Cesar Hernandez
Cesar Hernandez
30-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Cleveland Indians
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Hernandez had been a league-average hitter over his final five seasons in Philadelphia, recording a wRC+ of exactly 100 over that stretch. He performed slightly better than that in his first season in Cleveland, as his .283/.355/.388 slash line was good for a 108 wRC+, though his overall production wasn't particularly exciting for fantasy purposes. He homered just three times and failed to even attempt a single steal after swiping an average of 15.8 bases over the previous five campaigns. There were some moderately encouraging signs in his batted-ball profile, as his 89.1 mph exit velocity and 37.3% hard-hit rate were personal bests, though neither mark is particularly exciting, and he also saw his strikeout rate jump nearly seven points to 21.8%. The veteran should remain a player who isn't embarrassing to roster next season, but he won't be an exciting option even if he steals a few more bases. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#383
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Indians in January of 2021. Contract includes $6 million team option for 2022.
Delivers game-deciding homer
2BCleveland Indians
May 11, 2021
Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer during Tuesday's 3-2 win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
The 30-year-old came to the plate trailing 2-1 with a runner on base during the bottom of the fifth innings, and he clubbed his third homer of the season to give Cleveland the lead for good. Hernandez has a .202/.303/.331 slash line in 32 games this season, though he's come up with big hits in his past two games, garnering five RBI in the process.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
10
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .623 311 26 3 24 1 .234 .297 .326
Since 2019vs Right .777 751 101 17 73 8 .286 .348 .429
2021vs Left .583 65 5 1 2 0 .164 .292 .291
2021vs Right .704 91 13 2 8 0 .253 .319 .386
2020vs Left .606 61 7 1 6 0 .214 .267 .339
2020vs Right .804 178 25 2 10 0 .302 .376 .428
2019vs Left .641 185 14 1 16 1 .263 .308 .333
2019vs Right .780 482 63 13 55 8 .286 .342 .438
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .807 522 72 12 59 5 .291 .361 .447
Since 2019Away .666 557 56 8 42 4 .254 .309 .357
2021Home .671 75 11 2 9 0 .217 .280 .391
2021Away .638 81 7 1 1 0 .217 .333 .304
2020Home .876 124 20 3 17 0 .312 .390 .486
2020Away .657 132 13 0 3 0 .256 .318 .339
2019Home .813 323 41 7 33 5 .300 .368 .445
2019Away .675 344 36 7 38 4 .261 .299 .376
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Stat Review
How does Cesar Hernandez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.69
 
BB Rate
11.5%
 
K Rate
16.7%
 
BABIP
.248
 
ISO
.130
 
AVG
.217
 
OBP
.308
 
SLG
.348
 
OPS
.656
 
wOBA
.296
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.9%
 
Barrels/PA
7.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Cesar Hernandez
FanDuel MLB: Thursday's Picks
2 days ago
Kevin Payne looks over Thursday's slate as Jesse Winker and the Reds kick off a series in Coors Field.
Bernie on the Scene: Middle-Infield Trade Targets
19 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes middle-infield trade targets who could help fantasy teams, including the Twins' Jorge Polanco.
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
35 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
Bernie on the Scene: AL Central Analysis & Predictions
40 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes each team in the AL Central with grades for each player and predictions for the division. Can the Twins overtake the White Sox?
MLB Best Ball: Underdog Draft Review
45 days ago
Dan Marcus walks us through his best-ball draft, highlighting roster construction and pivotal choices.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2011
Hernandez is who he is at this point: a league-average second baseman and an everyday fixture near the bottom of the lineup. The Phillies didn't want to pay up for his final year of arbitration, but Cleveland swooped in to sign him for one year and $6.25 million. He turns 30 in May, so his best years are likely behind him, but given this landing spot, he should remain useful in deeper leagues. Hernandez's offensive profile changed in 2019, for better and for worse. He raised his batting average from .253 to .279 and cut his K% from 21.9% to 15.0%, but he also saw his BB% fall from 13.4% to 6.7%. More importantly for most fantasy owners, he also stole just nine bases after stealing at least 15 in each of the previous four seasons. Players don't usually reverse that trend in their 30s, so Hernandez might be left offering little more than a decent batting average while compiling everyday counting stats.
Hernandez's batted-ball profile started to resemble that of a power hitter in 2018, as he raised his flyball rate from 24.6% to 33.6% and increased his pull rate from 35.8% to 40.3%. However, it's probably unwise to read too much of his underlying numbers after it came to light that he played most of the second half with a broken foot. He had a career-high 13.4% walk rate but also a 21.9% strikeout rate that represented his highest mark since his small-sample 2014 season. The end result was a career-best 15 homers but a drop in all three slash categories to .253/.356/.362, good for a league-average 100 wRC+, and only five steals after he suffered the foot injury July 20. The dream scenario for Hernandez in 2019 would see him hold onto his power gains while regaining his solid batting average and some stolen bases with improved health.
Hernandez once looked like he would merely be a placeholder in the middle infield until the Phillies accelerated their rebuild, but back-to-back campaigns of at least 15 steals, averages north of .290 and OBPs above .370 may have changed his outlook with the organization. While those three areas are where Hernandez provides his greatest impact in the fantasy realm, he also showed some unexpected pop last season with 41 extra-base hits, making him at least an average contributor among second basemen in terms of power. Middle-infield prospects J.P. Crawford and Scott Kingery are both expected to get fair shakes at everyday roles at some point in 2018, but Hernandez's reliable glove and on-base skills atop the lineup offer value. The youngsters might offer more upside, but it would be unwise to dismiss the 27-year-old's chances of retaining regular at-bats throughout the season with few other proven table setters on the roster.
Hernandez showed growth in his patience, increasing his walk rate by nearly two percent and his on-base percentage from .339 in 2015 to .371 last season. He walked at just a five percent clip in the first half of the season, but a benching in late June sent a message and he walked at nearly a 16 percent clip over the second half of the season. Hernandez has minimal power but possesses great speed. His 11 triples were tied for the most in baseball. Despite that speed and his on-base skills, he managed just 17 steals on 30 attempts. Only Jonathan Villar was caught stealing more often than Hernandez, but he stole nearly four times as many bases. An improvement in efficiency could result in 20-plus steals, but there is some playing time risk, as a potential midseason promotion of prospect J.P. Crawford would force the Phillies to decide between Hernandez and Freddy Galvis at second base. .
Hernandez won a bench job with the Phillies last spring and produced when given opportunities to play early in the season. When Chase Utley went on the disabled list in June, Hernandez moved into a starting role and made enough of an impression that the team had him split time with Utley until the veteran was shipped off to the Dodgers in August. Unfortunately for Hernandez, his season ended early when he suffered a dislocated thumb and ligament damage in mid-September. Hernandez's biggest contribution in fantasy leagues was his 19 stolen bases. He has stolen over 30 bags a couple times in the minors, so the potential is there for him to make a dent in the stolen base category. He will likely open the year as the starter at second, but he'll have to hit for average and work counts to get on base because he offers little else with the bat. If he slumps, the Phillies could turn second base over to Darnell Sweeney.
Hernandez split his time between the majors and minors last season. The Phillies tried to increase his versatility by having him play third last season, but with 11 errors in 32 games in the majors and minors it is clear that Hernandez has some work to do. Hernandez's best skill is his ability to put the ball in play. He has no power, but does have decent speed despite stealing just nine total bags last season. He is out of options which should increase his chances at winning a bench job this spring. Chase Utley has managed to stay fairly healthy of late, but he does have a chronic knee condition that could flare up at any time. Hernandez would stand to benefit with increased playing time at second if something were to happen to Utley.
Hernandez got his first opportunity in the majors last season when the Phillies called him up as a short-term injury replacement. He managed to stick around after Chase Utley was sidelined with a strained oblique, and showed enough with the bat that the Phillies started looking to increase his versatility. Hernandez saw his first action in the outfield last year, and the Phillies have said they want him to also start working out a third. Hernandez does not hit for any power, but he does make pretty good contact and he has speed. He will get a chance to compete for a bench job this spring, but is likely to start the year back in the minors. He could provide some value later in the year thanks to his stolen-base ability should he get a chance at regular playing time.
Hernandez earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A last year after hitting .314/.351/.451 with two home runs for Double-A Reading. He is considered a slick fielder and he has shown some speed on the basepaths during his time in the minors. His upside with the bat is limited due to his lack of power, but he looks like he should at least have a future as a solid utility infielder.
Hernandez, who was signed out of Venezuela in 2006, was added to the Phillies' 40-man roster this winter despite being only 20 years old and not playing above short season Low-A yet. The Phillies clearly think highly of his potential, but Hernandez's lack of power makes him only a mildly interesting fantasy prospect for now. Hernandez does have good speed so if he continues to hit as he moves up the ladder his prospect star will brighten. Keep an eye on his progress.
More Fantasy News
Laces three-run triple
2BCleveland Indians
May 9, 2021
Hernandez went 1-for-5 with a three-run triple and a run scored in Saturday's 9-2 win over Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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Collects three hits Thursday
2BCleveland Indians
May 6, 2021
Hernandez went 3-for-5 with a double in a 4-0 win over the Royals on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Goes yard in win
2BCleveland Indians
May 2, 2021
Hernandez went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and an additional run scored in Sunday's 5-0 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Saturday
2BCleveland Indians
May 1, 2021
Hernandez isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Hits RBI double
2BCleveland Indians
April 27, 2021
Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a double, a bases-loaded walk and a run scored in Tuesday's 7-4 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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