Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Mikolas' 2018 campaign was better than even the most optimistic league-equivalency estimators could have predicted after he made the jump from Japan. He was supposed to be pretty good, but he certainly wasn't expected to be this good, finishing with a 2.83 ERA, 18 wins (tied for most in the NL) and a sixth-place finish in the NL Cy Young race. He looks to be a legitimately good starter, with his primary skill being his impeccable control, which allows him to offset a modest 18.1% strikeout rate with an excellent 3.6% walk rate, the best among qualified starters. Mikolas was also good at limiting the long ball, with a near-50% groundball rate leading to a 0.72 HR/9. None of his peripherals suggest that major regression is coming, though the variability of wins means he's unlikely to repeat such a high number in that category, taking away some of his fantasy value. Still, Mikolas is for real and should be treated as a high-floor option this draft season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a four-year, $68 million contract extension with the Cardinals in February of 2019.
Labors through five innings in loss
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 23, 2019
Mikolas (5-8) gave up one run on seven hits and two walks while striking out four in five innings, taking the the loss against the Angels on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Though he gave up only one run, Mikolas stumbled throughout the outing, needing 90 pitches to make it through five frames. He allowed at least one baserunner in all but one inning and induced only six swinging strikes. The loss is Mikolas' sixth in his last seven decisions dating back to May 11. He'll carry a 4.33 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 65:17 K:BB into his next start, on the road against the Padres on Sunday.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-31%
BAA vs RHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .287 612 100 28 165 24 4 20
Since 2017vs Right .216 567 111 18 115 15 5 10
2019vs Left .301 159 24 13 43 9 1 8
2019vs Right .250 212 41 4 51 6 4 6
2018vs Left .283 453 76 15 122 15 3 12
2018vs Right .195 355 70 14 64 9 1 4
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-68%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.28 0.97 161.2 12 8 0 6.7 1.2 0.6
Since 2017Away 4.56 1.32 128.1 11 4 0 6.3 1.8 1.3
2019Home 2.48 0.97 58.0 4 4 0 6.7 1.4 0.8
2019Away 7.76 1.76 31.1 1 4 0 6.3 2.3 2.6
2018Home 2.17 0.97 103.2 8 4 0 6.8 1.0 0.5
2018Away 3.53 1.18 97.0 10 0 0 6.3 1.6 0.9
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Miles Mikolas compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.82
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
1.7
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
93.5 mph
 
ERA
4.33
 
WHIP
1.24
 
BABIP
.300
 
GB/FB
1.86
 
Left On Base
73.3%
 
Exit Velocity
88.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.8%
 
Spin Rate
2312 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
36.9%
 
Swinging Strike
9.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Miles Mikolas
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Down Week for Double Dippers
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitchers as Houston's Gerrit Cole is one of the few quality hurlers with two starts this week.
Mound Musings: Where Is Pitching Headed in Fantasy Baseball?
6 days ago
Brad Johnson explores the evolution of pitching and what its new direction might mean to scoring pitching categories in the fantasy game.
FanDuel MLB: Monday Breakdown
9 days ago
FanDuel's Monday slate has some questions near the top of the pitcher pricing, so Kevin Payne suggests moving down the list to the struggling but promising Miles Mikolas.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Busy Week for Double Dippers
11 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a familiar face and the return of an old friend to the top in the busiest week of the season for two-start options.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Picks
14 days ago
Chris Bennett tees up Wednesday’s DraftKings slate, rolling with a Blue Jays stack against David Hess and the Orioles.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2015
2014
2013
Mikolas returns stateside in 2018, having signed a two-year deal with the Cardinals after three highly successful seasons in Japan. But will that success translate? The right-hander flopped in his first pass through the majors from 2012-14, posting a 5.32 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over 91.1 innings between San Diego and Texas. He found his way with the Yomiuri Giants, with his K/9 ticking up from 6.6 to 8.2 to 9.0. Mikolas was also much sharper with his control, issuing a total of 69 free passes in 424.2 innings. The curveball passes the eye test, but for Mikolas it's more about getting that pitch over for strikes than it is the swing and miss. Maintaining the confidence that he gained in his slider and cutter will be crucial to his success in a starting role with St. Louis, and to his chances of exceeding 7.0 K/9, a number he failed to reach in any of his first three big-league seasons.
The Rangers couldn’t have envisioned using Mikolas for 10 starts in 2014, but that is just how severely injuries ripped through their rotation. He closed in Triple-A in 2013 and that was his fourth straight year as a full-time reliever. He wasn’t as bad as his 6.44 ERA would suggest, but three shellackings of seven, nine, and 10 earned runs destroyed him. There was a measure of bad luck involved (namely an impossibly-low 58% LOB rate), but he deserves plenty of the blame for the poor performance. He allowed way too much contact with a 15 percent strikeout rate and was probably fortunate to yield just a .299 BABIP. There were some things to like here, but you are going to have a hard time finding any real fantasy value in him unless your league’s player pool includes the Yomiuri Giants. The rights to Mikolas were sold to the Japanese Central League team back in November.
Mikolas acted as Triple-A Tucson's closer in 2013 but was nothing special, posting 26 saves with a 3.25 ERA and 5.9 K/9 in 61 innings (54 outings). As he climbed the minor league ranks, his strikeout rate tailed off, likely spurring the Padres to cut ties with the 25-year-old right-hander. Following his arrival in the Texas organization, he'll provide depth to the bullpen and likely take up residence at Triple-A Tucson after spring training.
Mikolas finally made his MLB debut in 2012 as he pitched 32.1 innings out of the bullpen with results (3.62 ERA) that really don't reflect how poorly he performed (4.52 xFIP). In the minors his control became less and less sharp as he moved up in levels. His strikeout rate stayed fairly consistent throughout these stops, but has never been anything special. Overall, he's got fringe command and should not be expected to factor into late-game situations in 2013 for the Padres.
More Fantasy News
Fires six shutout innings
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 17, 2019
Mikolas (5-7) yielded six hits across six shutout innings Monday, striking out four and earning the win over Miami.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles in Miami
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 13, 2019
Mikolas (4-7) took the loss Wednesday, giving up five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings while striking out four as the Cardinals were downed 9-0 by the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed as starter
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 12, 2019
Mikolas (forearm) has been confirmed as the starting pitcher for Wednesday's game against the Marlins.
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Plays catch Saturday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Forearm
June 8, 2019
Mikolas (forearm) played catch Saturday without issue and confirmed he'll take the mound in his next start Wednesday against the Marlins, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
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Shouldn't miss next start
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Forearm
June 7, 2019
Mikolas isn't expected to miss his next turn through the rotation following his removal from Friday's start against Chicago after being struck in the right forearm with a comebacker, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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