Brandon Kintzler
Brandon Kintzler
36-Year-Old PitcherRP
Philadelphia Phillies
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Kintzler came very close to the dubious distinction of compiling more saves than strikeouts last season, finishing with 12 saves and 14 punchouts in 24.1 innings. Despite the fact the he was largely successful as the team's closer, the Marlins declined Kintzler's $4 million club option for 2021. It's not difficult to see impending regression as Kintzler's 5.10 SIERA and 4.98 xFIP tell a truer story than his actual 2.22 ERA. Not to mention, Kintzler will turn 37 in August. There are some teams still believing in guile, so Kintzler will likely land a job somewhere, perhaps even in a high-leverage capacity. Don't draft him as a closer. Kintzler's 3.0 K-BB% last season is just another reminder the regression monster is lurking. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#510
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Phillies in February of 2021.
Takes first loss in relief
PPhiladelphia Phillies
May 2, 2021
Kintzler (1-1) allowed three earned runs on three hits while recording just one out in the eighth inning, taking the loss against the Mets on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Kintzler entered the eighth inning with a one-run lead. He quickly lost the lead after giving up a leadoff home run to Kevin Pillar. Kintzler let up two more baserunners before he was pulled with one out, and they both eventually scored as part of the six-run inning for the Mets. The 36-year-old's ERA jumped to 8.00 after Sunday. He's allowed six of his seven runs in just two of his nine appearances.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
17
Last 10 Games
17
Last 5 Games
17
How many pitches does Brandon Kintzler generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brandon Kintzler generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-36%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-36%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .213 154 22 14 29 9 1 3
Since 2019vs Right .252 214 48 9 51 8 2 8
2021vs Left .250 17 2 0 4 1 0 1
2021vs Right .346 27 6 1 9 2 0 2
2020vs Left .300 48 3 7 12 4 0 1
2020vs Right .191 49 11 2 9 1 0 2
2019vs Left .163 89 17 7 13 4 1 1
2019vs Right .256 138 31 6 33 5 2 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-48%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-81%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 2.36 0.96 45.2 4 3 2 7.3 1.2 0.8
Since 2019Away 3.80 1.31 45.0 3 4 10 6.6 3.4 1.4
2021Home 7.36 1.23 7.1 1 1 0 6.1 0.0 2.5
2021Away 6.00 1.67 3.0 1 0 0 9.0 3.0 3.0
2020Home 3.38 1.38 8.0 0 2 2 7.9 2.3 2.3
2020Away 1.76 1.24 15.1 2 1 9 4.1 4.1 0.6
2019Home 0.89 0.79 30.1 3 0 0 7.4 1.2 0.0
2019Away 4.73 1.31 26.2 0 3 1 7.8 3.0 1.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brandon Kintzler compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
8.00
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
0.9
 
HR/9
2.6
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
6.97
 
WHIP
1.35
 
BABIP
.321
 
GB/FB
3.83
 
Left On Base
51.0%
 
Exit Velocity
87.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.9%
 
Spin Rate
2105 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
37.9%
 
Swinging Strike
5.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Kintzler turned in a career-best 2.68 ERA and 1.02 WHIP with a 48:13 K:BB over 57 innings with the Cubs last season. He also racked up 17 holds. Kintzler appeared to find the command of his sinker, finishing with a 54.7 GB% to go along with a .261 BABIP, much improved from .328 in 2018. He threw that pitch a bit less often -- from 80% of the time to 70% usage -- and incorporated his slider and changeup more. The tweaked pitch mix did wonders for his splits against left-handed batters (.217 wOBA, down from .363 in 2018). The 35-year-old reliever has now been mostly healthy for three seasons. He signed with the Marlins in January, and Miami presents him with a relatively clear path to save opportunities. Kintzler maybe lacks the velocity to slot in as the everyday closer.
Kintzler was a predictable pitcher to lose his closer role in 2018 because his saves in 2017 were more opportunity-based than they were skills-based. In a day and age of closers blowing pitches by batters, Kintzler simply lacks the swing and miss necessary to be consistently successful in high-leverage situations (career 16.5 K%, 7.6% swinging-strike rate). His value these days comes from an ability to generate groundballs in the setup innings, but even that skill has been in a three-season decline to the point that he is only a slightly above-average groundball pitcher rather than an extreme one. After he exercised his $5 million player option to remain with the Cubs in 2019, there is no reason to roster Kintzler on draft day. His secondary skills do not offer enough to keep him around without an official closer label hanging off his jersey.
Strikeouts are not part of the package with Kintzler (6.1 career K/9, 4.9 in 2017), but he was effective in the closer role for Minnesota, converting 28 of 32 save chances last season before being traded to the Nationals. His success was due in large part to the groundball -- Kintzler gave something back in that regard last season, but still had a well above-average 54.9 percent groundball rate -- and sharp control. Kintzler has issued a total of 24 walks over the past two seasons (125.2 innings). Even so, the indicators weren't all that favorable (3.77 FIP, 4.36 xFIP, 4.25 SIERA) as Kintzler had a pretty dramatic reverse platoon split (.293/.336/.399), but groundball specialists are especially valuable in today's home-run environment. He'll remain in a setup role after re-signing with Washington, working ahead of Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle.
Kintzler was an unheralded minor league signing last season as the Twins signed him for depth and he began the season at Triple-A. After Glen Perkins was lost for the year due to injury and Kevin Jepsen proved ineffective, Kintzler surprisingly got a shot at the closer role in June and kept the job the rest of the season. While Kintzler had just a 5.8 K/9, he kept batters off base with good control (1.33 BB/9) and generated groundballs (61.9 percent of batted balls), leading to conversions on 17 of 20 save chances. Despite his success, he's just as unlikely a candidate to keep the job given his lack of dominant velocity (92.7 mph average fastball) and mediocre strikeout rates (career 6.5 K/9). However, his success as a closer last season should give him the first chance at the role in 2016.
Kintzler had a quality season pitching in middle relief, but he was not as effective as he was the year before, as he had some trouble with the long ball and saw his strikeout rate fall. He has been a regular out of the Brewers’ bullpen the last couple seasons and will likely be one again in 2015, but he had a 4.74 FIP last season, so he will need to sharpen things up to hold down his spot.
Kintzler was a steady middle reliever for the Brewers in 2013, posting a 2.69 ERA and a miniscule 1.07 WHIP. He is not a big strikeout pitcher, but he does a good job keeping runners off the bases, and also keeping the ball in the park. Kintzler fared well pitching in late innings in the 2013 season, and as one of the more experienced relievers in the bullpen, he has a good chance to remain in that role in 2014.
Kintzler has been plagued by arm injuries the last couple seasons, but he was back at full strength by the end of last season and held his own in a September stint with the big club. Kintzler isn't a big strikeout pitcher despite throwing a mid-90s fastball, but he has given himself a chance to earn a spot in the Brewers' bullpen by pitching well in the minors the last couple seasons. Look for him to work in middle relief if he pitches well this spring.
Kintzler's season was cut short due to a stress fracture in his right arm after just 14.2 innings. He'll get a chance to earn a bullpen spot during spring training, but needs to eliminate his extreme vulnerability to the long ball (five allowed in 22 career big league innings) in order to secure his role as a middle reliever in Milwaukee.
Kintzler moved all the way from Double-A Huntsville to the majors in 2010, using a combination of control and groundballs. He'll get a chance to earn a bullpen role during spring training, but there's not a future closer skill set in play here.
More Fantasy News
Earns win in relief
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 29, 2021
Kintzler (1-0) allowed a hit and a walk in 1.2 scoreless innings pitched, striking out one and earning the victory in Wednesday's 5-3 win over St. Louis.
ANALYSIS
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Wins roster spot
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 26, 2021
Kintzler was informed he'd won an Opening Day roster spot Friday, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Clear shot at bullpen spot
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 11, 2021
Kintzler's bullpen spot appears to be very safe despite the fact that he's in camp as a non-roster invitee, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Signs minor-league contract
PPhiladelphia Phillies
February 10, 2021
Kintzler signed a minor-league contract with the Phillies on Wednesday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Club option declined
PFree Agent
October 30, 2020
Kintzler's $4 million club option was declined by the Marlins on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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