Tyler Chatwood
Tyler Chatwood
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2020 Fantasy Outlook
After starting 20 games during the 2018 season, Chatwood was moved to a bullpen role in 2019, primarily due to his command and control issues. His numbers improved in relief, as he posted a 3.76 ERA and 1.33 WHIP with a 74:37 K:BB over 76.2 innings, and he was available to make five spot starts when needed. He registered three holds and two saves (two blown saves). Chatwood's stuff played up to a significant degree in relief, with his average fastball going from 93.1 mph to 95.9 mph, but that did not lead to huge spikes in his strikeout and whiff rates, both of which remained underwhelming in context with the rest of the league. Considering the success he had in 2019, and the improved control in relief, the Cubs figure to keep him in the bullpen, and it's not completely out of the question he could close if Craig Kimbrel implodes. In the middle innings, Chatwood is merely a $1 NL-only filler. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a three-year, $38 million contract with the Cubs in December of 2017.
Fans 11 in dominant performance
PChicago Cubs
August 1, 2020
Chatwood (2-0) earned the win in Saturday's 4-3 victory over the Pirates. He tossed 6.2 scoreless innings, giving up three hits and two walks while fanning 11.
ANALYSIS
Chatwood delivered an impressive performance on the mound, as he managed to improve what he did in his season debut when he allowed one run in six innings against the Brewers on July 26. His 20:4 K:BB stands out given the control issues he's had in the past, and he is slated to next take the hill Thursday in Kansas City.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Tyler Chatwood generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Tyler Chatwood generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-45%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-42%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-53%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .298 438 88 65 109 21 1 10
Since 2018vs Right .163 419 90 71 54 7 1 7
2020vs Left .133 33 14 3 4 2 0 0
2020vs Right .154 14 5 1 2 0 0 0
2019vs Left .306 140 33 17 37 6 0 3
2019vs Right .176 184 41 20 28 4 0 5
2018vs Left .316 265 41 45 68 13 1 7
2018vs Right .150 221 44 50 24 3 1 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.49 1.59 116.1 8 5 2 9.1 6.4 1.0
Since 2018Away 4.23 1.49 76.2 3 4 0 7.0 6.2 0.5
2020Home 0.71 0.79 12.2 2 0 0 13.5 2.8 0.0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 4.15 1.36 43.1 3 2 2 8.5 3.9 1.2
2019Away 3.24 1.29 33.1 2 1 0 8.9 4.9 0.5
2018Home 5.52 1.92 60.1 3 3 0 8.7 9.0 1.0
2018Away 4.98 1.64 43.1 1 3 0 5.6 7.3 0.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Tyler Chatwood compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.75
 
K/9
13.5
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
94.3 mph
 
ERA
0.71
 
WHIP
0.79
 
BABIP
.264
 
GB/FB
1.43
 
Left On Base
90.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2473 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
15.9%
 
Swinging Strike
16.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Expectations were generally high for Chatwood heading into 2018. Many people saw his road numbers as a Rockie and figured he'd become a solid starter once he left Colorado. The Cubs agreed and paid up for his services and were then stuck with his completely underwhelming performance. His control issues worsened in Chicago, and he wound up walking more batters (95) than he struck out (85) in 103.2 innings to go with his awful 5.30 ERA. Most of this damage was done by left-handed hitters, who teed off to the tune of a .316 batting average. Right-handed batters, on the other hand, mustered just a .150 batting average off him. Chatwood was moved to the bullpen following the acquisition of Cole Hamels, and it doesn't appear that a spot in the rotation will be open for him in 2019, at least not to begin the season.
Chatwood's stock is on the rise now that he's finally out of Colorado, having joined the Cubs on a three-year, $38 million deal. The results at home over the past two seasons have been ugly, with Chatwood posting ERAs north of 6.00 at Coors Field in both 2016 and 2017, but his road splits hint at solid, back-of-the-rotation potential. He had a 1.69 ERA on the road in 2016 (80 innings), and he followed that up with a 3.49 mark in 2017. Perhaps he wasn't as good as that latter number would suggest, as Chatwood benefited from a .217 BABIP on the road -- especially low for a groundball pitcher (58.1 percent groundball rate last season). He also saw a significant uptick in walks year-over-year (4.7 BB/9), and a low-50s first-pitch strike percentage will limit his command, but the team context is now favorable and more faith in the changeup could help him neutralize lefty batters.
Chatwood was the leader of the Rockies' rotation, although his season was a tale of two halves. The right-hander came out of the gate hot, posting an excellent 2.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through his first 13 starts. Unfortunately, the good times ended as he injured his oblique in a mid-June start and mostly struggled thereafter. From July through the end of the season, Chatwood held an ERA just south of 5.00, walked over five batters per nine innings, and posted a 1.1 HR/9. His season home/road splits were night-and-day, as he sparkled on the road to the tune of a 1.69 ERA and an 8-1 record, but he was tagged at home for 11 home runs which led to an unsightly 6.12 ERA. It's tough to deny how good Chatwood is when he's locked in (and when he's away from Coors Field), but between the two Tommy John surgeries on his record and poor home numbers, there's enough downside here to push him to the endgame in mixed leagues.
Chatwood was sidelined all year while recovering from his second Tommy John surgery. His only pitching appearances of the season came at Low-A Asheville and High-A Modesto, where he allowed one earned run and struck out five over four total innings. The road to back to the major leagues from Tommy John surgery is tough, especially the second time around, but Chatwood is only 26 years old, so there is a decent chance that he could return close to his previous form. Depending on how he well he recovers over the offseason, Chatwood has a chance at competing for a rotation spot with the Rockies if he can emulate his breakout 2013 campaign, in which he posted a 3.15 ERA.
During a season in which a number of Rockies pitchers suffered long-term injuries, no loss was more significant than Chatwood. After a splendid age-23 season in 2013 in which he generated groundballs at a 58.5% clip and allowed only five home runs over 111.1 innings, Chatwood appeared on the cusp of becoming a fixture in the Colorado rotation for years to come. Those hopes were put in serious peril in July, when it was revealed the right-hander, who had been sidelined since late April with a flexor tendon strain of his elbow, would require Tommy John surgery and likely miss the entire 2015 season. Though it’s not uncommon for pitchers to eventually regain their pre-surgery effectiveness over time, the track record is bleaker for those who have had two such procedures like Chatwood, who first underwent the surgery during high school. The 25-year-old Chatwood still has youth on his side, but it wouldn’t be surprising if 2013 ends up going down as the peak season of his career.
Chatwood took the step forward last season that the Rockies desperately needed from one of their young hurlers, as the 24-year-old rode a 58.5 percent groundball rate to a 3.15 ERA in his 20 starts. He wore down a little bit down the stretch as hamstring, elbow and thumb injuries started to take their toll, but the Rockies saw enough growth from him to pencil him in as their No. 3 starter for 2014. Although Chatwood looks like a good building block for the Rockies' rotation, he's much less attractive in the fantasy game. In adopting a pitch-to-contact approach last season, Chatwood saw his strikeout rate plummet to 5.3 K/9 and finished with an ugly 1.43 WHIP. Those kind of marks will make it exceedingly difficult for Chatwood to replicate another full season with an ERA in the low 3.00s.
Chatwood boasts a terrific arsenal and a top prospect pedigree, but also issues with commanding the strike zone in the majors and upper minors. The 22-year-old had a few nice moments in his 12 starts with the Rockies, but a lukewarm 41:33 K:BB ultimately proved uninspiring. Chatwood appears to be in need of more refinement in at Triple-A and must combat a strikeout rate that has fallen precipitously as he has climbed to higher levels, but the Rockies' need for starting pitching and long-relief help will give Chatwood the chance to stake his claim to either spot. In either scenario, it is probably best to avoid Chatwood until he proves he can retire major league hitters with consistency.
Chatwood entered 2011 as a top-100 prospect, and while he started 25 major league games and just turned 22 in December, the Angels decided to trade him to the Rockies for Chris Iannetta. While Chatwood spent most of 2011 in the majors, he also posted a 74:71 K:BB ratio in 142 innings. Prior to last season, Chatwood had made just 13 career starts between Double- and Triple-A so it's fair to say that the Angels probably rushed him to the big leagues a full year before he was ready. He'll compete for a rotation spot during spring but will need to show improved control to make the Opening Day roster.
An 8-3 start with High-A Rancho Cucamonga earned Chatwood a midseason promotion to Double-A Arkansas, an impressive rise for a high school pitcher selected just one year earlier. Chatwood, still just 21, throws a mid-90s fastball and a biting curveball. He was able to improve his walk rate last season, but there is still some work to do in that department. Chatwood will likely begin the 2011 season by returning to Arkansas.
Chatwood passed on a hoops scholarship to Indiana after leading Hickory High to the state championship, instead signing with the Angels as a No. 2 pick in 2008. Chatwood throws hard, and even sometimes accurately; he can work on his command, but probably not his height (5-foot-11), making prospectdom an uphill battle.
More Fantasy News
Cruises to win
PChicago Cubs
July 26, 2020
Chatwood (1-0) tossed six innings of one-run ball and picked up the win Sunday against the Brewers. He allowed three hits and two walks while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Set to be No. 3 starter
PChicago Cubs
July 20, 2020
Chatwood is expected to throw around 80 pitches in a simulated game Tuesday before starting the team's third game of the season Sunday against the Brewers, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set to start Sunday
PChicago Cubs
July 19, 2020
Chatwood is expected to start the series finale against the Brewers next Sunday, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ready to contribute as starter
PChicago Cubs
May 11, 2020
Chatwood said he feels like he can carry momentum from a strong finish to 2019 and a good spring training into the regular season, Scot Gregor of the Chicago Daily Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well again Tuesday
PChicago Cubs
March 10, 2020
Chatwood tossed 3.2 scoreless innings in Tuesday's Cactus League game against the Giants. He allowed three hits and struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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