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Homer Bailey

32-Year-Old Pitcher – Cincinnati Reds

2018 Stats

W-L

1-7

ERA

6.68

WHIP

1.69

K

38

SV

0

2018 Preseason Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

K

SV

2018 Fantasy Baseball Outlook

After missing most of the last two seasons due to Tommy John elbow surgery, Bailey's 2017 campaign was delayed by three months when he needed surgery to remove bone spurs at the onset of spring traini...

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2018 ADP:  474.92

Rank (Overall): Hidden

Rank (SP): Hidden

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STATUS:  10-Day DL     INJURY TYPE:  Knee     EST. RETURN:  7/23/2018
LEAGUE: Majors   40 MAN: YES   BATS: R   THROWS: R   HT: 6' 4"   WT: 185   DOB: 5/3/1986
DRAFTED: 1st Rd    Show ContractHide Contract

$

Homer Bailey Contract Information:

Signed a one-year, $441,000 contract with the Reds in March of 2011.

July 11, 2018  –  Homer Bailey News

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General manager Nick Krall said Wednesday that Bailey (knee) will work as a starter for the remainder of his rehabilitation assignment after the Reds explored the possibility of bringing him back into the fold as a reliever, Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer reports.

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Homer Bailey Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats       Show 5x5 Stats OnlyShow All Statistics       Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G GS SH IP H ER HR K BB W L SV BS HLD ERA WHIP
2005 19 A DAY 28 21 0 103.2 89 51 5 125 62 8 4 0 4.43 1.46
2006 20 A A 13 13 0 70.2 49 26 6 79 22 3 5 0 3.31 1.01
2006 20 AA CHA 13 13 0 68.0 50 12 1 77 28 7 1 0 1.59 1.15
2007 21 A SAR 2 2 0 8.0 15 9 2 7 5 0 1 0 10.13 2.50
2007 21 AAA LOU 12 12 0 67.3 49 23 4 59 32 6 3 0 3.07 1.20
2007 21 MAJ CIN 9 9 0 45.3 43 29 3 28 28 4 2 0 5.76 1.57
2008 22 AAA LOU 19 19 0 111.3 118 59 10 96 46 4 7 0 4.77 1.47
2008 22 MAJ CIN 8 8 0 36.3 59 32 8 18 17 0 6 0 7.93 2.09
2009 23 AAA LOU 13 13 1 84.3 78 19 7 77 26 8 4 0 2.03 1.23
2009 23 MAJ CIN 22 20 0 113.3 115 57 12 86 52 8 5 0 4.53 1.47
2010 24 A DAY 1 1 0 4.0 4 3 0 5 1 0 1 0 0 0 6.75 1.25
2010 24 AAA LOU 1 3 0 19.0 15 5 0 15 5 2 0 0 0 0 2.37 1.05
2010 24 MAJ CIN 19 19 1 109.0 109 54 11 100 40 4 3 0 0 0 4.46 1.37
2011 25 AAA LOU 6 6 0 30.0 34 10 1 22 6 2 1 0 0 0 3.00 1.33
2011 25 MAJ CIN 22 22 0 132.0 136 65 18 106 33 9 7 0 0 0 4.43 1.28
2012 26 MAJ CIN 33 33 1 208.0 206 85 26 168 52 13 10 0 0 0 3.68 1.24
2013 27 MAJ CIN 32 32 1 209.0 181 81 20 199 54 11 12 0 0 0 3.49 1.12
2014 28 MAJ CIN 23 23 1 145.7 134 60 16 124 45 9 5 0 0 0 3.71 1.23
2015 29 AAA LOU 1 1 0 5.2 5 3 0 3 2 0 1 0 0 0 4.76 1.35
2015 29 MAJ CIN 2 2 0 11.3 16 7 3 3 4 0 1 0 0 0 5.56 1.76
2016 30 AA PEN 1 1 0 4.0 6 1 0 3 2 0 1 0 0 0 2.25 2.00
2016 30 AAA LOU 1 7 0 24.0 31 15 7 19 9 1 2 0 0 0 5.63 1.67
2016 30 MAJ CIN 6 6 0 23.0 35 17 2 27 7 2 3 0 0 0 6.65 1.83
2017 31 A DAY 1 1 0 6.0 1 0 0 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.17
2017 31 AA PEN 1 1 0 5.0 3 0 0 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.80
2017 31 AAA LOU 1 1 0 5.2 7 2 1 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 3.18 1.73
2017 31 MAJ CIN 18 18 0 91.0 112 65 11 67 42 6 9 0 0 0 6.43 1.69
2018 32 AAA LOU 6 5 0 30.2 37 20 4 25 7 1 2 0 0 0 5.87 1.46
2018 32 MAJ CIN 12 12 0 62.0 81 46 15 38 24 1 7 0 0 0 6.68 1.69
Next 7 Days     Subscribe now to see our Next 7 Days projections for Homer Bailey
Rest Of Season     Subscribe now to see our Rest Of Season projections for Homer Bailey
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for Homer Bailey
3-Year Averages     8 8 0 41.8 54 29 5 32 17 2 4 0 0 0 6.25 1.70
Career  (View All)     206 204 4 1,186.0 1,227 598 145 964 398 67 70 0 4.54 1.37

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▼ Advanced Stats

No No No
Homer Bailey Game Log    (View Full Game Log)
# of Team Games To Display:    Show 14Show 14    Show 30Show 30    Show 60Show 60
DATE OPP IP H R ER HR BB K HBP WP CG W-L SV BS HLD ERA WHIP
May. 28 @Ari 4.0 6 8 6 2 1 3 0 0 0 L 0 0 0 6.68 1.69
May. 23 Pit 5.0 10 4 4 1 3 3 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 6.21 1.69
May. 18 ChC 4.7 10 6 6 0 5 3 0 0 0 L 0 0 0 6.11 1.60
May. 12 @LAD 5.0 10 3 3 1 2 4 0 1 0 W 0 0 0 5.59 1.45
Last 14 Games (Team)
0 Games Pitched:  Avg. 0.0 IP/G
0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
Last 30 Games (Team)
0 Games Pitched:  Avg. 0.0 IP/G
0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
Last 60 Games (Team)
4 Games Pitched:  Avg. 4.7 IP/G
18.7 36 21 19 4 11 13 0 1 0 1-2 0 0 0 9.16 2.52
Homer Bailey Minors Game Log    (View Full Game Log)
# of Days To Display:    Show 14Show 14    Show 30Show 30    Show 60Show 60
DATE OPP IP H R ER HR BB K HBP WP CG W-L SV ERA WHIP
Jul. 13 Columbus 6.0 7 4 4 0 3 10 0 1 0 - 0 6.00 1.67
Jul. 8 Toledo 2.0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 - 0 0.00 1.50
Jul. 3 Indianapols 6.0 7 1 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 W 0 1.50 1.17
Jun. 28 Toledo 7.0 6 3 3 3 0 3 0 0 0 L 0 3.86 0.86
Jun. 23 Norfolk 6.0 10 7 7 1 1 2 1 0 0 - 0 10.50 1.83
Jun. 11 Columbus 3.0 6 5 5 0 1 1 0 0 0 L 0 15.00 2.33
Last 14 Days
3 Games:  Avg. 4.7 IP/G
14.0 15 5 5 0 5 19 0 1 0 1-0 0 3.21 1.43
Last 30 Days
5 Games:  Avg. 5.4 IP/G
27.0 31 15 15 4 6 24 1 1 0 1-1 0 5.00 1.37
Last 60 Days
6 Games:  Avg. 5.0 IP/G
30.0 37 20 20 4 7 25 1 1 0 1-2 0 6.00 1.47

Homer Bailey Split Stats    (View Full Split Stats)

Vs. Left

Year Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR BAA
2018145191338728.295
20172082927491604.277
20164710318001.429

Vs. Right

Year Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR BAA
2018147191143907.331
20172123815631507.339
20166417417101.293

Home

Year IP W L SV K BB HR ERA WHIP
201836.7050181697.121.77
201741.0160301677.901.73
20167.30106228.592.32

Away

Year IP W L SV K BB HR ERA WHIP
201825.312020866.041.58
201750.0530372645.221.66
201615.722021505.741.60
Homer Bailey vs. Today's Pitcher Stats

Homer Bailey Advanced Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats      Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G GS IP K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 GB/FB Ratio Strand % Fastball ERA FIP BABIP
2005 19 A DAY 28 21 103.2 10.90 5.41 2.02 0.44 68.5% 4.43 3.21 .336
2006 20 A A 13 13 70.2 10.13 2.82 3.59 0.77 69.2% 3.31 3.21 .265
2006 20 AA CHA 13 13 68.0 10.19 3.71 2.75 0.13 85.7% 1.59 2.45 .299
2007 21 A SAR 2 2 8.0 7.88 5.63 1.40 2.25 61.1% 10.13 6.57 .455
2007 21 AAA LOU 12 12 67.3 7.89 4.28 1.84 0.53 75.3% 3.07 3.65 .256
2007 21 MAJ CIN 9 9 45.3 5.56 5.56 1.00 0.60 1.04 61.8% 5.76 4.74 .286
2008 22 AAA LOU 19 19 111.3 7.76 3.72 2.09 0.81 68.2% 4.77 3.96 .331
2008 22 MAJ CIN 8 8 36.3 4.46 4.21 1.06 1.98 1.00 64.7% 91.5 MPH 7.93 6.52 .376
2009 23 AAA LOU 13 13 84.3 8.22 2.77 2.96 0.75 87.6% 2.03 3.52 .306
2009 23 MAJ CIN 22 20 113.3 6.83 4.13 1.65 0.95 1.11 71% 94.4 MPH 4.53 4.48 .306
2010 24 A DAY 1 1 4.0 11.25 2.25 5.00 0.00 40% 6.75 1.45 .389
2010 24 AAA LOU 1 3 19.0 7.11 2.37 3.00 0.00 75% 2.37 2.57 .280
2010 24 MAJ CIN 19 19 109.0 8.26 3.30 2.50 0.91 1.24 68.8% 92.8 MPH 4.46 3.86 .321
2011 25 AAA LOU 6 6 30.0 6.60 1.80 3.67 0.30 76.9% 3.00 2.77 .345
2011 25 MAJ CIN 22 22 132.0 7.23 2.25 3.21 1.23 1.07 68.9% 92.2 MPH 4.43 4.23 .307
2012 26 MAJ CIN 33 33 208.0 7.27 2.25 3.23 1.13 1.28 74.6% 92.5 MPH 3.68 4.07 .301
2013 27 MAJ CIN 32 32 209.0 8.57 2.33 3.69 0.86 1.45 71.6% 94.1 MPH 3.49 3.46 .292
2014 28 MAJ CIN 23 23 145.7 7.66 2.78 2.76 0.99 1.99 73% 94.2 MPH 3.71 4.00 .292
2015 29 AAA LOU 1 1 5.2 5.19 3.46 1.50 0.00 57.1% 4.76 3.78 .300
2015 29 MAJ CIN 2 2 11.3 2.38 3.18 0.75 2.38 2.00 76.5% 91.1 MPH 5.56 7.17 .310
2016 30 AA PEN 1 1 4.0 6.75 4.50 1.50 0.00 87.5% 2.25 3.95 .420
2016 30 AAA LOU 1 7 24.0 7.13 3.38 2.11 2.63 75.8% 5.63 6.66 .330
2016 30 MAJ CIN 6 6 23.0 10.57 2.74 3.86 0.78 2.13 62.5% 92.7 MPH 6.65 3.16 .466
2017 31 A DAY 1 1 6.0 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100% 0.00 1.70 .084
2017 31 AA PEN 1 1 5.0 9.00 1.80 5.00 0.00 100% 0.00 1.80 .248
2017 31 AAA LOU 1 1 5.2 10.38 3.46 3.00 1.73 87.5% 3.18 4.55 .409
2017 31 MAJ CIN 18 18 91.0 6.63 4.15 1.60 1.09 1.87 62.2% 93.5 MPH 6.43 4.95 .348
2018 32 AAA LOU 6 5 30.2 7.45 2.09 3.57 1.19 60% 5.87 4.06 .354
2018 32 MAJ CIN 12 12 62.0 5.52 3.48 1.58 2.18 1.21 65.6% 92.9 MPH 6.68 6.33 .325
Next 7 Days     0 0 .0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 .000
Rest Of Season     0 8 47.8 7.32 3.24 2.26 1.09 68% 4.75 4.22 .313
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for Homer Bailey
3-Year Averages     8 8 41.8 6.89 3.66 1.88 1.08 63.6% 6.25 4.44 .363
Career     206 204 1,186.0 7.32 3.02 2.42 1.10 69.4% 4.54 4.20 .312

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats

No No

Homer Bailey Defensive Stats

DRS Breakdown
Pos Year Inn DRS (?) Pos Rank Range & Pos (?) OF Arm (?) GFP/DME (?) GDP (?) Bunts (?) Catcher SB (?) Pitcher SB (?) Adj ERA (?) Strike Zone(?)
P 2017 91 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018 62 0 - 1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 0

Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats      ▲ Advanced Stats

2018 Stat Review for Homer Bailey    As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2016 (min 130 in)

K/BB/HR Stats

A collection of stats that measure different skills.

Explain This

1.58 K/BB
TERRIBLE
5.52 K/9
TERRIBLE
3.48 BB/9
POOR
92.9 MPH Fastball
GOOD
2.2 HR/9
TERRIBLE
1.21 GB/FB Ratio
MODERATE GROUNDBALLER
ERA/WHIP/FIP

A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.

Explain This

6.68 ERA
TERRIBLE
1.69 WHIP
TERRIBLE
6.33 FIP
TERRIBLE
BABIP/Strand

Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.

Explain This

.325 BABIP
HIGH
65.6% Strand Rate
LOW

Cincinnati Reds Roster

Homer Bailey: Past News Updates   ( ▲ View most recent update )

Bailey (knee) threw two scoreless innings in relief for Triple-A Louisville on Sunday, allowing a hit and two walks, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.

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Bailey (knee) will pitch in relief Sunday night for Triple-A Louisville on his rehab assignment, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.

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Bailey (knee) worked 6.2 innings of one-run ball in his rehab start Tuesday with Triple-A Louisville. He gave up seven hits and no walks and struck out eight.

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Bailey (knee) will throw a bullpen session Thursday and then start for Triple-A Louisville on Saturday, John Fay of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.

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Bailey (knee) has been pulled off his rehab assignment with Triple-A Louisville, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.

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Bailey (knee) is expected to begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Louisville on Monday, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.

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Bailey (knee) could begin a minor-league rehab assignment in the next 4-to-5 days, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.

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RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks

2018

Subscribe now to see our 2018 outlook.

2017

Bailey took longer than expected to return from Tommy John surgery, and then his 2016 season ended prematurely due to biceps tendinitis. Before the tendinitis kicked in, he had two encouraging starts, striking out 17 Brewers and Marlins over 11 innings. In his six starts upon his return, Bailey's fastball averaged 92.7 mph, slower than in his pre-injury form, but faster than when he was pitching hurt in 2015. The Reds have reserved a rotation spot for Bailey -- and well they should, given that there's still four years left on his $105 million contract signed in February 2014. Unfortunately, he won't toe the rubber for Cincinnati on Opening Day after undergoing surgery to remove bone spurs in his elbow in February, so those who take a flier on Bailey will probably want to wait and see if he's closer to his old self following another operation before deploying him in active lineups.

2016

The Reds didn't necessarily have a "Bonds vs. Van Slyke" decision between extending Homer Bailey or Johnny Cueto, but it essentially played out that way for them, only to see that decision blow up almost immediately. Bailey started behind schedule in 2015 thanks to a torn flexor mass in his forearm suffered in 2014, and then subsequently pitched with diminished velocity in two starts in April, after which the Reds discovered a torn UCL in his throwing arm. He had Tommy John surgery in early May and so far is on target in his rehab. The Reds hope that he'll be ready to return in mid-May. Typically pitchers coming back from TJS struggle with their command and control in that first season back, though he should be back close to full velocity in short order. He has five more years left on his contract, so it will be interesting to see if the Reds try to deal him if he demonstrates a full recovery, or instead feature him as part of their rebuilding process.

2015

Did Bailey peak in 2013, or is there another level still left in him? The Reds bet on Bailey in the form of a six-year, $105 million contract, only to see him struggle early in 2014 and then end the season with a flexor mass injury that forced him to miss 10 starts. So far, he's serving as a cautionary tale against signing about-to-be free agent starters to a long-term contract, though there's still plenty of time for the rest of this story to be completed, and there were plenty of good indicators in 2014. After increasing his average fastball velocity in 2013, he was able to maintain that rate in 2014. Each successive month drew better results before his injury, too, as his BAA improved, so did his ERA and WHIP, significantly. Bailey's home ballpark may limit his ultimate upside, enough that he may never be a first-tier fantasy starting pitcher, but he might prove to be a bargain again if he shows up to spring training healthy. There is a possibility that he might not be ready for the start of the season, however, so he's one to watch closely this spring.

2014

Bailey followed up his 2012 breakout campaign with an even better 2013 season, highlighted by his second career no-hitter. Even though it wasn't reflected in his record, Bailey improved across the board, posting a better ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate and home-run rate. The key for Bailey was a spike in his fastball velocity - after averaging 92.5 mph in 2012, his velocity rose to 94.1 mph in 2013. That translated into great results with that pitch (18.9 runs above average, according to Fangraphs). Bailey's name could come up frequently at the trade deadline this year if the Reds don't get off to a good start, as he'll be eligible for free agency after the 2014 season.

2013

Bailey finally had the breakthrough we've all been waiting for, making it through a full season unscathed for the first time in his career. He had a 3.21 ERA over the second half, also lowering his walk and home run rates, culminating in a no-hitter against the Pirates followed by a sterling start in the playoffs against the Giants. Bailey had a couple of extreme splits that might be bankable next season - at home he had a 5.16 ERA with 21 homers allowed in 99.1 innings, compared to a 2.32 road ERA with five homers allowed in 108.2 innings; he also had a 5.02 ERA during the day and a 3.23 ERA at night. Bailey is at the point where he'll start to get expensive for the team - this matters to you insomuch that the Reds have to decide if he has a long-term future with the team or if they should trade him before he reaches free agency. The latter could boost his value depending where he lands.

2012

How many ways can we describe Homer Bailey's unfulfilled potential? It seems as if we could write similar profiles for him every year. Once again, he spent time on the DL with a shoulder problem. Once again, he was a little unlucky, with a 69 percent strand rate. He turned in a nearly identical ERA from 2010, while striking out one less batter per nine innings. And yet, and stop us if you've heard this before, he's still relatively young, turning 26 in May. This is a critical season for Bailey, as he'll start to become more expensive for the Reds, and they'll have to decide how much of a commitment they want to make toward him.

2011

Bailey demonstrated some improvement in 2010, raising his strikeout rate while maintaining decent walk and home run rates. His overall record looks a little worse than it could have been, thanks to a 68-percent strand rate and a .321 BABIP against. Will it be enough to stick in the starting rotation? His spot is pretty tenuous, with Travis Wood, Mike Leake and perhaps even Aroldis Chapman battling with Bailey for the final two spots after Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez. He has the talent to succeed, and he's still young enough to turn that talent into performance.

2010

Investing in pitching prospects is often a matter of faith without evidence - there are times when you have to trust the scouting reports and pedigree and hope that the pitcher in question eventually fulfills his promise. Bailey is finally on that path, finishing the season on a 6-1 run with a sub-2.00 ERA. While many will point to his starts against the Astros and Pirates as the reason for his success, he also had great home starts against the Cardinals and Dodgers in that stretch. Furthermore, his velocity, often dormant in 2008, returned in 2009, as he frequently was clocked in the 95-97 mph range deep into his starts. There's enough here to believe that he's for real.

2009

There's no way to sugarcoat Bailey's awful 2008 season - his 7.93 ERA accurately reflects just how poorly he pitched at the major league level. His fastball has lost a couple of mph from previous seasons, and he hasn't successfully adjusted to that reality. Still, Bailey has a lot of raw talent remaining, and he'll be just 23 in 2009. Patience should be the order of the day, both for the Reds (or a possible trade partner) and for you in dynasty leagues. Just keep him on your reserve roster as long as you can.

2008

Many Reds fans will tell you that the Reds waited too long to call up Bailey, but the opposite is probably more likely to be true. Bailey had a hard time finishing off hitters, both in the majors and at Triple-A Louisville. He often struggled to command his offspeed pitches, and that lack of a second pitch led to his problems finishing off hitters. If you own him in a keeper league, don't get too discouraged - this is all part of the normal developmental cycle - we've just been spoiled by so many good rookie seasons the past few years. He'll likely start 2008 at the major league level as the third or fourth starter, barring a spring training collapse.

2007

Bailey's timetable to reach the majors got accelerated following a superb 2006 season. After blowing through High-A Sarasota, he maintained his strikeout rate in Double-A Chattanooga while keeping his walks and hits allowed down. Reds GM Wayne Krivsky has said that he intends to have Bailey begin the year at Triple-A Louisville, and there are good reasons (both developmental and financial) to do so. Don't be surprised if he's not up until midseason, no matter how good he looks (and how poor the Reds' fifth starter alternatives appear) this spring.

2006

The Reds' first-round pick in 2004 showed glimpses of potential in 2005 at Low-A Dayton, but he's still a long-term project. His strikeout and hit rates are both impressive, but his command (particularly of his curveball) is lacking. Don't expect him to reach the majors in any significant capacity until 2008.

2005

The Reds first-round draft pick and the number seven player drafted overall, Bailey was considered to be the high school pitcher with the most upside in the 2004 draft. He was used sparingly after signing with the team and is on a long developmental track. His selection was a bit of a surprise, given the Reds' brutal history with high school pitchers taken in the first round (Chris Gruler, Jeremy Sowers, Ty Howington).

2004

Has a smooth, easy motion that belies an explosive mid-90s fastball and a quality curveball. Needs to further develop a changeup and like most high school pitchers, hasnít yet been tested. From the ranks of the Texas high school system, he's considered the next Josh Beckett by most of the Lone Star faithful.