Miguel Gonzalez
Miguel Gonzalez
34-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
60-Day DL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 4/11/2019
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Gonzalez began 2017 as a member of the rotation for the White Sox, and he finished with the Rangers, closing the season with a 6.45 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over his five starts with Texas. Opposing hitters teed off on Gonzalez's four-seam fastball, hitting .275 with a .507 slugging percentage against that pitch. Most of his success came from working with his two-seamer, curveball, and changeup, but none of those offerings will lead him to become a whiff-inducing dominant starter. Gonzalez returned to the White Sox on a one-year deal this winter, but will not be guaranteed a rotation spot all season. Keep in mind, even at his best as an innings-eating starter, Gonzalez gets by with a low strikeout rate, and he's never topped 28 starts in a season, so his value to fantasy owners will be limited regardless of his role in 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $4.75 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2018.
Out 9-to-12 months after surgery
PChicago White Sox
Shoulder
July 11, 2018
Gonzalez underwent shoulder surgery Wednesday and will be out for 9-to-12 months.
ANALYSIS
Doctors performed a labral repair and debridement on Gonzalez's injured right shoulder. The recovery timeline means he'll miss at least all of next year's spring training and could miss up to half the year.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .267 653 100 53 156 38 7 20
Since 2016vs Right .274 663 100 43 167 38 1 17
2018vs Left .348 26 1 3 8 1 2 2
2018vs Right .432 40 4 3 16 6 0 2
2017vs Left .287 332 49 25 86 24 5 11
2017vs Right .256 352 51 30 81 15 0 11
2016vs Left .237 295 50 25 62 13 0 7
2016vs Right .272 271 45 10 70 17 1 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.10 1.28 133.0 9 10 0 6.2 2.2 0.9
Since 2016Away 4.89 1.46 169.1 4 14 0 5.7 3.3 1.2
2018Home 8.31 2.31 4.1 0 1 0 0.0 4.2 2.1
2018Away 14.63 2.50 8.0 0 2 0 5.6 4.5 3.4
2017Home 4.10 1.25 68.0 4 5 0 6.6 2.5 1.1
2017Away 5.01 1.56 88.0 4 8 0 5.1 3.7 1.4
2016Home 3.79 1.23 61.2 5 4 0 6.3 1.8 0.7
2016Away 3.68 1.24 73.1 0 4 0 6.4 2.8 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Miguel Gonzalez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
0.83
 
K/9
3.6
 
BB/9
4.4
 
HR/9
2.9
 
Fastball
89.6 mph
 
ERA
12.41
 
WHIP
2.43
 
BABIP
.402
 
GB/FB
1.17
 
Strand %
50.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
A tough 2015 campaign and struggles during spring training left Gonzalez without a job at the start of the 2016 season. Fortunately for the right-hander, the White Sox decided to take a chance on him and pick him up on a minor league contract shortly thereafter. Gonzalez started the season in the minors, but after the major league rotation faltered the 32-year-old was called upon to fill in. He struggled at points during the season and was even relegated to the bullpen for a bit, but he managed to conclude the season with a very reasonable 3.73 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Although the strikeouts weren't there, the veteran displayed solid control (2.3 BB/9) and posted a career-best 0.73 HR/9. Gonzalez proved last year that he is still capable of pitching like a No. 4 or No. 5 starter and should enter 2017 with a spot in Chicago's rotation. However, if he falters, the White Sox now have the pitching prospects to unseat him.
Gonzalez had a season to forget. It started harmless enough, as Gonzalez held an ERA under 3.50 with five wins through the first two months of the season. Things derailed from there, as Gonzalez had a 6.06 ERA over the rest of the campaign. He also missed a month with soreness in both his shoulder and his elbow. Gonzalez threw his four pitches (fastball, slider, curveball, splitter) at the same velocity and with the same frequency of prior seasons. The red flags were there all along for Gonzalez, as his ERA was significantly lower than his FIP in each of the three years prior to 2015, including a 3.23 ERA and a 4.89 FIP in 2014. His FIP in 2015 was 5.01, which closely mirrored his ERA for the first time in his MLB career. Gonzalez saw his strand rate fall from 85.5 percent in 2014 to a much more human 73.1 percent in 2015. Last season was bad enough that Gonzalez will not enter spring training as a lock for a rotation spot.
A case like Gonzalez is where you will get in trouble if you just follow the ERA. His 3.23 ERA in 159 innings served both the Orioles and fantasy leaguers well in 2014, but it is hanging by a thread. He had a reliever-esque 85.5% LOB rate, his strikeout rate has dipped yearly, and his home run rate is on the way up as a flyball pitcher in a park that punishes the profile. That all adds up to severe regression with a repeat of the skills paired with a normal LOB rate, and Gonzalez had baseball’s best mark among starters with 150+ innings, and it would’ve been 16th-best among relievers. Even a fall to his career mark of 80 percent would spell some trouble, let alone a dip to the league mark of 73 percent. He has avoided a strong home/road split despite a 1.5 HR/9 rate in Camden Yards. Gonzalez should start 2015 with a rotation spot, but the odds are against him holding it all season.
Gonzalez came out of nowhere in 2012 and proved that he wasn't a fluke with his 2013 campaign. He is a solid middle of the rotation starter, though the Orioles could use him as high as their No. 2 given his recent results. Gonzalez maintained his velocity on all of his pitches in 2013 while winning 11 games. A 38.9% groundball rate leaves room for improvement, especially since Gonzalez carried a 6.3 K/9. Along with Chris Tillman and Wei-Yin Chen, Gonzalez seems like a near lock to make the rotation entering 2014.
Perhaps no breakout story was as sweet as that of Gonzalez in 2012. The Orioles did not sign Gonzalez until early March and he did not appear in spring training. Gonzalez dominated Triple-A with a 5.3 K/BB ratio and a 0.72 WHIP in 44.2 innings. Gonzalez was promoted in late June and the 28-year-old rookie was Baltimore's most reliable pitcher in the second half. Gonzalez had Tommy John surgery in 2009 and threw harder than ever with his mid-90s fastball in 2012. He will have a leg up on the competition, but still needs to earn his rotation spot in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Examination, evaluation due
PChicago White Sox
Shoulder
June 30, 2018
Gonzalez (shoulder) will be examined and evaluated after having a setback earlier this week at Triple-A Charlotte, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Experiencing shoulder discomfort
PChicago White Sox
Shoulder
June 29, 2018
Gonzalez has been experiencing discomfort in his injured shoulder, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
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Makes first rehab start
PChicago White Sox
Shoulder
June 25, 2018
Gonzalez (shoulder) allowed one hit and one walk while striking out one over three innings for Triple-A Charlotte on Sunday.
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To work on curve during rehab
PChicago White Sox
Shoulder
June 24, 2018
Gonzalez (shoulder) expects to make three or four starts while on rehabilitation assignment with a priority to fine-tune his curveball, Tom Musick of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
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Will begin rehab assignment Sunday
PChicago White Sox
Shoulder
June 23, 2018
Gonzalez (shoulder) will start a rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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