35-Year-Old Outfielder – Free Agent
2018 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Long past his most noteworthy seasons with the Rockies from 2009 to 2011, Smith has made a living off his ability to crush right-handed pitching (career .270/.354/.467), which guaranteed him 400 plate...
Seth Smith Contract Information:
Had his $7 million option picked up by the Mariners in November of 2016.
Smith is not in the lineup Saturday against the Rays.
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|2018 RotoWire Projections||Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for Seth Smith|
|Career (View All)||1249||4,083||3,582||525||934||381||224||31||126||458||22||7||431||797||2||30||38||.261||.344||.446||.790|
Seth Smith: MLB Games Played By Position
Seth Smith Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
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|2018 RotoWire Projections||Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for Seth Smith|
Seth Smith Defensive Stats
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2017 Stat Review for Seth Smith As compared to the top 200 hitters in 2016 (min 410 PA)
Patience at the plate often leads to positive outcomes.
A couple of useful stats for evaluating a hitter.
Good contact skills often lead to better fantasy stats.
SLG and ISO are useful indicators of power.
2018 Projected Stats Breakdown for Seth Smith
2018 projections compared to top 200 hitters in 2016 (min 410 PA)
2018 projections compared to top 100 outfielders in 2016 (min 325 PA)
Seth Smith: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Smith registered his usual full season as a platoon player in 2016 and dialed up his highest home-run total since 2010. His split skills carry through in the power column, which often makes him useful as a matchup play in daily-transaction and daily-fantasy leagues, as well as weekly-transaction formats when he's facing a succession of right-handed arms. Still, even against his favorite handedness, Smith's batting average typically leaves something to be desired. In on-base-percentage leagues, he's more useful because of his walk rates, which have been camped in the above-average department for most of his career. Seattle picked up his option for 2017 but later traded him to Baltimore, where he will likely occupy the matchup role in right field. The 34-year-old is safe and established, traits that go a long way in the majors. Fantasy players can plug him in -- or, in AL-only leagues, leave him in -- as a useful, if unexciting, component.
Smith's not flashy and doesn't garner headlines, but he turned in a solid first season in Seattle in his platoon role, hitting right-handed pitchers for an .801 OPS and 43 extra-base hits. His first-half/second-half splits -- .268 AVG, .815 OPS vs. .219, .713 -- look stark, but Smith was the same hitter against right-handers all season. In the first half, he posted an .801 OPS vs. RHP; in the second half, it was .802. The difference in his overall numbers came from facing many more lefties in the second half. In the first half, southpaws accounted for 7.2% of his at-bats; in the second half, that number jumped to 20.6%. And considering he went 4-for-33 in those at-bats, it's easy to see how his second-half numbers were skewed. Smith, who batted in every spot in the order last season, appears in line for only semi-regular at-bats in 2016 with both Norichika Aoki and Franklin Gutierrez in the mix as well.
Among the morass of the Padres' putrid offense in 2014, Smith stood out in an outfield beset by injury and ineffectiveness, but even he was restricted to facing right-handers, against whom he secured 393 of his 443 at-bats. Nonetheless, he led the team in most offensive categories, racking up 118 hits (including 31 doubles and five triples), 55 runs, 69 free passes and an .807 OPS. Along the way, he put pen to paper on a two-year, $13 million extension on July 2, but his play dropped a level thereafter, as he amassed a pedestrian .249/.346/.366 line and tallied three of his 12 homers on the season. He was traded to Seattle in the offseason where he'll compete for playing time in the outfield and likely win a platoon role in right field.
Smith started 2013 with a bang, hitting .321 in April with 16 RBI, but struggled for most of the summer, bottoming out while hitting a combined .141 over 92 at-bats in July and August. Smith had a touch-up done on his Lasik surgery in August and came back with a strong September, hitting nearly .400 in 28 at-bats. If the eyes were really his issue, Smith provides a nice left-handed bat off the bench or as the left-handed side of a pure platoon. Smith has a career .844 OPS against righties compared to a .582 mark against lefties. Smith was traded to the Padres in early December, and while Petco Park is no treat to hit in, Smith likely has a chance at procuring more at-bats in San Diego than he did in Oakland.
Smith was acquired from the Rockies in the offseason and served mostly as the left-handed side of a platoon with Jonny Gomes. Smith has a career OPS of .805 against righties, but has struggled against lefties with a career average of .157. Smith will likely see a lot of at-bats against righties in 2013, possibly spelling Chris Young who has a career .228 batting average against righties. One item of concern for Smith's power is his falling flyball rate, which has gone from 48 percent to 40 and 36 percent over the last three years.
A career-high number of at-bats didn't translate to a complete breakout for Smith, who managed to increase his average 38 points despite minimal changes to his plate discipline last season. After the trade to Oakland, Smith won't get to enjoy the benefit of Coors Field, where had a career .925 OPS at home, compared to .750 on the road. Smith's offensive production will almost certainly be limited to what he can do against right-handed pitching as lefties continue to give him fits (.217/.272/.304 in 2011). Given the near certainty of a platoon paired with the high likelihood of a park-driven regression, tread carefully here.
Smith went into 2010 as the Rockies' fourth outfielder, behind Brad Hawpe. Hawpe played poorly and was eventually released in August, which opened up the door for Smith to get more at-bats. Prior to the All-Star break, Smith had been doing fine with 12 homers, 38 RBI, and a .287/.350/.545 line. After the break, however, his production slipped (.192/.267/.372) and his promotion exposed this recent development. In 2011, Smith should go back to hitting righties as he has throughout his career (.285/.363/.513), but he'll lose time to left-handed starters.
Smith began the season fighting for at-bats where he could, but was ultimately leapfrogged by Carlos Gonzalez in the outfielder pecking order. In 2010, he looks to be a much bigger factor in the outfield, and would be a candidate to lead off on occasion. The team has acknowledged that Smith has more to offer than Brad Hawpe, but he may have to tussle with Eric Young Jr. for playing time, as the Rockies like Young in the outfield, as opposed to having him at second base. Ultimately, Smith will have a job on the strength of his success as a pinch-hitter (.472/.574/.861), but he may have a difficult time finding at-bats if there isn't a trade or two to clear up the team's logjam in the outfield.
Smith could be the big winner in the Matt Holliday trade, getting 400 PA as a platoon player in left field and putting up very good numbers. A Matt Stairs peak, with the Coors bonus, is well within his reach.
Smith has cruised through the minors, moving up a level each year. He started 2007 at Triple-A and hit .317/.381/.528 with 17 home runs and 82 RBI in 451 at-bats. He received a September callup and went 5-for-8 in limited playing time. The Rockiesí outfield is already set in 2008 so he will compete for a reserve role with Ryan Spilborghs, Jeff Baker and Cory Sullivan in spring training. He may start the year at Triple-A if the Rockies want him to receive regular at-bats.
Advancing steadily through the system, Smith spent all of 2006 in the Double-A Texas League, batting a solid .294/.361/.483, including 46 doubles and 15 home runs. Perhaps most impressively, Smith increased his contact from 78% the previous year to 86% in 2006. It's tough to recommend him for fantasy purposes, as he'll probably never be a power hitter and has just 18 stolen bases in 324 minor league games, but he should get a September call-up at a minimum.
In his first full season in the minors, Smith batted .300/.353/.458 at Single-A Modesto. He struck out 115 times but showed at least some signs of plate discipline with 44 walks. It's Double-A Tulsa for him in 2006.