Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2019 Fantasy Outlook
After he showed signs of a breakout in 2017, everything came together for Taillon in 2018. The only thing keeping him from the elite is a strikeout rate a little low for a fantasy ace. That said, last season his SwStr% improved to 10.7 after sitting at 8.2 the previous year. His K% rose only 1.5 points to 22.8, but if he maintains last year’s swinging-strike mark, his whiff total could increase a bit. Taillon cut his walk rate down to a stingy 5.9%. He added a slider to his arsenal, which was most effective as a swing-and-miss pitch versus righties. Honing sequencing could help sync up Taillon’s K% and SwStr%. He’s reducing his changeup usage, which is good as it's his worst pitch. It’s rare a pitcher possesses the combination of durability and a solid floor with the potential for another level. This could be your last chance to roster Taillon at a non-ace price. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2018.
Finishes with loss despite quality start
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 29, 2018
Taillon (14-10) struck out seven but took the loss to the Reds on Saturday despite giving up three runs in six innings. He worked around seven hits and did not walk a batter.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander peppered the zone with 64 strikes in 89 pitches but allowed a run-scoring sacrifice fly in the third before a homer by Eugenio Suarez and an RBI single from opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen in the fourth. All in all, Taillon was effective, but his offense failed to plate a run, which left him empty-handed in a quality start packed with strikeouts and sans a walk. He'll wrap up the 2018 season with a sparkling 3.20 ERA, 2.2 BB/9, and a solid 8.4 K/9 in 191 innings. Taillon already enters 2019 in top-25 territory among mixed-league starting pitchers, and given his impressive 10.5 percent swinging-strike rate from this year, he might reach another level in punchouts with more experience and a few tweaks to his approach.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .280 904 162 73 230 46 6 20
Since 2016vs Right .243 886 227 36 200 46 4 24
2018vs Left .266 420 84 36 101 16 3 10
2018vs Right .225 365 95 10 78 15 2 10
2017vs Left .313 268 41 25 75 19 2 4
2017vs Right .270 319 84 21 77 19 2 7
2016vs Left .269 216 37 12 54 11 1 6
2016vs Right .234 202 48 5 45 12 0 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-7%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.76 1.24 224.0 11 11 0 8.6 2.2 1.0
Since 2016Away 3.49 1.28 203.2 16 10 0 7.7 2.4 0.9
2018Home 3.25 1.13 80.1 5 4 0 10.3 1.9 1.2
2018Away 3.17 1.21 110.2 9 6 0 7.1 2.4 0.7
2017Home 5.03 1.54 78.2 4 5 0 8.0 3.0 0.8
2017Away 3.60 1.40 55.0 4 2 0 9.0 3.3 0.7
2016Home 2.86 1.00 66.0 2 2 0 7.2 1.5 0.8
2016Away 4.26 1.32 38.0 3 2 0 7.6 1.4 1.7
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Stat Review
How does Jameson Taillon compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.89
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
95.2 mph
 
ERA
3.20
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.307
 
GB/FB
1.62
 
Strand %
76.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jameson Taillon
The Z Files: Historical Top 200
November 10th
Todd Zola takes a look at the end-of-season top-200 performers over the last five years and thinks Charlie Blackmon's being discounted too heavily in early drafts given his track record.
MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet
September 29th
Saturday's slate of 16 games features a road matchup for Corey Kluber against the Royals.
Oak’s Corner: 2019 Targets
September 28th
For his final column of the season, Scott Jenstad looks at players he’ll be targeting in the Spring of 2019, including Tommy Pham, who’s had a so-so 2018, but has flourished in his last 33 games, hitting .360 with seven homers.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Picks
September 24th
Christopher Olson is turning his mound over to Indians ace Corey Kluber on Monday against the White Sox.
MLB DFS: Monday Cheat Sheet
September 24th
Monday's slate of 12 games features a road matchup for Corey Kluber against Chicago.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
After what Taillon went through last summer, it feels unfair to be critical of his season. Fortunately, despite an unsightly 4.44 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, there are lot of positives. On May 8, Taillon was sporting a 3.31 ERA and 1.33 WHIP when he was treated for testicular cancer. After returning on June 12, his ratios soared to 4.85 and 1.54 the rest of the way. A 3.48 xFIP and 3.89 FIP suggest Taillon incurred some bad luck on the field, not just off it. The culprit was a .352 BABIP, from a high line drive rate. His 21.3 percent strikeout rate was on par with his career mark, though a 7.8 percent walk rate was a little high. A 47.3 percent groundball rate helped him allow only 11 homers in 133.2 innings. Expecting a BABIP regression is reasonable, though it still should be a little high as a groundball pitcher. If the market penalizes him for last season, take advantage.
Taillon made an impressive major league debut for anyone in 2016, let alone a pitcher coming off Tommy John surgery. The 25-year-old right-hander hadn't pitched at any level since 2013 thanks to a plethora of injuries and ailments. He stayed healthy in 2016 and showed why Pittsburgh drafted him with the second pick in the 2010 draft, ahead of Manny Machado. Taillon began the campaign with Triple-A Indianapolis, crafting a 2.04 ERA and a stunning 61:6 K:BB in 61.2 innings covering 10 starts, and never looked back after debuting with the Pirates in early June. He perfected a two-seam fastball in spring training and used that 94.2 mph weapon 39.7 percent of the time - as it was particularly effective against left-handed batters. Perhaps most impressively, he posted a 85:17 K:BB as a rookie and registered a 3.38 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 104 innings. Armed with a 12-to-6 curveball and pinpoint accuracy, Taillon just needs to stay healthy to stake his claim as Pittsburgh's ace in 2017.
Taillon will attempt to come back from the Tommy John surgery he underwent last April and hernia surgery last July. The right-hander completed fall instructs healthy and is expected to be ready for spring training. He’ll start 2016 pitching for Triple-A Indianapolis with a shot at a midseason promotion, but remember that Taillon has only tossed 384 innings since his 2010 draft date and has yet to dominate any level. Pittsburgh would gladly welcome Taillon — who has swing-and-miss stuff — as a fourth or fifth starter, but fantasy owners might want to temper expectations.
Taillon, the second overall pick in the 2010 first-year player draft, underwent Tommy John surgery in April of 2013. He was expected to serve as a midseason Super 2 callup in the order of Gerrit Cole but instead faced the long 12-to-18 month rehab process. Pittsburgh will take a conservative approach with its top pitching prospect in 2015. Taillon has thrown just 382 innings in parts of three minor league seasons, including only 37 at Triple-A. The righty has yet to dominate at any level for an extended period of time and the Pirates will almost certainly give him substantial Triple-A time before a possible big-league promotion. Taillon remains a prized keeper league property, one which fantasy owners need to keep a close eye on throughout his rehab process.
The second overall pick in the 2010 draft, Taillon gave a glimpse of his potential in the WBC, striking out David Wright and Ryan Braun in four innings of one-run ball for Team Canada. He spent most of 2013 with Double-A Altoona and posted an uninspiring 4-7 record with a 3.67 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, but a 106:36 K:BB ratio in 110.1 innings highlighted his elite prospect status. Pittsburgh then promoted the 22-year-old to Triple-A in August, where he registered a 3.89 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 37:16 K:BB ratio while limiting batters to a .218 batting average. Pirates GM Neal Huntington expects Taillon to open with Triple-A Indianapolis in 2014, but once the organization is satisfied that Taillon's changeup is as effective as his plus fastball and curve, he will make his major-league debut.
Taillon persevered through an up-and-down Low-A season in 2012 well enough to earn a late promotion to Double-A. The hard-throwing righty compiled a 3.82 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 125 innings for Bradenton, including a 98:37 K:BB ratio. In three Altoona starts, Taillon limited opponents to three runs in 17 frames with 18 strikeouts and one walk. His potential is tremendous. It's easy to forget that Taillon went straight from high school to the minor leagues, but he's still learning on the fly. He's far from a finished product but has the stuff to be a staff ace. The 21-year-old will likely begin 2013 in Altoona. Pittsburgh remains conservative with its promotions, but it's possible Taillon could see his first major league action in September.
Taillon's numbers might not reflect his effectiveness because the organization instructed him to command his fastball at the risk of whiffing hitters with breaking balls. Once the Bucs are comfortable with his control, the kid gloves will come off and his repertoire will be in full effect. Taillon pitched well in his professional debut for Low-A West Virginia, compiling a 3.98 ERA and 1.215 WHIP in 92.2 innings. More impressively, he put up a 97:22 K:BB ratio. Taillon will test his stuff at High-A Bradenton with a possible promotion to Double-A Altoona by summer's end. He's a cerebral pitcher who might be overshadowed by 2011 No. 1 pick, Gerrit Cole, but his future appears extremely bright. He could be pushing for a spot in Pittsburgh's rotation by 2013.
It's not likely the No. 2 overall pick in the 2010 draft will be pitching in the big leagues for at least two or three years, but dynasty owners will want to consider adding him right away. Taillon comes out of high school with a fastball that sits around 94 mph and sometimes hits the high-90s. His ceiling is thought to be higher than any other hurler in last summer's draft, though time will tell. The Pirates are expected to start him out at Low-A West Virginia in 2011. Since he didn't sign until deadline day, the 6-foot-6 righty never pitched in the Bucs' organization, though he did take part in the Florida Instructional League. Taillon has drawn comparisons to Josh Beckett. Pittsburgh hasn't developed a front-line starter for many years but is hoping Taillon finally fits the bill.
More Fantasy News
To make start Saturday
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 26, 2018
Taillon will take the mound against the Reds on Saturday, Bill Brink of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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May not start again in 2018
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 25, 2018
Taillon may not make his scheduled start Saturday against the Reds, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Seven strong innings in win over Cubs
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 24, 2018
Taillon (14-9) tossed seven innings of one-run ball to earn the win Monday against the Cubs, allowing five hits and three walks with five strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 11 in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 18, 2018
Taillon struck out 11 and gave up four hits over seven shutout innings during Tuesday's 2-1 win over the Royals. He walked one batter and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fires seven strong en route to 13th win
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 12, 2018
Taillon (13-9) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out four across seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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