Mike Foltynewicz
Mike Foltynewicz
29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Texas Rangers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The 29-year-old was an All-Star in 2018 with a 2.85 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 27.2% strikeout rate, but he made only one start for the Braves in 2020 and surrendered three home runs over 3.1 innings before being jettisoned from the 40-man roster. Foltynewicz became a minor-league free agent at the end of the campaign, capping a descent from Atlanta's ace to off the roster in less than two seasons. The right-hander's fastball speed dropped over four ticks to 90.5 mph in 2020, and he may need to reinvent himself entirely if he's unable to rediscover his velocity. Foltynewicz is unlikely to receive anything more than a minor-league deal this offseason, and there's no guarantee he pitches in the majors in 2021. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#553
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2 million contract with the Rangers in February of 2021.
Battles through no-decision
PTexas Rangers
May 13, 2021
Foltynewicz did not factor into the decision during Thursday's loss to the Astros, allowing three runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out three across five innings.
ANALYSIS
Squaring off against the team that originally drafted him, Foltynewicz blanked the Astros over each of his innings except the second, when he served up all three of his runs following back-to-back singles to lead off the frame. Despite putting runners on in all five of his innings pitched, the right-hander was able to limit the damage while working his way out of multiple jams. In fact, Foltynewicz played with fire by allowing his first two baserunners on in the third and again in the fourth, but he managed to shut the Astros down both times. The 29-year-old has proven his depth so far this year as he has pitched at least five innings in all but one start. Foltynewicz is lined up to make his next start Tuesday against the Yankees.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Mike Foltynewicz generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Mike Foltynewicz generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-76%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .248 317 57 27 71 14 3 18
Since 2019vs Right .263 380 90 26 91 17 2 19
2021vs Left .315 83 13 8 23 5 1 6
2021vs Right .257 107 26 4 26 7 0 5
2020vs Left .143 9 2 2 1 0 0 1
2020vs Right .600 7 1 2 3 0 0 2
2019vs Left .228 225 42 17 47 9 2 11
2019vs Right .258 266 63 20 62 10 2 12
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.55 1.29 89.0 4 6 0 7.9 2.9 2.0
Since 2019Away 5.07 1.31 76.1 5 4 0 8.1 2.8 2.0
2021Home 4.50 1.26 34.0 1 3 0 7.9 2.4 2.1
2021Away 4.91 1.64 11.0 0 0 0 7.4 2.5 2.5
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 16.20 2.40 3.1 0 1 0 8.1 10.8 8.1
2019Home 4.58 1.31 55.0 3 3 0 7.9 3.3 2.0
2019Away 4.50 1.19 62.0 5 3 0 8.3 2.5 1.6
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Stat Review
How does Mike Foltynewicz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.25
 
K/9
7.8
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
2.2
 
Fastball
94.2 mph
 
ERA
4.60
 
WHIP
1.36
 
BABIP
.302
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
83.3%
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.7%
 
Spin Rate
2199 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.6%
 
Swinging Strike
7.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Foltynewicz pitched 51.1 innings in the minor leagues in 2019, first over four starts in Gwinnett to begin the season and then again from late June through the end of July. To that point of the season, he was 2-5 with a 6.37 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 2.3 HR/9. He made 10 more starts after his final recall from Triple-A and went 6-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, holding opponents to a .210 average. It was night and day for him, just like his two appearances in the NLDS. He was lights out in Game 2, throwing seven innings of shutout baseball, but could not get out of the first inning in the deciding Game 5 as he had no pitch command and the Cardinals made him pay for it. The second half resurgence saw him nearly double the usage of his slider from the first half of the season while also throwing more two-seamers and de-emphasizing his four-seam fastball. Buy back in, but as an SP4 with SP3 potential.
Even those who were "one year early" predicting Foltynewicz's breakout had to be impressed with his 2018 campaign, especially in the strikeout department. That said, before thrusting Foltynewicz to near-ace level, note his .251 BABIP was artificially low according to batted-ball and Statcast data. Expect a higher hit rate in 2018 and the corresponding ERA and WHIP correction. There is a chance his 9.1% walk rate could drop a few ticks, and if that happens, it would soften the impact from hit-rate regression. Key to Foltynewicz's success was added velocity across the board, but especially to his slider, making it one of the most effective pitches in the league. He also began throwing his changeup in fastball counts, keeping hitters off balance. Another year removed from 2015 thoracic outlet surgery, health is not currently a concern as Foltynewicz eclipsed 180 frames for the first time. Pursue aggressively, but don't expect a full repeat of 2018.
Just when it seemed like Foltynewicz was headed for a breakout season, he imploded, finishing with a 7.27 ERA and 1.73 WHIP over his final nine starts (43.1 innings). He did a better job of limiting the long ball in the second half (five homers allowed) and he added to his strikeout rate after the All-Star break, but Foltynewicz's walk rate jumped from 3.0 BB/9 to 4.1, and he allowed more hard contact. Foltynewicz struggled against lefties overall, especially at home -- lefty batters slashed .344/.421/.492 against him at SunTrust Park -- and he was far worse the second (5.77 ERA) and third-time through the order (6.10 ERA) than he was the first time through (2.73 ERA). There is still appeal here given his fastball velocity and quality of his secondary stuff, but the home park is a big negative and Foltynewicz's chances at wins will be limited if he can't find a way to work deeper into games.
He should be nicknamed "Mike Filthynewicz" with his repertoire: a mid-90s heater, a piercing slider, a hammer curve and an emerging changeup. He's still figuring it all out, but his 2016 was a nice step forward. He set career-bests in ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, groundball rate and HR/9. It's not a great sign when 4.31 ERA is your best ever, but it's still legitimate progress for the one-time top-100 prospect who was starting to look like a bit of a bust, even in the small 105-inning sample he had prior to 2016. He should enter his age-25 season with a firm handle on a rotation spot, eyeing his first full season and hoping to build on his '16 gains. A baseline 9-10 percent swinging strike rate is a good foundation and the raw stuff portends more. Go an extra $1 on ol' Filthynewicz.
Foltynewicz was beaten out for a rotation spot by Eric Stults in spring training and opened the year at Triple-A Gwinnett. The results in his first four starts for Gwinnett were encouraging (2.08 ERA), and the Braves decided to give him a look after punting on Trevor Cahill less than a month into the season. Foltynewicz did a few things well, but his reliance on the fastball was well scouted and hitters took advantage, making hard contact nearly a third of the time and putting the ball in the air more than 43 percent of the time. That led to a 1.8 HR/9 rate and further questions about his viability as a starter. If moved to the bullpen, Foltynewicz could be a valuable back-end arm given the premium velocity, but the Braves may be inclined to give him one last shot at proving himself as a starter. Everything will ultimately depend on Foltynewicz's health; he was diagnosed with blood clots in his arm late in the year and then had to have part of his rib removed.
Foltynewicz, 23, got a taste of the big leagues late last season, throwing 18.2 innings mostly in low-leverage situations out of the bullpen for the Astros. Execs with the team conceded he may not have been ready for that opportunity, however, as he allowed three home runs while compiling a 5.30 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. It's a small sample size, but the hard-throwing right-hander didn't fare much better at Triple-A Oklahoma City. In 21 appearances (18 starts) with the RedHawks, Foltynewicz went 7-7 with a 5.08 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 102:52 K:BB ratio over 102.2 innings. Traded to Atlanta in January, Foltynewicz was a key piece in the deal that sent Evan Gattis to Atlanta. Armed with a plus fastball that regularly hits 100 mph, "Folty" will need to show better control of his pitches (4.6 BB/9) to carve out a significant role with the Braves in 2015. A return to Triple-A appears likely, at least to open the season, but he has a very high ceiling if his control improves.
Foltynewicz, the Astros' 2012 Minor League Pitcher of the Year, turned in a fine season for Double-A Corpus Christi after a brief stint with Houston's High-A affiliate. The 22-year-old flamethrower appeared in 23 games (16 starts) for the Hooks and went 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA over 103.1 innings. Opposing batters hit a mere .207 against the right-hander, but they also took 52 free passes as Foltynewicz's control problems remained. If he improves his walk rate (4.5 BB/9 in Double-A), Foltynewicz's stock will go up even higher as he emerged as one of the better pitching prospects in the minors last season. He will likely make the jump to Triple-A this season, while the possibility of a late-season callup is not out of the question if he performs well there.
The second time through the Sally League was much better for Foltynewicz than the first: he posted a 14-4 record across 27 starts and lowered his ERA by nearly two runs to 3.14. The improvement was enough to earn him the Most Outstanding Pitcher award in the Sally League and the Minor League Pitcher of the Year award for the Houston organization. The former first-round pick has pitched to contact more in recent years, which has resulted in fewer strikeouts, but (at least last year) better outcomes. While the team is still trying him out as a starter, there are those that think the lack of viable secondary pitches may make him best suited for the bullpen down the line. He will likely begin 2013 in Double-A, still working out of the rotation.
More Fantasy News
Coughs up four runs
PTexas Rangers
May 7, 2021
Foltynewicz allowed four runs on six hits and a walk over 6.2 innings in Friday's loss to Seattle. He struck out five batters and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Posts quality start
PTexas Rangers
May 2, 2021
Foltynewicz didn't factor into the decision Sunday against the Red Sox. He allowed two runs on seven hits and a walk while fanning five across six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win
PTexas Rangers
April 27, 2021
Foltynewicz (1-3) won Tuesday's 6-1 matchup with the Angels, allowing one run on eight hits with four strikeouts in 5.1 innings..
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Homer issues persist in QS
PTexas Rangers
April 21, 2021
Foltynewicz didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 7-4 win over the Angels, giving up three runs on seven hits -- including three solo homers -- over six innings. He struck out six without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers third loss
PTexas Rangers
April 17, 2021
Foltynewicz (0-3) lost his third straight start, allowing five runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out six over five innings in a 5-2 loss to Baltimore.
ANALYSIS
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