Mitch Moreland
Mitch Moreland
33-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Boston Red Sox
2018 Fantasy Outlook
There was a lot of excitement around "Mitchy Twobags" coming to Boston to do the thankless job of replacing David Ortiz in the lineup. Moreland came into town and had a typical Moreland season with a low 20s home-run total, but did enjoy the AL East enough to set a career-high mark in doubles with 34. 2016 saw him be somewhat serviceable against lefties, while 2017 proved that was more of a one-year blip (.684 OPS against southpaws last year). His season ended with knee troubles, but he passed a physical and re-signed on a two-year, $13 million deal with the Red Sox. He will be tasked once again with starting at first base against righties and the occassional lefty, so expect more of the same. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a two-year, $13 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2017.
Out against lefty
1BBoston Red Sox
September 18, 2018
Moreland will hit the bench Tuesday against left-hander J.A. Happ and the Yankees, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Moreland hasn't been strictly in a platoon role this season but has still largely been in against righties and out against lefties. As usual, Steve Pearce gets the start at first base in his absence.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .720 283 25 8 46 0 .254 .318 .402
Since 2016vs Right .757 1227 151 51 160 3 .239 .315 .442
2018vs Left .667 98 11 2 14 0 .236 .296 .371
2018vs Right .788 333 43 13 53 2 .249 .327 .461
2017vs Left .684 85 7 1 14 0 .247 .341 .342
2017vs Right .784 491 66 21 65 0 .246 .324 .460
2016vs Left .799 100 7 5 18 0 .277 .320 .479
2016vs Right .700 403 42 17 42 1 .221 .293 .407
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .812 763 100 29 112 3 .261 .338 .474
Since 2016Away .687 747 76 30 94 0 .221 .292 .395
2018Home .814 220 27 6 29 2 .269 .336 .477
2018Away .703 211 27 9 38 0 .222 .303 .400
2017Home .819 289 41 10 41 0 .267 .353 .466
2017Away .720 287 32 12 38 0 .226 .300 .420
2016Home .803 254 32 13 42 1 .249 .323 .480
2016Away .637 249 17 9 18 0 .216 .273 .364
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Stat Review
How does Mitch Moreland compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.45
 
BB Rate
10.1%
 
K Rate
22.5%
 
BABIP
.284
 
ISO
.192
 
AVG
.244
 
OBP
.317
 
SLG
.435
 
OPS
.752
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Moreland launched 20-plus homers for the third time in four seasons yet also posted one of his lowest averages on balls in play (.266), which crippled his batting average. He was relegated to the middle or bottom third of the lineup most of year, causing his RBI total to drop as well. Persistently high strikeout rates and low walk percentages make him an annual risk with plate discipline. On the plus side, he hits the ball hard and has a career 15.2 HR/FB, which backs up his ability to leave the yard at a more than acceptable rate. Though he enjoyed his career-best batting average against left-handed pitching last year, it's unlikely that he'll see frequent exposure to southpaws. Moreland should provide cheap power and a good number of RBI again in 2017, but this time with a new supporting cast after he signed with Boston in December.
Moreland rebounded nicely from an injury-shortened 2014 season to post his best season to date, smacking 23 homers and driving in 85 runs while hitting a career-best .278. Moreland's success was even more impressive when considering his pedestrian home numbers (.414 slugging, nine homers) against his solid road production (.555 slugging, 14 homers), though it should be noted that Texas isn't near the hitters' park now then it was as recently as a few years back. Moreland's BABIP of .321 was in line with his career norms aside from a blip in 2013, though he continues to struggle against left-handed pitching (.681 OPS vs LHP, .876 vs RHP). He's already 30 years old, despite being a lineup regular for just five years, so there's not much upside here beyond what we've already seen. He's a good bet for another solid season in the middle of the Texas order.
Moreland played for Texas last year, so you know how this story goes. He tried to play through a bum ankle and was not able to do so and ended up having season-ending surgery in mid-June. Moreland is a 29-year-old who cannot hit lefties, but hits for average and power while facing righties. Despite his splits, he does have power to all fields, so he is not necessarily a product of hitting in Texas. Despite the power potential, he has only once eclipsed 20 homers and has only twice driven in more than 50 runs. Moreland has just two seasons of at least 500 plate appearances. Mixed leaguers can speculate on him for an endgame play, but he does not play or produce enough to achieve more. If the Rangers give him 550 or more plate appearances, it will be a drag on his batting average.
Moreland eclipsed the 20-homer mark for the first time, but his poor .232/.299/.437 line left a lot to be desired. The plate approach shown in a brief trial back in 2010 (25:35 BB:K in 145 at-bats) is a distant memory now, and his second-half collapse (.183/.273/.366 in 191 at-bats) undoubtedly played a role in Texas' acquisition of Prince Fielder to address the lack of production at first base. Already 28 years old, it's unlikely that there's a large step forward for Moreland. He could retain value in some formats just by stepping to the plate 500 times a year in a good hitters' park, but the opportunity to do that is further limited following the trade for Fielder. Moreland has some limited experience in the outfield, though it remains to be seen if that will be a lineup option once spring rolls around.
Moreland provided some pop in the bottom half of the Texas order in 2012, swatting 18 doubles and 15 homers in just 327 at-bats. The plate discipline he showed back in 2010 is a distant memory now, perhaps in an effort to do the most with his limited playing time. He battled for playing time with Michael Young and Mike Napoli for all of 2012, so he has a good chance at a starting job with those veterans elsewhere. There's a 20-homer season, likely on the cheap, waiting for him if he can get 500 at-bats.
Moreland failed to build upon a decent 2010 debut (and a particularly solid 2010 postseason), hitting just .259/.320/.414. His post-break numbers (.241/.300/.367) were poor, though he remained a semi-regular presence in the Texas lineup despite his fade. He underwent surgery in the offseason to alleviate some wrist/hand issues that should have him healthy in plenty of time for the start of exhibition play, but his struggles at the plate have led to rumors that Texas may address the first-base position via free agency over the winter.
Moreland gave Texas a nice late-season boost at first base, posting a solid .255/.364/.469 line in 145 at-bats before cementing himself as the first baseman for 2011 with a solid postseason. He was misused down in the Rangers' lineup when he played, a situation that will likely repeat itself with the top six spots pretty well locked down. He should be entering his power peak having just turned 25 years old, and could post a nice season hitting behind Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler.
More Fantasy News
Not in Saturday's lineup
1BBoston Red Sox
September 15, 2018
Moreland is out of the lineup against the Mets on Saturday, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sits against southpaw
1BBoston Red Sox
September 11, 2018
Moreland is not starting Tuesday against southpaw Ryan Borucki and the Blue Jays, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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Sits versus lefty
1BBoston Red Sox
September 9, 2018
Moreland is out of the lineup Sunday against the Astros, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
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Out against lefty
1BBoston Red Sox
September 4, 2018
Moreland is on the bench Tuesday against lefty Sean Newcomb and the Braves, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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Rejoins lineup Sunday
1BBoston Red Sox
September 2, 2018
Moreland (knee) is starting at first base and batting third in Sunday's series finale against the White Sox, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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