Jonathan Villar
Jonathan Villar
28-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Baltimore Orioles
2019 Fantasy Outlook
After a 2016 breakout, a 2017 dropoff and a tumultuous first half with sporadic playing time, Villar surged again after a trade to Baltimore. Playing close to every day, the speedster hit eight home runs and stole 21 bases in 24 chances over the final two months, helping many owners to fantasy championships. In the past three years, he's tied for third with 120 steals, and he boasts a 9.2 BB% during that span. He hits a lot of balls on the ground but has legitimate raw power, as evidenced by Villar's hefty 18.9% HR/FB since 2015. This all comes with a 27.3 K%, but even with that hindrance, he's among the best bets to go 15-30 in the majors. Following their teardown last summer, Baltimore should hand Villar full-time work, and there's no downside to letting him run wild. Given the surging market for stolen bases, Villar will carry a high price, but at least it won't be as great as his pre-2017 cost. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $4.83 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Posts homer, stolen base
2BBaltimore Orioles
June 22, 2019
Villar went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer, two runs, a stolen base and a walk in an 8-4 victory over the Mariners on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
This was the first time all season Villar went deep and stole a base in the same game, though he has a pair of homers in the last five games and three steals in his past seven contests. Overall, Villar is batting .249 with nine home runs, 31 RBI, 45 runs and 15 steals in 297 at-bats this season.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
37
7
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
8
4
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .653 373 38 10 30 16 .236 .280 .374
Since 2017vs Right .713 909 110 24 87 57 .256 .323 .390
2019vs Left .624 121 12 4 10 3 .226 .250 .374
2019vs Right .768 210 33 5 21 12 .261 .344 .424
2018vs Left .728 124 15 4 13 10 .267 .315 .414
2018vs Right .702 391 39 10 33 25 .257 .328 .374
2017vs Left .607 128 11 2 7 3 .214 .273 .333
2017vs Right .689 308 38 9 33 20 .252 .301 .388
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .710 644 78 17 60 36 .256 .313 .397
Since 2017Away .681 638 70 17 57 37 .244 .307 .374
2019Home .686 160 21 4 14 9 .240 .296 .390
2019Away .742 171 24 5 17 6 .255 .324 .418
2018Home .704 241 26 6 20 14 .260 .321 .384
2018Away .713 274 28 8 26 21 .259 .328 .385
2017Home .730 243 31 7 26 13 .262 .317 .413
2017Away .582 193 18 4 14 10 .213 .262 .320
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Stat Review
How does Jonathan Villar compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.33
 
BB Rate
7.9%
 
K Rate
23.6%
 
BABIP
.304
 
ISO
.157
 
AVG
.247
 
OBP
.310
 
SLG
.405
 
OPS
.715
 
wOBA
.315
 
Exit Velocity
88.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.4%
 
Barrels/PA
3.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jonathan Villar
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
12 days ago
Mike Barner is targeting the Mariners with a Twins stack Wednesday.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Baseball
12 days ago
Kevin Payne reviews Wednesday's evening slate and doesn't think you should shy away from paying up for Justin Verlander against a strikeout-prone Brewers lineup.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks
13 days ago
Adam Zdroik suggests James Paxton as a solid pitching option Tuesday against the Mets.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Breakdown
18 days ago
Though FanDuel has several top-notch pitchers on the Thursday main slate, Kevin Payne thinks Joey Lucchesi could bring big returns as a cheaper pick in tournaments.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
26 days ago
Kevin Payne digs into Wednesday's slate and thinks Bryce Harper and the Phillies could provide a profitable pivot away from a Coors stack.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Big things were expected from Villar after he hit 19 home runs and stole 62 bases in 2016, and he routinely went in the early rounds of last year's drafts. However, his fantasy stock instead took a nosedive due to his inability to make contact early in the season, and then due to his inability to even see the field over the latter portion of the campaign. Villar still managed to hit 11 home runs and steal 23 bases in 2017 despite his struggles, but he is no longer the future at second base for the Brewers. In fact, he may not even open the 2018 with a defined role in Milwaukee. Villar's power and speed potential makes him an intriguing rebound candidate, but if he is unable to show better plate discipline early in the season and beyond, he'll likely face an uphill battle to claim an everyday role.
Villar broke out in 2016, as he not only led the major leagues in stolen bases with 62 (and caught stealing, with 18), but also posted a career best .826 OPS with 19 home runs while playing solid defense across the infield at shortstop, third base and second base. The Brewers acquired Travis Shaw over the offseason, and his presence combined with the callup of top prospect shortstop Orlando Arcia will lock Villar into the starting second baseman role for 2017. The Brewers ran wild in 2016, and there's little reason to believe Craig Counsell's philosophy will change drastically in one year, so expect another big stolen-base total from Villar. The biggest questions, however, pertain to the sustainability of his power production, and the significant improvement in his walk rate, which jumped to a career-best 11.6 percent last season. Most likely, he'll give some home runs back in 2017 after his HR/FB rate nearly doubled from 10.0 percent in 2015 to 19.6 percent last season.
Villar secured an Opening Day roster spot with the Astros after hitting .288 and displaying increased versatility on defense last spring, but he only made 53 appearances for the club and was limited to spot-start and pinch-running duties. Quite simply, the door never opened for regular playing time, as Luis Valbuena, Jed Lowrie and Marwin Gonzalez saw most of the at-bats behind stars Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa. The 24-year-old did not allow that to slow him down, however, as he swiped 35 bases in 70 games with Triple-A Fresno. A November trade to Milwaukee cleared Villar's path considerably, he will likely serve primarily in a utility role so long as Jean Segura is in town.
Villar disappointed fantasy owners who drafted him for his 40-plus stolen base potential last season, as the Dominican native struggled offensively and swiped only 17 bags in 87 games with the Astros. By comparison, the 23-year-old shortstop had 18 steals in 54 games the year prior. He did hit seven home runs, but Houston eventually decided his .209/.267/.354 slash line and 18 errors at shortstop wasn't cutting it and turned to Marwin Gonzalez and Gregorio Petit to man the position. With uber-prospect Carlos Correa at least a year away from reaching the big leagues, Villar should get an opportunity to redeem himself this season, but he'll need to improve his fielding skills (.949), contact rate (70%) and cut down on his strikeouts (27.7%) in order for that happen.
Once the Astros realized that Ronny Cedeno wasn't cutting it as their starting shortstop, Villar was given an opportunity to show what he could do at the big league level. After displaying elite speed in the minors, the 22-year-old Dominican Republic native was extremely aggressive on the basepaths for Houston, swiping 18 bags in 54 games. He made some baserunning gaffes along the way (he was caught stealing eight times) and he didn't hit the ball particularly well (.243 batting average, 29.5 percent strikeout rate), but the switch-hitter showed good plate discipline (10 percent walk rate) while hitting from the leadoff and ninth spots in the batting order. With top prospect Carlos Correa still a few years away, Villar will be given an extended look in Houston this season. He should be a relatively cheap source of steals in 2014 drafts since he does not offer much outside of that category.
Villar was putting together a passable season at Double-A as a 21-year-old before deciding to punch a door in July, which caused him to miss most of the rest of the year. While some days Villar flashes his potential and gives you a glimpse of a future big league star, most days he looks pretty average. Villar improved his plate discipline somewhat from 2011, increasing the walks while decreasing the strikeouts, but he will have to do a lot more growing as he reaches the upper minors. Villar was probably the closest middle-infield prospect to the big leagues in the Houston system, but after missing so much time in 2012, a September callup is probably optimistic.
Villar continued to fail to live up to expectations again in 2011, hitting .241/.320/.396 with 34 stolen bases in 130 minor league games. If he learned some plate discipline, Villar could become someone that owners could count on to do a little bit of everything. Without that growth, his long-term future is probably best suited to role-player status. He's still just 20, and should start the year back in Double-A.
Villar came over to the Astros in the midseason deal that sent Roy Oswalt to Philadelphia. Villar is fast and athletic, but still very raw as a hitter. He will need plenty of time to develop, and bear in mind the Astros do not have a good track record with similar prospects. The steals alone will keep him on the fantasy radar, but he may never nail down a major league job if he can't rack up enough hits and draw more walks.
More Fantasy News
Launches eighth homer
2BBaltimore Orioles
June 19, 2019
Villar went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 16-2 loss to the A's.
ANALYSIS
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Back in Saturday's lineup
2BBaltimore Orioles
June 8, 2019
Villar (thumb) is starting at second base and hitting fifth Saturday against the Astros, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Remains out Friday
2BBaltimore Orioles
Thumb
June 7, 2019
Villar (thumb) remains out of the lineup Friday against Houston, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Officially out Thursday
2BBaltimore Orioles
Thumb
June 6, 2019
Villar (thumb) isn't in Thursday's starting lineup against the Rangers, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hoping to return over weekend
2BBaltimore Orioles
Thumb
June 6, 2019
Villar (thumb) said he hopes to rejoin the lineup over the weekend, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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