2025 Stats
W-L
8-3
ERA
2.75
WHIP
1.15
K
110
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
The tightest pants in baseball made it back to the mound just under 15 months removed from his 2023 Tommy John surgery, but Ray lasted just seven starts until a hamstring injury in late August shelved him for the rest of the season. Even in those 30 innings, Ray once again showed the upside of rostering him, as well as the downside of rostering him. He struck out 43 batters in 30.2 innings but also walked 15 around 6 homers, which pushed his ERA to 4.70 despite a respectful 1.14 WHIP. Even with all the rust from the long layoff, Ray's stuff was as good, if not better, results-wise than in his Cy Young-winning season. His fastball and slider had near equivalent whiff rates to his 2021 outcomes, while the league hit .167 and .148 respectively off the fastball and slider last season. The third pitch he continues to pursue, a knuckle curve, is all over the place for results, and most of them have been poor to date. Ray may not be able to resume the 190-plus inning workload he was shouldering presurgery, but the risk/reward here is rather enticing as long as you understand homers will always be a problem for him. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a five-year, $115 million contract with the Mariners in November of 2021. Traded to the Giants in January of 2024.
Takes tough-luck loss
Ray (8-3) allowed one run on four hits and two walks while striking out six batters over six innings in a loss against the White Sox on Saturday.
Analysis
Ray fired five scoreless frames before surrendering a solo homer to Andrew Benintendi in the sixth. That ended up being the only run scored in the contest, resulting in Ray taking his second loss over his past three outings. In both of those defeats, Ray has also notched a quality start, and he hasn't give up more than three earned runs in an appearance since April 16, so he's not pitching terribly despite a so-so 3.54 ERA in five June starts. Ray still ranks among the top 15 qualified MLB starters with a 2.75 ERA and 110 punchouts on the season.
Ray fired five scoreless frames before surrendering a solo homer to Andrew Benintendi in the sixth. That ended up being the only run scored in the contest, resulting in Ray taking his second loss over his past three outings. In both of those defeats, Ray has also notched a quality start, and he hasn't give up more than three earned runs in an appearance since April 16, so he's not pitching terribly despite a so-so 3.54 ERA in five June starts. Ray still ranks among the top 15 qualified MLB starters with a 2.75 ERA and 110 punchouts on the season.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Robbie Ray generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Robbie Ray generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-12%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .229 | 31 | 15 | 24 | 4 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .202 | 125 | 43 | 75 | 12 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .190 | 22 | 11 | 15 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .215 | 88 | 27 | 60 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .333 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .153 | 37 | 12 | 13 | 4 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .400 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .250 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-19%
ERA on Road
2025
-14%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.62 | 1.29 | 77.0 | 9.8 | 3.9 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 2.93 | 1.05 | 55.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.57 | 1.16 | 56.0 | 9.5 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.98 | 1.13 | 42.1 | 10.8 | 4.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 6.11 | 1.42 | 17.2 | 11.2 | 4.6 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.77 | 0.77 | 13.0 | 14.5 | 4.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 8.10 | 2.70 | 3.1 | 8.1 | 13.5 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Robbie Ray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.89K/9
10.1BB/9
3.5HR/9
0.9Fastball
93.7 mphERA
2.75WHIP
1.15BABIP
.280GB/FB
0.96Left On Base
80.8%Exit Velocity
83.7 mphBarrels/BBE
4.7%Spin Rate
2280 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.2%Swinging Strike
13.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Ray took home the AL Cy Young for his work with Toronto in 2021 and was signed to a five-year, $115 million contract by the Mariners after the season. After a solid if unspectacular 2022 campaign that saw him register a 3.71 ERA and 212:67 K;BB over 189 innings, the left-hander was only able to make one start in 2023 before suffering a flexor strain that eventually led to Tommy John surgery in May, and he's expected to miss the first half of 2024. When healthy, Ray still has some of the better swing-and-miss stuff of any left-handed pitcher in baseball, and he's seen a dramatic improvement in his ability to throw strikes over the past two seasons thanks to some mechanical changes made after joining the Blue Jays in the middle of 2020. The question now becomes how much a year-plus delay will impede the 31-year-old's command, and if he'll still have the same ability to miss bats following the operation. There's certainly reason to believe he can be a strong option following next year's All-Star break, but there's considerable risk that comes with the potential reward.
More Fantasy News
Fans seven in no-decision
Ray did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 9-5 win against Boston, allowing four runs (three earned) on eight hits and one walk over five innings. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Handed second loss
Ray (8-2) allowed three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out five over six innings to take the loss Tuesday versus the Guardians.
Analysis
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Snaps QS streak in Colorado
Ray allowed four runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks while striking out five batters over four innings in a no-decision against Colorado on Wednesday.
Analysis
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Earns eighth win
Ray (8-1) earned the win Thursday over the Padres, allowing two runs on four hits and a walk over seven innings. He struck out nine.
Analysis
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Saddled with tough-luck first loss
Ray (7-1) tossed seven innings Saturday, allowing one run on two hits and three walks while striking out nine batters in a loss to Miami.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Working on new pitch
Ray said Thursday he's been working on a new pitch, per Ryan Divish of the Seattle Times.
Analysis
Ray wouldn't divulge any real details about the new offering, but it's an exciting bit of news from a pitcher who already boasts incredible swing-and-miss stuff. He incorporated a new two-seam fastball on the fly last year while striking out 212 batters across 189 regular-season innings, though he endured some struggles down the stretch.
Ray wouldn't divulge any real details about the new offering, but it's an exciting bit of news from a pitcher who already boasts incredible swing-and-miss stuff. He incorporated a new two-seam fastball on the fly last year while striking out 212 batters across 189 regular-season innings, though he endured some struggles down the stretch.