches (45 strikes) and appears just about ready for Opening Day, but given that he hasn't posted an ERA below 5.20 over a full season since 2019, the 34-year-old southpaw is little more than an endgame dart even in deep fantasy formats.
The Ks were a good sign for Corbin despite the final line, as was the fact that Monday's free passes were his first of the spring. His 16:2 K:BB in 12.1 innings does come with a 5.11 ERA, but the former metric is generally a better sign of how a pitcher is performing in camp. Corbin got stretched out to 74 pitches (45 strikes) and appears just about ready for Opening Day, but given that he hasn't posted an ERA below 5.20 over a full season since 2019, the 34-year-old southpaw is little more than an endgame dart even in deep fantasy formats.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Patrick Corbin generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Patrick Corbin generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .268 | 91 | 35 | 110 | 9 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .307 | 304 | 131 | 502 | 88 | |||
2023vs Left | .254 | 24 | 10 | 32 | 4 | |||
2023vs Right | .301 | 100 | 47 | 178 | 29 | |||
2022vs Left | .321 | 25 | 11 | 45 | 3 | |||
2022vs Right | .320 | 103 | 38 | 165 | 24 | |||
2021vs Left | .228 | 42 | 14 | 33 | 2 | |||
2021vs Right | .302 | 101 | 46 | 159 | 35 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-4%
ERA at Home
2023
-9%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 5.63 | 1.54 | 254.0 | 7.1 | 2.7 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 5.86 | 1.54 | 250.1 | 7.0 | 3.2 | ||||
2023Home | 5.46 | 1.49 | 84.0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Away | 4.97 | 1.48 | 96.0 | 6.8 | 3.8 | ||||
2022Home | 5.17 | 1.52 | 85.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | ||||
2022Away | 7.75 | 1.92 | 67.1 | 7.0 | 2.5 | ||||
2021Home | 6.27 | 1.62 | 84.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | ||||
2021Away | 5.38 | 1.32 | 87.0 | 7.3 | 3.1 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Patrick Corbin compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.18K/9
6.2BB/9
2.9HR/9
1.7Fastball
92.1 mphERA
5.20WHIP
1.48BABIP
.316GB/FB
1.48Left On Base
69.7%Exit Velocity
83.8 mphBarrels/BBE
6.3%Spin Rate
2056 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.4%Swinging Strike
9.2%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Patrick Corbin See More
Todd Zola considers the impact of extra rest on starting pitchers and wonders if the Orioles will treat Corbin Burnes with the same care that the Brewers did.
Todd Zola considers a new approach to regressing a pitcher's BABIP, which suggests better days should be ahead for Hunter Greene.
Erik Halterman looks at the best and worst players by round for earned auction value rankings, including Freddie Freeman, who from a pure "spots gained" perspective, was the best pick of Round 1.
Todd Zola has Weekly Pitcher Rankings for the final week of the 2023 season, with plenty of scenarios in play for pitchers who could get pulled from starts based on their teams' playoff status.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Corbin's 6.31 ERA was by far the highest among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. However, his 4.21 xFIP was only 10th highest as he was victimized by a .365 BABIP and 64.4% LOB mark. Corbin's 11.1% K-BB% mark was also subpar as his swinging strike rate dropped below 10% for the first time since 2016. Corbin's once vaunted slider isn't nearly as effective, which in turn takes away from his other offerings. Normally, it's sage to target pitchers coming off an unlucky season, but even after correcting for misfortune, Corbin is a below average hurler with a pedestrian strikeout rate. Team context is also poor with Nationals Park favoring hitters and a weak lineup limiting run support. The only box Corbin checks is durability with five straight full seasons of at least 31 starts. Perhaps he can be helpful in points leagues, but in roto-scoring, you're better off with a dominant reliever.
More Fantasy News
Deploys cutter in Thursday's start
Corbin gave up three hits over three scoreless innings while striking out four in Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Second start coming Thursday
Corbin is scheduled to make his second Grapefruit League start Thursday versus the Cardinals, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles continue in loss
Corbin (10-15) took the loss Wednesday, allowing four runs on six hits and four walks over 4.2 innings against the Orioles while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Blasted in 14th loss
Corbin (10-14) took the loss Friday, allowing five runs on five hits and one walk over 4.1 innings against Atlanta. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one run in no-decision
Corbin did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks over six innings against Milwaukee. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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