Tyler Chatwood
Tyler Chatwood
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Chatwood's stock is on the rise now that he's finally out of Colorado, having joined the Cubs on a three-year, $38 million deal. The results at home over the past two seasons have been ugly, with Chatwood posting ERAs north of 6.00 at Coors Field in both 2016 and 2017, but his road splits hint at solid, back-of-the-rotation potential. He had a 1.69 ERA on the road in 2016 (80 innings), and he followed that up with a 3.49 mark in 2017. Perhaps he wasn't as good as that latter number would suggest, as Chatwood benefited from a .217 BABIP on the road -- especially low for a groundball pitcher (58.1 percent groundball rate last season). He also saw a significant uptick in walks year-over-year (4.7 BB/9), and a low-50s first-pitch strike percentage will limit his command, but the team context is now favorable and more faith in the changeup could help him neutralize lefty batters. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a three-year, $38 million contract with the Cubs in December of 2017.
Back from DL
PChicago Cubs
September 3, 2018
Chatwood (hip) was activated from the 10-day disabled list Monday, Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Chatwood is back with the big club after spending close to two weeks on the shelf with a hip injury. The right-hander struggled to a 5.22 ERA and 85:93 K:BB across 101.2 innings with the Cubs prior to landing on the shelf, and he didn't fare much better in a pair of minor-league rehab starts, allowing seven runs across 6.2 innings while walking 10 and striking out four. He figures to settle into a long-relief role down the stretch.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-53%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .277 941 168 128 222 43 8 26
Since 2016vs Right .217 845 154 114 153 31 6 18
2018vs Left .316 265 41 45 68 13 1 7
2018vs Right .150 221 44 50 24 3 1 2
2017vs Left .270 328 64 46 75 13 4 11
2017vs Right .230 303 56 31 61 13 5 9
2016vs Left .256 348 63 37 79 17 3 8
2016vs Right .242 321 54 33 68 15 0 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-48%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-72%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 5.91 1.73 208.2 10 19 0 7.4 5.7 1.2
Since 2016Away 3.09 1.27 200.2 14 11 1 6.7 5.0 0.7
2018Home 5.52 1.92 60.1 3 3 0 8.7 9.0 1.0
2018Away 4.98 1.64 43.1 1 3 0 5.6 7.3 0.4
2017Home 6.01 1.68 70.1 3 8 0 7.4 4.7 1.3
2017Away 3.49 1.23 77.1 5 7 1 7.2 4.7 1.2
2016Home 6.12 1.64 78.0 4 8 0 6.5 3.9 1.3
2016Away 1.69 1.11 80.0 8 1 0 6.9 4.1 0.5
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Stat Review
How does Tyler Chatwood compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
0.89
 
K/9
7.4
 
BB/9
8.2
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
93.1 mph
 
ERA
5.30
 
WHIP
1.80
 
BABIP
.286
 
GB/FB
2.19
 
Strand %
70.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Chatwood was the leader of the Rockies' rotation, although his season was a tale of two halves. The right-hander came out of the gate hot, posting an excellent 2.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through his first 13 starts. Unfortunately, the good times ended as he injured his oblique in a mid-June start and mostly struggled thereafter. From July through the end of the season, Chatwood held an ERA just south of 5.00, walked over five batters per nine innings, and posted a 1.1 HR/9. His season home/road splits were night-and-day, as he sparkled on the road to the tune of a 1.69 ERA and an 8-1 record, but he was tagged at home for 11 home runs which led to an unsightly 6.12 ERA. It's tough to deny how good Chatwood is when he's locked in (and when he's away from Coors Field), but between the two Tommy John surgeries on his record and poor home numbers, there's enough downside here to push him to the endgame in mixed leagues.
Chatwood was sidelined all year while recovering from his second Tommy John surgery. His only pitching appearances of the season came at Low-A Asheville and High-A Modesto, where he allowed one earned run and struck out five over four total innings. The road to back to the major leagues from Tommy John surgery is tough, especially the second time around, but Chatwood is only 26 years old, so there is a decent chance that he could return close to his previous form. Depending on how he well he recovers over the offseason, Chatwood has a chance at competing for a rotation spot with the Rockies if he can emulate his breakout 2013 campaign, in which he posted a 3.15 ERA.
During a season in which a number of Rockies pitchers suffered long-term injuries, no loss was more significant than Chatwood. After a splendid age-23 season in 2013 in which he generated groundballs at a 58.5% clip and allowed only five home runs over 111.1 innings, Chatwood appeared on the cusp of becoming a fixture in the Colorado rotation for years to come. Those hopes were put in serious peril in July, when it was revealed the right-hander, who had been sidelined since late April with a flexor tendon strain of his elbow, would require Tommy John surgery and likely miss the entire 2015 season. Though it’s not uncommon for pitchers to eventually regain their pre-surgery effectiveness over time, the track record is bleaker for those who have had two such procedures like Chatwood, who first underwent the surgery during high school. The 25-year-old Chatwood still has youth on his side, but it wouldn’t be surprising if 2013 ends up going down as the peak season of his career.
Chatwood took the step forward last season that the Rockies desperately needed from one of their young hurlers, as the 24-year-old rode a 58.5 percent groundball rate to a 3.15 ERA in his 20 starts. He wore down a little bit down the stretch as hamstring, elbow and thumb injuries started to take their toll, but the Rockies saw enough growth from him to pencil him in as their No. 3 starter for 2014. Although Chatwood looks like a good building block for the Rockies' rotation, he's much less attractive in the fantasy game. In adopting a pitch-to-contact approach last season, Chatwood saw his strikeout rate plummet to 5.3 K/9 and finished with an ugly 1.43 WHIP. Those kind of marks will make it exceedingly difficult for Chatwood to replicate another full season with an ERA in the low 3.00s.
Chatwood boasts a terrific arsenal and a top prospect pedigree, but also issues with commanding the strike zone in the majors and upper minors. The 22-year-old had a few nice moments in his 12 starts with the Rockies, but a lukewarm 41:33 K:BB ultimately proved uninspiring. Chatwood appears to be in need of more refinement in at Triple-A and must combat a strikeout rate that has fallen precipitously as he has climbed to higher levels, but the Rockies' need for starting pitching and long-relief help will give Chatwood the chance to stake his claim to either spot. In either scenario, it is probably best to avoid Chatwood until he proves he can retire major league hitters with consistency.
Chatwood entered 2011 as a top-100 prospect, and while he started 25 major league games and just turned 22 in December, the Angels decided to trade him to the Rockies for Chris Iannetta. While Chatwood spent most of 2011 in the majors, he also posted a 74:71 K:BB ratio in 142 innings. Prior to last season, Chatwood had made just 13 career starts between Double- and Triple-A so it's fair to say that the Angels probably rushed him to the big leagues a full year before he was ready. He'll compete for a rotation spot during spring but will need to show improved control to make the Opening Day roster.
An 8-3 start with High-A Rancho Cucamonga earned Chatwood a midseason promotion to Double-A Arkansas, an impressive rise for a high school pitcher selected just one year earlier. Chatwood, still just 21, throws a mid-90s fastball and a biting curveball. He was able to improve his walk rate last season, but there is still some work to do in that department. Chatwood will likely begin the 2011 season by returning to Arkansas.
Chatwood passed on a hoops scholarship to Indiana after leading Hickory High to the state championship, instead signing with the Angels as a No. 2 pick in 2008. Chatwood throws hard, and even sometimes accurately; he can work on his command, but probably not his height (5-foot-11), making prospectdom an uphill battle.
More Fantasy News
Control issues linger in rehab start
PChicago Cubs
Hip
August 28, 2018
Chatwood (hip) tossed 4.1 innings and gave up two runs on three hits and five walks while striking out three during a 77-pitch rehab start Monday for Triple-A Iowa.
ANALYSIS
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Begins rehab assignment Monday
PChicago Cubs
Hip
August 26, 2018
Chatwood (hip) will report to Triple-A Iowa for a minor-league rehab assignment Monday, Carrie Muskat of MLB.com reports.
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Sent to disabled list
PChicago Cubs
Hip
August 23, 2018
Chatwood was placed on the 10-day disabled list with left hip inflammation, Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Quick exit in spot start
PChicago Cubs
August 18, 2018
Chatwood (4-6) took the loss Saturday as the Cubs fell 3-1 to the Pirates. He gave up three runs on two hits and three walks over two innings without striking out a batter.
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Set for spot start
PChicago Cubs
August 17, 2018
Chatwood will return to the rotation for a spot start Saturday in Pittsburgh, Carrie Muskat of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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