Josh Tomlin
Josh Tomlin
35-Year-Old PitcherRP
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Home runs had long been a problem for Tomlin, but his gopheritis reached a new extreme last season. He had two separate four-homer implosions in the first month and gave up an almost unfathomable 15 long balls in his first seven appearances (31 innings). In May, the Indians transitioned Tomlin to a relief role before giving him a few more starts in September after the division and their seeding in the postseason had already been decided. The right-hander was then left off the ALDS roster. The home runs remained prevalent after his transition to relief (2.28 HR/9), and he didn't miss more bats after shortening up (6.2 K/9). His walk rate was low last season and that's nothing new (career 3.5% BB%), but in Tomlin's case, he throws too many strikes. Some rebuilding team could bring Tomlin in as a starter to eat innings, but it's tough to see him pitching well enough to maintain a rotation spot. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#750
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Braves in March of 2019.
Makes postseason squad
PAtlanta Braves  
October 2, 2019
Tomlin will be on the Braves' NLDS roster, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Tomlin beat out Julio Teheran to serve as Atlanta's long reliever. He struck out just 15.9 percent of opposing batters this season but also walked just 2.2 percent, leading to a 3.74 ERA in 79.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
22
Last 10 Games
20
Last 5 Games
22
How many pitches does Josh Tomlin generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Josh Tomlin generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .306 527 90 17 154 31 4 29
Since 2017vs Right .278 699 116 16 186 38 1 33
2019vs Left .250 129 25 3 31 3 3 6
2019vs Right .279 191 26 4 51 7 1 8
2018vs Left .353 146 21 8 48 9 0 14
2018vs Right .263 175 25 4 44 9 0 11
2017vs Left .307 252 44 6 75 19 1 9
2017vs Right .284 333 65 8 91 22 0 14
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
2019
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-14%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.93 1.30 153.1 8 9 0 6.3 1.1 1.9
Since 2017Away 4.92 1.27 137.1 6 6 2 6.4 1.0 2.0
2019Home 3.20 1.02 39.1 0 0 0 5.3 0.7 1.1
2019Away 4.28 1.23 40.0 2 1 2 6.3 0.9 2.0
2018Home 6.00 1.42 36.0 1 3 0 5.3 1.3 3.0
2018Away 6.29 1.54 34.1 1 2 0 6.6 1.8 3.4
2017Home 5.31 1.38 78.0 7 6 0 7.4 1.2 1.7
2017Away 4.57 1.14 63.0 3 3 0 6.4 0.6 1.1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Josh Tomlin compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
7.29
 
K/9
5.8
 
BB/9
0.8
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
89.3 mph
 
ERA
3.74
 
WHIP
1.12
 
BABIP
.282
 
GB/FB
0.84
 
Left On Base
77.8%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.3%
 
Spin Rate
2445 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
34.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josh Tomlin
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Christopher Olson checks out Thursday's DraftKings slate, recommending a pair of Mariners at home against the Rangers.
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Chris Morgan prefers to use Twins pitcher Jose Berrios on Thursday against the visiting Tigers.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
September 27, 2018
There aren’t a lot of pitcher choices tonight, so if you’re not going with pricey Gerrit Cole, Adam Zdroik recommends Julio Teheran, who’s cheaper and has double-digit fantasy points in his last 10 starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
2011
Tomlin has made a living off eating innings with a control-based approach when given the chance to start. He's topped 8.0 K/9 in just one season, but has never carried a walk rate above 2.3 BB/9. In fact, his walk rate has dipped in each of his last four full seasons, all the way down to 0.9 in 2017, and he recorded his highest percentage of first-pitch strikes last year, a whopping 68.6 percent, which ranked second behind Clayton Kershaw for all pitchers with 140-plus innings. Unfortunately, that contact- and zone-based game plan has bitten Tomlin back, leaving him with a career 68.4 left-on-base percentage and 1.54 HR/9. Pitching in front of one of the league's best defenses has worked enough that the 33-year-old should at least be in the running for a rotation spot next year, but he could face competition from Mike Clevinger, who boasts more upside, among others. Don't pay for a full season of starting, especially since he wouldn't stand out as a reliever.
In 2015, Tomlin posted a 3.02 ERA despite a 1.8 HR/9 over 66 innings. That was possibly due to the fact he stranded 90 percent of his baserunners and was very stingy with walks. His home run rate actually got worse in 2016 and his strand rate went down to 71 percent, so his ERA spiked to 4.40. All of this was despite the fact he had the highest groundball rate of his career. The high homer rate, low walk rate and the fact his strikeout rate has declined for three straight seasons makes one wonder if Tomlin is the long lost son of former pitcher Dave Bush. The Indians may entrust him with a rotation spot to begin 2017, but he's hardly a lock to keep the job all season if his extreme long-ball tendencies persist.
Tomlin failed to lock down a spot in the starting rotation in the spring after battling some shoulder soreness and was sent to Triple-A Colombus to start the season. He immediately hit the DL and required a cleanup procedure on his shoulder and was sidelined until the middle of July. Tomlin made a couple of starts at Triple-A after wrapping up his rehab before being recalled by the Indians in mid-August to fill a vacancy in the starting rotation. He performed very well in a 10-start stretch for the Indians, posting a 3.02 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 65.2 innings while exhibiting pinpoint control (1.1 BB/9) and striking out 57 batters. The only cause for concern was an alarming 13 homers allowed and an unsustainable .199 BABIP mark. Tomlin's had some longball issues in the past, and his flyball tendencies won't be able to leverage an improved infield defense, but he will enter camp with a chance at landing a spot at the back end of the Cleveland rotation.
The same two issues have plagued Tomlin throughout his career and unsurprisingly, they are intertwined: home runs and working with runners on. Of his 70 home runs, 35 have come with runners on despite 418 fewer batters faced. His 1.4 HR/9 and 66 percent LOB rate suggest he has earned quite a bit of his career 4.89 ERA. At 30 years old, it’s hard to envision a severe turnaround coming any time soon. This is why the excitement is always tamped down with righties sitting 88-90 mph on the gun. Even if they are able to deceive their way to some big minor league numbers, it always catches up in the majors, especially if they don’t have impeccable control of their low-90s fastball. Tomlin is best used as a 26th-man type who shuttles between Triple-A and the majors when the team needs some starts filled due to injury or a doubleheader. He could reasonably be the long man in a bullpen, but regardless of whether he’s the 25th or 26th man, he doesn’t carry much fantasy value.
Tomlin missed most of the season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but did make it back for some rehab starts and a brief appearance with the Indians in September. He has heavily relied on pinpoint control and a strong defense behind him in the past, so he can't really afford to have left any of his velocity on the operating table. Tomlin has never carried an xFIP below 4.00 during his time in the big leagues, nor as he pushed his strikeout rate above 5.3 K/9 in any one campaign. He will enter spring training with a chance to earn a spot at the back end of the Indians' rotation, but there is little reason to get excited if he manages to secure a job.
Tomlin was surprisingly effective for the Indians after opening the season as the team's fifth starter, winning 12 games to go along with a 4.25 ERA and a sparkling 1.077 WHIP thanks to a league-leading 1.14 BB/9IP. His excellent control helped him survive a low strikeout rate (4.84 K/9IP) and his long-ball tendencies (24 allowed in his 26 starts) are the only real blemishes. Tomlin experienced elbow soreness that cut his season short in September, but is expected to be ready for the start of spring training. He'll start the season as the team's No. 3 or No. 4 starter, but it will take a lot of things to break right if he's going to have a repeat performance.
Tomlin made a dozen serviceable starts for the Indians after a midseason callup but continued to struggle with the long ball, allowing 10 homers in just 73 innings. It's been an issue in his minor league career as well, and his low strikeout rate (5.3 K/9IP) means a lot of balls are being put in play against him. He'll battle for a rotation spot again this spring.
More Fantasy News
Starts bullpen game Wednesday
PAtlanta Braves  
September 24, 2019
Tomlin will start Wednesday's game against the Royals, Gabe Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rough outing against Twins
PAtlanta Braves  
August 8, 2019
Tomlin was tagged for four runs on four hits and a walk over two-thirds of an inning of relief in Wednesday's win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Hit with first loss for Atlanta
PAtlanta Braves  
June 28, 2019
Tomlin (1-1) took the loss Thursday against the Cubs, giving up three runs (two earned) on two hits over 2.2 innings while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up first career save
PAtlanta Braves  
June 10, 2019
Tomlin gave up a hit and struck out two in a scoreless 12th inning Sunday to record his first save in a win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up third hold
PAtlanta Braves  
May 2, 2019
Tomlin struck out two in a perfect inning of relief Wednesday to record his third hold of the season in a win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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