Brian Dozier
Brian Dozier
31-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Washington Nationals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Dozier had a slow start with a .217 average and .689 OPS through June. With the Twins falling out of contention, he was traded to the Dodgers at the end of July. He shuffled in and out of the lineup, finishing with just a .182 average and .650 OPS in the NL. Despite his poor numbers, it's hard to find much of a drop-off in his advanced metrics. Dozier had nearly identical strikeout rates and hard-hit rates. He still draws walks at a good clip (11.1%) and still has above-average power for a middle infielder (21 home runs). Dozier is a subpar defensive second baseman (despite a 2017 Gold Glove), and ultimately was forced to settle for a one-year, $9 million deal with the Nationals in free agency. It was only two years ago he was among the elite power sources at his position and he has stolen 12-plus bases every year since 2013, so a bounce-back is possible at 31 with ample playing time in Washington. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a one-year, $9 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2019.
Goes deep in loss
2BWashington Nationals
April 19, 2019
Dozier went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's loss to the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
Dozier slugged a solo homer to left in the seventh inning to cut the deficit to one, but the Nationals were unable to scratch another run across. The 31-year-old is hitting .182 through 16 games this season, although he's collected a base knock in each of his past three contests, so he appears to be trending in the right direction.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+33%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .827 372 58 13 33 6 .264 .368 .459
Since 2017vs Right .748 1020 134 43 133 23 .234 .316 .432
2019vs Left .500 10 2 0 0 1 .200 .200 .300
2019vs Right .488 45 3 1 1 0 .171 .244 .244
2018vs Left .643 194 22 2 8 3 .209 .330 .313
2018vs Right .718 438 59 19 64 9 .218 .295 .423
2017vs Left 1.057 168 34 11 25 2 .331 .423 .634
2017vs Right .794 537 72 23 68 14 .252 .339 .456
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+73%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .780 694 95 25 84 12 .240 .336 .444
Since 2017Away .757 698 97 31 82 17 .243 .324 .434
2019Home .379 33 0 0 0 1 .133 .212 .167
2019Away .654 22 5 1 1 0 .238 .273 .381
2018Home .675 312 38 7 37 4 .214 .298 .377
2018Away .717 320 43 14 35 8 .217 .313 .404
2017Home .916 349 57 18 47 7 .276 .381 .535
2017Away .800 356 49 16 46 9 .266 .337 .463
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brian Dozier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.21
 
BB Rate
5.1%
 
K Rate
23.7%
 
BABIP
.205
 
ISO
.127
 
AVG
.182
 
OBP
.237
 
SLG
.309
 
OPS
.546
 
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Nationals Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brian Dozier
The Long Game: Free Agent Freefall
10 days ago
Erik Siegrist examines the market forces that have kept Craig Kimbrel and Dallas Keuchel at home to begin the season and wonders whether 2020 free agents like Khris Davis will also have trouble getting paid.
Regan's Rumblings: 10 Slow Starters – Patience or Panic?
11 days ago
Dave Regan analyzes 10 players off to slow starts, like A's infielder Jurickson Profar, to determine whether it's too early to get nervous.
Top 350 Composite Rankings
29 days ago
Max Scherzer has climbed up to third in RotoWire's composite rankings. Check out all of our changes in this week's Roundtable Rankings.
Oak's Corner: Targets Outside the Top 100
29 days ago
On the eve of a big draft weekend, Scott Jenstad delves into players he’s targeting outside the top 100, including Pirates outfielder Corey Dickerson.
Over/Under Win Totals 2019: Fade Those not Trying
30 days ago
RotoWire President Peter Schoenke gives his annual take on MLB over/under bets. He's won 61.5 percent of his bets over 18 years.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Dozier didn't repeat his AL-record 42 home runs for a second baseman, but had the second best season of his career by hitting 34 home runs and winning his first Gold Glove. He drew more walks (11.1 percent from 8.8 percent) but his 20 percent strikeout rate was identical to what he produced in 2016. Dozier rode a career-best .300 BABIP to a career-best .271 average. His batted-ball profile has improved over the past couple seasons, so he shouldn't revert back to his career .276 BABIP, but some slight batting average regression should be expected. He should continue running while frequently hitting in the leadoff spot where he's been most comfortable even though his power may play better later in the order. This placement has allowed him to produce four straight 100-plus run seasons, and there is no reason to expect a dropoff. Among second basemen, only Jose Altuve and Jose Ramirez can keep up with Dozier's reliable production in the four major counting stats.
Dozier has become one of the top fantasy options at second base due to his surging power and added speed. He was having a typical season through the first half (14 home runs, .786 OPS) but surged in the second half with 28 home runs and a .990 OPS over his last 72 games, finishing with 42 homers (the most ever for an AL second baseman). While that home run total may look like a fluke given the large leap from his previous career high (28), there are reasons to think he can approach that level again. Dozier has seen his slugging percentage increase every season in the majors and most of his other statistical measures were in line with his career, although he did have a high 18.4 percent HR/FB rate. Dozier doesn't draw walks at a great rate and strikes out a little too often, which makes his batting average a risk, but he should continue running while frequently hitting in the leadoff spot where he's been most comfortable.
Dozier offers a rare combination of speed and power at second base and has become a consistent fantasy producer the past three seasons. He looked set to have a career year after hitting 19 home runs while slashing .256/.328/.513 at midseason, but struggled after the All-Star break by hitting just nine home runs with a .280 on-base percentage while slugging just .359. Dozier improved as a fielder after he struggled at times with his defense the past two seasons. He doesn't draw walks at a great rate and strikes out a little too often, which makes his batting average a risk. Dozier also saw a slight decline in stolen-base attempts last season, which could continue if he moves lower in the order as the Twins may have better options in the top two spots, where he spent most of 2015. However, those are minor risks as Dozier looks set for another season in his prime as Minnesota's starting second baseman.
Dozier showed that his 2013 breakout season was no fluke as he was one of just five players with at least 20 home runs and 20 stolen bases last year. Dozier nearly duplicated his 2013 stats, but he had several positive developments -- specifically, more home runs and stolen bases as he played nine more games. He scored 112 runs as he hit first or second in the batting order almost all season. He also increased his walk rate to 12.6% from 8.6% in 2013. Perhaps the only negative was that he took a slight step back in the field as he doubled his errors (15) at second base and had a below average season by most defensive metrics. Still, his glove is seen as strong enough to keep his bat at second base. His 112 runs scored may not sustainable as he's not a high OBP player, and he could be dropped to the middle of the order, but otherwise Dozier looks set to be a top fantasy option again at second base in 2015.
Dozier revived his career by moving to second base last season, resulting in improved defense to go with good power at the plate. He disappointed in 2012 as a rookie as he hit just .234/.271/.332 and struggled with his defense at shortstop where his range was inadequate. The move to second base improved his defense as he made just six errors and was 11th in UZR among regular second basemen. He also improved at the plate by hitting .244/.312/.414 with 18 home runs. Dozier improved his walk rate (eight percent of plate appearances) which was more in line with his minor league career. He hit for some power in the minors, so his 18 home runs were not a fluke, and he also has decent speed with 14 stolen bases. He'll enter his prime next season at age 26 as Minnesota's starting second baseman and offers a valuable power-speed combination for a middle infielder.
After hitting hitting .318/.384/.502 at Double-A in 2011, Dozier looked like a potential shortstop of the future for the Twins. He was called up after a strong first month at Triple-A and given the starting shortstop job. He started off hot by hitting .298 with two home runs in his first 11 games, but cooled off quickly at the plate and was hitting just .234/.271/.332 before he was demoted in August. He also struggled with his defense, making 15 errors in 83 games with a -1.2 UZR. His range was not seen as adequate enough to play shortstop and the Twins moved him to second base in winter ball. The truth is he was likely overrated as a prospect as he will be 26 years old this season, and had fewer than 400 at-bats above High-A before he was given an everyday job in the majors. He has some pop (eight homers last year) and speed (25 stolen bases in 2011) and drew walks at a good clip before last year. Dozier still could carve out a major league role at second base, but will likely need to prove himself for a long stretch at Triple-A.
Dozier had a strong minor league season that could put him in position to make an impact in the majors with the Twins as early as 2012. Dozier hit .322/.423/.472 at High-A Fort Myers and then duplicated that performance by hitting .318/.384/.502 in a tough hitting environment at Double-A New Britain. He followed that up by hitting .298/.358/.454 with three home runs in 26 games in the Arizona Fall League. Dozier primarily played shortstop but also saw time at second base. It's not clear if he has the range to start at shortstop in the majors. However, his bat could eventually make him Minnesota's solution at shortstop as he has some pop (nine homers last year), strong plate discipline (66:55 K:BB ratio) and speed (25 stolen bases). He'll begin the season at Double-A, but could reach the majors in a utility role this summer. He's a prospect to grab in deeper keeper leagues.
More Fantasy News
Swipes base in return
2BWashington Nationals
April 18, 2019
Dozier went 1-for-4 with a stolen base Thursday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Back in lineup
2BWashington Nationals
April 18, 2019
Dozier (foot) will start at second base and bat sixth Thursday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Out with sore foot
2BWashington Nationals
Foot
April 17, 2019
Dozier is sitting Wednesday against the Giants due to a sore foot after hitting himself with a foul ball in Tuesday's contest, Byron Kerr of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Heads back to bench
2BWashington Nationals
April 17, 2019
Dozier is on the bench for the third time in four games Wednesday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Takes seat again
2BWashington Nationals
April 14, 2019
Dozier is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.