Mike Foltynewicz
Mike Foltynewicz
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Even those who were "one year early" predicting Foltynewicz's breakout had to be impressed with his 2018 campaign, especially in the strikeout department. That said, before thrusting Foltynewicz to near-ace level, note his .251 BABIP was artificially low according to batted-ball and Statcast data. Expect a higher hit rate in 2018 and the corresponding ERA and WHIP correction. There is a chance his 9.1% walk rate could drop a few ticks, and if that happens, it would soften the impact from hit-rate regression. Key to Foltynewicz's success was added velocity across the board, but especially to his slider, making it one of the most effective pitches in the league. He also began throwing his changeup in fastball counts, keeping hitters off balance. Another year removed from 2015 thoracic outlet surgery, health is not currently a concern as Foltynewicz eclipsed 180 frames for the first time. Pursue aggressively, but don't expect a full repeat of 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $5.48 million contract with the Braves in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Ugly outing in Game 5
PAtlanta Braves
October 9, 2019
Foltynewicz (1-1) took the loss after allowing seven runs (six earned) on three hits and three walks in 0.1 innings in Wednesday's 13-1 loss to the Cardinals in Game 5 of the NLDS.
ANALYSIS
Foltynewicz was roughed up early and often and was unable to make it out of the first inning of the series' decisive game. In fact, the only out Foltynewicz recorded was on a sacrifice bunt by Kolten Wong after Dexter Fowler had opened the game with a walk. The rest of Foltynewicz's outing went as follows: single, single, reached on error, walk, double, intentional walk. So ends the 2019 campaign for Foltynewicz, who saw his ERA balloon from 2.85 in 2018 to 4.54 this season, though he did bring that down with a good stretch run. Between Dallas Keuchel's impending free agency and the vast number of young arms in the Braves' system, it will be interesting see how the Atlanta rotation shakes out -- and where Foltynewicz fits in -- in 2020.
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
70
How many pitches does Mike Foltynewicz generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Mike Foltynewicz generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .238 947 212 93 200 42 6 33
Since 2017vs Right .236 980 238 71 208 39 6 27
2019vs Left .228 225 42 17 47 9 2 11
2019vs Right .258 266 63 20 62 10 2 12
2018vs Left .183 389 107 43 62 13 3 11
2018vs Right .208 355 95 25 68 12 2 6
2017vs Left .308 333 63 33 91 20 1 11
2017vs Right .248 359 80 26 78 17 2 9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.78 1.25 219.1 13 12 0 8.9 3.4 1.1
Since 2017Away 4.10 1.27 234.2 18 17 0 8.9 3.1 1.2
2019Home 4.58 1.31 55.0 3 3 0 7.9 3.3 2.0
2019Away 4.50 1.19 62.0 5 3 0 8.3 2.5 1.6
2018Home 3.19 1.08 96.0 5 4 0 9.8 3.6 0.9
2018Away 2.48 1.08 87.0 8 6 0 10.0 3.1 0.7
2017Home 3.95 1.45 68.1 5 5 0 8.4 3.3 0.8
2017Away 5.46 1.51 85.2 5 8 0 8.3 3.6 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Mike Foltynewicz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.84
 
K/9
8.1
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
94.9 mph
 
ERA
4.54
 
WHIP
1.25
 
BABIP
.277
 
GB/FB
1.01
 
Left On Base
71.2%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.1%
 
Spin Rate
2241 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
40.8%
 
Swinging Strike
10.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mike Foltynewicz
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
8 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin looks over Wednesday's two-game slate as Ronald Acuna carries Atlanta's offense into a winner-take-all Game 5 against the Cardinals.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
8 days ago
Mike Barner looks over both NLDS Game 5’s taking place Thursday, providing his insights for a winning lineup.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Picks
8 days ago
Christopher Olson tees up a pair of NLDS Game 5’s on Wednesday.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Tuesday-Wednesday Picks
9 days ago
Mike Barner delivers his insights for a combined Tuesday-Wednesday division series slate.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
13 days ago
Chris Bennett analyzes the Friday DraftKings playoff slate as Justin Verlander looks to shut down the Rays.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Just when it seemed like Foltynewicz was headed for a breakout season, he imploded, finishing with a 7.27 ERA and 1.73 WHIP over his final nine starts (43.1 innings). He did a better job of limiting the long ball in the second half (five homers allowed) and he added to his strikeout rate after the All-Star break, but Foltynewicz's walk rate jumped from 3.0 BB/9 to 4.1, and he allowed more hard contact. Foltynewicz struggled against lefties overall, especially at home -- lefty batters slashed .344/.421/.492 against him at SunTrust Park -- and he was far worse the second (5.77 ERA) and third-time through the order (6.10 ERA) than he was the first time through (2.73 ERA). There is still appeal here given his fastball velocity and quality of his secondary stuff, but the home park is a big negative and Foltynewicz's chances at wins will be limited if he can't find a way to work deeper into games.
He should be nicknamed "Mike Filthynewicz" with his repertoire: a mid-90s heater, a piercing slider, a hammer curve and an emerging changeup. He's still figuring it all out, but his 2016 was a nice step forward. He set career-bests in ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, groundball rate and HR/9. It's not a great sign when 4.31 ERA is your best ever, but it's still legitimate progress for the one-time top-100 prospect who was starting to look like a bit of a bust, even in the small 105-inning sample he had prior to 2016. He should enter his age-25 season with a firm handle on a rotation spot, eyeing his first full season and hoping to build on his '16 gains. A baseline 9-10 percent swinging strike rate is a good foundation and the raw stuff portends more. Go an extra $1 on ol' Filthynewicz.
Foltynewicz was beaten out for a rotation spot by Eric Stults in spring training and opened the year at Triple-A Gwinnett. The results in his first four starts for Gwinnett were encouraging (2.08 ERA), and the Braves decided to give him a look after punting on Trevor Cahill less than a month into the season. Foltynewicz did a few things well, but his reliance on the fastball was well scouted and hitters took advantage, making hard contact nearly a third of the time and putting the ball in the air more than 43 percent of the time. That led to a 1.8 HR/9 rate and further questions about his viability as a starter. If moved to the bullpen, Foltynewicz could be a valuable back-end arm given the premium velocity, but the Braves may be inclined to give him one last shot at proving himself as a starter. Everything will ultimately depend on Foltynewicz's health; he was diagnosed with blood clots in his arm late in the year and then had to have part of his rib removed.
Foltynewicz, 23, got a taste of the big leagues late last season, throwing 18.2 innings mostly in low-leverage situations out of the bullpen for the Astros. Execs with the team conceded he may not have been ready for that opportunity, however, as he allowed three home runs while compiling a 5.30 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. It's a small sample size, but the hard-throwing right-hander didn't fare much better at Triple-A Oklahoma City. In 21 appearances (18 starts) with the RedHawks, Foltynewicz went 7-7 with a 5.08 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 102:52 K:BB ratio over 102.2 innings. Traded to Atlanta in January, Foltynewicz was a key piece in the deal that sent Evan Gattis to Atlanta. Armed with a plus fastball that regularly hits 100 mph, "Folty" will need to show better control of his pitches (4.6 BB/9) to carve out a significant role with the Braves in 2015. A return to Triple-A appears likely, at least to open the season, but he has a very high ceiling if his control improves.
Foltynewicz, the Astros' 2012 Minor League Pitcher of the Year, turned in a fine season for Double-A Corpus Christi after a brief stint with Houston's High-A affiliate. The 22-year-old flamethrower appeared in 23 games (16 starts) for the Hooks and went 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA over 103.1 innings. Opposing batters hit a mere .207 against the right-hander, but they also took 52 free passes as Foltynewicz's control problems remained. If he improves his walk rate (4.5 BB/9 in Double-A), Foltynewicz's stock will go up even higher as he emerged as one of the better pitching prospects in the minors last season. He will likely make the jump to Triple-A this season, while the possibility of a late-season callup is not out of the question if he performs well there.
The second time through the Sally League was much better for Foltynewicz than the first: he posted a 14-4 record across 27 starts and lowered his ERA by nearly two runs to 3.14. The improvement was enough to earn him the Most Outstanding Pitcher award in the Sally League and the Minor League Pitcher of the Year award for the Houston organization. The former first-round pick has pitched to contact more in recent years, which has resulted in fewer strikeouts, but (at least last year) better outcomes. While the team is still trying him out as a starter, there are those that think the lack of viable secondary pitches may make him best suited for the bullpen down the line. He will likely begin 2013 in Double-A, still working out of the rotation.
More Fantasy News
To start Game 2
PAtlanta Braves
October 2, 2019
Foltynewicz will start the second game of the NLDS on Friday against St. Louis, Gabe Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss in short outing
PAtlanta Braves
September 28, 2019
Foltynewicz (8-6) was handed the loss Saturday against the Mets after surrendering three runs on three hits over four innings. He struck out five and walked one.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in eighth win
PAtlanta Braves
September 21, 2019
Foltynewicz (8-5) struck out seven and picked up the win in Friday's 6-0 victory over the Giants, giving up three hits and a walk over eight scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Wins third consecutive start
PAtlanta Braves
September 14, 2019
Foltynewicz (7-5) allowed one run on four hits with one walk and five strikeouts across six innings while earning a victory against the Nationals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Yields one run in seven
PAtlanta Braves
September 9, 2019
Foltynewicz (6-5) allowed one run on three hits with no walks and seven strikeouts across seven innings to earn a victory against the Phillies on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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