Josh Tomlin
Josh Tomlin
35-Year-Old PitcherRP
Atlanta Braves
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Tomlin proved he still had something left in the tank in 2019. Despite looking cooked in 2018 with a 6.14 ERA in 70.1 innings for Cleveland, he managed to win an Opening Day bullpen spot in Atlanta and provided them with 79.1 innings of good relief work, finishing with a 3.74 ERA, his best mark since 2015. Despite the improved results, the veteran was basically the same guy he'd been the last several years in most respects. He struck out very few batters (15.9%) and couldn't keep the ball on the ground (33.5% groundball rate), but his excellent 2.2 BB% kept traffic off the basepaths. He did at least showcase increased heat, with his still-slow fastball averaging 89.3 mph, his highest mark since 2013, the result of a trip to Driveline which may have extended his career by a few more seasons. While it's impressive that he's still around, his odds of moving into a fantasy-relevant role are slim. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Braves in March of 2019.
Gets win in relief
PAtlanta Braves
August 1, 2020
Tomlin (1-0) struck out three over 2.1 perfect innings of relief Saturday to record the win in a 7-1 victory over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
Touki Toussaint got the start but only lasted four innings, allowing Tomlin to get credit for the win with a dominant performance out of the bullpen. The veteran right-hander has yet to give up a run this season over three appearances and 5.2 innings, posting an 8:0 K:BB, and with Atlanta now featuring an incredibly young and inexperienced rotation to go with an explosive offense, Tomlin could end up as one of the most valuable long men in baseball from a fantasy perspective.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
20
Last 10 Games
20
Last 5 Games
20
How many pitches does Josh Tomlin generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Josh Tomlin generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .293 285 49 11 79 12 3 20
Since 2018vs Right .268 378 57 8 97 16 1 19
2020vs Left .000 10 3 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right .167 12 6 0 2 0 0 0
2019vs Left .250 129 25 3 31 3 3 6
2019vs Right .279 191 26 4 51 7 1 8
2018vs Left .353 146 21 8 48 9 0 14
2018vs Right .263 175 25 4 44 9 0 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.35 1.16 78.2 2 3 0 5.5 0.9 1.9
Since 2018Away 4.98 1.34 77.2 3 3 2 6.7 1.3 2.5
2020Home 0.00 0.00 3.1 1 0 0 10.8 0.0 0.0
2020Away 0.00 0.60 3.1 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2019Home 3.20 1.02 39.1 0 0 0 5.3 0.7 1.1
2019Away 4.28 1.23 40.0 2 1 2 6.3 0.9 2.0
2018Home 6.00 1.42 36.0 1 3 0 5.3 1.3 3.0
2018Away 6.29 1.54 34.1 1 2 0 6.6 1.8 3.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Josh Tomlin compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
12.4
 
BB/9
0.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
87.5 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
0.25
 
BABIP
.147
 
GB/FB
1.60
 
Left On Base
100.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2554 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
16.0%
 
Swinging Strike
11.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josh Tomlin
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Mets at Braves
5 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Sunday's Mets at Braves game for Dream11 contests.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
11 days ago
With the MLB schedule underway, Jan Levine looks at a number of NL FAAB options in various situations.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Braves at Mets
13 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena provides analysis for Friday's Braves at Mets matchup for Dream11 contests, with Yoenis Cespedes set to start at DH.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
18 days ago
Jan Levine profiles National Leaguers for the season's first FAAB period this week, including the Phillies' Andrew McCutchen.
Regan's Rumblings: Opt Outs and Other News
22 days ago
Dave Regan discusses the trickle-down effect big-name opt outs will have on teams, including how the Dodgers and Clayton Kershaw will manage without David Price in L.A.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
2011
Home runs had long been a problem for Tomlin, but his gopheritis reached a new extreme last season. He had two separate four-homer implosions in the first month and gave up an almost unfathomable 15 long balls in his first seven appearances (31 innings). In May, the Indians transitioned Tomlin to a relief role before giving him a few more starts in September after the division and their seeding in the postseason had already been decided. The right-hander was then left off the ALDS roster. The home runs remained prevalent after his transition to relief (2.28 HR/9), and he didn't miss more bats after shortening up (6.2 K/9). His walk rate was low last season and that's nothing new (career 3.5% BB%), but in Tomlin's case, he throws too many strikes. Some rebuilding team could bring Tomlin in as a starter to eat innings, but it's tough to see him pitching well enough to maintain a rotation spot.
Tomlin has made a living off eating innings with a control-based approach when given the chance to start. He's topped 8.0 K/9 in just one season, but has never carried a walk rate above 2.3 BB/9. In fact, his walk rate has dipped in each of his last four full seasons, all the way down to 0.9 in 2017, and he recorded his highest percentage of first-pitch strikes last year, a whopping 68.6 percent, which ranked second behind Clayton Kershaw for all pitchers with 140-plus innings. Unfortunately, that contact- and zone-based game plan has bitten Tomlin back, leaving him with a career 68.4 left-on-base percentage and 1.54 HR/9. Pitching in front of one of the league's best defenses has worked enough that the 33-year-old should at least be in the running for a rotation spot next year, but he could face competition from Mike Clevinger, who boasts more upside, among others. Don't pay for a full season of starting, especially since he wouldn't stand out as a reliever.
In 2015, Tomlin posted a 3.02 ERA despite a 1.8 HR/9 over 66 innings. That was possibly due to the fact he stranded 90 percent of his baserunners and was very stingy with walks. His home run rate actually got worse in 2016 and his strand rate went down to 71 percent, so his ERA spiked to 4.40. All of this was despite the fact he had the highest groundball rate of his career. The high homer rate, low walk rate and the fact his strikeout rate has declined for three straight seasons makes one wonder if Tomlin is the long lost son of former pitcher Dave Bush. The Indians may entrust him with a rotation spot to begin 2017, but he's hardly a lock to keep the job all season if his extreme long-ball tendencies persist.
Tomlin failed to lock down a spot in the starting rotation in the spring after battling some shoulder soreness and was sent to Triple-A Colombus to start the season. He immediately hit the DL and required a cleanup procedure on his shoulder and was sidelined until the middle of July. Tomlin made a couple of starts at Triple-A after wrapping up his rehab before being recalled by the Indians in mid-August to fill a vacancy in the starting rotation. He performed very well in a 10-start stretch for the Indians, posting a 3.02 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 65.2 innings while exhibiting pinpoint control (1.1 BB/9) and striking out 57 batters. The only cause for concern was an alarming 13 homers allowed and an unsustainable .199 BABIP mark. Tomlin's had some longball issues in the past, and his flyball tendencies won't be able to leverage an improved infield defense, but he will enter camp with a chance at landing a spot at the back end of the Cleveland rotation.
The same two issues have plagued Tomlin throughout his career and unsurprisingly, they are intertwined: home runs and working with runners on. Of his 70 home runs, 35 have come with runners on despite 418 fewer batters faced. His 1.4 HR/9 and 66 percent LOB rate suggest he has earned quite a bit of his career 4.89 ERA. At 30 years old, it’s hard to envision a severe turnaround coming any time soon. This is why the excitement is always tamped down with righties sitting 88-90 mph on the gun. Even if they are able to deceive their way to some big minor league numbers, it always catches up in the majors, especially if they don’t have impeccable control of their low-90s fastball. Tomlin is best used as a 26th-man type who shuttles between Triple-A and the majors when the team needs some starts filled due to injury or a doubleheader. He could reasonably be the long man in a bullpen, but regardless of whether he’s the 25th or 26th man, he doesn’t carry much fantasy value.
Tomlin missed most of the season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but did make it back for some rehab starts and a brief appearance with the Indians in September. He has heavily relied on pinpoint control and a strong defense behind him in the past, so he can't really afford to have left any of his velocity on the operating table. Tomlin has never carried an xFIP below 4.00 during his time in the big leagues, nor as he pushed his strikeout rate above 5.3 K/9 in any one campaign. He will enter spring training with a chance to earn a spot at the back end of the Indians' rotation, but there is little reason to get excited if he manages to secure a job.
Tomlin was surprisingly effective for the Indians after opening the season as the team's fifth starter, winning 12 games to go along with a 4.25 ERA and a sparkling 1.077 WHIP thanks to a league-leading 1.14 BB/9IP. His excellent control helped him survive a low strikeout rate (4.84 K/9IP) and his long-ball tendencies (24 allowed in his 26 starts) are the only real blemishes. Tomlin experienced elbow soreness that cut his season short in September, but is expected to be ready for the start of spring training. He'll start the season as the team's No. 3 or No. 4 starter, but it will take a lot of things to break right if he's going to have a repeat performance.
Tomlin made a dozen serviceable starts for the Indians after a midseason callup but continued to struggle with the long ball, allowing 10 homers in just 73 innings. It's been an issue in his minor league career as well, and his low strikeout rate (5.3 K/9IP) means a lot of balls are being put in play against him. He'll battle for a rotation spot again this spring.
More Fantasy News
Contract selected by Braves
PAtlanta Braves
July 18, 2020
Tomlin's contract was selected by the Braves on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Could be rotation option
PAtlanta Braves
July 11, 2020
Tomlin could get a start early in the season if Cole Hamels isn't ready, Gabriel Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Part of 60-man roster
PAtlanta Braves
June 29, 2020
Tomlin will be a part of the Braves' 60-man roster, Gabe Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Re-ups with Atlanta
PAtlanta Braves
February 12, 2020
Tomlin agreed Wednesday with the Braves on a minor-league contract that includes an invitation to major-league spring training, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Makes postseason squad
PAtlanta Braves
October 2, 2019
Tomlin will be on the Braves' NLDS roster, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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