Mitch Moreland
Mitch Moreland
33-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Boston Red Sox
2018 Fantasy Outlook
There was a lot of excitement around "Mitchy Twobags" coming to Boston to do the thankless job of replacing David Ortiz in the lineup. Moreland came into town and had a typical Moreland season with a low 20s home-run total, but did enjoy the AL East enough to set a career-high mark in doubles with 34. 2016 saw him be somewhat serviceable against lefties, while 2017 proved that was more of a one-year blip (.684 OPS against southpaws last year). His season ended with knee troubles, but he passed a physical and re-signed on a two-year, $13 million deal with the Red Sox. He will be tasked once again with starting at first base against righties and the occassional lefty, so expect more of the same. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a two-year, $13 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2017.
Remains out vs. lefty in Game 5
1BBoston Red Sox
October 28, 2018
Moreland is not in the starting lineup for Game 5 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Sunday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
As usual, Moreland will sit out to avoid a lefty-on-lefty matchup with Los Angeles starter Clayton Kershaw. He'll likely see a pinch-hit appearance at some point, however, especially after hitting a three-run, pinch-hit home run in Game 4. Steve Pearce will draw the start at first base in his stead.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .725 290 27 8 46 0 .256 .321 .405
Since 2016vs Right .755 1248 152 51 161 3 .238 .316 .440
2018vs Left .684 105 13 2 14 0 .242 .305 .379
2018vs Right .780 354 44 13 54 2 .246 .331 .450
2017vs Left .684 85 7 1 14 0 .247 .341 .342
2017vs Right .784 491 66 21 65 0 .246 .324 .460
2016vs Left .799 100 7 5 18 0 .277 .320 .479
2016vs Right .700 403 42 17 42 1 .221 .293 .407
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .816 777 103 29 113 3 .263 .341 .475
Since 2016Away .682 761 76 30 94 0 .219 .292 .390
2018Home .827 234 30 6 30 2 .274 .346 .481
2018Away .685 225 27 9 38 0 .214 .302 .383
2017Home .819 289 41 10 41 0 .267 .353 .466
2017Away .720 287 32 12 38 0 .226 .300 .420
2016Home .803 254 32 13 42 1 .249 .323 .480
2016Away .637 249 17 9 18 0 .216 .273 .364
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Stat Review
How does Mitch Moreland compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.49
 
BB Rate
10.9%
 
K Rate
22.2%
 
BABIP
.288
 
ISO
.188
 
AVG
.245
 
OBP
.325
 
SLG
.433
 
OPS
.758
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Moreland launched 20-plus homers for the third time in four seasons yet also posted one of his lowest averages on balls in play (.266), which crippled his batting average. He was relegated to the middle or bottom third of the lineup most of year, causing his RBI total to drop as well. Persistently high strikeout rates and low walk percentages make him an annual risk with plate discipline. On the plus side, he hits the ball hard and has a career 15.2 HR/FB, which backs up his ability to leave the yard at a more than acceptable rate. Though he enjoyed his career-best batting average against left-handed pitching last year, it's unlikely that he'll see frequent exposure to southpaws. Moreland should provide cheap power and a good number of RBI again in 2017, but this time with a new supporting cast after he signed with Boston in December.
Moreland rebounded nicely from an injury-shortened 2014 season to post his best season to date, smacking 23 homers and driving in 85 runs while hitting a career-best .278. Moreland's success was even more impressive when considering his pedestrian home numbers (.414 slugging, nine homers) against his solid road production (.555 slugging, 14 homers), though it should be noted that Texas isn't near the hitters' park now then it was as recently as a few years back. Moreland's BABIP of .321 was in line with his career norms aside from a blip in 2013, though he continues to struggle against left-handed pitching (.681 OPS vs LHP, .876 vs RHP). He's already 30 years old, despite being a lineup regular for just five years, so there's not much upside here beyond what we've already seen. He's a good bet for another solid season in the middle of the Texas order.
Moreland played for Texas last year, so you know how this story goes. He tried to play through a bum ankle and was not able to do so and ended up having season-ending surgery in mid-June. Moreland is a 29-year-old who cannot hit lefties, but hits for average and power while facing righties. Despite his splits, he does have power to all fields, so he is not necessarily a product of hitting in Texas. Despite the power potential, he has only once eclipsed 20 homers and has only twice driven in more than 50 runs. Moreland has just two seasons of at least 500 plate appearances. Mixed leaguers can speculate on him for an endgame play, but he does not play or produce enough to achieve more. If the Rangers give him 550 or more plate appearances, it will be a drag on his batting average.
Moreland eclipsed the 20-homer mark for the first time, but his poor .232/.299/.437 line left a lot to be desired. The plate approach shown in a brief trial back in 2010 (25:35 BB:K in 145 at-bats) is a distant memory now, and his second-half collapse (.183/.273/.366 in 191 at-bats) undoubtedly played a role in Texas' acquisition of Prince Fielder to address the lack of production at first base. Already 28 years old, it's unlikely that there's a large step forward for Moreland. He could retain value in some formats just by stepping to the plate 500 times a year in a good hitters' park, but the opportunity to do that is further limited following the trade for Fielder. Moreland has some limited experience in the outfield, though it remains to be seen if that will be a lineup option once spring rolls around.
Moreland provided some pop in the bottom half of the Texas order in 2012, swatting 18 doubles and 15 homers in just 327 at-bats. The plate discipline he showed back in 2010 is a distant memory now, perhaps in an effort to do the most with his limited playing time. He battled for playing time with Michael Young and Mike Napoli for all of 2012, so he has a good chance at a starting job with those veterans elsewhere. There's a 20-homer season, likely on the cheap, waiting for him if he can get 500 at-bats.
Moreland failed to build upon a decent 2010 debut (and a particularly solid 2010 postseason), hitting just .259/.320/.414. His post-break numbers (.241/.300/.367) were poor, though he remained a semi-regular presence in the Texas lineup despite his fade. He underwent surgery in the offseason to alleviate some wrist/hand issues that should have him healthy in plenty of time for the start of exhibition play, but his struggles at the plate have led to rumors that Texas may address the first-base position via free agency over the winter.
Moreland gave Texas a nice late-season boost at first base, posting a solid .255/.364/.469 line in 145 at-bats before cementing himself as the first baseman for 2011 with a solid postseason. He was misused down in the Rangers' lineup when he played, a situation that will likely repeat itself with the top six spots pretty well locked down. He should be entering his power peak having just turned 25 years old, and could post a nice season hitting behind Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler.
More Fantasy News
Held out versus lefty in Game 4
1BBoston Red Sox
October 27, 2018
Moreland is not in the lineup for Game 4 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Saturday, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Wednesday's lineup
1BBoston Red Sox
October 24, 2018
Moreland is out of the lineup for Game 2 of the World Series against Los Angeles on Wednesday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench for Game 1
1BBoston Red Sox
October 23, 2018
Moreland is not in the lineup for Game 1 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Tuesday, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Joins lineup for Game 5
1BBoston Red Sox
October 18, 2018
Moreland is starting at first base and hitting fifth in Game 5 of the ALCS against the Astros on Thursday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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Out of lineup for Game 4
1BBoston Red Sox
October 17, 2018
Moreland is not in Wednesday's lineup for Game 4 of the ALCS against Houston, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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