Burch Smith
Burch Smith
28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Kansas City Royals
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Armed with a fastball that once reached triple digits, Smith is trying to return from 2015 Tommy John surgery after being selected by the Royals in the Rule 5 draft in December. Even if the Royals opt to keep him on the 25-man roster, he may have to begin in a low-leverage role, as he posted a 14:9 K:BB with 10 earned runs allowed over his first 10 innings in Cactus League play. He'll need to string together a prolonged run of productive innings out of the bullpen before it's worth considering him as a potential staff filler in deep formats. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#460
ADP
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Shifts to bullpen
PKansas City Royals
August 14, 2018
Smith has been demoted to the Royals' bullpen, Maria Torres of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
Jorge Lopez, who was recently acquired from the Brewers in the Mike Moustakas trade, will slot into the big-league rotation Wednesday, which would have been Smith's day to pitch. Considering Smith had a 9.67 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over his last six outings (22.1 innings), he had likely already been cut loose in most fantasy formats.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .324 160 30 13 46 7 1 8
Since 2016vs Right .253 179 44 24 38 8 0 7
2018vs Left .324 160 30 13 46 7 1 8
2018vs Right .253 179 44 24 38 8 0 7
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
Even Split
2018
Even Split
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 6.75 1.66 38.2 1 2 0 8.1 4.7 2.1
Since 2016Away 6.75 1.58 36.0 0 3 0 9.8 4.3 1.5
2018Home 6.75 1.66 38.2 1 2 0 8.1 4.7 2.1
2018Away 6.75 1.58 36.0 0 3 0 9.8 4.3 1.5
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Burch Smith compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.95
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
93.2 mph
 
ERA
6.75
 
WHIP
1.64
 
BABIP
.339
 
GB/FB
1.19
 
Strand %
61.8%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2016
2015
2014
Smith looked poised to begin 2015 in the Rays rotation due to a torrent of injuries to their starters, but that torrent soon claimed him too and sent him straight to the Tommy John operating room in April. Due to this, he’ll sit out a good chunk of 2016 before an abbreviated return in the later months of the season. Smith was one of the assets brought home in the Wil Myers trade and the Rays are hoping he can still be a back-end starter in the majors. He hasn’t had a real season since 2013, when strong results in Double-A, then Triple-A, pushed him to seven starts with the Padres. The resulting 6.44 ERA wasn’t great, but his projectable frame and low-to-mid 90s fastball mean that he’ll probably be given another chance at starter once he finishes rehab. If he can’t handle that, he will have a future as a long man out of the bullpen.
A forearm strain limited Smith to just two appearances at Triple-A during the 2014 season. The results were disastrous, but the sample size is too small to be meaningful. He recovered from the injury and made nine appearances in relief during the Arizona Fall League, but was prone to hard contact and didn't miss bats at a clip anywhere near the one he maintained during his meteoric rise through the Padres' system in 2012 and 2013. Before the arm issue, Smith was flashing a mid-90s fastball that could touch triple digits, with secondary offerings that were still works in progress. He struggled to keep his pitches down in the zone during his taste of the big leagues, and his fastball doesn't have much movement, which makes him susceptible to very hard contact when he misses his spot. If he's healthy, he may end up contributing as a power arm out of the bullpen after his trade to Tampa Bay, but a lost season has only added to the list of questions about one of the most surprising breakouts of 2013.
A 14th-round selection in the 2011 draft, Smith emerged from nowhere to dominate Double-A San Antonio in the first month of the season, resulting in a callup to the Padres. However, the experiment failed, as he was bombarded in three starts encompassing just 7.1 innings and was promptly sent to Triple-A Tucson to try his wares in the Pacific Coast League. Seven subsequent appearances in the majors are much more indicative of his ability, namely a 35:15 K:BB ratio, but he must reduce his propensity to serve up the long ball, considering a 1.6 HR/9 across 29 frames during that span. Nevertheless, his mid-90s fastball will be given an opportunity to earn a rotation spot, however unlikely, in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Roughed up again in loss
PKansas City Royals
August 10, 2018
Smith (1-4) was dealt the loss against the Cardinals on Friday, yielding five earned runs on six hits over just 1.2 innings, striking out none and walking a batter in Kansas City's 7-0 defeat.
ANALYSIS
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Shelled again
PKansas City Royals
August 4, 2018
Smith (1-3) allowed six earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four across five innings to take the loss Saturday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Saddled with second loss
PKansas City Royals
July 29, 2018
Smith (1-2) surrendered five runs on five hits and three walks while fanning four across four innings as he took the loss Sunday against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Allows just one hit in win
PKansas City Royals
July 24, 2018
Smith (1-1) got the win Tuesday, allowing two runs on one hit and two walks while striking out six over 6.1 innings against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts just two innings in loss
PKansas City Royals
July 15, 2018
Smith (0-1) tossed two innings and took the loss Sunday, yielding two runs on three hits while striking out two in the 10-1 loss to the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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