Billy Hamilton
Billy Hamilton
30-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Chicago White Sox
10-Day IL
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 4/20/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Billy Hamilton. His name in Billy Hamilton. And there is a million things he hasn't done, but just you wait, just you wait. Actually, don't wait because the most important thing he hasn't done is hit. Hamilton's offensive game has been in decline for some time, but 2020 was the bottom of the barrel as he posted a 3 wRC+ with a .125/.171/.219 slash line. His entire season was essentially the final game of the season when he walked, stole two bases and hit a home run, winning someone some DFS cash that day. Otherwise, he is the emptiest of steals who will hang around as a defensive replacement and pinch-running specialist. He's closer to Terrance Gore than Jarrod Dyson or Rajai Davis, and is only rosterable in the deepest of single-league formats which utilize a bench. You must have the surplus on your roster to carry this anemic bat. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#599
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the White Sox in March of 2021.
Placed on injured list
OFChicago White Sox
Hamstring
April 8, 2021
Hamilton was placed on the 10-day injured list due to a left hamstring strain Thursday.
ANALYSIS
Hamilton left Wednesday's game against the Mariners with this injury. He'd appeared in six of the first seven games of the season, hitting .273 with a pair of steals. Hamilton's absence should open up more playing time for Andrew Vaughn in left field.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+214%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+167%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .523 135 15 0 6 7 .181 .273 .250
Since 2019vs Right .548 260 35 0 11 20 .224 .282 .266
2021vs Left 1.333 3 0 0 1 0 .667 .667 .667
2021vs Right .425 10 2 0 0 2 .125 .300 .125
2020vs Left .091 11 3 0 0 1 .000 .091 .000
2020vs Right .243 18 4 0 1 2 .125 .118 .125
2019vs Left .542 121 12 0 5 6 .184 .280 .262
2019vs Right .575 232 29 0 10 16 .235 .293 .282
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
-100%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .503 169 20 0 8 7 .200 .269 .233
Since 2019Away .572 224 29 0 9 20 .219 .288 .284
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away .657 13 2 0 1 2 .273 .385 .273
2020Home .220 14 2 0 0 0 .077 .143 .077
2020Away .174 13 4 0 1 3 .091 .083 .091
2019Home .529 155 18 0 8 7 .212 .281 .248
2019Away .591 198 23 0 7 15 .223 .294 .296
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Stat Review
How does Billy Hamilton compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
2.00
 
BB Rate
15.4%
 
K Rate
7.7%
 
BABIP
.300
 
ISO
.000
 
AVG
.273
 
OBP
.385
 
SLG
.273
 
OPS
.657
 
wOBA
.312
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
20.0%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Billy Hamilton
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
8 days ago
Erik Siegrist checks out the AL free-agent pool and thinks that while Akil Baddoo's name might be fun to say, he could be even more fun to have on your roster.
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
9 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
14 days ago
Erik Halterman looks at this week’s rising and falling players, and anticipates this is the year we’ll get the full Shohei Ohtani experience.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
22 days ago
Erik Siegrist looks at the free-agent pool in the American League with Opening Day looming, including an exciting young closing option in Toronto.
Spring Training Job Battles: Mid-March Update
37 days ago
Erik Halterman checks in on spring job battles and notes that the only thing standing between Andrew Vaughn and a spot in the Opening Day lineup is potential service-time manipulation.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Unsurprisingly, Hamilton struggled to hit for average throughout the 2019 campaign, and his stolen base total took a hit as a result. He slashed .218/.289/.275 with 15 RBI and 22 stolen bases, splitting time with the Royals and Braves. Kansas City DFA'd Hamilton in mid-August, and he managed to improve at the dish over his last 26 games of the season after being scooped up by Atlanta, hitting .268 with four stolen bases. Strikeouts continue to be a concern for the speedster, as he ended the year with a 24.6 K%. His 50 wRC+ was also the worst of his seven-year big-league career. Hamilton is a talented athlete, but it's been a struggle for teams to keep his bat in the lineup, even with his unmatched speed on the basepaths. He's likely headed for a bench role in 2020.
Last season was a poor one on the whole for pure stolen-base artists, highlighted by disappointing seasons from Hamilton and Dee Gordon. When you pay full price for someone like Hamilton, you need him to get 50-plus steals to be worth the cost, as he's already going to cost you standings points in homers and RBI, and likely won't help you in batting average. When he hits just .236 and steals 34 bags, it's an unmitigated disaster for your team. Hamilton dropped to the bottom of the order early in the season and ended up there for 111 games, as opposed to just 31 games in the leadoff spot. After being non-tendered by the Reds, Hamilton signed with the Royals -- a perfect destination for someone who otherwise might have been ticketed for a bench role. He should have regular playing time and the green light to run. While there's little reason to think he will suddenly start hitting, he could find himself leading off with Ned Yost pulling the strings.
Last year Hamilton gave back most of the small gains he made at the plate in 2016. After hitting .260 in 2016, that mark dropped back to .247 in 2017, his walk rate dropped from 7.8 percent to 7.0 percent, and he slugged a mere .335, down from .345 the previous year. He still is a major contributor in stolen bases, notching 59 last season while spending all but four games in the leadoff spot. With Jesse Winker knocking on the door, there's a chance that the Reds might start playing Hamilton less frequently, moving him down in the order or maybe even trading him to another organization. Should any of these options come into play, his stolen-base opportunities will decline, stripping Hamilton of his one true offensive contribution. If you draft Hamilton, you may not get the full complement of bags that you expected, all while getting substandard production in the other four categories.
Hamilton pushed his OBP to a career-best .321 last season -- a 47-point jump from 2015 -- and that improvement was fueled by his second straight season with an increased walk rate (7.8 percent). He also maintained his improved efficiency as a basestealer, going 58-for-66 on the heels of his 57-for-65 mark in 2015. Finally, Hamilton hit the ball on the ground more frequently last season (47.7 percent groundball rate), which allowed him to use his speed to push his batting average to a career-high .260. Health is a major issue for Hamilton, as he returned from offseason shoulder surgery to begin 2016, and proceeded to lose time due to a concussion, thumb contusion, minor knee injury and an oblique injury that eventually shut him down for good. Hamilton declared himself to be healthy in December, and the skills growth he showed last season points to a potential spike in the stolen-base department if he can avoid the injury bug.
Hamilton improved on the basepaths but regressed at the plate in 2015, and it's that latter quality that has us worried about his long-term prospects. But first, the good news: he was 57-for-65 in stolen base attempts in 114 games after getting caught 23 times in 2014. Those gains were canceled out by his performance at the plate, as his ISO dropped to a paltry .063 in 2015, giving opposing pitchers little reason to avoid challenging him in the strike zone. Thus, it's going to be extraordinarily difficult for him to raise his walk rate above 10 percent and make him an acceptable leadoff hitter. He spent more time batting ninth (226 plate appearances) than leading off (208) in 2015, and that's unlikely to change in the future. His season ended early with a shoulder injury, and that same injury has kept him out of spring games early in camp, so his status for Opening Day is in question.
If the season ended on August 31, Hamilton's rookie season would have been a rousing success. He hit for more power than expected and was hitting .267/.302/.382 with 54 stolen bases. But he collapsed in September, hitting just .123 with 19 strikeouts in 65 at-bats and had just two more stolen bases before missing the final four games with a concussion. He fell short of his projected stolen base total in part because of that September slump, but also because he was caught a whopping 23 times on the season (seven of those coming on pickoffs). As he plays more at the major league level, his success rate should improve as he learns how to read opposing pitchers better, but he also has to get on base more frequently, having walked a mere 34 times in 611 plate appearances in 2014. While we don't ever expect him to be Tim Raines, we do suspect there will be some improvement in 2015, both in his ability to get on base and being able to run more without getting caught.
True speed demons like Hamilton have among the biggest fantasy swing potentials among all players. Is he going to be like Vince Coleman and dominate a category, or is he going to be more like Dee Gordon and lose playing time and struggle to keep a major league job? Much of Hamilton's value rests in the format of your league. If you play in the NFBC or any other no-trade league, Hamilton is especially tricky to value. A full season of him in the lineup gets you half of the way there in the stolen-base category, if not more. But if you draft him, chances are you are avoiding other elite stolen base guys, as a surplus in the category gets you nowhere, plus you have to draft power-heavy hitters to make up for Hamilton's shortfall there. If Hamilton scuffles and subsequently gets demoted, your team goes from likely winning the category to falling to the back of the pack. Hamilton struck out nearly 20 percent of the time at Triple-A without being a power threat (.343 slugging percentage) - there's a good chance that strikeout rate hits 25 percent or higher at the major league level, which will make it difficult for him to hit for a decent batting average. Be very cautious with Hamilton - the burn potential is high.
After Hamilton set the minor league single-season record for stolen bases in 2012, the Reds resisted the urge to call him up for the September stretch run, instead preserving their ability to keep him off the 40-man roster for another offseason. And in fairness, Hamilton probably isn't ready to face major league pitching, nor was there a place for him to play. Those things might change by midseason 2013, especially if the Reds don't reach outside the organization to find a leadoff hitter. Hamilton did more than steal bases last year - he also learned to master the strike zone, improving his walk rate as he climbed the organizational ladder. He still has no palpable power, so that ability to get on-base will need to translate at Triple-A and then the majors to allow him to cash in on his world-class speed. He played center field in the Arizona Fall League, so that could be his ultimate position once he hits the majors, especially if the Reds are locked in on Zack Cozart at shortstop.
Two numbers stand out when looking at Hamilton's 2011 stats: 103 and 39. That's 103 stolen bases (in 123 attempts) and 39 errors. Hamilton stayed at shortstop all season after playing much of 2010 at second base, so growing pains had to be expected. But while Hamilton has great range, he hasn't received good marks for his arm or his hands, so he might not stick at shortstop. He's a very raw prospect, so even with an organizational problem at shortstop, Hamilton is not a candidate for a quick promotion. However, it's worth noting that he really came on strong at Low-A Dayton after hitting .195 through May - he just needs plenty of time at each level to develop.
Hamilton was drafted out of a Mississippi high school in the second round of the 2009 draft and started to hit his stride last year in the Pioneer League, where he hit .318/.383/.456 with a whopping 48 stolen bases in 69 games. So far he hasn't hit for power, and this production came at a pretty low level, but Hamilton's raw tools should put him on your long-term radar.
More Fantasy News
Leaves with hamstring tightness
OFChicago White Sox
Hamstring
April 7, 2021
Hamilton left Wednesday's game against the Mariners with left hamstring tightness.
ANALYSIS
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Starts in left field
OFChicago White Sox
April 5, 2021
Hamilton started in left field and went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in Sunday's 7-4 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Wins job
OFChicago White Sox
March 30, 2021
Hamilton has made the White Sox's Opening Day roster, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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In mix for final roster spot
OFChicago White Sox
March 28, 2021
Hamilton and Nick Williams are competing for Chicago's 26th and final roster spot, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Joins White Sox
OFChicago White Sox
March 16, 2021
The White Sox signed Hamilton to a minor-league contract Tuesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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