Cesar Hernandez Fantasy News & Stats

Cesar Hernandez

29-Year-Old Second Baseman2B

Philadelphia Phillies

2019 Stats

AVG

.265

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2019 Fantasy Outlook

Hernandez's batted-ball profile started to resemble that of a power hitter in 2018, as he raised his flyball rate from 24.6% to 33.6% and increased his pull rate from 35.8% to 40.3%. However, it's probably unwise to read too much of his underlying numbers after it came to light that he played most of the second half with a broken foot. He had a career-high 13.4% walk rate but also a 21.9% strikeout rate that represented his highest mark since his small-sample 2014 season. The end result was a career-best 15 homers but a drop in all three slash categories to .253/.356/.362, good for a league-average 100 wRC+, and only five steals after he suffered the foot injury July 20. The dream scenario for Hernandez in 2019 would see him hold onto his power gains while regaining his solid batting average and some stolen bases with improved health. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#183

ADP

Overall

Second Baseman

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League Majors

Bats B

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 5'10"

Weight 167

DOB 5/23/1990

Born Valencia, Venezuela

College None

Drafted 2006 PHI

Falls to eighth in order

2BPhiladelphia Phillies

June 14, 2019

Hernandez will bat eighth Friday against Atlanta.

ANALYSIS
Hernandez spent eight games as the leadoff hitter after Andrew McCutchen was lost for the season with a torn ACL, but he hit just .125/.222/.188 over that stretch. He'll move to a lower-pressure spot for now, with Jean Segura sliding up to the leadoff spot.

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Batting Stats

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2017

+5%

OPS vs RHP

2019

+41%

OPS vs RHP

2018

+4%

OPS vs RHP

2017

+3%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2017vs Left	.723	415	57	3	28	9	.267	.347	.376
Since 2017vs Right	.760	1150	148	27	96	29	.270	.359	.400
2019vs Left	.562	69	5	0	6	0	.222	.261	.302
2019vs Right	.794	211	24	6	24	4	.274	.341	.453
2018vs Left	.700	176	23	1	15	5	.272	.375	.325
2018vs Right	.725	532	68	14	45	14	.247	.350	.374
2017vs Left	.810	170	29	2	7	4	.281	.353	.458
2017vs Right	.786	407	56	7	27	11	.299	.381	.405
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2017

+3%

OPS at Home

2019

+7%

OPS at Home

2018

+22%

OPS on Road

2017

+29%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2017Home	.760	772	113	16	66	21	.263	.359	.401
Since 2017Away	.740	793	92	14	58	17	.275	.354	.387
2019Home	.762	145	18	3	14	3	.260	.345	.417
2019Away	.709	135	11	3	16	1	.262	.296	.413
2018Home	.646	347	47	7	32	11	.219	.326	.320
2018Away	.789	361	44	8	28	8	.286	.386	.403
2017Home	.899	280	48	6	20	7	.320	.407	.492
2017Away	.696	297	37	3	14	8	.270	.340	.356
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Stat Review

How does Cesar Hernandez compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.

BB/K

0.54

BB Rate

7.0%

K Rate

13.0%

BABIP

.282

ISO

.163

AVG

.265

OBP

.324

SLG

.428

OPS

.752

wOBA

.322

Exit Velocity

85.9 mph

Hard Hit Rate

30.9%

Barrels/PA

2.5%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2011

Hernandez once looked like he would merely be a placeholder in the middle infield until the Phillies accelerated their rebuild, but back-to-back campaigns of at least 15 steals, averages north of .290 and OBPs above .370 may have changed his outlook with the organization. While those three areas are where Hernandez provides his greatest impact in the fantasy realm, he also showed some unexpected pop last season with 41 extra-base hits, making him at least an average contributor among second basemen in terms of power. Middle-infield prospects J.P. Crawford and Scott Kingery are both expected to get fair shakes at everyday roles at some point in 2018, but Hernandez's reliable glove and on-base skills atop the lineup offer value. The youngsters might offer more upside, but it would be unwise to dismiss the 27-year-old's chances of retaining regular at-bats throughout the season with few other proven table setters on the roster.

Hernandez showed growth in his patience, increasing his walk rate by nearly two percent and his on-base percentage from .339 in 2015 to .371 last season. He walked at just a five percent clip in the first half of the season, but a benching in late June sent a message and he walked at nearly a 16 percent clip over the second half of the season. Hernandez has minimal power but possesses great speed. His 11 triples were tied for the most in baseball. Despite that speed and his on-base skills, he managed just 17 steals on 30 attempts. Only Jonathan Villar was caught stealing more often than Hernandez, but he stole nearly four times as many bases. An improvement in efficiency could result in 20-plus steals, but there is some playing time risk, as a potential midseason promotion of prospect J.P. Crawford would force the Phillies to decide between Hernandez and Freddy Galvis at second base. .

Hernandez won a bench job with the Phillies last spring and produced when given opportunities to play early in the season. When Chase Utley went on the disabled list in June, Hernandez moved into a starting role and made enough of an impression that the team had him split time with Utley until the veteran was shipped off to the Dodgers in August. Unfortunately for Hernandez, his season ended early when he suffered a dislocated thumb and ligament damage in mid-September. Hernandez's biggest contribution in fantasy leagues was his 19 stolen bases. He has stolen over 30 bags a couple times in the minors, so the potential is there for him to make a dent in the stolen base category. He will likely open the year as the starter at second, but he'll have to hit for average and work counts to get on base because he offers little else with the bat. If he slumps, the Phillies could turn second base over to Darnell Sweeney.

Hernandez split his time between the majors and minors last season. The Phillies tried to increase his versatility by having him play third last season, but with 11 errors in 32 games in the majors and minors it is clear that Hernandez has some work to do. Hernandez's best skill is his ability to put the ball in play. He has no power, but does have decent speed despite stealing just nine total bags last season. He is out of options which should increase his chances at winning a bench job this spring. Chase Utley has managed to stay fairly healthy of late, but he does have a chronic knee condition that could flare up at any time. Hernandez would stand to benefit with increased playing time at second if something were to happen to Utley.

Hernandez got his first opportunity in the majors last season when the Phillies called him up as a short-term injury replacement. He managed to stick around after Chase Utley was sidelined with a strained oblique, and showed enough with the bat that the Phillies started looking to increase his versatility. Hernandez saw his first action in the outfield last year, and the Phillies have said they want him to also start working out a third. Hernandez does not hit for any power, but he does make pretty good contact and he has speed. He will get a chance to compete for a bench job this spring, but is likely to start the year back in the minors. He could provide some value later in the year thanks to his stolen-base ability should he get a chance at regular playing time.

Hernandez earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A last year after hitting .314/.351/.451 with two home runs for Double-A Reading. He is considered a slick fielder and he has shown some speed on the basepaths during his time in the minors. His upside with the bat is limited due to his lack of power, but he looks like he should at least have a future as a solid utility infielder.

Hernandez, who was signed out of Venezuela in 2006, was added to the Phillies' 40-man roster this winter despite being only 20 years old and not playing above short season Low-A yet. The Phillies clearly think highly of his potential, but Hernandez's lack of power makes him only a mildly interesting fantasy prospect for now. Hernandez does have good speed so if he continues to hit as he moves up the ladder his prospect star will brighten. Keep an eye on his progress.

More Fantasy News

May be dropped from leadoff role

2BPhiladelphia Phillies

June 12, 2019

Manager Gabe Kapler acknowledged after Tuesday's 7-4 win over the Diamondbacks that he may consider removing Hernandez from the leadoff role in favor of Scott Kingery, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

ANALYSIS
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