Michael Pineda
Michael Pineda
29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
60-Day DL
Injury Knee
Est. Return 3/1/2019
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Like many hurlers, Pineda fell victim to the wave of uppercut swings, as his home run rate rose despite working down in the zone. Unfortunately, his season was cut short after 17 starts and 96.2 innings, so he never got the chance to adjust, like his teammate Masahiro Tanaka. Pineda had Tommy John surgery in mid-July, putting him on the shelf for most, if not all of 2018. Likely not a coincidence, Pineda incurred a pair of three-homer games in the three he pitched before going under the knife. Before getting hurt, Pineda's swinging-strike rate reverted to career levels, suggesting that 2016 was the outlier. His walk rate also reverted to its usual stingy level. The Twins signed him to a two-year deal this offseason, which will give Pineda short-term stability while giving the Twins a shot at an affordable, high-upside starter with something to prove in 2019. The safe play is ignoring Pineda entirely in 2018 in single-season leagues, as a return before September would be surprising, and even if he makes it back, he would be handled with kid gloves. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a two-year, $10 million contract with the Twins in December of 2017.
Progressing well from surgery
PMinnesota Twins
Knee
October 9, 2018
Pineda (knee) is progressing well in his recovery from meniscus surgery, Brandon Warne of ZoneCoverage.com reports.
ANALYSIS
This is encouraging news for Pineda, who opted for surgery after suffering a torn right meniscus at the end of August while rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. At this point, it's unclear if the right-hander will be ready to go by the start of spring training.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .265 518 141 41 124 30 3 18
Since 2016vs Right .268 648 158 33 163 27 3 29
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left .253 182 44 12 42 6 0 9
2017vs Right .281 228 48 9 61 8 0 11
2016vs Left .272 336 97 29 82 24 3 9
2016vs Right .261 420 110 24 102 19 3 18
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.24 1.22 146.1 10 7 0 10.2 2.3 1.8
Since 2016Away 5.16 1.45 125.2 4 9 0 9.5 2.6 1.2
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 3.53 1.13 58.2 6 2 0 9.7 1.8 1.5
2017Away 5.73 1.54 37.2 2 2 0 6.9 2.2 2.4
2016Home 4.72 1.29 87.2 4 5 0 10.6 2.7 2.1
2016Away 4.91 1.41 88.0 2 7 0 10.6 2.8 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Twins Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Another year, another maddeningly frustrating season for Pineda: His overpowering stuff helped him post an American-League-leading 10.61 K/9 as he eclipsed the 200-strikeout mark for the first time. Aside from that, however, he suffered through the worst season of his brief career. Some factors -- such as an AL-high .339 BABIP and a FIP (3.80) more than a full run lower than his ERA -- suggest bad luck was partly to blame, but he suffered a similarly poor fate in those departments in 2015 as well. Home runs remained an issue, as Pineda served up a personal-worst 27 long balls, and he also saw his walk rate spike for the third year in a row, albeit to a still acceptable 2.72 BB/9. He'll get another look in the middle of the Yankees rotation in 2017, and when he's at his best he is a dominating force on the mound. Unfortunately, until Pineda can prove himself to be a more consistent and reliable pitcher, he'll be a big gamble for fantasy owners.
Pineda held most of his incredible walk rate from 2014 while also spiking his strikeouts by three percentage points and set a career high in groundballs, which should have resulted in a darn good season. Maybe something like his 2011 and 2014 smashed together (3.17 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 8.4 K/9). Instead, it was his worst season yet. A major HR issue at home (1.6 HR/9) and way too many hits on the road (10.5 H/9, .363 BABIP) sank his season. His season was a graduate-level course on control vs. command. He threw strikes, but really hittable ones. His .904 OPS in the middle third of the zone (including pitches outside of the strike zone, too) was eighth-worst among SPs with 27-plus starts. There are flaws here and injury risk, but getting a 7.4 K/BB in a double-digit round doesn't happen often, so cost mitigates a good portion of that risk and makes him a worthy gamble. At worst, he's a road-only streamer as that ridiculous BABIP will come down.
After a brilliant MLB debut, Pineda was dealt to the Yankees in early 2012 in an intriguing challenge trade that sent Jesus Montero to Seattle. Pineda then missed the next two seasons before finally working his way back to make his Yankee debut in 2014. He got off to an incredible start, with just a 1.00 ERA in his first three starts, before the Pine Tar Incident in Boston. He went out to the mound with four pounds of it slathered on his neck and was eventually caught after allowing two runs on four hits in just an inning and two-thirds. His suspension ended up not mattering because injury once again struck and cost him three and a half months of time. He finally returned in mid-August and got right back on track, allowing two or fewer runs in eight of his final nine starts. Pineda lacked the dominance we saw in his rookie season, but his command and control were impeccable. Unfortunately, with just 76 innings of work, he remains a severe health risk, but at least we were able to see him perform at a high level, so the fear of skills erosion after two years off has faded.
The much-hyped trade of Jesus Montero for Pineda has not worked out for either team at this point. With Pineda, the issue has been injury rather than skill degradation, and while it's hard to get excited about a pitcher that has missed two full years with shoulder troubles, Pineda is still just 25, and could very well bounce back with the electric stuff that made him so exciting to watch back in 2011. In his return from injury, Pineda made 10 starts over three levels in the minors last season, carrying a 10.0 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 23.1 innings at Triple-A. The poor track record of health makes him something of a lottery ticket, but the payoff could prove to be a big one if he's able to return to something resembling his pre-injury form at the big league level this season.
The trade of Pineda for Jesus Montero was a huge topic last offseason, but things started to go downhill for Pineda right from the moment he became a Yankee. Not only does Pineda have a shoulder injury that kept him out for all of 2012 and will sideline him for at least half of 2013 as well, but he also had a DUI in August. It's too soon to know whether the dominant stuff we saw in 2011 will come back after the injury, but Pineda is still just 24, and is definitely worth a flyer if you can find a fill-in for the first half.
Pineda turned in a rousing rookie season last year, highlighted by a trip to the All-Star Game. His 9.22 K/9IP ranked second in the American League and he led rookie pitchers in strikeouts as he overpowered batters with a fastball that averaged 94.6 mph, fourth highest in baseball. In fact, his 26.0 missed-swing percentage was third in the AL. The popular theory that Pineda's 5.12 second-half ERA was a result of tiring down the stretch probably got a little more play than it merited. Pineda got hammered in three second-half starts (two of which came in mid-July), which bloated his ERA; his remaining ERA was 3.40, not far off his first-half pace. (He was also on an innings limit that kept him from going deep into games in the second half and leveling out his ERA.) Importantly, his strikeout and walk rates remained consistent (the K/9IP was actually up a few ticks), and his batting average against was still only .236. In addition to his mid-to-upper-90s fastball, Pineda features a nasty slider and a change-up that by year's end had developed into a weapon that helped him neutralize left-handers. This season, he'll likely be allowed to go deeper into games and to approach 200 innings. However, he'll go from a pitchers' park to a hitters' park after his trade to the Yankees and pitch more games in the AL East. His ERA and WHIP may take a hit, but he should be a mainstay in the Yankees rotation for many years.
The organization's top prospect, Pineda enters spring training with a rotation spot all but assured. He dominated last season at Double-A and Triple-A, totaling 154 strikeouts in 139.1 innings. He walked just 34 for a 2.2 BB/9IP and a 4.5 K/BB. Pineda's fastball has good sinking action, and he improved the velocity last season, pitching in the mid-to-upper 90s. He also has a very good changeup and a developing slider. Pineda missed much of 2009 with an elbow injury, and the Mariners shut him down early last season and probably will have him on an innings limit this season. If the Mariners don't keep him at Triple-A to delay his service clock, expect him to break camp in the Seattle rotation.
More Fantasy News
Out for year with torn meniscus
PMinnesota Twins
Knee
August 28, 2018
Pineda has been ruled out for the remainder of the season with a torn meniscus in his right knee, Phil Miller of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Heading for MRI on knee
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
August 25, 2018
Pineda (elbow) will return to Minnesota to undergo an MRI on his right knee Monday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic Minnesota reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Scheduled for three starts at Triple-A
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
August 17, 2018
Pindea (elbow) is slated to make three starts for Triple-A Rochester prior to returning from the disabled list, Mike Berardino of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Throws three scoreless rehab innings
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
August 11, 2018
Pineda (elbow) threw three scoreless innings in a rehab appearance for High-A Fort Myers on Saturday. He struck out three and gave up five hits.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sharp in first rehab appearance
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
August 6, 2018
Pineda (elbow) threw two scoreless innings for the Gulf Coast League Twins on Monday, striking out three while allowing one hit and one walk.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.