Pedro Baez
Pedro Baez
30-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
2017 was a tale of two halves for Baez, as he turned in a shiny 1.43 ERA across 37.2 innings in the first half of the season before getting knocked around to the tune of a 5.13 ERA in 26.1 second-half frames. While he still finished the season with a 2.95 ERA, all indicators suggest there was quite a bit of luck at play (4.44 FIP, 4.83 xFIP, 4.25 SIERA). Baez saw his strikeout rate drop from 28.4 percent over the prior two seasons to 22.1 percent last year, while his walk rate jumped from 6.6 percent to 10.4 percent over that same stretch. The right-hander did allow just two of his 20 inherited runners to cross home plate, while opponents slashed just .099/.220/.127 against him with runners in scoring position, but Baez will likely be confined to the seventh inning to open 2018. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $1.5 million deal with the Dodgers in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Could be part of closer committee
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 11, 2018
Manager Dave Roberts said that the club will deploy a closer by committee approach with Kenley Jansen (chest) expected to miss 4-6 weeks.
ANALYSIS
Roberts added that Scott Alexander (who picked up Thursday's save) would serve as the club's highest-leverage arm. Kenta Maeda could also see save chances with a projected shift to the bullpen, according to Andy McCullough of the Los Angeles Times. It is unclear where Baez fits into the closing committee, but his recent struggles (8.53 ERA over his last six appearances) since returning from the disabled list July 25 could keep him low in the pecking order for saves.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-35%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-25%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .181 301 66 38 47 9 5 7
Since 2016vs Right .236 487 138 33 105 22 3 17
2018vs Left .172 80 16 14 11 2 2 1
2018vs Right .266 133 41 6 33 8 1 3
2017vs Left .206 115 24 13 21 5 2 3
2017vs Right .238 165 40 16 35 8 2 6
2016vs Left .160 106 26 11 15 2 1 3
2016vs Right .214 189 57 11 37 6 0 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-68%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 1.96 1.01 100.0 8 4 0 9.9 2.9 0.9
Since 2016Away 4.34 1.39 86.0 2 7 0 9.6 4.0 1.4
2018Home 1.65 1.06 27.1 2 2 0 11.2 2.6 0.0
2018Away 5.16 1.54 22.2 2 1 0 9.1 4.8 1.6
2017Home 1.99 1.11 31.2 3 1 0 9.9 3.4 1.1
2017Away 3.90 1.55 32.1 0 5 0 8.1 4.7 1.4
2016Home 2.14 0.90 42.0 3 1 0 9.0 2.6 1.3
2016Away 4.22 1.13 32.0 0 1 0 11.5 2.8 1.4
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Stat Review
How does Pedro Baez compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.90
 
K/9
10.2
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
95.9 mph
 
ERA
3.18
 
WHIP
1.27
 
BABIP
.323
 
GB/FB
0.89
 
Strand %
77.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2008
Baez remained one of the most frustrating players in baseball with his 2016 campaign, especially for believers in his ability to hold down a late-inning role and Dodger fans hoping to get home before midnight. On the surface, a season of 74 innings, a 3.04 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 83 strikeouts is excellent. He had stretches where he was nearly unhittable, easily breezing high-90s fastballs past hitters. But then, the wheels would come off. His game slowed down to the point of registering the slowest pitching pace in baseball (min. 50 innings) and he seemed incapable of throwing quality strikes at times. Things eventually got bad enough that the Dodgers optioned him to Double-A Tulsa, but he turned it around there and posted a scoreless September after returning to the majors. Baez could be next in line to take over at closer if Kenley Jansen is hurt, but he is an extremely volatile asset.
Baez had an up and down 2015, but ultimately finished with a 3.35 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 51 innings. A fastball that often found its way into the upper-90s allowed Baez to post a 10.6 K/9 to go with excellent control (1.9 BB/9). A 5.79 ERA in September was followed by an outing in the NLDS in which Baez surrendered three runs to the Mets without recording an out. Prior to that, however, Baez had a 2.95 ERA on August 31, so there's something to build on here. He also allowed just one run in his final eight regular-season innings, so it wasn't a complete meltdown. Baez has swing-and-miss stuff as evidenced by a 15 percent swinging-strike rate (league average was 9.9%) and he could develop into a closer in time. Refining his slider and improving his command should top his to-do list this spring, but barring a poor March, he should have a place in the team's bullpen on Opening Day.
Baez started his 2014 season at Double-A, but finished in Los Angeles while serving as a surprising stabilizing presence for Dodgers manager Don Mattingly. The recipe in his debut was a heavy volume of fastballs, as Baez fired the pitch at an 81% clip last season. With plenty of velocity (95.3 mph average), it's understandable that he leans on the offering, but Baez needs to more effectively utilize his slider or changeup in order to generate more strikeouts. Fortunately, he kept his walk rate down -- both at Triple-A and in the big leagues -- but something will have to give in terms of skills growth if he's going to sustain a sub-3.00 ERA with those peripherals. Baez carried an 83.3% LOB% (his range was 70.5-77.1% in the minors) and a .197 BABIP, which suggest an ERA much closer to his 2014 xFIP (3.96) than the 2.63 he delivered in his debut.
Signed out of the Dominican Republic for $200,000 in 2007, Baez has quickly emerged as one of the organization's top prospects. He's only 19 and his .274/.341/.408 line in rookie ball is rather modest, but he's already demonstrated excellent defensive skills and power to all fields. Baez is several years from the majors, but if he can improve his plate discipline and grow into his body, he could be another nice find by the Dodgers.
More Fantasy News
Activated from DL
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 25, 2018
Baez (biceps) was reinstated from the 10-day disabled list Wednesday.
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Return moved up to Wednesday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Biceps
July 25, 2018
Baez (biceps) will be activated off the disabled list prior to Wednesday's contest against the Phillies, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
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Set to return Thursday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Biceps
July 24, 2018
Baez (biceps) will be activated from the disabled list Thursday, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
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Completes another rehab outing
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Biceps
July 22, 2018
Baez (biceps) tossed a scoreless inning with two strikeouts in his second rehab appearance with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Saturday.
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Rehab begins at Triple-A
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Biceps
July 17, 2018
Baez (biceps) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday, Eric Stephen of TrueBlueLA.com reports.
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