Junior Guerra
Junior Guerra
33-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Following a breakout rookie season as a 31-year-old in 2016, Guerra was tabbed as the Brewers' Opening Day starter to kick off the 2017 campaign. Things quickly went south from there, as he was injured while hitting and missed nearly two months of action. He held his own for a few starts after returning from the disabled list, but he had trouble finding the strike zone, was dropped from the rotation by the end of July and started just one more game for the Brewers very late in the year. Guerra's control and fastball velocity fell off significantly last season, but his success the year before will earn him a chance to secure a spot at the back end of the rotation during spring training. At age 32 without much of a track record, though, he is seemingly a long shot to come away with one of the five openings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $546,200 contract with the Brewers in February of 2017.
Pitching well in relief
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 20, 2018
Guerra threw a scoreless inning out of the bullpen in Wednesday's victory over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Wednesday's appearance was just Guerra's third since moving to the bullpen earlier this month, but it's a role he has succeeded in, giving up just one hit while posting a 5:0 K:BB in 3.2 innings. With just a few regular-season games to go, Guerra figures to continue working in relief the rest of the way.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .236 667 140 76 138 31 2 24
Since 2016vs Right .242 739 159 65 158 31 4 23
2018vs Left .269 307 66 33 73 16 0 12
2018vs Right .262 293 66 22 68 17 1 7
2017vs Left .235 140 28 19 28 4 1 7
2017vs Right .226 174 39 24 33 4 0 11
2016vs Left .191 220 46 24 37 11 1 5
2016vs Right .231 272 54 19 57 10 3 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-63%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.70 1.22 186.1 8 6 0 8.3 3.7 1.1
Since 2016Away 5.40 1.46 143.1 8 10 0 8.0 4.1 1.5
2018Home 2.57 1.24 87.2 3 3 0 8.8 3.4 1.1
2018Away 7.02 1.74 50.0 3 6 0 8.3 4.0 1.4
2017Home 3.79 1.45 38.0 0 1 0 9.7 5.7 1.9
2017Away 6.68 1.52 32.1 1 3 0 7.2 5.3 2.8
2016Home 2.23 1.05 60.2 5 2 0 6.7 2.8 0.6
2016Away 3.39 1.20 61.0 4 1 0 8.1 3.5 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Junior Guerra compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.42
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
93.3 mph
 
ERA
4.15
 
WHIP
1.41
 
BABIP
.321
 
GB/FB
1.29
 
Strand %
74.6%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
As a 31-year-old rookie, Guerra came out of nowhere to become Milwaukee's ace in 2016. Behind a fastball-slider-splitfinger combination, Guerra recorded a 2.81 ERA with exactly 100 strikeouts over 121.2 innings -- an innings limit imposed by the Brewers considering Guerra had spent most of his previous minor league campaigns in the bullpen. The big ticket for Guerra is the splitfinger, which drew whiffs nearly one in every five times he threw it and held opponents to just a .115 batting average against. Such success always feels precarious for a pitcher like Guerra, who was virtually unknown until his big 2016 season. But that splitter is for real, and while he may not be able to maintain a sub-3.00 ERA, Guerra's arsenal is good enough for him to remain a solid mid-rotation pitcher in 2017 and beyond.
After spending six seasons in independent leagues, Guerra got to pitch last year as a member of the White Sox organization. He moved through Double-A and Triple-A as a long reliever, and even got a taste of the major leagues in June. He got shelled in the majors, but his numbers in the minors were somewhat decent. His Triple-A ERA was only 3.39 and he reduced his WHIP to 1.16 while posting an excellent 11.3 K/9. He'll have to show that he can be effective against major league hitters, but he could see a shot in the big leagues with the Brewers bullpen being fairly young and fluid.
More Fantasy News
Moving to bullpen
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 4, 2018
Guerra will work out of the bullpen moving forward, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders four in short outing
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 2, 2018
Guerra allowed four runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three across three innings as he didn't factor into the decision Sunday against Washington.
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Pummeled again by Reds
PMilwaukee Brewers
August 28, 2018
Guerra (6-9) gave up six runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three over 1.1 innings Tuesday in Cincinnati. He took the loss.
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Allows season-high 10 hits
PMilwaukee Brewers
August 21, 2018
Guerra gave up seven runs (two earned) on 10 hits in 5.1 innings Tuesday against the Reds, striking out six and walking one in a no-decision.
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Chased early in loss vs. Cubs
PMilwaukee Brewers
August 15, 2018
Guerra (6-8) took the loss Wednesday against the Cubs, allowing seven runs (six earned) on nine hits and one walk in 3.2 innings. He struck out two.
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