Andrew Cashner
Andrew Cashner
32-Year-Old PitcherSP
Baltimore Orioles
Out
Injury Knee
Est. Return 10/1/2018
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Cashner was one of the free-agent bargains of 2017, as he spun 166.2 innings for the Rangers with a 3.40 ERA. Nothing in the underlying numbers points to it being sustainable, however. Cashner had a career-low 4.6 K/9, and he didn't become an elite control specialist along the way (3.5 BB/9). Not surprisingly, his FIP (4.61) was more than a full run higher than his ERA. Looking under the hood of his .266 BABIP (career .290), Cashner had his lowest hard-hit rate (28.4 percent) since 2013, and his highest soft-contact rate (18.5 percent) in any of his eight MLB seasons. For the second straight season, Cashner had a contact rate in the strike zone above 90 percent. He allowed contact outside the zone more than ever (74.9 percent, third among qualified MLB starters). In order to repeat something even close to the same level of success in 2018, Cashner will need a good defense behind him, and he'll need to land in a more pitcher-friendly home park. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a two-year, $16 million contract with the Orioles in February of 2018.
May be done for 2018
PBaltimore Orioles
Knee
September 17, 2018
Cashner (knee) is considered out indefinitely and seems unlikely to start again in 2018, Brittany Ghiroli of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
According to Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports, Cashner is battling bursitis in his left knee, a condition for which he required a cortisone injection last Thursday. The Orioles will likely wait for the shot to take full effect before assessing Cashner's outlook for the rest of the season, but with only two weeks left to go, it may be difficult for the 32-year-old to build back up to a starter's workload. The first season of Cashner's two-year deal with the Orioles hasn't paid dividends, with the 32-year-old posting a 5.29 ERA and 1.58 WHIP while striking out just 99 batters over 153 frames.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .270 972 158 105 230 44 8 35
Since 2016vs Right .275 1001 139 84 245 59 4 24
2018vs Left .278 346 59 31 87 21 3 15
2018vs Right .304 335 40 34 90 23 0 10
2017vs Left .243 329 41 39 69 7 0 9
2017vs Right .256 375 45 25 87 18 1 6
2016vs Left .291 297 58 35 74 16 5 11
2016vs Right .267 291 54 25 68 18 3 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2018
Even Split
2017
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.71 1.38 234.0 12 17 0 6.3 3.5 1.0
Since 2016Away 5.52 1.57 216.2 8 20 0 5.5 4.1 1.3
2018Home 5.29 1.46 80.0 2 7 0 6.6 3.6 1.1
2018Away 5.30 1.71 73.0 2 8 0 4.9 4.1 1.8
2017Home 2.72 1.35 82.2 5 5 0 4.4 3.6 1.1
2017Away 4.07 1.29 84.0 6 6 0 4.9 3.3 0.5
2016Home 3.11 1.31 72.1 5 5 0 8.1 3.2 0.9
2016Away 7.84 1.79 59.2 0 6 0 7.1 5.1 1.8
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Stat Review
How does Andrew Cashner compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.52
 
K/9
5.8
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
92.4 mph
 
ERA
5.29
 
WHIP
1.58
 
BABIP
.314
 
GB/FB
1.21
 
Strand %
70.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Two seasons ago, Cashner was on his way up the escalator of value, but the escalator has reversed direction. He once had all of the raw ingredients for pitching dominance, from a high-octane heater that he could sink with arm-side run and locate on demand to a stable mechanical foundation. What he lacked were effective alternatives to pitch off his fastball, and though his slider had its moments, Cashner struggled to further develop his secondary pitches. In 2016, the fastball command abandoned him, as did the velocity that once made his heater stand out from the crowd. His walk rate spiked to 10.2 percent, two full percentage points higher than any season from 2013-15, and his average fastball dropped more than a full tick to a career-low of 94.5 mph. Without the fastball, Cashner is just a pitcher struggling to hit his spots with marginal stuff and a limited repertoire. He'll get a change of scenery after signing a one-year deal with Texas.
If 31 starts and a strikeout boost were guaranteed from Cashner going into last season, he would have been a top-25 starter in most drafts. Instead, he wound up as one of the biggest disappointments on the mound. Changes behind the dish could have played a role as Yasmani Grandal was shipped out and Derek Norris became the primary catcher. It's hard to say it is all because of Norris, but on fastballs (four-seamers and sinkers) outside of the zone, he had a 19 percent called-strike rate in 2014, an MLB-best. Last year, it dropped to 13 percent (32nd in MLB). Lefties also obliterated him for 14 home runs, as many as Cashner gave up against left-handed hitters from 2012-14, torching all of his pitches. Accepting that he wasn't as good as 2014 or as bad as 2015, what remains is a power pitcher with legitimate upside (low-3.00s ERA) who will go as much as 10 rounds later than he did a year ago. Take a chance.
Following a 2013 breakout campaign, perhaps the biggest question mark surrounding Cashner focused on his workload, which experienced a sudden jump from 70 combined innings between the minors and majors in 2012 to 175 in 2013. His body responded with a pair of DL stints in 2014 due to a sore right elbow and right shoulder discomfort, which resulted in only three nods between May 13 and August 23. While the ailments didn't stop him from improving both his K/9 (from 6.6 to 6.8) and BB/9 (from 2.4 to 2.1) en route to career bests (2.55 ERA and 3.09 FIP) as a starter, the Padres’ historically paltry offense capped his record to 5-7 in 19 starts (123.1 innings). The arbitration-eligible right-hander boasts a career 50.9 GB%, limits walks, and logs most of his outings with spacious Petco Park as a backdrop, which equates to dependable production across the course of a season. With better health, Cashner should also be able to take advantage of better run support from the rebuilt San Diego offense.
Cashner sustained a laceration to his thumb during a hunting incident prior to spring training, which hampered his ability to compete for a starting spot. Opening the season as a long reliever, a start was eventually handed to him on Apr. 20, and he never looked back, holding down the fort thereafter. He especially bloomed in the second half, recording a 7.3 K/9 and 3.21 K/BB in 75.2 innings, while serving up just four homers during that stretch. His breakout campaign culminated with a shutout in his second-to-last nod, when he became the first Padres pitcher to face the minimum 27 batters in a nine-inning game. The right-hander will enter his second full season with the Padres as a guaranteed member of the rotation.
When Cashner is healthy he can be nearly untouchable, but therein lies the problem as he has battled through multiple injuries in his young career. Last season was a prime example of this as he took a no-hitter into the seventh inning of a start in Houston, only to leave the following start with what ended up being a strained lower lat muscle that cost him nearly two months on the DL. The Padres want him to be a starter and how can you blame them, when Cashner can throw near 100 mph and miss bats on a regular basis. Ultimately though, he may be destined for a role as a reliever, where he can pitch max effort and have his workload monitored. As a fantasy investment, Cashner is certainly worth the risk as his potential is that of an elite starter, but he is already expected to miss the start of the season due to a thumb injury suffered in an offseason hunting accident.
The Cubs' 2008 first-round pick won a rotation spot to start the year before a shoulder injury sidelined him for most of the season. Cashner returned at the end of the year, and touched 99 mph on his fastball, so his arm was healthy again - at least in mid-September. Cashner also saw 8.2 innings in the Arizona Fall League, so he should be ready for the start of spring training. The Cubs dealt Cashner to the Padres in January, something that should be a nice boost to his stock given the pitcher-friendliness of cavernous Petco Park. It's unclear at this point whether Cashner will see time in the rotation, given his injury history, but at a minimum he could have a prominent role in the San Diego bullpen.
Cashner dominated as a starter in the high minors last year, but struggled as a reliever for the big league club, with too many walks and pitches over the middle of the plate. Cashner did strike out nearly a batter an inning and also kept the ball on the ground, so there's reason to be encouraged. The 2008 first-round pick can reach 98 mph with his fastball and features a sharp-breaking slider and a solid changeup, a repertoire he could get a chance to display at the back end of the team's rotation this year, especially now that Kerry Wood's signing has the setup role covered.
The Cubs' first-round pick in 2008, Cashner has outstanding raw stuff, touching 98 mph with his fastball and throwing a sharp-breaking slider. Cashner's command needs work, but he did an excellent job of keeping the ball in the park, allowing just two home runs in 102 combined innings at High-A and Double-A. Cashner showed better command in the Arizona Fall League, striking out 19 and walking five in 19.2 IP, and he should be in line for a September callup if he pitches well in the high minors this season.
The 22-year-old right-hander has tremendous stuff (98 mph fastball, sharp-breaking slider), but he lacked command in 20 innings combined between the AZL Cubs, short-season Boise and High-A Daytona. His high ceiling makes him worth a look in keeper leagues, but he'll probably spend 2009 at various levels in the minors honing his control.
More Fantasy News
Won't start Monday
PBaltimore Orioles
Knee
September 15, 2018
Cashner (knee) was unable to partake in a throwing session and will not start Monday against the Blue Jays, Steve Melewski of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Status for next start uncertain
PBaltimore Orioles
Knee
September 14, 2018
Cashner (knee) received a cortisone injection and will have a throwing session Saturday, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
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MRI comes back clean
PBaltimore Orioles
Knee
September 13, 2018
Cashner underwent an MRI on his left knee Thursday, which came back clean, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
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Could be dealing with injury
PBaltimore Orioles
Undisclosed
September 12, 2018
Manager Buck Showalter hinted after Wednesday's loss to the A's that Cashner could be dealing with an injury, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
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Hammered by A's
PBaltimore Orioles
September 12, 2018
Cashner (4-15) took the loss Wednesday, surrendering eight runs on eight hits and a walk over two-plus innings while striking out one as the Orioles were routed 10-0 by the A's.
ANALYSIS
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