Carlos Martinez
Carlos Martinez
29-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
After finishing 2019 as the Cardinals' closer, Martinez won a 2020 rotation spot. He was lit up in his first start before contracting COVID-19, requiring several hospital visits to recover. When Martinez returned, it was clear he wasn't right as his velocity was way down while he exhibited poor command and control. That being said, Martinez's velocity was actually lowest in his first start, before the Cardinals' shutdown. His season was ultimately cut short by an oblique injury. Martinez enters 2021 as one of the biggest wild cards in the league. It's clear last season's circumstances negatively influenced his performance, but Martinez was already a question mark, so now the outlook is even foggier. Even if healthy again, the same starter versus reliever questions persist, especially with only 68.1 innings compiled since 2019. He's essentially free in drafts, rendering Martinez an intriguing reserve dart. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#418
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $51 million contract extension with the Cardinals in February of 2017. Contract includes $17 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2022 and $18 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2023.
Troublesome first start
PSt. Louis Cardinals
March 4, 2021
Martinez, who allowed six earned runs on four hits, three walks and a hit batsman over 1.2 innings in a Grapefruit League loss to the Astros on Thursday, still sounded a confident tone following the outing, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports. "I know the result wasn't the result I wanted, but I feel good," Martinez said. "I feel good with all my pitches. I know I can be better in the next couple starts."
ANALYSIS
The right-hander is pushing to become a prominent member of the starting rotation once again this spring, but if Martinez doesn't improve considerably, he could be fighting merely to hold onto a roster spot. Manager Mike Shildt backed up Martinez's confidence in his stuff prior to the game, lauding the veteran for coming to camp in great shape and going about his business in a positive fashion following a difficult, COVID-impacted 2020. Shildt still praised the way the ball was coming out of Martinez's hand following the outing and added, "Carlos is going to be just fine."
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
80
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Carlos Martinez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Martinez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .245 438 89 58 90 17 2 6
Since 2018vs Right .238 387 98 30 81 14 1 7
2020vs Left .310 50 8 7 13 2 0 2
2020vs Right .388 54 9 3 19 4 1 4
2019vs Left .237 88 24 9 18 4 0 1
2019vs Right .208 112 29 9 21 2 0 1
2018vs Left .237 300 57 42 59 11 2 3
2018vs Right .216 221 60 18 41 8 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 2.89 1.28 96.2 5 4 14 9.1 3.6 0.5
Since 2018Away 4.88 1.49 90.1 7 7 15 8.9 4.9 0.8
2020Home 8.22 2.09 7.2 0 1 0 12.9 3.5 2.3
2020Away 10.95 2.11 12.1 0 2 0 4.4 5.1 2.9
2019Home 1.82 0.93 24.2 2 1 12 8.8 2.6 0.0
2019Away 4.56 1.44 23.2 2 1 12 11.0 4.2 0.8
2018Home 2.66 1.32 64.1 3 2 2 8.8 4.1 0.4
2018Away 3.64 1.38 54.1 5 4 3 8.9 5.1 0.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carlos Martinez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.70
 
K/9
7.7
 
BB/9
4.5
 
HR/9
2.7
 
Fastball
92.9 mph
 
ERA
9.90
 
WHIP
2.10
 
BABIP
.398
 
GB/FB
1.77
 
Left On Base
47.6%
 
Exit Velocity
84.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.8%
 
Spin Rate
2080 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.1%
 
Swinging Strike
8.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carlos Martinez
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL Central
4 days ago
Brad Johnson dives into pitching in the National League Central, where in Cincinnati, Luis Castillo will look to fill the void left behind by Trevor Bauer.
Regan's Rumblings: 10 Position Decisions
4 days ago
David Regan kicks off his season-long column with a look at key position battles he’ll monitor this spring, like whether Garrett Hampson will carve out regular at-bats in Colorado.
Spring Training Job Battles: Let the Competition Begin
10 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes the top job battles on every major league team, including a look at the Mets' closer situation. Will Edwin Diaz regain the job this season?
The Z Files: Changing Wins to Innings and Saves to Solds
10 days ago
Todd Zola examines the impact of new scoring categories on the pitching side, including the rise in value of top set-up men like Tyler Duffey.
Beat Jeff Erickson Draft
11 days ago
See the results from the "Beat Jeff Erickson" draft, including an observation about what happens when you take an early closer like Liam Hendriks.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Martinez has transitioned from a full-time starter to a closer in just two seasons, though he says he's hoping to start again in 2020. He started 32 games in 2017 with solid results, but moved to the bullpen as durability was a concern. Even 2019 got off to a rough start with a right rotator cuff strain in camp that delayed the start of his season until mid-May. He had just three saves before the break, so the 21 he had down the stretch around a few rough appearances was impressive. Martinez still needs to reduce his walk rate as he does not strike out enough batters to get away with the free passes. He finished out September on an encouraging note, going 8-for-8 in saves while holding hitters to a .167 average with a 5:1 K:BB. The question has never been about his potential, but rather his ability to fully reach it. We like him less if he does indeed attempt to stretch back out.
Martinez seemingly opened the 2018 campaign in stellar fashion, pitching to a 1.62 ERA and 1.08 WHIP before the first of three disabled list visits interrupted his season. However, only 47 strikeouts with a bloated 22 walks in those 50 innings warned of an impending correction. After missing a month with a right lat strain, Martinez returned to post a 5.32 ERA and 1.73 WHIP with 26 walks in 46.2 frames before being felled with an oblique strain. He only missed one start, but a right shoulder strain sent him back to the DL. When Martinez returned, he worked out of the bullpen, eventually as closer and converted all five of his save chances in September. Despite a 1.47 ERA out of the bullpen, the plan is for Martinez to return to the rotation. Wait and see how Martinez looks in the spring before returning him to near-ace levels.
Those pesky homers. In 2017, Martinez whiffed more and walked fewer than the previous season, in fact setting a career high in strikeout percent (25.3). More flyballs and a spike in HR/FB resulted in a home run rate nearly double his career mark. Not much changed with pitch repertoire, but like many groundball pitchers, Martinez was victimized by the league-wide movement toward uppercut swings. Despite the additional homers, Martinez joined the 200-inning club for the first time. Being allowed to pitch into the seventh is important in today's landscape. If there's a concern, it's durability, though consecutive seasons with more than 30 starts should assuage those fears. Still just 26, there's another step for Martinez if he combats the increase in homers along with lowering his just-above-league-average walk rate (3.1 BB/9). A high WHIP keeps Martinez from the elite, but he still profiles as a fantasy ace. Oh yeah, ignore last season's low win total, as Martinez was a victim of low run support.
Yet again, Martinez dazzled on the mound for St. Louis. He finished the year with a 16-9 record to go along with a 3.04 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Martinez managed to keep batters guessing at the plate, as he threw his 95 mph fastball just 58 percent of the time and regularly mixed in a slider, changeup, and curveball. He also continued forcing batters to hit grounders and recorded a GB/FB identical to 2015's mark of 2.49, which resulted in a HR/9 of just 0.69 and forcing 33 batters to ground into double plays, the second most in the league. Although he limited batters to a .233 batting average, a lack of control was a byproduct of his pitch variety and resulted in a walk rate that was nearly nine percent. His ERA likely will regress to a higher figure, but fortunately for the club and fantasy owners, Martinez will be only 25 years old when the 2017 campaign begins, so he still has time to further refine his arsenal and move into the ace conversation.
Martinez turned in a terrific 2015 in his first full year in the rotation, posting a 3.01 ERA and 1.29 WHIP while striking out 184 in 179.2 innings pitched as a 23-year-old. Martinez had his season cut short a couple weeks early due to a shoulder strain but should be fine for the spring, without the added pressure of competing for a rotation spot. His FIP of 3.21 and BABIP of .318 indicate that his 2015 numbers are for real. Martinez could be the Cardinals ace-in-waiting and at just 24 years old will likely slot in to the second or third spot in the rotation to start the season. He features a fastball that can approach 100 mph and terrific secondary stuff that should make a 200-plus strikeout campaign in 2016 a strong likelihood. He'll be a popular name on draft day as someone pegged to take another big step forward.
One of the Cardinals' best young flamethrowers, Martinez was extremely impressive as a starter last spring but the Cardinals opted to move him to the bullpen to start the season, where he stayed for the most part, making just seven spot starts versus a whopping 50 relief appearances. Martinez made it known several times that he would prefer to be a starter but that he would do whatever the teams asks of him, and it appears the Cardinals view him as their setup man moving forward into 2015. Martinez has probably pitched better as a starter but certainly has the stuff to work in the late innings for St. Louis. Perhaps the inconsistency of roles, moving from the bullpen to the rotation and back again several times didn't help the 23-year-old's numbers in 2014. Whatever his role may be going into 2015, he's still worth a spot on most fantasy rosters as he has enormous talent and potential.
Martinez was never given an extended look in any role until September when he really started to display just how talented he is. The 22-year-old struck out nearly a batter per inning, a stat that was trending up when the season came to a close. Scouts are split on whether Martinez will be a late-inning bullpen arm or a starter at this point but it looks as though he will have a chance to compete for the fifth spot in the rotation during spring training as the Cards attempt to maximize his value. Martinez figures to be a part of the Cardinals' pitching staff in 2014, where his extremely valuable skill set merits consideration regardless of his role on Opening Day.
Martinez handled the promotion to Double-A Springfield well, striking out 58 and walking 22 in 71.1 innings. Overall his walk rate was cut in half from its poor mark in 2011, as Martinez crept closer and closer to his big-league debut. That time could come in 2013, when Martinez will be just 21 years old. If the walk rate continues to improve, this could be a star in the making as he's considered by some to be the best pitching prospect in a rich St. Louis farm system.
For some reason, no one talks about the Cardinals having the best young pitching prospects, but with Shelby Miller, Tyrell Jenkins and Martinez not far away from joining Adam Wainwright and Jaime Garcia, St. Louis could have the best rotation in the bigs in five years. Martinez just turned 20, and while his command still needs a lot of work, his strikeout rate and home-run rate were both outstanding in his first year pitching in North America. If he gets his walk rate down, we could be looking at an ace, but he's still a few years away.
More Fantasy News
Flashes breaking stuff in BP
PSt. Louis Cardinals
February 27, 2021
Martinez did a good job keeping several Cardinals starters off balance with his breaking pitches during Friday's live batting practice session, Rick Hummel of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Considers himself definite starter
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Oblique
February 18, 2021
Martinez, who enjoyed a successful run in winter ball in the Dominican Republic, enters spring training focused on regaining a spot in the starting rotation, Zachary Silver of MLB.com reports. "I feel great with all my pitches," said Martinez. "One hundred percent focused. On my mind, focused, on my workout, focused, on working hard. ... If I didn't play in the winter league, I wouldn't [be as prepared] right now."
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Not in legal trouble
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Oblique
November 23, 2020
Martinez (oblique) was not arrested Monday for violating social-distancing protocols in the Dominican Republic, contrary to previous reports, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Arrested in Dominican Republic
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Oblique
November 23, 2020
Martinez (oblique) was taken into custody Monday by National Dominican Police in Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic for violating the country's social-distancing protocols, Hector Gomez of Deportivo Z 100 reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Not expected to pitch again in '20
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Oblique
September 26, 2020
Martinez (oblique) is "not likely" to pitch again in 2020, even in the case of a deep postseason run by the Cardinals, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports. "I'll never say never, but clearly it's impactful for him the next several weeks," manager Mike Shildt said. "We're not anticipating he'll be able to do a lot of anything. So you look at the schedule, and it's very unfavorable to think about a return."
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.