RotoWire Partners

Justin Nicolino

26-Year-Old Pitcher – Cincinnati Reds

2018 Stats

W-L

ERA

WHIP

K

SV

2018 Preseason Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

K

SV

2018 Fantasy Baseball Outlook

An inability to miss bats may not be a death sentence in the minors, but it's generally a recipe for disaster at the major-league level, especially when it is accompanied by a high walk rate. Last sea...

Read more about Justin Nicolino

2018 ADP:  452.07

Rank (Overall): Hidden

Rank (RP): Hidden

Get Custom Auction Value

LEAGUE: AAA    40 MAN: NO   BATS: L   THROWS: L   HT: 6' 3"   WT: 160   DOB: 11/22/1991   DRAFTED: 2nd Rd    Show ContractHide Contract

$

Justin Nicolino Contract Information:

Waived by the Marlins in March of 2018. Claimed off waivers by the Reds in March of 2018.

March 27, 2018  –  Justin Nicolino News

▼ More

RotoWire Fantasy Analysis

+ Add To Watchlist

Nicolino was outrighted to Triple-A Louisville on Tuesday.

To instantly reveal our fantasy analysis of every player – including Justin Nicolino – simply subscribe now.

Justin Nicolino Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats       Show 5x5 Stats OnlyShow All Statistics       Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G GS SH IP H ER HR K BB W L SV BS HLD ERA WHIP
2011 19 A LAN 3 3 0 8.2 11 3 0 9 2 1 1 0 0 0 3.12 1.59
2011 19 A VAN 3 9 0 52.1 28 6 0 64 11 5 1 0 0 0 1.03 0.75
2012 20 A LAN 28 22 0 124.1 112 34 6 119 21 10 4 0 0 0 2.46 1.07
2013 21 A+ JUP 9 18 0 96.2 89 24 4 64 18 5 2 0 0 0 2.23 1.11
2013 21 AA JAC 9 9 0 45.1 63 25 2 31 12 3 2 0 0 0 4.96 1.66
2014 22 AA JAC 28 28 2 170.1 162 54 10 81 20 14 4 0 0 0 2.85 1.07
2015 23 AAA NEW 20 20 0 115.0 134 45 11 63 29 7 7 0 0 0 3.52 1.42
2015 23 MAJ MIA 12 12 0 74.0 72 33 8 23 20 5 4 0 0 0 4.01 1.24
2016 24 AAA NEW 14 14 0 85.0 87 39 10 49 13 7 6 0 0 0 4.13 1.18
2016 24 MAJ MIA 18 13 0 79.3 96 44 8 37 20 3 6 0 0 0 4.99 1.46
2017 25 A+ JUP 1 1 0 6.0 7 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3.00 1.17
2017 25 AAA NEW 1 14 0 79.0 75 28 10 51 24 5 5 0 0 0 3.19 1.25
2017 25 MAJ MIA 20 8 0 48.0 66 27 8 26 20 2 3 0 0 0 5.06 1.79
2018 26 AAA LOU 13 13 0 73.0 83 38 7 40 20 3 4 0 0 0 4.68 1.41
Today's Projections     Subscribe now to see Today's projected stats for Justin Nicolino
Next 7 Days     Subscribe now to see our Next 7 Days projections for Justin Nicolino
Rest Of Season     Subscribe now to see our Rest Of Season projections for Justin Nicolino
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for Justin Nicolino
3-Year Averages     16 11 0 67.1 78 34 8 28 20 3 4 0 0 0 4.56 1.46
Career  (View All)     50 33 0 201.3 234 104 24 86 60 10 13 0 4.65 1.46

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▼ Advanced Stats

No Yes No
Justin Nicolino Game Log    (View Full Game Log)
# of Team Games To Display:    Show 14Show 14    Show 30Show 30    Show 60Show 60
DATE OPP IP H R ER HR BB K HBP WP CG W-L SV BS HLD ERA WHIP
Last 14 Games (Team)
0 Games Pitched:  Avg. 0.0 IP/G
0.0 - 0.00 0.00
Last 30 Games (Team)
0 Games Pitched:  Avg. 0.0 IP/G
0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
Last 60 Games (Team)
0 Games Pitched:  Avg. 0.0 IP/G
0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
Justin Nicolino Minors Game Log    (View Full Game Log)
# of Days To Display:    Show 14Show 14    Show 30Show 30    Show 60Show 60
DATE OPP IP H R ER HR BB K HBP WP CG W-L SV ERA WHIP
Jun. 20 Durham 5.0 7 4 4 0 1 3 1 0 0 W 0 7.20 1.60
Jun. 14 Columbus 3.0 6 5 5 1 2 2 0 0 0 L 0 15.00 2.67
Jun. 7 Pawtucket 5.0 6 4 4 2 2 1 0 0 0 L 0 7.20 1.60
Jun. 1 Gwinnett 7.0 6 1 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 - 0 1.29 1.00
May. 26 Durham 8.0 8 3 3 0 0 4 1 0 0 W 0 3.38 1.00
May. 20 Norfolk 4.0 8 5 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 - 0 11.25 2.25
May. 15 Durham 6.0 4 1 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 - 0 1.50 0.83
May. 9 Indianapols 6.0 5 3 3 1 2 2 0 0 0 - 0 4.50 1.17
May. 4 Norfolk 7.0 8 4 4 0 3 5 0 0 0 - 0 5.14 1.57
Apr. 29 Toledo 5.0 11 3 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 L 0 5.40 2.20
Apr. 23 Charlotte 4.0 5 4 3 1 3 3 0 0 0 L 0 6.75 2.00
Last 14 Days
3 Games:  Avg. 4.3 IP/G
13.0 19 13 13 3 5 6 1 0 0 1-2 0 9.00 1.85
Last 30 Days
5 Games:  Avg. 5.6 IP/G
28.0 33 17 17 3 6 14 2 0 0 2-2 0 5.46 1.39
Last 60 Days
11 Games:  Avg. 5.5 IP/G
60.0 74 37 36 7 16 30 2 0 0 2-4 0 5.40 1.50

Justin Nicolino Split Stats    (View Full Split Stats)

Vs. Left

Year Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR BAA
2017605223402.397
20169011222511.272

Vs. Right

Year Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR BAA
2017169211843826.295
20162562618741217.319

Home

Year IP W L SV K BB HR ERA WHIP
201725.7100141043.511.60
201637.013013634.381.32

Away

Year IP W L SV K BB HR ERA WHIP
201722.3130121046.852.01
201642.3230241455.531.58
Justin Nicolino vs. Today's Pitcher Stats

Justin Nicolino Advanced Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats      Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G GS IP K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 GB/FB Ratio Strand % Fastball ERA FIP BABIP
2011 19 A LAN 3 3 8.2 9.88 2.20 4.50 0.00 76.9% 3.12 1.74 .438
2011 19 A VAN 3 9 52.1 11.06 1.90 5.82 0.00 84.6% 1.03 1.43 .252
2012 20 A LAN 28 22 124.1 8.63 1.52 5.67 0.44 78% 2.46 2.54 .315
2013 21 A+ JUP 9 18 96.2 5.99 1.68 3.56 0.37 80.6% 2.23 3.03 .291
2013 21 AA JAC 9 9 45.1 6.19 2.39 2.58 0.40 68.5% 4.96 3.33 .388
2014 22 AA JAC 28 28 170.1 4.29 1.06 4.05 0.53 74.4% 2.85 3.45 .276
2015 23 AAA NEW 20 20 115.0 4.93 2.27 2.17 0.86 77.6% 3.52 4.21 .320
2015 23 MAJ MIA 12 12 74.0 2.80 2.43 1.15 0.97 1.53 70.2% 88.7 MPH 4.01 4.92 .256
2016 24 AAA NEW 14 14 85.0 5.19 1.38 3.77 1.06 67.8% 4.13 4.04 .288
2016 24 MAJ MIA 18 13 79.3 4.20 2.27 1.85 0.91 1.82 66.7% 89.2 MPH 4.99 4.45 .320
2017 25 A+ JUP 1 1 6.0 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 83.3% 3.00 5.03 .274
2017 25 AAA NEW 1 14 79.0 5.81 2.73 2.13 1.14 79.8% 3.19 4.54 .275
2017 25 MAJ MIA 20 8 48.0 4.88 3.75 1.30 1.50 2.10 75.6% 90.8 MPH 5.06 5.60 .347
2018 26 AAA LOU 13 13 73.0 4.93 2.47 2.00 0.86 67.7% 4.68 4.30 .314
Today's Projections     0 0 .0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 .000
Next 7 Days     0 0 .0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 .000
Rest Of Season     0 6 34.7 4.15 3.00 1.39 1.18 70.6% 4.96 4.98 .317
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for Justin Nicolino
3-Year Averages     16 11 67.1 3.75 2.68 1.40 1.07 71.1% 4.56 4.81 .303
Career     50 33 201.3 3.84 2.68 1.43 1.07 70.4% 4.65 4.82 .304

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats

No Yes

Justin Nicolino Defensive Stats

Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats      ▲ Advanced Stats

2018 Stat Review for Justin Nicolino    As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2016 (min 130 in)

K/BB/HR Stats

A collection of stats that measure different skills.

Explain This

2.00 K/BB
POOR
4.93 K/9
TERRIBLE
2.47 BB/9
GOOD
0.0 MPH Fastball
TERRIBLE
0.9 HR/9
GREAT
0.00 GB/FB Ratio
EXTREME FLYBALLER
ERA/WHIP/FIP

A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.

Explain This

4.68 ERA
POOR
1.41 WHIP
WEAK
4.30 FIP
WEAK
BABIP/Strand

Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.

Explain This

.314 BABIP
HIGH
67.7% Strand Rate
LOW

Cincinnati Reds Roster

Justin Nicolino: Past News Updates   ( ▲ View most recent update )

Nicolino was claimed off waivers by the Reds on Sunday.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino is expected to make the Marlins' roster as either a starter or a reliever, Joe Frisaro of MLB.com reports.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino is still in the running for one of the Marlins' three open rotation spots, Clark Spencer of The Miami Herald reports.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino is competing for one of the Marlins' final three rotation spots in spring training, Joe Frisaro of MLB.com reports.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino came on in relief during Monday's 11-2 loss to the Nationals, tossing 2.1 innings and giving up three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out one batter.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino (2-2) lasted only 2.1 innings in Wednesday's 8-0 loss to the Phillies, giving up six runs on eight hits and a pair of walks.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino (2-1) struck out one and allowed one run on six hits over five innings to pick up the win in a 3-1 victory over the Mets on Friday.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino (1-1) allowed two runs (one earned) on six hits and four walks while striking out two over 5.1 innings to earn the victory Saturday against the Rockies.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Nicolino was recalled from Triple-A New Orleans and will start Saturday against the Rockies.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.

RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks

2018

Subscribe now to see our 2018 outlook.

2017

Nicolino posted an uninspiring 4.99 ERA while going 3-6 in 13 starts for the Marlins in 2016, which prompted a demotion to Triple-A New Orleans in July. He pitched somewhat better upon returning to the Marlins in a bullpen role late in the season, allowing just one run in 8.2 September innings. With a fastball that rarely breaks 90 mph, Nicolino is an extreme contact pitcher who put up a paltry 4.2 K/9 in 2016. Unfortunately, hitters also hit .317 on balls in play against him, which along with a 1.46 WHIP helps explains the high ERA. Nicolino hasn't struck out hitters at a rate of even 6.5 K/9 since High-A, so it would be shocking if he posts average strikeout numbers going forward. Even if he returns to the rotation in 2017, Nicolino's complete lack of strikeouts and inability to keep runners off base makes him someone to largely avoid in fantasy.

2016

Baseball Reference lists Nicolino’s nickname as "Big Bird," and if pictures were used in these player outlooks the nickname's origin would be obvious. Nicolino's 7.6-percent K rate in 74 IP is the lowest in that many innings since Aaron Cook's 4.9 percent in 94 IP in 2012. Unfortunately, this fits Nicolino’s upper minors work. In 285 IP at Double-A and Triple-A since 2014, he combined for just a 12-percent rate (4.5 K/9). At least Cook had an elite groundball rate to go with his strikeout ineptitude. Nicolino picked the worst era in which to have a strikeout deficiency. It’s hard to find a league type where you would want to bet on this profile.

2015

Nicolino improved his stock in the Marlins' packed farm system, making 25 starts for Double-A Jacksonville in which he hurled 170.1 innings and registered a 2.85 and 1.07 WHIP. Nicolino collected a modest 4.3 K/9 and though his low strikeout totals are a cooler to his long-term fantasy outlook, the Marlins are surely pleased with the 23-year-old’s plus command as he totaled a 4.05 K/BB ratio during his fourth season in the minors. Of course, luck was also a contributor, as Nicolino benefitted from the lowest BABIP of his professional career (.276) during the 2014 campaign. Nicolino is likely to break camp with Triple-A New Orleans after proving his mastery of Double-A competition during a very successful season last year and he’s got an outside shot at making starts for the Marlins this summer as well.

2014

Nicolino struggled to get going following a promotion to Double-A last season, posting a 4.96 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in nine starts (45.1 innings ) compared to the sparkling 2.23 ERA and 1.11 WHIP he posted over 18 starts (96.2 innings) at High-A Jupiter. The blame cannot entirely be placed on the pitcher as he suffered an unfortunate 97-point spike in his BABIP to .388 during his time at Double-A. Lacking elite strikeout ability, Nicolino leans on steady command (3.16 K/BB in 2013) and an advanced approach, frequently mixing location and velocity, to get by. Another trip through Double-A is the likely course of action for Nicolino in 2014 with the chance for a second-half promotion if he pitches well down on the farm.

2013

A former second-round pick, Nicolino was included in the blockbuster deal between the Jays and Marlins in November. As a 21-year-old left-hander with control, Nicolino should progress somewhat quickly through the Marlins' system after carrying a 5.7 K/BB in the Midwest League last season. By most accounts, he has the ceiling to be a good big league starter, but the upside appears to be limited to that of a mid-rotation option as the strikeout rate could tumble a bit as he faces more advanced hitters at higher levels.

2012

The 2nd round pick from 2010 had a very fine season at Low-A and Single-A in 2011, posting a 1.33 ERA across 15 appearances (12 starts) and striking out 73 batters in 61 innings with just 13 walks. His low-90s fastball is complemented with some nice secondary offerings so he should continue to dominate at the lower levels.