Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas
31-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
60-Day IL
Injury Forearm
Est. Return 2/1/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Not much changed with Mikolas from his first season back stateside in 2018 to 2019, except the home runs. His K% and BB% were near carbon copies of his 2018 marks and his swinging-strike rate was identical at 9.6%. It wasn't a sizable dip, but Mikolas' groundball rate dropped to 47.4%, and the balls that got up did more damage thanks in no small part to the reduced drag on the big-league baseball. His win total was cut in half and his fantasy value took a good hit as a result of these factors. Now 31, Mikolas has a pretty clear fantasy ceiling given his limited strikeout ability, and while excellent command and control have kept his floor high, that floor has been jeopardized by a sore flexor tendon in spring training. If he gets healthy and the ball is deadened some this year, Mikolas could settle into a mid-to-high 3.00s ERA with a WHIP in the teens and double-digit wins on a competitive team. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#281
ADP
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$Signed a four-year, $68 million contract extension with the Cardinals in February of 2019.
Shifts to 45-day injured list
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Forearm
August 11, 2020
Mikolas (forearm) was transferred to the 45-day injured list Tuesday, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
The move won't have any effect on Mikolas' return timeline, as he's already been ruled out for the year due to surgery on his right flexor tendon. The move creates a spot on the 40-man roster for the Cardinals to add a player once their season eventually resumes following their COVID-19 outbreak.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-31%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .283 822 148 38 217 35 4 23
Since 2018vs Right .230 750 142 23 162 22 6 20
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .284 369 72 23 95 20 1 11
2019vs Right .261 395 72 9 98 13 5 16
2018vs Left .283 453 76 15 122 15 3 12
2018vs Right .195 355 70 14 64 9 1 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 2.57 1.01 199.1 13 10 0 6.5 1.1 0.7
Since 2018Away 4.42 1.29 185.1 14 8 0 7.1 1.8 1.3
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 3.01 1.05 95.2 5 6 0 6.1 1.1 0.9
2019Away 5.40 1.42 88.1 4 8 0 8.0 2.0 1.7
2018Home 2.17 0.97 103.2 8 4 0 6.8 1.0 0.5
2018Away 3.53 1.18 97.0 10 0 0 6.3 1.6 0.9
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Miles Mikolas
Mound Musings: Checking in on NL Bullpens
7 days ago
Brad Johnson analyzes turmoil in the NL Bullpens, including in New York, where the Mets’ Edwin Diaz has struggled since joining the team.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Kluber’s Season up in the Air
10 days ago
The Texas Rangers are down two pitchers with the additions of Corey Kluber and Jose Leclerc to the 45-day injured list.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
11 days ago
Jan Levine is back with his NL recommendations, including a number of hot performers and returning veterans.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Cardinals at Brewers
14 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Friday's Cardinals at Brewers game for Dream11 contests.
Mound Musings: Checking in on AL Bullpens
14 days ago
One week in, Brad Johnson evaluates bullpens in the American League, including in Minnesota where Taylor Rodgers should continue to be the primary closer.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2015
2014
2013
Mikolas' 2018 campaign was better than even the most optimistic league-equivalency estimators could have predicted after he made the jump from Japan. He was supposed to be pretty good, but he certainly wasn't expected to be this good, finishing with a 2.83 ERA, 18 wins (tied for most in the NL) and a sixth-place finish in the NL Cy Young race. He looks to be a legitimately good starter, with his primary skill being his impeccable control, which allows him to offset a modest 18.1% strikeout rate with an excellent 3.6% walk rate, the best among qualified starters. Mikolas was also good at limiting the long ball, with a near-50% groundball rate leading to a 0.72 HR/9. None of his peripherals suggest that major regression is coming, though the variability of wins means he's unlikely to repeat such a high number in that category, taking away some of his fantasy value. Still, Mikolas is for real and should be treated as a high-floor option this draft season.
Mikolas returns stateside in 2018, having signed a two-year deal with the Cardinals after three highly successful seasons in Japan. But will that success translate? The right-hander flopped in his first pass through the majors from 2012-14, posting a 5.32 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over 91.1 innings between San Diego and Texas. He found his way with the Yomiuri Giants, with his K/9 ticking up from 6.6 to 8.2 to 9.0. Mikolas was also much sharper with his control, issuing a total of 69 free passes in 424.2 innings. The curveball passes the eye test, but for Mikolas it's more about getting that pitch over for strikes than it is the swing and miss. Maintaining the confidence that he gained in his slider and cutter will be crucial to his success in a starting role with St. Louis, and to his chances of exceeding 7.0 K/9, a number he failed to reach in any of his first three big-league seasons.
The Rangers couldn’t have envisioned using Mikolas for 10 starts in 2014, but that is just how severely injuries ripped through their rotation. He closed in Triple-A in 2013 and that was his fourth straight year as a full-time reliever. He wasn’t as bad as his 6.44 ERA would suggest, but three shellackings of seven, nine, and 10 earned runs destroyed him. There was a measure of bad luck involved (namely an impossibly-low 58% LOB rate), but he deserves plenty of the blame for the poor performance. He allowed way too much contact with a 15 percent strikeout rate and was probably fortunate to yield just a .299 BABIP. There were some things to like here, but you are going to have a hard time finding any real fantasy value in him unless your league’s player pool includes the Yomiuri Giants. The rights to Mikolas were sold to the Japanese Central League team back in November.
Mikolas acted as Triple-A Tucson's closer in 2013 but was nothing special, posting 26 saves with a 3.25 ERA and 5.9 K/9 in 61 innings (54 outings). As he climbed the minor league ranks, his strikeout rate tailed off, likely spurring the Padres to cut ties with the 25-year-old right-hander. Following his arrival in the Texas organization, he'll provide depth to the bullpen and likely take up residence at Triple-A Tucson after spring training.
Mikolas finally made his MLB debut in 2012 as he pitched 32.1 innings out of the bullpen with results (3.62 ERA) that really don't reflect how poorly he performed (4.52 xFIP). In the minors his control became less and less sharp as he moved up in levels. His strikeout rate stayed fairly consistent throughout these stops, but has never been anything special. Overall, he's got fringe command and should not be expected to factor into late-game situations in 2013 for the Padres.
More Fantasy News
Set for season-ending surgery
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Forearm
July 28, 2020
Mikolas will undergo surgery on his right flexor tendon and will miss the remainder of the season, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on 10-day injured list
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Forearm
July 28, 2020
Mikolas was placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday with a right forearm strain.
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Scheduled to start Wednesday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
July 25, 2020
Mikolas will start Wednesday's game against the Twins, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
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Ups workload Friday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
July 18, 2020
Mikolas worked up to 60 pitches in Friday's intrasquad game start, allowing two runs on three hits across five innings, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
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Impresses in intrasquad game
PSt. Louis Cardinals
July 13, 2020
Mikolas threw 53 pitches over 2.2 innings in an intrasquad game Sunday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
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