Carlos Martinez
Carlos Martinez
29-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
After finishing 2019 as the Cardinals' closer, Martinez won a 2020 rotation spot. He was lit up in his first start before contracting COVID-19, requiring several hospital visits to recover. When Martinez returned, it was clear he wasn't right as his velocity was way down while he exhibited poor command and control. That being said, Martinez's velocity was actually lowest in his first start, before the Cardinals' shutdown. His season was ultimately cut short by an oblique injury. Martinez enters 2021 as one of the biggest wild cards in the league. It's clear last season's circumstances negatively influenced his performance, but Martinez was already a question mark, so now the outlook is even foggier. Even if healthy again, the same starter versus reliever questions persist, especially with only 68.1 innings compiled since 2019. He's essentially free in drafts, rendering Martinez an intriguing reserve dart. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#416
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $51 million contract extension with the Cardinals in February of 2017. Contract includes $17 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2022 and $18 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2023.
Strong outing goes to waste
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 14, 2021
Martinez (3-7) took the loss Sunday against the Cubs after allowing two runs (zero earned) on four hits and a walk while striking out six over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
The only damage done against Martinez came in the third after the Cardinals extended the inning on a fielding error by Paul DeJong and allowed the Cubs to score twice. The 29-year-old otherwise had some of his best stuff of the season but got no run support from his team. Martinez has been a bit unpredictable this season, as he came into Sunday allowing 15 runs over his last 4.2 innings but his most recent performance shows the kind of potential he has. He now owns a 5.54 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 44:22 K:BB over 65 innings and lines up to face the Braves later in the week.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
75
How many pitches does Carlos Martinez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Martinez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
Even Split
2021
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .250 288 55 25 64 15 0 5
Since 2019vs Right .250 297 59 25 65 11 3 7
2021vs Left .239 150 23 9 33 9 0 2
2021vs Right .227 131 21 13 25 5 2 2
2020vs Left .310 50 8 7 13 2 0 2
2020vs Right .388 54 9 3 19 4 1 4
2019vs Left .237 88 24 9 18 4 0 1
2019vs Right .208 112 29 9 21 2 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.22 1.26 59.2 4 4 12 7.7 2.9 0.8
Since 2019Away 6.23 1.41 73.2 3 8 12 7.7 3.8 0.9
2021Home 5.27 1.32 27.1 2 2 0 5.3 3.0 1.0
2021Away 5.73 1.17 37.2 1 5 0 6.7 3.1 0.2
2020Home 8.22 2.09 7.2 0 1 0 12.9 3.5 2.3
2020Away 10.95 2.11 12.1 0 2 0 4.4 5.1 2.9
2019Home 1.82 0.93 24.2 2 1 12 8.8 2.6 0.0
2019Away 4.56 1.44 23.2 2 1 12 11.0 4.2 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carlos Martinez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.00
 
K/9
6.1
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
5.54
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.279
 
GB/FB
1.78
 
Left On Base
49.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.7%
 
Spin Rate
2050 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
30.3%
 
Swinging Strike
8.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carlos Martinez
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Yesterday
With Joey Lucchesi set to start for the Mets, Chris Morgan is offering up a few Padres hitters.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Towering Above the Rest
2 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Rays ace Tyler Glasnow is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack.
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6 days ago
Joe Sheehan talks about modern bullpen management and its place in his betting process before diving into his favorite wagers for Tuesday's slate, including a look at the total in the White Sox-Blue Jays game.
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6 days ago
Mike Barner sets the stage for Tuesday's DraftKings slate, rolling with a Padres stack against Zach Davies and the Cubs.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Calm after the Storm
9 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few two-start options in a week with fewer games scheduled.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Martinez has transitioned from a full-time starter to a closer in just two seasons, though he says he's hoping to start again in 2020. He started 32 games in 2017 with solid results, but moved to the bullpen as durability was a concern. Even 2019 got off to a rough start with a right rotator cuff strain in camp that delayed the start of his season until mid-May. He had just three saves before the break, so the 21 he had down the stretch around a few rough appearances was impressive. Martinez still needs to reduce his walk rate as he does not strike out enough batters to get away with the free passes. He finished out September on an encouraging note, going 8-for-8 in saves while holding hitters to a .167 average with a 5:1 K:BB. The question has never been about his potential, but rather his ability to fully reach it. We like him less if he does indeed attempt to stretch back out.
Martinez seemingly opened the 2018 campaign in stellar fashion, pitching to a 1.62 ERA and 1.08 WHIP before the first of three disabled list visits interrupted his season. However, only 47 strikeouts with a bloated 22 walks in those 50 innings warned of an impending correction. After missing a month with a right lat strain, Martinez returned to post a 5.32 ERA and 1.73 WHIP with 26 walks in 46.2 frames before being felled with an oblique strain. He only missed one start, but a right shoulder strain sent him back to the DL. When Martinez returned, he worked out of the bullpen, eventually as closer and converted all five of his save chances in September. Despite a 1.47 ERA out of the bullpen, the plan is for Martinez to return to the rotation. Wait and see how Martinez looks in the spring before returning him to near-ace levels.
Those pesky homers. In 2017, Martinez whiffed more and walked fewer than the previous season, in fact setting a career high in strikeout percent (25.3). More flyballs and a spike in HR/FB resulted in a home run rate nearly double his career mark. Not much changed with pitch repertoire, but like many groundball pitchers, Martinez was victimized by the league-wide movement toward uppercut swings. Despite the additional homers, Martinez joined the 200-inning club for the first time. Being allowed to pitch into the seventh is important in today's landscape. If there's a concern, it's durability, though consecutive seasons with more than 30 starts should assuage those fears. Still just 26, there's another step for Martinez if he combats the increase in homers along with lowering his just-above-league-average walk rate (3.1 BB/9). A high WHIP keeps Martinez from the elite, but he still profiles as a fantasy ace. Oh yeah, ignore last season's low win total, as Martinez was a victim of low run support.
Yet again, Martinez dazzled on the mound for St. Louis. He finished the year with a 16-9 record to go along with a 3.04 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Martinez managed to keep batters guessing at the plate, as he threw his 95 mph fastball just 58 percent of the time and regularly mixed in a slider, changeup, and curveball. He also continued forcing batters to hit grounders and recorded a GB/FB identical to 2015's mark of 2.49, which resulted in a HR/9 of just 0.69 and forcing 33 batters to ground into double plays, the second most in the league. Although he limited batters to a .233 batting average, a lack of control was a byproduct of his pitch variety and resulted in a walk rate that was nearly nine percent. His ERA likely will regress to a higher figure, but fortunately for the club and fantasy owners, Martinez will be only 25 years old when the 2017 campaign begins, so he still has time to further refine his arsenal and move into the ace conversation.
Martinez turned in a terrific 2015 in his first full year in the rotation, posting a 3.01 ERA and 1.29 WHIP while striking out 184 in 179.2 innings pitched as a 23-year-old. Martinez had his season cut short a couple weeks early due to a shoulder strain but should be fine for the spring, without the added pressure of competing for a rotation spot. His FIP of 3.21 and BABIP of .318 indicate that his 2015 numbers are for real. Martinez could be the Cardinals ace-in-waiting and at just 24 years old will likely slot in to the second or third spot in the rotation to start the season. He features a fastball that can approach 100 mph and terrific secondary stuff that should make a 200-plus strikeout campaign in 2016 a strong likelihood. He'll be a popular name on draft day as someone pegged to take another big step forward.
One of the Cardinals' best young flamethrowers, Martinez was extremely impressive as a starter last spring but the Cardinals opted to move him to the bullpen to start the season, where he stayed for the most part, making just seven spot starts versus a whopping 50 relief appearances. Martinez made it known several times that he would prefer to be a starter but that he would do whatever the teams asks of him, and it appears the Cardinals view him as their setup man moving forward into 2015. Martinez has probably pitched better as a starter but certainly has the stuff to work in the late innings for St. Louis. Perhaps the inconsistency of roles, moving from the bullpen to the rotation and back again several times didn't help the 23-year-old's numbers in 2014. Whatever his role may be going into 2015, he's still worth a spot on most fantasy rosters as he has enormous talent and potential.
Martinez was never given an extended look in any role until September when he really started to display just how talented he is. The 22-year-old struck out nearly a batter per inning, a stat that was trending up when the season came to a close. Scouts are split on whether Martinez will be a late-inning bullpen arm or a starter at this point but it looks as though he will have a chance to compete for the fifth spot in the rotation during spring training as the Cards attempt to maximize his value. Martinez figures to be a part of the Cardinals' pitching staff in 2014, where his extremely valuable skill set merits consideration regardless of his role on Opening Day.
Martinez handled the promotion to Double-A Springfield well, striking out 58 and walking 22 in 71.1 innings. Overall his walk rate was cut in half from its poor mark in 2011, as Martinez crept closer and closer to his big-league debut. That time could come in 2013, when Martinez will be just 21 years old. If the walk rate continues to improve, this could be a star in the making as he's considered by some to be the best pitching prospect in a rich St. Louis farm system.
For some reason, no one talks about the Cardinals having the best young pitching prospects, but with Shelby Miller, Tyrell Jenkins and Martinez not far away from joining Adam Wainwright and Jaime Garcia, St. Louis could have the best rotation in the bigs in five years. Martinez just turned 20, and while his command still needs a lot of work, his strikeout rate and home-run rate were both outstanding in his first year pitching in North America. If he gets his walk rate down, we could be looking at an ace, but he's still a few years away.
More Fantasy News
Struggles in loss Tuesday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 8, 2021
Martinez (3-6) allowed five earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven across four innings, taking the loss to Cleveland on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Destroyed by Dodgers
PSt. Louis Cardinals
June 3, 2021
Martinez (3-5) lasted only two-thirds of an inning against the Dodgers on Wednesday, allowing 10 runs on six hits and four walks while striking out one to take the loss.
ANALYSIS
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Posts quality start
PSt. Louis Cardinals
May 27, 2021
Martinez allowed three runs on three hits and a walk with six strikeouts in six-plus innings versus Arizona on Thursday. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Returns with no-decision
PSt. Louis Cardinals
May 21, 2021
Martinez yielded two runs on four hits and a walk over six innings in Friday's loss to the Cubs. He struck out two and did not factor in the decision.
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Activated ahead of start
PSt. Louis Cardinals
May 21, 2021
Martinez (ankle) was activated off the 10-day injured list as expected ahead of his scheduled start Friday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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