Pedro Baez
Pedro Baez
32-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Baez has been a staple in the Dodgers' bullpen since his debut in 2015, and nothing changed in 2019 as the right-hander paced the team with 71 appearances and 25 holds while posting a 3.10 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 69.2 innings. He didn't whiff more than a batter per inning (8.9 K/9) for the first time since his rookie season, though he posted the second-best swinging strike rate of his career (15.5%). Most of Baez's success can be attributed to his ability to limit hard contact, as his 2.8 Barrel% and 26.6 Hard Hit% led to a .213 BABIP and 0.8 HR/9. He also didn't hurt himself with free passes, evidenced by his unremarkable 3.0 BB/9. While Baez finally picked up his first career save in 2019, he was also charged with six blown opportunities while five other Dodgers recorded at least one save. As such, he seems unlikely to see more than the occasional save chance even if an opening in the ninth inning arises. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $4 million contract with the Dodgers in February of 2020.
In line for high-leverage role
PLos Angeles Dodgers
March 31, 2020
Baez is expected to again be a key member of the Dodgers' bullpen in 2020 and will be counted on "to get big outs in tough situations," Cary Osborne of Dodger Insider reports.
ANALYSIS
Baez has been a stalwart in the Dodgers' bullpen since 2015, logging at least 52 outings in each season over that span. He ranked second on the team to closer Kenley Jansen with 31 high-leverage appearances in 2019 and is expected to take on a similar role when the 2020 campaign gets underway. The Dodgers' trust in Baez is justified as the right-hander ranked among the top four percent of pitchers in xBA (.188), xSLG (.307) and hard-hit rate (26.6 percent) last season.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
16
Last 5 Games
16
How many pitches does Pedro Baez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Pedro Baez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .184 328 70 36 53 13 5 6
Since 2017vs Right .221 465 125 39 92 18 3 13
2019vs Left .176 129 29 8 21 6 1 2
2019vs Right .172 147 40 15 22 2 0 4
2018vs Left .164 84 17 15 11 2 2 1
2018vs Right .246 153 45 8 35 8 1 3
2017vs Left .206 115 24 13 21 5 2 3
2017vs Right .238 165 40 16 35 8 2 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-56%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-65%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 1.84 1.02 98.0 8 4 0 9.8 3.0 0.6
Since 2017Away 4.21 1.30 92.0 6 7 1 8.6 4.1 1.2
2019Home 1.96 0.93 36.2 3 1 0 9.1 2.7 0.7
2019Away 4.36 0.97 33.0 4 1 1 8.7 3.3 0.8
2018Home 1.52 1.04 29.2 2 2 0 10.6 3.0 0.0
2018Away 4.39 1.43 26.2 2 1 0 9.1 4.4 1.4
2017Home 1.99 1.11 31.2 3 1 0 9.9 3.4 1.1
2017Away 3.90 1.55 32.1 0 5 0 8.1 4.7 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Pedro Baez compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
8.9
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
95.9 mph
 
ERA
3.10
 
WHIP
0.95
 
BABIP
.225
 
GB/FB
0.78
 
Left On Base
62.5%
 
Exit Velocity
87.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.8%
 
Spin Rate
2075 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.4%
 
Swinging Strike
15.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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August 14, 2018
Erik Siegrist looks for potential 2019 save sources in all 30 big-league bullpens, including a peek at what might happen in Boston if Craig Kimbrel leaves as a free agent.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2008
Even as Kenley Jansen battled health issues, Baez still didn't get the chance to record his first big-league save in 2018, though he did manage a 2.88 ERA in 56.1 innings, his lowest mark since his rookie season. After a poor second half in 2017, Baez finished strong this time around, allowing just a single run over his last 18 appearances and giving up just two in 11.1 postseason innings. He's been very consistent over the course of his career, posting an ERA between 2.88 and 3.35 in each of his four full seasons. That consistency is quite valuable for the Dodgers, though it makes his chances of suddenly improving his value quite low. His strikeout rate and ERA aren't at the elite level required to give non-closing relievers much fantasy value, and there's little reason to believe he's about to get an uptick in save chances, even if Jansen continues to miss time. Six other Dodgers recorded saves in 2018, offering little hope that Baez is next in line.
2017 was a tale of two halves for Baez, as he turned in a shiny 1.43 ERA across 37.2 innings in the first half of the season before getting knocked around to the tune of a 5.13 ERA in 26.1 second-half frames. While he still finished the season with a 2.95 ERA, all indicators suggest there was quite a bit of luck at play (4.44 FIP, 4.83 xFIP, 4.25 SIERA). Baez saw his strikeout rate drop from 28.4 percent over the prior two seasons to 22.1 percent last year, while his walk rate jumped from 6.6 percent to 10.4 percent over that same stretch. The right-hander did allow just two of his 20 inherited runners to cross home plate, while opponents slashed just .099/.220/.127 against him with runners in scoring position, but Baez will likely be confined to the seventh inning to open 2018.
Baez remained one of the most frustrating players in baseball with his 2016 campaign, especially for believers in his ability to hold down a late-inning role and Dodger fans hoping to get home before midnight. On the surface, a season of 74 innings, a 3.04 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 83 strikeouts is excellent. He had stretches where he was nearly unhittable, easily breezing high-90s fastballs past hitters. But then, the wheels would come off. His game slowed down to the point of registering the slowest pitching pace in baseball (min. 50 innings) and he seemed incapable of throwing quality strikes at times. Things eventually got bad enough that the Dodgers optioned him to Double-A Tulsa, but he turned it around there and posted a scoreless September after returning to the majors. Baez could be next in line to take over at closer if Kenley Jansen is hurt, but he is an extremely volatile asset.
Baez had an up and down 2015, but ultimately finished with a 3.35 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 51 innings. A fastball that often found its way into the upper-90s allowed Baez to post a 10.6 K/9 to go with excellent control (1.9 BB/9). A 5.79 ERA in September was followed by an outing in the NLDS in which Baez surrendered three runs to the Mets without recording an out. Prior to that, however, Baez had a 2.95 ERA on August 31, so there's something to build on here. He also allowed just one run in his final eight regular-season innings, so it wasn't a complete meltdown. Baez has swing-and-miss stuff as evidenced by a 15 percent swinging-strike rate (league average was 9.9%) and he could develop into a closer in time. Refining his slider and improving his command should top his to-do list this spring, but barring a poor March, he should have a place in the team's bullpen on Opening Day.
Baez started his 2014 season at Double-A, but finished in Los Angeles while serving as a surprising stabilizing presence for Dodgers manager Don Mattingly. The recipe in his debut was a heavy volume of fastballs, as Baez fired the pitch at an 81% clip last season. With plenty of velocity (95.3 mph average), it's understandable that he leans on the offering, but Baez needs to more effectively utilize his slider or changeup in order to generate more strikeouts. Fortunately, he kept his walk rate down -- both at Triple-A and in the big leagues -- but something will have to give in terms of skills growth if he's going to sustain a sub-3.00 ERA with those peripherals. Baez carried an 83.3% LOB% (his range was 70.5-77.1% in the minors) and a .197 BABIP, which suggest an ERA much closer to his 2014 xFIP (3.96) than the 2.63 he delivered in his debut.
Signed out of the Dominican Republic for $200,000 in 2007, Baez has quickly emerged as one of the organization's top prospects. He's only 19 and his .274/.341/.408 line in rookie ball is rather modest, but he's already demonstrated excellent defensive skills and power to all fields. Baez is several years from the majors, but if he can improve his plate discipline and grow into his body, he could be another nice find by the Dodgers.
More Fantasy News
Wins arbitration hearing
PLos Angeles Dodgers
February 13, 2020
Baez will make $4 million in 2020 after winning his arbitration case against the Dodgers on Wednesday, Jesse Sanchez of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Secures first save
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 1, 2019
Baez struck out one batter in a perfect 11th inning to earn the save over Arizona on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Could get some saves
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 12, 2019
Baez is expected to get occassional save opportunities down the stretch as the Dodgers look to preserve Kenley Jansen with an eye toward the postseason, Mike DiGiovanna of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Backs into win
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 20, 2019
Baez (5-2) pitched two-thirds of an inning and earned the win in Saturday's 10-6 win over the Marlins.
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Turns in scoreless appearance
PLos Angeles Dodgers
May 26, 2019
Baez (knee) tossed a scoreless seventh inning in Sunday's 11-7 victory over the Pirates. He walked a batter and allowed no hits in the 10-pitch frame.
ANALYSIS
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