Leake
2018 Stats
2018 Full Season Projections
W-L
8-7
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.309
K
90
SV
0
 
 
 
 
 
2018 Fantasy Outlook
It's cliche, but Leake is better for the real thing than fantasy. Consider this: since 2011, he's one of only five pitchers to throw at least 165 innings each season but has recorded an ERA below 3.40 only once with just one season punching out more than 160 hitters. In 201... read more
It's cliche, but Leake is better for the real thing than fantasy. Consider this: since 2011, he's one of only five pitchers to throw at least 165 innings each season but has recorded an ERA below 3.40 only once with just one season punching out more than 160 hitters. In 2017, he pitched for his fourth organization as the Cardinals dealt the righty to the Mariners in late August. Leake excelled in the American League down the stretch, recording a 2.53 ERA with 27 whiffs to just two walks in 32 innings. Safeco Field and Busch Stadium are comparable pitching parks so the inevitable regression won't be too damaging, but even in today's increased run-scoring landscape, Leake's career 16 percent strikeout rate is a detriment. That said, Leake's reliability and durability is worth something. He should get decent run support, making Leake a streaming candidate for mixed leagues, especially at home. In AL-only, he's a nice complement to a high-strikeout but potentially risky starter.
LEAGUE: Majors    40 MAN: Yes    BATS: R    Throws: R    HT: 5'11"    WT: 170 lbs.    DOB: 11/12/1987    College: Arizona State    Drafted: 1st Rd in 2009Show Contract
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Mike Leake Contract Info:
Signed a five-year, $80 million contract with the Cardinals in December of 2015. Contract includes a mutual $18 million option ($5 million buyout) for 2021. Traded to the Mariners in August of 2017.
Delivers quality start
PSeattle Mariners
August 11, 2018
Leake didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 5-2 win over the Astros, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Mike Leake MLB Stats
Basic
Minors Stats
Advanced Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Mike Leake 2018 MLB Game Log
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Vs. Today's Lineup - OAK
Mike Leake Vs Batter Stats
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2018 Stat Review for Mike Leake
3.00 K/BB
AVERAGE
5.52 K/9
TERRIBLE
1.84 BB/9
ELITE
88.9 MPH Fastball
POOR
1.1 HR/9
AVERAGE
2.06 GB/FB Ratio
EXTREME GROUNDBALLER
4.11 ERA
WEAK
1.31 WHIP
WEAK
4.26 FIP
WEAK
0.308 BABIP
ABOVE AVERAGE
71.8 % Strand Rate
BELOW AVERAGE
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RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
  1. Mike Leake 2018 Preseason Outlook
    Subscribe now to see our 2018 outlook for Mike Leake
  2. Mike Leake 2017 Preseason Outlook
    Coming off back-to-back seasons with a 3.70 ERA, Leake struggled en route to his first losing season since 2014. Fueling the fire was an uncharacteristically poor showing against right-handed hitters. After holding them to a batting average below .265 for three straight years, his luck ran out and they put up a .304 average and .752 OPS against him in 2016. Meanwhile, he continued freely allowing home runs. In all seven of his seasons, he's allowed at least 0.97 per nine. A slight rebound isn't out of the question, and at his best, Leake can gobble up plenty of innings with a passable WHIP, but he continues to work with a low strikeout rate (16.2 percent for his career), which limits his value in most mixed formats.
  3. Mike Leake 2016 Preseason Outlook
    Leake's skill set is pretty firmly established: he is a groundball control pitcher with modest strikeout rates and a bit of a homer issue. His ERA vacillates based on hit and home run suppression, which is how he was able to have his best (3.37) and worst (4.58) ERAs a year apart with virtually identical strikeout, walk, and groundball rates in those two seasons. The strikeout deficiency - even in this strikeout-happy era, he has never topped 7.0 K/9 - puts a firm cap on his fantasy potential as a back-end starter if you have rigid roster management rules. If you can curate his season to include only the pitcher-friendly ballparks, he becomes more valuable. His work in parks with an above-average home park factor for pitchers includes a 2.70 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 283 innings thanks in large part to a 0.73 HR/9. Be careful, even after he cashed in with an $80 million five-year deal with the Cardinals in free agency.
  4. Mike Leake 2015 Preseason Outlook
    Projection systems typically suggest that Leake overperforms his component stats, usually because he's a groundball pitcher (53.4% of batted balls against Leake in 2014 were on the ground) with a good defense behind him. However, Leake genuinely improved in 2014, raising his strikeout percentage from 15.2% to 18.2%, while retaining low walk and HR rates. While he'll never be a great source of strikeouts, if he can maintain a semblance of his 2014 strikeouts, solid results should follow. As is the case with ace Johnny Cueto, Leake is eligible to become a free agent after the 2015 season.
  5. Mike Leake 2014 Preseason Outlook
    Despite multiple calls for manager Dusty Baker to pull Leake from the rotation, Baker persisted and kept Leake in there and was rewarded with a solid bounce back season, as Leake posted a 3.37 ERA and 1.25 WHIP while making 31 starts. However, there are some warning signs for those looking to invest for 2014. Leake is a pitch-to-contact hurler, cut out of the Bronson Arroyo mold. His strikeout rate remained perilously low (15.2%) and he struggled down the stretch with an extended workload, posting a 4.39 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last 60 days. Because he's well below league-average for a fantasy starting pitcher in strikeouts, Leake relies on the team context to provide value, and chances are the Reds will decline a little from the last two years, so he may not match the 14 wins he netted in 2013.
  6. Mike Leake 2013 Preseason Outlook
    Leake has become a poor man's Bronson Arroyo on the mound, striking out just 5.8 K/9 last year while allowing 1.3 HR/9. By the time September rolled around, it was clear that Homer Bailey's spot in the rotation was secure for the playoffs and that Leake was the fifth starter and thus the odd man out in the playoffs. Johnny Cueto's ill-timed oblique injury pressed Leake into service and he was woefully inadequate against the Giants. The 2013 season presents a big challenge to Leake in saving his rotation spot, as prospects Anthony Cingrani and Daniel Corcino are knocking at the door. At least Leake can hit, though the value of that skill is diminished considerably if he's working out of the bullpen.
  7. Mike Leake 2012 Preseason Outlook
    After an embarrassing shoplifting incident and a brief demotion in May, Leake once again outperformed expectations (and his component numbers) before getting shut down in mid-September. He's still not a dominant starter (6.33 K/9IP), but he has excellent control and ended up with modest improvements in his component numbers. He's unlikely to ever become an ace, but he could maintain a reasonable career as a third or fourth starter. When looking at his numbers, keep in mind that he has just two minor league appearances in his professional career.
  8. Mike Leake 2011 Preseason Outlook
    Leake helped keep the Reds afloat early in the season when they were scuffling with Aaron Harang's slow start, but he declined sharply in the second half with a 6.91 ERA after the All-Star break. His drop-off can in part be attributed to fatigue, having never pitched as many innings as he did in his rookie season after bypassing the minors, and in part because he was overachieving to begin with - his xFIP ERA for April and May was nearly two runs higher than his actual ERA, and he faced only two above-average NL offenses in that stretch. Leake will have to earn his spot in the rotation in spring training, following the emergence of Travis Wood last season. He might very well begin 2011 in Triple-A Louisville.
  9. Mike Leake 2010 Preseason Outlook
    The Reds drafted Leake with the eighth pick in the 2009 draft, with the expectation that he'll advance fairly rapidly. Leake sits between 88-92 mph with his fastball, but he has a complete four-pitch arsenal that also includes a curveball, slider and changeup. Further, he commands his pitches well and didn't show any hesitation to throw any of his pitches regardless of the count during a very successful collegiate career at Arizona State. His ceiling isn't as high as others in this draft class, but he'll ultimately profile as a No. 3 starter type. Look for him to debut in 2011.
More Fantasy News
Delivers quality start
PSeattle Mariners
August 11, 2018
Leake didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 5-2 win over the Astros, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Goes 6.2 innings
PSeattle Mariners
August 5, 2018
Leake allowed three earned runs on nine hits and no walks while striking out five Sunday against the Blue Jays. He did not factor into the decision.
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Allows three in loss
PSeattle Mariners
August 1, 2018
Leake (8-7) took the loss Tuesday, allowing three runs on eight hits while striking out four over six innings against the Astros.
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Throws quality start
PSeattle Mariners
July 25, 2018
Leake turned in a quality start but didn't factor into the decision Wednesday against the Giants, striking out a pair in 6.1 innings and allowing two runs on four hits.
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Bounces back with sharp outing
PSeattle Mariners
July 15, 2018
Leake didn't factor into the decision against Colorado on Sunday, giving up two runs (one earned) on six hits over six innings, striking out four and walking two in Seattle's 4-3 defeat.
ANALYSIS
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